Wallace might top ConHome’s list but he’s still a relative unknown – politicalbetting.com

it is a measure of how precarious the prime minister’s position is seen to be that so much attention today is being paid the latest ConHome survey on possible leadership contenders.
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You don't need to be any of those things, being seen as naturally authoritative or serious can be enough in the right circumstances, but there's a chance the lesser known cannot sustain themselves once they get more attention.
Wallace seems sound but is essentially a grey man, and Mordaunt comes across as flakey with her rather odd pronouncements on trade.
Judging by the ConHome polling, I’d now say Zarhawi is the one to watch.
Focus group might make more sense, albeit yielding fewer clicks and links.
None of this matters - the only electorate of importance in the initial stages of any leadership is or are Conservative MPs. Conservative members don't get to determine which final two candidates go to the membership - the MPs do.
Wallace has to get into the final two - it's hard to imagine the holders of the three other offices of State, Sunak, Truss and Patel meekly stepping aside. The other option is one of them gets Wallace on side perhaps with an offer of Chancellor or Foreign Secretary in the next Government.
That leaves Wallace with the possibility of becoming LOTO if the Conservatives lose power at the next GE.
But beyond what are genuinely rare instances, even awful people are usually at least safe from them.
Sunak comes and goes along with the rise and fall of free money; Wallace rises as the war rhetoric rises and will fall ditto. Truss and Baker are unappointable in any circumstances.
Those with a mix of consistency, stability, not apparently insane and could make the Tory party a better place remain Tugendhat, Mordaunt and Hunt. Mordaunt is in the government which may well and should be a disqualification (why didn't she resign when she knew like the rest of us that they were unfit to govern?).
Hunt and Tugendhat remain.
All of which probably suits the incumbent Conservative leader just fine.
Admittedly, if Boris was bald he would look like Matt Lucas (has anyone ever seen them both in the same room at the same time? It would explain a lot)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cetinje_Monastery
So I put a big metal shelf unit by wall and made a sky garden. It’s going rather well. I’ve already had six mini cucumbers off the middle plant, and there are at least thirty coming through.
All three of the of the tomatoes have loads of flowers and green fruits growing. The pepper plant (bottom right) is struggling in the dark, but looks like it might be about to break into the light.
I mean, I genuinely don’t know if that is a male or a female
The Tories don’t bat deep, do they?
BTW, that's the first clothes pin I've seen being used (for intended purpose anyway) for a LONG time.
Rare in 21st-century USA. Which is nuts re: climate change.
*in their defence in terms of winning a Brexit election so much it was not necessarily a mistake in that regard.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10621429/Equalities-Minister-launches-broadside-woke-warriors-brand-British-institutions-racist.html
https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1365759/Kemi-Badenoch-news-Equality-minister-school-curriculum-reform-campaign-history-vn
https://www.pressreader.com/uk/scottish-daily-mail/20220210/281505049633395
PS Not sure what more she could do apart from getting her husband to write a column in Private Eye.
Mon: He didn’t know
Tues: He was aware but not the substance
Wed: He knew substance, but not the seriousness
Thurs: He knew seriousness, but on balance decided they were only allegations
Fri: Carrie knew all along
Sat: Dozens of his MPs lied for him, again
https://twitter.com/nazirafzal/status/1544018917403889668
He hosted BoZo on his bus tour during the campaign.
He consoled Nads tears when BoZo crashed and burned the first time.
If any of them will go the mattresses for BoZo, he is first in line.
The current captain has happily run out his partners- Geoff Boycott only much more selfish.
And yet, the huge takeaway from the polling is that ConHome really really don't want Hunt, who is the only one who isn't tainted by association with this madness. I understand why (nobody wants to admit they screwed up) but gosh it's depressing.
Is it actually representative of the voting members?
https://www.alamy.com/feb-02-1959-mr-macmillan-in-moscow-photo-shows-mr-harold-macmillan-image69357054.html
IIRC in his diaries, Macmillan says that he acquired his hat during a pre-WW2 trip to Soviet Union. And took great delight in upstaging K & other Ruski muckety-mucks with his magnificent model.
"At this point, I'm sure many of us would happily live on Goering Street if the mortgage and utilities were affordable"
LAB 43% (+2)
CON 35% (+1)
LD 11% (+1)
SNP 3% (-1)
GRN 2% (-1)
OTH 5% (-2)
1,017 UK adults aged 18+ online, 27th June '22. Changes w/ June 17th ‘22 https://twitter.com/Survation/status/1544043321089204224/photo/1
Deadman's Hole Lane
https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/history/how-deadmans-hole-lane-name-23567045
Last hot, sunny day in Seattle (a distant memory now) broke out my pith helmet (with genuine pith or reasonable substitute) soaked it in cold war, and went forth into the (urban) jungles and (suburban) deserts of North Seattle bravely imitating intrepid Captain Spaulding.
Kept my fool head cool AND drew zero nasty comments. At least that I heard!
https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/cabinet-league-table-johnson-and-sunak-in-negative-ratings-as-all-cabinet-members-scores-fall-except-wallaces/
But I suspect they dislike Boris from the other side to the rest of the country.
What a dispiriting bunch of candidates, with Hunt the best of a feeble bunch keen to feed us on Culture War rather than address any of the real issues of the country.
Not that Starmer's timid utterings are any better.
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1544044512242196481
https://twitter.com/BethRigby/status/1544023060608606210
Conhome is a barometer of members opinions but even I take part and I am not a member
1) Maths
2) The Tories are unlikely to be this bad all the time (though Major's lot set a standard in this towards which they may be aspiring, perhaps as a result of a dare)
3) Policy. Because of Brexit it isn't possible for Labour to set out a stall of real policy difference, ie an ideological platform to win by inspiring. They don't dare take a pro EU line. This is understandable. So they have no choice but to take a line on the biggest issue of the day - UK/EU relations which everyone knows Labour don't really believe or support. and most voters don't believe or support it either. They just think we are stuck.
As a result Labour plan to win by being less bad than the other lot, not by conviction politics. This does not make for ideological excitement. Nor is it the stuff of landslides.
'While communications director at CCHQ in 2017, Mrs Johnson (then Ms Symonds) questioned how Mr Pincher had ever ended up in the whips' office in correspondence seen by Sky News.
[...]
A Number 10 spokesperson said: "Mrs Johnson is a private individual and has no role in ministerial appointments."'
Could go supernova shortly.
There is not enough popcorn on planet.
https://www.scotsman.com/whats-on/arts-and-entertainment/wolf-badenoch-scotlands-vilest-man-647369
LabGrLD 56 so low end progressive team score.
Edit - also the second to show SNP down on 3. I'm unconvinced. Not yet seen any evidence the SNP 45 plus position is crumbling.
Women can get away - with others and even more importantly with themselves - wearing any damn thing on their heads.
For example, those utterly hideous "fascinators" - ugh.
Have some hats I like and which others clearly do also, via spontaneous comments from total strangers. Best being from Black people, who is USA are THE true hat aficianados.
Other hats I like, and others not so much.
My favorite hats for this time of year, are naturally-air conditioned wide-brimmed Australian jobs where the sides are plastic mesh. Genius! Particularly for naturally hot-headed free-sweating folks like myself. Also good for sticking interesting lapel pins on, esp. as I no longer where coats with lapels.
For winter wear, favorites are Tyrolean loden-felt hats, light, water-resistant and stylish. Women in particular seem to like them, always a plus (though too rarely enough to balance the minuses). Though have been warned that in Italy they brand you as a fascist? And not considered chic in their homeland, unless you are have a nearby landed estate OR are in an ompah band?
54-25 lead for the Tories in over 65s, +37 compared to the population as a whole.
Tories 41-36 up for household income between £20k and £40k. Long way behind for lower and higher household incomes.
Roughly equal numbers of 2019 Tory voters say they will now vote Labour as say they don't know. A sign that Labour are making some progress in winning people over.
Possibly though Starmer would prefer a minority government.
As today's ConHome survey suggests Tory members also have decided Wallace is their man. Wallace beats
Truss 51% to 33%, Hunt 72% to 14%, Sunak 59% to 25% and Mordaunt 54% to 30% in today's survey in head to heads. Wallace is now clearly frontrunner and as Defence Secretary his keeping his head down and getting on with the job re Ukraine, not engaging in internal party squabbling and representing traditional Tory values has gone down well
https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-ninth-jeremy-hunt/
https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-sixth-rishi-sunak/
https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-third-liz-truss/
https://conservativehome.com/2022/07/04/next-tory-leader-play-offs-first-ben-wallace-second-penny-mordaunt/
The Parliamentary Secretary to the Treasury is a senior ministerial position in the British Government. However, the office is now attached to the Treasury in name only; the holder is typically also the Chief Whip of the House of Commons.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parliamentary_Secretary_to_the_Treasury
Press release
Ministerial appointment: 1 July 2022
Kelly Tolhurst MP is appointed Treasurer of HM Household (Deputy Chief Whip).
From:
Prime Minister's Office, 10 Downing Street
Published 1 July 2022
The Queen has been pleased to approve the appointment of Kelly Tolhurst MP as Treasurer of HM Household (Deputy Chief Whip)
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/ministerial-appointment-1-july-2022#:~:text=Kelly Tolhurst MP is appointed,Household (Deputy Chief Whip).&text=The Queen has been pleased,Household (Deputy Chief Whip).