Categories
Can Truss lead the Tories to a general election victory? – politicalbetting.com
Can Truss lead the Tories to a general election victory? – politicalbetting.com
The big question that really has not been looked at much during the Conservative leadership campaign is how much the winner will actually help the party at the next general election.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
So, ummm, nope
Will she is a harder question.
edit: snap! (okay, you win)
London
Lab 54%
Con 19%
LD 15%
Grn 6%
Ref 2%
Rest of South
Con 35%
Lab 34%
LD 16%
Grn 7%
Ref 5%
Midlands and Wales
Lab 39%
Con 35%
LD 10%
Grn 4%
Ref 4%
PC 3%
North
Lab 50%
Con 29%
LD 10%
Grn 8%
Ref 2%
Scotland
SNP 51%
Con 19%
Lab 17%
Grn 4%
LD 4%
Ref 3%
(YouGov / The Times; Sample Size: 1809; Fieldwork: 9th - 10th August 2022)
Pro-independence parties 55%
Unionist parties 43%
So, probably not.
French President Emmanuel Macron spoke on the phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin for the first time in a while. They discussed, in particular, the situation at the Zaporizhzhia NPP occupied by the Russians, report Elysee Palace and Interfax with reference to the Kremlin
https://twitter.com/Hromadske/status/1560664509605646336
NEW US $775 million pkg for #Ukraine will include:
- more ammo for #HIMARS, which have "really changed the dynamic on the battlefield"
- 16 105mm #Howitzers & 36,000 artillery rounds...
US pkg will also boost #Ukraine's surveillance capabilities with 15 #ScanEagle drones...
additional High Speed AnitRadiar Missiles (#HARM) to "seek & destroy" Russian radar
1,000 TOW missiles to counter #Russia|n armor...
1,000 additional #Javelin missiles headed to #Ukraine as part of latest US security pkg, per a senior US defense official
Also includes 2,000 anti armor rounds..
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
19 Rishi Sunak 5%
Next Conservative leader
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
19 Rishi Sunak 5%
ANYWHERE BUT HERE
China now insists the pandemic didn’t start within its borders. Its scientists are publishing a flurry of papers pointing the finger elsewhere
https://www.science.org/content/article/pandemic-start-anywhere-but-here-argue-papers-chinese-scientists-echoing-party-line
Absolutely she can, but whether she will is an entirely different question.
https://nation.cymru/news/wales-and-scotland-not-nations-and-independence-should-be-made-impossible-says-lord-frost/
Ho ho. As the end game approaches, the raw nerves are exposed.
More please! I like a good spanking.
However, the situation isn't normal. It'll be all to play for. Depends if she prioritises Party unity, ideology, or the needs of the Nation.
That question won't be revealed just yet, but will have to be addressed pdq.
Taken as a whole, the 2010-2024 era will go down in history as the worst since…well I can’t think when, really.
eta https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/08/19/annoying-russian-questions-a78613
regarding bus fares - in London you can ride unlimited buses within 1 hour for £1.65, and £4.95 for a whole day.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/apr/30/minimum-alcohol-price-european-court-scottish-judges
"Unlike those in the rest of the United Kingdom, the bus services in London, although still ultimately privatised, were not deregulated to the same extent. In London, details of routes, fares and services levels were still specified by public bodies, with the right to run the services contracted to private companies on a tendered basis. "
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Privatisation_of_London_bus_services
'On 1 April 1996 Lothian Regional Council was abolished. Although the then Conservative government had sought to have the company privatised, this was resisted by local politicians and ownership of the company passed to the new City of Edinburgh Council and the three neighbouring councils. The LRT identity remained until January 2000, when the company was renamed Lothian Buses plc, the LRT logo changing to 'Lothian'.'
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Lothian_Buses#1956_to_present
Must be some link to fares there, if we only knew what it was.
I think there's a lot of potential. Labour haven't managed to pin the blame for the crisis onto the Tories, so it's not yet too late to turn things around.
They really mean Boris Johnson's top lickspittle.
Quite. First thing he reaches for is Brexit.
Water privatisation has likely been a disaster.
Train privatisation can be argued either way I think.
.
Perhaps it is your democratic compass that is skewed rather than mine.
However having a PM and a cabinet and the HOC back in couple of weeks should be very interesting, even entertaining, especially at PMQ's
So the odds favour Starmer not Truss, even if Truss gets a bounce as new PM and RedfieldWilton has her narrowly ahead of Starmer as preferred PM
If he were not so lazy, I'd love to see Johnson start his own party or join forces with Reform UK and put up candidates against Truss's Conservative candidates - I'd order in the popcorn.
"The FSB did not respond to requests for comment."
source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/interactive/2022/russia-fsb-intelligence-ukraine-war/?itid=hp-top-table-main
I like the fact that the Post asked the FSB for comment.
On a more serious point: Apparently, almost all their operatives in Ukraine were telling Putin what he wanted to hear, and many were taking his money, but doing little or nothing.
More please! I like a good spanking.
You are actually quite dishonest on this subject, presumably because the alternative breaks your interior worldview.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuN1rPHX1Fg
Betfair next prime minister
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
18.5 Rishi Sunak 5%
Next Conservative leader
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
19.5 Rishi Sunak 5%
In Die Hard terms all this for a common thief
I was always struck my reports that Beijing believed their own propaganda about Hong Kong and was stunned and worried by the parish elections that went against their backed candidates. Sadly they did then respond with ruthlessness to correct that.
I agree their problem will be the LDs in the South mainly, i think they'll do substantially better against Labour in the N and Midlands comparitively (albeit still probably losing ground)
When making an estimate about liklihood of irrational actions, I think people have just cause to be more suspicious and not give benefit of the doubt.
If the Tories pulled back to say evens at a GE a notional Con GAIN Hartlepool (from 2019) very possible along with a couple other red wall odd seats with odd possible results because of a 'teen' number of bxp votes to go at that are, in large part, long term trend away from labour votes
Kenneth Branagh in a Bo Jo mask: jump scare!
Anyway. In case you're looking forward to it for any reason or, more likely, you're morbidly intrigued — similar to watching a wild hog being fed into a comically oversized blender — here's everything we know about the upcoming [checks notes] Boris Johnson series.
https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/culture/article/this-england-sky-boris-johnson-series
The Post Office is a stand alone body
What is needed is some sort of ultraviolent Special Forces insertion, probably by helicopter, who can then take it by primarily small-arms fire, but I doubt the Ukrainians are up to it and it would take something like an SAS/Green Beret force to achieve.
general elections of Tories most seats. That way it still seems like a change of government.
Truss however is now ideologically little different from Boris, just a shade more Thatcherite economically
The President of the European Commission in 2014 said an iScotland "would find it extremely difficult" to join the EU.
You don't even see Better Together as a Scottish campaign, do you?
I get it that you really mean the last two words in your penultimate sentence. That must be for some unstated reason, because there's no sense or logic in what precedes it, as any neutral person could tell you.
You're the one who's ignoring how people voted. Scotland has voted for the Union more than a dozen times this century and near the end of the last century it voted for constitutional issues to be reserved.7
"Ignored how you voted," my a***hole. London didn't get to stay in the EU either.
She is pro-NPRail and M62, and anti-Andy Burnham.
Truss notes we've had decades of low growth. Not that she makes blue on blue attacks.