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The Tories can no longer rely on first past the post – politicalbetting.com
The Tories can no longer rely on first past the post – politicalbetting.com
The big message from the results overnight is that voters are wanting to get Johnson out and will go with the party that is most most likely to achieve that objective.
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This should be a proud reforming Government doing good things for people but they've honestly achieved sod all. It's kind of amazing really.
Almost as if the Government needs to be make something else into a monster they can claim is "unfairly" attacking them.
There was plenty in Tiverton.
Younger generations pointing out, fairly, that pensioners are predatory and thieving from younger generations to fund their retirements. Making it prohibitively expensive to own additional properties is the best way to solve this as it frees up millions of houses for purchase by young people who are currently priced out of the market by landlords and second home owners.
You want everyone to "get along" but while older generations are monopolising wealth and prosperity I see no reason for young people to be part of this grand bargain of "getting along" for the sake of it. It's up to older people to realise their selfishness is the cause of friction between the generations, they are leeching from their children and grandchildren yet want all of us to play nice because their parents made sacrifices while they made none.
We all take responsibility for the results and I’m determined to continue working to tackle the cost of living, including delivering NICs changes saving 30 million people on average £330
https://twitter.com/RishiSunak/status/1540266662364053505
All in it together? Nonsense
And the policies the Tory's need to keep those Home County seats safe are the exact opposite of what is needed to retain the Red Wall seats.
Blue wall, yes, big problems. Red wall, much less so. Labour are still toxic
He has tagged the Irish Labour Party. True, it wasn’t a good result for them. They weren’t playing
Trouble is the more the government looks in trouble the more of that they will do to try and please core supporters.
Their main and best idea was levelling up. It was hardly original, governments have been seeking to address the north south imbalance my entire adult life, but before Covid there was some ambitious plans in respect of infrastructure and it had the political imperative of protecting those redwall seats.
Otherwise, it seems to me that they are somewhat short of ideas but given the big picture that hasn't mattered as much as it might have.
...We need policies for the hard-working of all ages, the young and those who are poor and just about managing...
...What we need above all is a government which explains clearly that times are going to be hard for the next few years as we deal with the consequences of Brexit, Covid and world instabilities so that all of us will have to tighten our belts but that this will need to be done fairly....
...rises in pensions should be no higher than what is offered to other public sector workers... etc.
"Voters have made up their minds about him, whether they like him or dislike him - and they mostly dislike him - they have made up their minds. I really don't think that works any longer." ~AA https://twitter.com/BestForBritain/status/1540268924943622144/video/1
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Uxbridge_by-election
"Resign."
If they had waited until now to stick the 50+ letters in then Johnson would be deep in the merde now.
The reality is that some people will always want/need to rent. We rented for a while when we first came to London before we got on the housing ladder by buying an ex-LA flat on a slightly iffy estate, and I'm glad there was private rented accommodation available. By all means drive bad landlords out of the market and tilt things in favour of owner occupiers but the idea that all private renting is wrong seems rather extreme.
I should declare an interest here as we are (hopefully) about to exchange on a BTL flat, which we will rent out to a refugee family at zero and possibly negative profit.
'A third MP tells me that upcoming elections to the executive of the 1922 committee – the body which will decide whether to hold another vote of no confidence in Johnson this year – are due to be held before the summer recess, rather than after, as previously anticipated. A rebel majority is expected to be elected, which will open the door to a rule change by the 1922 after the summer; there is no prospect, one senior MP thinks, of a rule change before then.
But that senior MP also adds, cryptically, that they “doubt it will be necessary” to have another vote. Given that Johnson has refused to resign, it is hard to see how the party will remove him without a formal vote, but other cabinet ministers may today be emboldened by Oliver Dowden’s resignation, and momentum may soon build against Johnson once again.'
And every single BTL house on the rental market (or worse an airbnb) is one less house on the local housing market available for a family to buy.
As for your last comment - good on you but that is still 1 local house that a local family can no longer live in - and so demand for local housing has increased slightly while available supply has dropped by 1 property. Worse you have removed the house from both the local (to buy and for rent) markets.
And if it hasn't then what's the odds he pushes back the GE until the last moment which is Jan 2025 iirc.
Southerners feel they are spending all the money on the north.
Northerners know they aren't.
And breathe.
Still likely to go back blue at the next election, but there are other seats where LDs are much closer and could win at next GE, particularly with Lab tactical votes.
He is a former diplomat and trade negotiator.
What the hell does he know about electoral politics?
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/bulletins/uktrade/april2022
That said, we should be looking to reduce friction in our dealings with the EU rather than trying to find things to fight about for political reasons. There are further opportunities for growth that are being squandered there.
"We all take responsibility" he says, which means it isn't just Johnson it's the whole Government.
If they want to relaunch after BoJo goes he's played this very badly indeed.
"No you can't have a second EU referendum, the result of the first one must stand. Don't you believe in democracy?"
TORY MPS:
"No you can't have a second Scottish independence referendum, it was a once-in-a-generation opportunity. Stop playing politics with our country."
ALSO TORY MPS:
"omg we gave a vote of confidence in Boris and he turns out to be a loser, we must change the rules so we can have another vote at once"
Locally it's improvements to the East Coast mainline - the actual benefits we will see are minimal as they are trying to cut the number of hourly services at the same time...
At the last three General elections, I've spoken to the Green and LD candidate, and messaged the Conservative candidate here in Bootle. Wished them well (especially the LD) and commented how I though they were very brave standing in Bootle and were a credit to their party. They stood with best intentions.
They all got annihilated.
Ie, having to do something.
He won't do that. He won't do anything. I mean, he doesn't even brush his hair.
Which part of that is "resolved" ?
@MarinaHyde
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22m
Bottled it yet again lol
Simply, any pensioner with income in the higher rate tax bracket before state pension benefits shouldn't receive them. Anyone pensioner who has liquid assets over £1m should face a wealth tax similar to those of discretionary trusts.
Cyclefree is doing the same as always nice angry sounding words, but no solutions that would actually hurt for anyone over 65.
The pertinent question is surely "in the absence of a regulation, would the equipment work and be safe?". Buildings in the country generally don't fall down. We have a system on building regs and inspectors. Do we conclude that because buildings work and are safe we don't need regulations? A friend is a building inspector; from his stories I suspect that, in the absence of regulations, not all builders could be relied upon to build safe, working buildings.
@Tissue_Price are you there?
A property that is bought to rent will raise demand for owner occupied housing but also raise the supply of rental property, and so the price of renting will go down for renters, which is good news for those who rent. Meanwhile, as rents go down some landlords may decide to sell. In equilibrium it is hard to say what the impact of my purchase will be.
On your last point, yes that is true. But that is true of all immigration if there isn't an increase in housing supply. Where I live there are lots of new build flats going up so hopefully the net supply is positive. And fundamentally I believe we need to fulfill our responsibilities on refugees in the face of a global crisis, so I am happy to be doing my bit to help house a refugee family.
But here's the thing: WHAT WOULD YOU HAVE ME DO?
Unlike you I suspect, I have never voted for he Tories with their triple-lock nonsense and failure to extend NI to all income. Their failure to address the accumulation and protection of wealth through inheritance.
I can surely only continue to use my vote to bring about change.
So think about that before you get arsey and lump every one over 60 into your 'predatory thieving' category!
He has certainly got off to a smashing start with the story that he has spent last three years trying to engineer a job for his wife.
It' says 25m or less. 25 yards is 22.86 metres.
There's nothing stopping the signage from being at intervals of 25 yards.
https://www.legislation.gov.uk/eudr/2004/54/2004-04-29/data.pdf https://twitter.com/LBC/status/1540247376866295809 https://twitter.com/Jim_Cornelius/status/1540269891076456448/photo/1
The legislation will take months to get through the Commons and Lords, if it does at all.
I would also not underestimate the impact that Mark Pack is having as president of the Lib Dems.
Or something...
I have proposed both below the line and above it a number of proposals which would shift the balance away from the wealthy to those who work, especially the young.
We are I think broadly in agreement that too much policy has been aimed at only one group of favoured voters which is bad policy and bad for the economy and society. But I find it grimly amusing that it is you which has been a cheerleader for the Tory party and its policies which have largely been responsible for this for the last 12 years.
Rather than castigating me perhaps you might reflect on whether your support for that party has been in part responsible for the policies you now say you dislike.