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Getting the tone of an ad completely wrong – politicalbetting.com
Getting the tone of an ad completely wrong – politicalbetting.com
If the Republicans fail to win back control of the Senate in the elections on November 8th it could be that the above ad is partly responsible.
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It would be like Susan Acland-Hood firing somebody for the illegal consumption of alcohol.
1.06 Liz Truss 94%
17 Rishi Sunak 6%
Next Conservative leader
1.05 Liz Truss 95%
15 Rishi Sunak 7%
"Oz, great guy, but wouldn't listen to me, you know? I told him how to win, but you can't help some people".
https://sun6-22.userapi.com/c237231/u365182800/docs/d8/1c7b90c9e392/ZOV.pdf?extra=HLRkLS5u3aSQ7jdnb-OXuz1Q9iPNsmyRNcIAFs9mwmM-n6aKupQl1CBEFn4QFEcleMYjLD6HQD0UfUS5O07viKlA8HW9kPcIElEpaFfrHcVYvkWrxLHDCxdKt4krPuGiB8TlePzyV42f&dl=1
(Of course it's easy enough to get it into English with Google translate if you don't mind some odd turns of phrase).
Along with the tone.
Not so different to how it always was might be the argument, except that lack of ability to do 'normal' political things is practically a benefit a lot of the time, being an outsider who knows nothing, with even insiders pretending they are maverick outsiders.
Can work - I don't think Zelensky was super popular pre-war, though how much was due to his political inexperience I have no idea, but he's grown into things - but the emphasis on campaigning above all else can be disproportionate.
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1560464469230342144
Out of the hands of the government.
Or is he talking about the ones Trump flushed down the toilet ?
Every day that passes I am more and more convinced that Brexit is a right wing project to screw normal people. To make us as divided as the US, with crumbling infrastructure and privatised healthcare. I hope I’m wrong but at the minute I don’t think I am.
I trusted supranational EU bureaucrats to act in the best interests of most people in the UK far more than I will ever trust the Tory Party. The Leave campaigns, financed by the same people who finance the Tory Party, were just bullshit from beginning to end.
I was born a European citizen. It meant a lot to me and I have had it stripped from me against my will. I will never forgive or forget that.
But I don't want them anywhere near power again!
I’ve been for a walk: all the birds went away
https://www.ft.com/content/dc4bc7e7-40d7-4aad-9582-ea8935aac090
“Avian flu kills 86m birds; humans should be worried”
The next bit was key ... "far more than I will ever trust the Tory Party".
It's not helpful for anyone to simply refight the original decision over and over again, but senior figures prefer to do that because it means no need to address immediate issues.
Whatever his personal inclinations Starmer at least seems to accept this, that he needs to fix things within the current set up rather than simply resist.
Putting trust in unelected bureaucrats to act in the best interests of people who aren't voting for them is up there with saying that Putin is great because he gets stuff done, so who cares about democracy?
If you want your best interests represented, seek to win an election for MPs representing your best interests, don't seek to circumvent or reject democracy.
To put your faith in unelected bodies because you dislike the fact that some of your compatriots might vote for people you dislike, is not a healthy path to go down. Its downright Trumpian too, seeking to reverse election results that go "wrong".
However, if I have inadvertently compared Susan Acland-Hood to Donald Trump and thereby caused offence, I apologise unreservedly and hope Mr Trump will forgive me.
Counsellor, might I suggest that even if that were true, the word 'roughly' in your sentence is rather critical?
The F-35 fleet is entirely RAF owned and operated (with token FAA involvement) and so will deploy to the carriers as seldom as they possibly can.
Since she admitted to drinking alcohol on government premises at a time non-work events were in any case forbidden, I'm quite comfortable with that remark.
(It's not illegal to be an alcoholic, remember, which is just as well for a few posters on here, so that couldn't be the meaning of my post.)
To a lot of people, they couldn't care less about those issues when they saw their areas becoming deprived and this was their only way of telling the government that they matter. For them not to be listened to after the referendum would have destroyed their trust in democracy forever.
I voted remain, and I wanted to have a second referendum until about 2018, but then I realised I was on the wrong side of history and got over it. You should too.
To be fair, many Eurocrats admit it pretty openly if you get them in the right mood, over a beer or two on the Grande Place, once they've given you the usual bullshit about ensuring peace in Europe.
It is wealthy suburban voters who are the swing voters in PA who voted for Trump in 2016 but Biden in 2020 and who will know have dinner parties with crudites
And any route back would have been so much easier. Now it is impossible - or the work of two generations
This undeniable fact must gnaw at them. Daily
I’m just saying this was the obvious realpolitik move. It also - I am sure - would have commanded a majority of British public opinion. All the Remainers and half of Leavers. A compromise. Stay in the EEA
Instead the fucking idiots decided that cancelling the vote and telling 17.4 million people “your vote doesn’t matter, even if you won” was somehow a BETTER idea
By the way, there have been no alien visitations, Brexit will deliver nothing and there are no fairies at the end of the garden. I do like you, and you are amusing, but in spite of clearly being intelligent in other ways, you are a seriously gullible twat sometimes.
It was the Brexiteers who went for the hardest of hard Brexits from the day after the vote. EFTA/EEA would have meant keeping Free Movement which is what you all wanted to end most of all. It would also have meant keeping some role for the ECJ in the country. This is your mess, own it. Apologise FFS.
I can almost understand why they now think it must have been a brilliant Russian conspiracy. That’s easier to handle, mentally
That is about the one and only thing that David Cameron, George Osborne, Nick Clegg, Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and more all agreed upon.
Having won the referendum of course the Leavers wouldn't then seek to abandon their project and give it up, but the Remainers could have defeated them in Parliament and snatched EFTA/EEA despite it not being what was campaigned for. Like a last minute equalisers in football, but they tried to reverse the result instead so got nothing and allowed Leavers to get what they voted for.
Nice. Not often seen in the wild these days. And an “absolute balderdash” as well
As I said yesterday, it will be a good day in British history when Brexit goes unmentioned on PB for 24 hours. Acceptance. Clearly, we’re not there yet. But we will get there. Unless the world ends beforehand
What is established fact, is that the US has been studying ways to make Avian flu deadlier.
https://www.vox.com/2019/2/17/18225938/biologists-are-trying-to-make-bird-flu-easier-to-spread-can-we-not
The justification in terms of 'positives' for this type of research is so thin it would be insulting to tissue paper to make the comparison.
"If only ultra-Leavers like X had accepted the closeness of the Brexit vote and sought compromise - rather thank going for a rock hard Brexit lacking general support - they would have got their Brexit."
The irony being that, for most normal people, Brexit/the EU was fairly far down a list of concerns. There was a reasonable 'meh' majority on both sides that would have been content enough with some kind of messy compromise such as EEA/EFTA.
Mirror.
EDIT probably pushing the limits of "we" too far there to be honest.
Leon it was pointless. Thick. Stupid. But we are stuck with it and many of us realise that we have to make the best of it. We will still continue to laugh at those who still genuinely believe in the Brexit Bollox, and also those like you who keep desperately trying to convince yourself.
Remain-voting PMs like David Cameron and Theresa May were elected campaigning to reduce immigration to the tens of thousands but the Leave campaign (and Boris as PM) made no such commitment.
Talk on immigration from the sane wing of Brexiteers (ie ignoring Farage) was primarily about controlling it, not about cutting it.
We need to have an honest conversation with ourselves about how to cope with the problem we face. But ultimately it all comes back to "how are the government going to ensure that people can continue having the standard of living that they have now?"
Not the case with the EU which could circumvent the Commons.
Farage _was_ Brexit. And - where oh where is @Isam - cutting down immigration was the main driver of Brexit.
Look you can cover your ears and should la la la all you want but if you really think that the main driver of Brexit (rather than the fantasy land I'm not an awful person, really, state you're in now) was not about reducing immigration then you disqualify yourself from discussing politics, no matter how early you tipped Sunak to be next PM and at what odds.
The plan (in as much as there was a plan) was to retain the benefits of Single Market membership that we liked, whilst opting out of the bits we found uncongenial.
For various reasons, that hasn't worked out, which just goes to show how unreasonable Brussels is, how feeble a negotiation Cameron did, how terrible a PM May was, and now the same thing is happening with Johnson.
I'd find the whole "Associate Membership" and "better relationships" stuff much more convincing if its proponents ever named the benefits to the UK they were willing to forego, or the obligations that they were willing to take up.
Accademic achievement amongst the population is likely to be normally distributed. But if up to 40% are getting A or A*, then the A level results are more likely to fit a poisson distribution. It is not a good fit.
One of the purpose of exams is to be able to differentiate between candidates, so that universities and employers are able to determine which are better.
Currently, the A level grading system provides a lot of differentiation at low grades, but less at high grades.
In my view it should be the opposite.
There's a long-term way to escape from that - invest in alternatives so we don't have to import energy - but in the short-term there isn't, but no-one dares to say so.
There were many Brexit options available in the months after the referendum. Sadly the people making and influencing the policies had no interest or understanding of these.
And I have no need to convince myself or anyone else of the point of Brexit. Even having been so badly mismanaged by May and Johnson it is still a far better place we are in now than we would have been in had we voted the other way.
The Brexiteers pressing home their advantage is what they're supposed to do when they have the advantage, they were seeking what they wanted and won the vote to get it. Salah/Brexiteers didn't have a bad performance there.
The bad performance was purely on the side of Manchester United/Remainers who abjectly failed and in doing so allowed the other side to press the advantage.
Take a leaf out of your role model Nigel's book. He didn't stop talking about it for decades. It is a live political debate and there are two sides to it, actually more, given differing potential relationships with the EU.
Did you expect the Labour Party to shut up and go home after the 2019 general election? Or the Cons to disband in 1997 after the GE then? No. Of course not.
So Brexit will continue to be discussed. And my take on it is that the eg @Leons of this world are only so vituperative about it because they are scared. A bit like a dog barking. It is doing it because it is scared most of the time.
Don't be scared, @Leon, have confidence in your fellow citizens to handle democracy.
The EU unlike Trade Agreements or NATO or most other agreements has its own Parliament that can change the law, without recourse to the UK's elected Parliament agreeing to it.
Now if you want to live in a country called Europe, that is entirely democratically reasonable and acceptable. A country called Europe would be better than what the EU is right now by far. But if you don't, then the EU undermines the UK's democracy.
Brexit is a calamity and Brexiteers are morons!
The context was that the minimum wage was becoming the maximum wage in a number of jobs, and that the increase in population was causing other issues with regard to housing and public services.
No-one is going to object to the NHS going on a recruitment trip to Manila, and finding tens of thousands of English-speaking nurses and care workers.
I want to comment on my personal cost of living and no doubt many thousand if not millions of others
In June 21 EDF took over my Green energy (my supplier) and extended their fix term contract to Sept 21 when they offered me a fixed rate contract to September 2023. At the time the tariff near doubled but I thought it was wise to accept this deal as it would give my wife and I certainty
We are therefore immune from energy price rises until September 23 but in October we will be awarded at least £400 in 6 instalments to April 23 plus an increased winter fuel allowance of £650 (my wife is 82). We do not qualify for pension credit or council tax £150 energy relief
In addition to the existing £400 grant, I fully expect a considerable increase in this from October when we may find ourselves in the position that for the next year our energy will be virtually free while at the same time we are taking measures to address our usage. Additionally, the triple lock on pensions will rise by 10/11% next April
We fully appreciate how fortunate we are and accept that in 12 months’ time we may need to fund our energy from our capital
There will be many on this forum far more knowledgeable than I am, but surely if a good part of our population is in a similar situation then consumer spending may not fall as much as expected
I do accept there is considerable unfairness in this, but I do not make the rules and fully supported Sunak abolition of the triple lock this year, and would do so permanently