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Our best days are still to come? – politicalbetting.com
Our best days are still to come? – politicalbetting.com
Remember Laura Norder? A perennial favourite of Tory conferences – with Home Secretaries vowing to support the police and be tough on criminals. Even Blair joined in with his “tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime” slogan. That was then. Now it is the ECHR, lefty lawyers and other bleeding heart liberals in the government’s sights for, it is said, undermining the fight for justice and the rights of true born Britons to sleep easy in their beds. (This – or something like it – will be the template for Braverman’s speeches as Home Secretary.) Even Sunak has joined in with desperate attacks, not just on lefty lawyers but activist ones.
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1.08 Liz Truss 93%
13 Rishi Sunak 8%
Next Conservative leader
1.07 Liz Truss 93%
13.5 Rishi Sunak 7%
Indeed, the Conservative Party has done more to undermine law and order in the past 12 years than even I thought possible.
I'd also point out to Truss and her acolytes on here that making justifiable and evidence-based criticisms of Government policy isn't "talking the country down". Apparently we are now all talking ourselves into a recession whereas presumably if we talked about something else, the economy would magically improve.
I'm tired of the Conservative Party thinking it somehow represents the UK or is the UK - as tonight's polls show, a growing number of people want to go in a different direction.
IQ is different between individuals. But even there, it is not only genetics that determine your score.
Let me give you a different example. Height.
Diffferent countries have different average heights. The Dutch are currently the world's tallest, I believe. (Albeit they stopped getting taller in - you guessed it - around 1980.)
Japanese men were just 5'2 at 17 in 1900, and yet are 5'10 on average now.
Different people in the UK get different quality of nutrition, both in the womb, and in early childhood.
And that affects their height. Someone born into a poor household in the UK is likely to end up dramatically shorter than one born into a richer one.
Only joking.
Loved the irony from others at the end of the last thread, but it will be lost on him.
The country takes multi=party politics to a new level with no less than 19 parties featuring in the latest Factum opinion poll.
I'll try to make it simple - the current 4 party coalition will probably be re-elected but there will be big shifts within the parties. The New Unity Party of Prime Minister Krisjanis Karins is up 14 points from the last election and from being the lowest ranked of the governing parties is now the highest.
The National Alliance is down 0.2% but still around 11% - the centrist Development/For! is down three points from 12 to 8.8 but the biggest losers have been the Conservatives who have dropped from 13.6% to 5.1% and may drop out the Saeima (threshold 5%). The coalition got 43.1% last time and now have 45.4% so as long as the Conservatives get back there shouldn't be a problem.
The opposition has fragmented with Harmony (the social democratic party) having fallen from 19.8% to 9.2%. The Union of Greens and Farmers is on 8.6% (-1.3) while the United List (some of whom split from the Farmers) is up from 4.1% to 8.4%.
The Progressives missed out last time with 2.6% but are now on 7.5% while the centrist For Stability, a new party is on 6.6%. Latvia First, another new group, is on 4.8% so would probably miss out.
IF the Conservatives fail to get back, I just wonder if there will be enough in the opposition to offer an alternative coalition but I can't see it currently.
https://twitter.com/peterstefanovi2/status/1561660803371212800?s=21&t=ayBEhKu4_-HaGADnTOWmtg
Too fast = no chance.
Courts continued to close. Prison places were lost but hey, we had the diversion of a ministerial spat over whether prisoners could read books. Dangerous things, books.
Something @Cyclefree does not mention is the high arrest and charge rate for the recent flurry of London murders, but really that is another sign of the breakdown of law and order because murderers, like looters at the other end of the scale, are not deterred by cctv cameras because their experience from years of low-level criminality is there are no visible consequences — they see their peers arrested and quickly released back onto the streets on bail because their case can't be heard for two years.
Nothing of interest in the Tory leadership race, sadly.
Possibly. The Italians have maybe kept a shred of their genetic muscle memory of public works inherited from the romans
I saw the Roman Forum today. In Rome. Never bothered to check it out close up before. Some of that shit is on a scale which is stupefying even to a 21st century boy
I also saw this. An original Roman bronze door with a lock that STILL WORKS
The Tories are turning this country into a latrine.
Voters hear about lawyers chiefly when they are picking the Rwanda flights clean, right down to the very last illegal immigrant. On voters money. Or chasing army veterans through the courts decades after conflicts have ended. On voters money. These practices encapsulate for many how the the state ignores the priorities of ordinary people in favour of an elite with a completely different agenda.
The lawyers are so arrogant and detached they would never deign to actually make their case for themselves to ordinary people. They think its a waste of time to explain how they do so much more besides pulling immigrants off flights.
All we keep hearing especially from the Right is "more Police, more Police" but it was the Right, aided and abetted I'm ashamed to say by the LDs in the Coalition, who presided over the sale of operational Police stations. The impact of the loss of those stations on basic policing has been considerable in terms of time lost escorting prisoners further (and in my part of the world often having to wait for translators).
The other loss has been public confidence in the Police - they are seen as a remote and unaccountable group especially in parts of London. Low level petty crime goes not only unreported but largely uninvestigated. Yes, the big crimes, the stabbings, the murders, do fortunately often see a successful outcome in terms of bringing a perpetrator to justice but that's not crime to most people.
Crime for many is the low level, the petty, the phone theft, the pickpocketing, the bag snatch, the fare evasion, the shoplifting but it's still living without respect for those around you.
― Samuel Johnson
(except I can).
San Francisco was the opposite. Would be good if someone wrote an article "Obvious travel that is just as good as you think it will be".
CoL response immediately according to this with probably a November full budget?
'all these complaints – lack of funding, effective cuts in pay, a lack of resources, demonisation of those raising concerns, a refusal to implement recommendations, even to meet – could be made, justifiably, by many others: medical professionals, for instance, or teachers or social care workers or many others providing vital services.'
What do you mean by 'could be?' We ARE making these complaints. (I say we - it only applies to me for nine more days because I got so fed up with them.)
Incidentally the individual responsible for many of the issues at Courts and Probation you highlight was 'failed upwards' and is now Permanent Secretary at - the DfE.
Says it all, I fear.
Last time we were there I wanted to pinch one of those wafer shaped Roman bricks that can still occasionally be found lying loose but my partner shamed me into avoiding such desecration.
I’ve never been more depressed at where the UK is going .
'Love bombing' is a well-established political tactic and I struggle to see why that isn't the strategy currently adopted by the UK Government vis-à-vis Scotland, given that it is certain that the Union will at some point be challenged at the ballot box again. Instead of harrumphing on about how Scottish buildings must display the UJ, can you imagine if UKG mandated that public buildings in England must display the Saltire? How different would the impact of that be North of the border?
Added to some of the constitutional changes I suggested yesterday, and given a little time, I don't think Indy 2 would even be close.
@PhillipsPOBrien
9h
I know nothing about Dugina's death, so have no idea who did it. If the result, however, is Putin using it to crack down more on dissent, but not mobilize Russian society for war, that would logically point to an internal Russian involvement.
Aug 22, 2022 · 9:45 AM UTC
Phillips P. OBrien
@PhillipsPOBrien
5h
Final comment--if in the end Putin does nothing--neither uses this as an opportunity to crack down or to mobilize/escalate--that would logically point to the fact that he really doesnt know what to do and that there are elements outside of his control in Russia that did this.
Today's article from John Redwood is pretty dismissive of the OBR forecasts, for example.
Crime & justice is a disgrace in this country now, and woefully underfunded.
I just do not see how Liz Truss does not do something to help.
To Tory is to serially underfund infrastructure, among other things.
Labour have other issues.
You, Tory voter, are to blame for public squalor.
Instead, Truss will include tax cuts, the elimination of green levies from energy bills and some targeted support for the vulnerable......
If thats it, shes already finished. If she doesnt address the cap and businesses energy costs its already over
Maybe engage your brain and put down the bottle.
The Anderson-Nairn thesis is that because the UK never had a “national revolution” a la 1789 or 1848, that the ruling class has no real concept of nation-building and therefore serves the interest of an effete and feeble class of wannabe aristocrats.
Hence infrastructure is shite and our biggest cities (bar London) are productivity black holes.
Infrastructure is much cheaper if you just get on with the job of building / replacing it at a steady rate, knowing that the work is necessary & therefore why put it off? The most expensive way to do it is to do nothing for a couple of decades & then suddently decide you need the newest whizz-bang thing, then stop again losing all that accumulated expertise in the process. I’ll let you look at the evidence & conclude which approach the UK has taken for yourself.
What will happen in Ukraine? What will happen with Covid in China? Will China's housing market implode?
Those are just three mega questions that you need to have to have a sensible view on the UK's economic growth, even before we talk about domestic issues.
FFS what a gal...!!
PB Tories don’t like it up em.
Bears shit in woods.
More at ten.
Moaning about why hasn’t she done anything yet is pointless.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5pF39OrZEo
I would have taken the Mondian cyberman approach.
Tch. Forty years of trying, and the scripts get no better.
https://www.twitter.com/Antman0704/status/1561744461151064065
We've underfunded new nuclear, roads and some regional rail upgrades and enhancements. Strategic rail is ok. Superfast broadband rollout & telecoms is actually pretty good.
The biggest economic failing is not getting on with Heathrow 3rd runway and Gatwick 2nd runway, coupled with boosting Jet Zero.
https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201415/ldselect/ldeconaf/134/13406.htm
As Casino Royale said, whatever Boris did with HS2, he didn't underfund it. He loved his huge infrastructure projects.
Energy is a debacle; the water companies have been taking the piss for years. I don’t have a view on broadband, others might.
Streetscenes are tatty, due to underfunded and underpowered local government. Cycling infrastructure is better but not first class.
Kent is strewn with litter, the difference as soon as you cross the channel is notable.
It would be churlish for me to ignore notable successes like Crossrail, and the UK is certainly better than the US, but the overall picture is not good and in decline.
What on earth is the point? And what on earth was the trigger?
Boris loves to dream up quite shitty infra ideas but never funds them.