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Sunak could be on the way back – politicalbetting.com
Sunak could be on the way back – politicalbetting.com
Highest approval rating for Rishi Sunak since being fined by Met Police and since his wife's tax status was leaked.Rishi Sunak Approval Rating (15 June):Approve: 32% (+3)Disapprove: 39% (-1)Net: -7% (+4)Changes +/- 12 June pic.twitter.com/GEEXmJyuAU
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Or a thin-skined popinjay whom the opposition will be delighted to fight?
So a voter might agree that Curley was a crook, but still vote for him, thinking that Curley was right on public housing, taxing rich Protestants, finding a job for a relative, and so on.
(My apologies for posting this here, but I just now remembered, however vaguely, the study.)
With rather less popinjay than his boss.
Approve: 26%
Disapprove: 46%
Net: -20%
12 years would be on the optimistic side
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAXqrUN1qEo (10 minutes long)
PB Tories should skip to the second half where Oborne attacks Keir Starmer as worse and Tony Blair as having started it.
So far there has been no evidence of the loss of large numbers of jobs such as have been seen in previous recessions. Indeed we still have a fairly acute labour shortage.
As inflation falls again wages will return to real growth. There will be a fair bit of catching up but again the worst will be over.
If the Ukraine war comes to some sort of an end these things will happen faster but that is probably at least 12 months away.
Public finances have been shot to pieces by the cost of Covid. Recovering them will be a long term project which will keep taxes higher and spending lower than it otherwise would have been.
Content if Sunak's odds tumble once more, still more room to lay.
Speaking of comebacks, it seems Dragon's Dogma 2 has been announced (no date, so far as I know).
Have we seen the results of last night's council by-elections yet? Britain Elects site seems to be unavailable.
A much better use of 50m to the country.
Every patriotic Brit should burn a few notes each day to aid the economy.
Business Minister Paul Scully “yes”
Will they never learn https://twitter.com/PeterStefanovi2/status/1537682193421574144/video/1
Simply cannot imagine what it must be like to be a sentient human being and member of this govt. It will undoubtedly be seen as the most catastrophic regime of modern times. A total shitshow of lawbreaking, corruption, ignorance and failure. Imagine knowing you were complicit.
https://twitter.com/13sarahmurphy/status/1537154669914603520
Crap speaker, dull as ditchwater and out of touch.
The only star appeal he has is to the kind of tory constituency faithful who salivate at him dropping in by helicopter. For normal people in the rest of the country?
Zero.
Back in the days when inflation was a thing we all obsessed about the PSBR: the Public Sector Borrowing Requirement and M1, M2, M3 etc.. Getting inflation under control during Thatcherism, and her global followers, was predominantly about restricting the money supply.
We've been lulled into an alternate way of thinking because inflation vanished.
Unfortunately the last thing you need right now is a Prime Minister who believes it's fine to stick his personal and public debt onto the credit card.
Brilliant. Just brilliant. https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1537692783246467072/photo/1
In any case, the problems now are due to supply side shocks with China periodically going off-grid and the Ukraine kerfuffle hitting gas, food and other commodity supplies.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LBC/status/1537536302840696838
'Unconscious incompetence, hubris by the bucketload, the lack of the ability to tell the truth...'
Former Dragon Theo Paphitis lists the reasons why he wouldn't let Boris Johnson run one of his companies.
Particularly since housing costs aren't real inflation - no, Sir.
"The Gods of the Copybook Headings" are merciless.
That's why we have the highest inflation in the G7.
Mr. B, the first was a surprisingly good game. Absolutely nailed combat.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-22070491
I'm not an advocate of Margaret Thatcher, even though I consider her the greatest PM of my lifetime by a country mile. She had flaws and she could come across as cruel and inhumane with many of her hardline and intransigent policies. Her belief in no state intervention led to much of British industry going to the wall. She was right to curb union excesses though: the hard Left had crippled this country.
She was a remarkable PM nonetheless who undoubtedly changed this country and, love or loathe her, Britain went from the sick man of Europe to a prosperous nation.
She was a giant. The more so compared to the shit-show today.
China Launches First Aircraft Carrier Which Rivals U.S. Navy’s
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2022/06/china-launches-first-aircraft-carrier-which-rivals-u-s-navys/
Should spice up any defence-of-Taiwan war games if they build a couple more.
Or Rome fluking their way to a washed up Carthaginian trireme they could copy for the First Punic War?
https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/16164/local-council-elections-deferred-election
She would have fired Boris Johnson not just from her cabinet but from parliament and probably the party.
"Frederick Barclay ‘terrified’ of jail after judge rules he must stand trial"
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/jun/16/frederick-barclay-judge-rules-he-must-stand-trial-divorce
And interest rates only briefly dropped below 10% during her tenure. Much higher for most of it. Quite remarkable when some folk were moaning about 1.25% yesterday.
Thatcher and Blair look like giants compared to our present leaders and I simply do not understand why conservative mps still wait to act and remove Boris
However, I am not at all sure that anyone in the conservative or labour party or indeed any politician would be able to withstand the unpopularity that comes with the enormous economic crisis engulfing the country with most everyone becoming poorer, though it is the duty of all politicians to protect the poor, vulnerable and low paid
He said he very nearly grabbed the bills back when put in the furnace - but he didn’t.
He died in near poverty, incidentally.
And agreed.
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1536403036070887425?s=20&t=13H0MSClGTTxo8ZxiUAakg
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1536393038569910274?s=20&t=13H0MSClGTTxo8ZxiUAakg
'Asked, finally, if she was comfortable going into a parliamentary party led by Johnson, she replied: “I’m comfortable representing Tiverton and Honiton as their MP with the Conservatives, with a prime minister who has once again, for the third time, been shown support by the majority of the party. That is what I will be going for. Everything else has happened. I’m looking forwards to the future.
“I don’t want to play party politics. I don’t want to be drawn into things that have happened. I want to be talking about what I can deliver for Tiverton and Honiton.”'
Funny that, as she's not standing as an independent ... obviously one of those people on the verge of becoming independents who are Tories in sheepskin.
Nimitz/Ford/CDG can carry 3 million+ gallons of JP-5 because they don't need to have any fuel for the ship's propulsion.
"My son, when viewed from a certain angle, looks near Byronic"
And at this point, there's not much to be done policy-wise. Nothing acceptable to the Conservative Party, anyway.
Strap yourself in, it's going to get bumpy, and we have a terrible PM in place.
It also makes bugger all difference. China can put fighter planes over Taiwan. Many planes. (China, is after all, not that far away.)
But invading over 150 miles of ocean, towards a well armed and well equiped country, and where the easy beaches are on the far side of the island...
Well. That's the tough part.
The facility hidden at a factory more than 50 km behind the frontline caught fire after an alleged 🇺🇦missile strike & detonations lasted well into the night.
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1537694208030654464
Not to mention 'i dont want to talk about what you do as that is hard, i want to talk about what I want' is already a classic whine politicians use. Youd think prospective MPs would know you cannot choose what others want to talk about.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1537481465528832002
Not defending the answers but it's good to see the BBC doing its job of showing us all sides, with (as far as I can tell) a really fluent interviewer asking polite but tough questions.
Rich public school Oxford man burns money that he can live without in front of someone poor and then laughs.
Would be a nice salutary reminder to Boris that a good lesson in life, when you are privileged but arrogant, is that there is always someone wealthier and better educated than you so hold back the hubris.
Selling burgers and Chinese tat to each other with money borrowed on the back of property inflation has been sustained for a lot longer than I anticipated, I don't see that continuing with rising retail inflation and interest rates.
LOL When your by-election candidates don't give the 'full Boris' answer...
Though the PM will claim he had no idea even if you pay for his flat, so it's not worth it.
It appears that they do.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1537695657439404032
In the open sea, carriers are great, because your opponent doesn't know where they are. There's an area the size of France and Germany combined and you know there's a football field sized vessel there somewhere... but where?
If you stuff them in the Taiwan straits, they'll be found. And they'll be an expensive, sinkable, runway.
USN - United States Navy - I got.
The decline in manufacturing output long predated 1979, the Conservatives actually raised manufacturing output over their time in office and there was a brief property boom in the late 80s it was new labour under which it had its most dramatic falls and when property price inflation really took off.
Hey ho.
But there's the rub. Are green shoots really likely to appear within 2 years? If they do, will the current Gov't take the credit?
My sense is that however the shape of the next election goes, if the Conservatives stick with Boris Johnson then they're going to be out of office one way of the other (outright or coalition).
So then what? Sunak takes over? Are the Conservatives really likely to return to office in 5 years? I seriously doubt it. I suspect people will look back to 2019-2024 and shudder. It will be thought of as one of the darkest times in world and UK history, an almost visceral pain etched into the nation's consciousness.
I always think of William Hague in this context, someone immensely gifted but who took the mantle at completely the wrong time.
If Sunak wanted to be PM and, more importantly if he had the nous, he would have attacked and defenestrated Johnson six months ago. No ifs, no buts. If he now bides his time he will go down with this ship. He may become captain but it will be of a watery wreck, lying at the bottom of the ocean.
They are also very hard to kill, even once you get past the CSG. In the USS America 2005 SINKEX it took four weeks to sink her!
CAS - Close Air Support
LHA - Landing Helicopter Assault ship (though they also operate fixed wing combat types for the aforementioned CAS mission)
LHD - Landing Helicopter Dock (see LHA)
CVN - Nuclear powered Ford/Nimitz carrier
Incidentally, Antony Calvert, who was the intended Tory Wakefield candidate until a controversy intervened, is pretty well-known as a polling expert, isn't he?
Election this autumn.