Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Partial turnout data does more harm than good – politicalbetting.com

1235»

Comments

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,867

    They would have been terrible. They were not set up for dignity or privacy - which is what matters in care homes.

    They were basically warehouses for people on mechanical ventilation
    It would have been considerably less terrible that what actually happened.
    And most discharged infected patients need only have stayed there for a fortnight.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,200
    I’ve got a really anti-immigrant cereal bowl..

  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,644
    IshmaelZ said:

    No, you have lost your shit (and are you still saying you have "no dog in the fight?" LOL) Actually, I do: I desperately want SKS to win the next election and am therefore seriously peeved at the ineptitude with which he has mishandled this issue (on which I have no reason to doubt he is entirely innocent).

    What exercises me, is people being wrong on the internet. You are STILL saying you "have Durham police on your side" on a question which a reasonably intelligent 8 year old would realise Durham police have not stated a position on one way or the other. You cannot get from X has not been established, to not-X. Surely you actually realise that, and just feel too committed to back down?
    I don't get how you or why you are ranting about this?

    Someone made a complaint. Provided evidence to back up their complaint. Police view evidence. Conclude the complainant doesn't understand the law. Dismisses the complaint. As no other valid evidence has been raised what do they have to investigate?

    A very simple legal position here - Starmer et al are innocent of breaking the law until anyone proves otherwise. The only "proof" being offered does not - so say the police provide sufficient evidence that an offence has taken place.

    TBH I find the bunfight to be funny, I'm not dying on a hill to defend Starmer. If evidence of him and Rayner holding lockdown tractor orgies came to light I would roar with laughter as hard as HY. What i am prepared to defend is the principle that the twat press - whether left or right - can't just print any old crap and call it news. That partisan gobshites saying "they are guilty as the hotels were closed" are not providing evidence.

    If someone wants to proffer evidence that Starmer and Rayner et al broke the law then do so. All we have here is evidence that the police quickly dismissed being hurled about in anger because it was supposed to smear him and thus save the Big Dog and it failed.

    Like I said, when the police get weaponised for political reasons and the rule of law goes out the window we're in deep trouble. Unless anyone has any evidence suggesting criminality the police cannot and should not investigate people going about their legal business. Whoever they are.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,867
    IshmaelZ said:

    NO THEY HAVE NOT

    Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence…
    Absence of evidence is absence of any grounds for investigation.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,644
    IshmaelZ said:

    Gonna have to drop an M bomb here.

    You are a moron.
    So tell me what evidence you want the police to view? "I think x crime happened". OK sir do you have any evidence. "No". And you're saying the police should just investigate anyway? So I can make up any lies I want about anyone - how about you - with no evidence. And the police should bring you in for questioning about my baseless complaint?

    That isn't a world we want to live in. Complaints leading to police investigations require evidence. The only evidence in this case has already been dismissed. So on what grounds are we asking them to investigate - because Paul Dacre wants them to?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,867
    Next year’s Formula E car is quite interesting.
    The Gen3 car will be lighter than the current Formula E car, with a maximum power output of 350kW, capable of a top speed of over 320kph (200mph). It will feature two powertrains – one at the front and rear – which will more than double the regenerative potential of the car compared to the current model.…
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,200

    I’ve got a really anti-immigrant cereal bowl..

    Only joking! And who doesn’t have two books about Leon?

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,286

    Only joking! And who doesn’t have two books about Leon?

    I’ve still got a “controls on immigration” Ed Miliband Labour election mug

    I love political kitsch

    That said, my Vlad Putin half-naked-on-horseback mug, bought in St Petersburg, looks less amusing now
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,644
    Nigelb said:

    Absence of evidence is absence of any grounds for investigation.
    The Twitter storm has been telling. Tory activists keep popping up with lots of evidence, none of which stands up to any scrutiny. "Where did they stay, the hotels were closed" is the best one. posted repeatedly by various people of further proof of criminality. That hotels were open doesn't bother them, they just post government graphics saying hotels are closed (to holidaymakers).

    The police don't legally have the luxury of pursuing malicious investigations. They have to take complaints seriously. They did here. Its just that nobody has presented them with any evidence showing even a suspicion of breaking the law. Because the people demanding one don't know what the law was, they just want one because politics.

    Can I make allegations against Nigel Farage because I don't like him, supply no relevant evidence and then have the police drag him publicly through the mud searching for the evidence nobody has supplied to back up my baseless allegation? No, I can't. Yet apparently we can if its election week and the government is losing. No, we can't. Do we have the rule of law or not?
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,644
    Leon said:

    I’ve still got a “controls on immigration” Ed Miliband Labour election mug

    I love political kitsch

    That said, my Vlad Putin half-naked-on-horseback mug, bought in St Petersburg, looks less amusing now
    Dunno. He looked an absolute prannock at the time and surely recent events have only enhanced the prannock score.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Sean_F said:

    Not long hopefully, before Putin and his allies get the reluctant Turkish conscript treatment.
    We can only hope. The foot needs to stay on the accelerator starting with an EU oil embargo.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,286

    Dunno. He looked an absolute prannock at the time and surely recent events have only enhanced the prannock score.
    When describing Putin now, I’d go a bit further than “prannock”
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,378

    I can see now a route for Labour to win 15-20 seats in Scotland particularly if they do better than expected in West Central Scotland against the SNP next week but it is still a real long shot. And the SNP will be probably also do less well than expected (and get 35% max IMO) as it is LOCAL elections with the Greens and Independents doing better than expected plus LDs in the Highlands etc.

    I think Labour's prospects in Scotland in the next election will depend on much as pro-indy voters staying at home as much as directly picking up voters from the SNP. I think there's definitely an element of the pro-indy electorate who have become disillusioned with the SNP and feel that's it now just a bland, technocratic social democratic party who aren't that interested in independence. They definitely won't vote for Labour (nor probably Alba for that matter), but Labour doesn't need them to... it just needs for them to not bother turning up at the polling station.;
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    So tell me what evidence you want the police to view? "I think x crime happened". OK sir do you have any evidence. "No". And you're saying the police should just investigate anyway? So I can make up any lies I want about anyone - how about you - with no evidence. And the police should bring you in for questioning about my baseless complaint?

    That isn't a world we want to live in. Complaints leading to police investigations require evidence. The only evidence in this case has already been dismissed. So on what grounds are we asking them to investigate - because Paul Dacre wants them to?
    Shit. You are deranged about this. The police have played a Don't Want To Get Involved card, like the Met did, and like the Met they are likely to be shamed/lawyered into a Tough, You Are Gonna Have To position. There plainly *is* the potential for further evidence out there, likefrinstance taking some witness statements, collecting some fotos, etc etc.

    I am not saying I want this to happen or that it ought to happen. I just think there's a real chance that it will, because Johnson is a clever shit with a lot of clever shits working for him. I'm just reporting this, not supporting it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,440
    ..

    They need some LD councillors onto those potholes.
    I doubt they'd be the right shape.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,365
    kle4 said:

    I love jaffa cakes, but I'm an ideological extremist when it comes to biscuits. I am willing to concede they may be shared and displayed alongside the mighty biscuit, but that's as far as I will go, sir!

    My personal strand of biscuitry places suitability for dunking as a key criteria, but I recognise this is not accepted as orthodoxy yet among mainstream biscuitry.
    Dunking is an abomination.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,644
    IshmaelZ said:

    Shit. You are deranged about this. The police have played a Don't Want To Get Involved card, like the Met did, and like the Met they are likely to be shamed/lawyered into a Tough, You Are Gonna Have To position. There plainly *is* the potential for further evidence out there, likefrinstance taking some witness statements, collecting some fotos, etc etc.

    I am not saying I want this to happen or that it ought to happen. I just think there's a real chance that it will, because Johnson is a clever shit with a lot of clever shits working for him. I'm just reporting this, not supporting it.
    I never said there wasn't potential for further evidence - we are still waiting for people to produce it.

    Lets assume you made a complaint that I was doing unnatural things with tractors. You hand over some photos showing me next to a tractor but not doing anything illegal. They listen to your complaint, look at the evidence provided and conclude there is nothing illegal in the evidence.

    You're saying that despite not producing any evidence of me noncing with tractors that you would have the police dig into my life, and look for the evidence that you failed to offer?

    They don't want to get involved because thats the law. They don't start investigating potential crimes unless evidence suggesting crimes is there.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,286

    I think Labour's prospects in Scotland in the next election will depend on much as pro-indy voters staying at home as much as directly picking up voters from the SNP. I think there's definitely an element of the pro-indy electorate who have become disillusioned with the SNP and feel that's it now just a bland, technocratic social democratic party who aren't that interested in independence. They definitely won't vote for Labour (nor probably Alba for that matter), but Labour doesn't need them to... it just needs for them to not bother turning up at the polling station.;
    As a non-Scot, the SNP looks a lot worse than just “bland, and technocratic” - it looks clearly corrupt, greedy, sleazy and incompetent. As you would expect after so long in power - especially in a small polity. They need kicking out

    So I guess the question is how long YESsers will continue to tolerate this inept SNP bollocks in return for the receding dream of Sindy?

    Sturgeon has done an amazing job but all political careers are mortal
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,124

    ..

    I doubt they'd be the right shape.
    I thought they were quite good on the contortion front.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,397
    FPT: @Luckyguy1983 - Your idea about an allocation of Lords' places rather than having elections made sense.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,591
    Leon said:

    I’ve still got a “controls on immigration” Ed Miliband Labour election mug

    I love political kitsch

    That said, my Vlad Putin half-naked-on-horseback mug, bought in St Petersburg, looks less amusing now
    Although you can celebrate at the appropriate time by breaking Putin and casting him aside
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,867
    Pelosi visits Ukraine and is awarded the Order of Princess Olga….
    https://twitter.com/Hromadske/status/1520751432416247809
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008
    Whose kidding who here? Sex sells doesn’t it? Alpha males always beat the beta in elections. 🤷‍♀️

    Monday 2nd May
    Boris Johnson’s Sex Tape with former mistress appears all over the internet. Carrie and the Cabinet pledge loyalty to him “at this difficult time.”

    Tuesday 3rd May
    In response to Boris Johnson’s Poll Surge - a spokesperson for the Labour Leadership reveals Starmer once had “sex with the light on.” Polling and Focus Groups show electorate believe Labour are lying about this.
    Nadine Dorries announces plans to privatise the internet.

    Wednesday 3rd
    Lib Dem statement reveals Ed Davey has been secretly visiting Megan Thee Stallion for “riding lessons.” When vox popped Voters ask “Ed who?” story is filed in media under “Megan Thee Stallion news”.

    Thursday 4th.
    Snap polling reveals Boris Johnson is UK politics number 1 Alpha Male. Nicola Sturgeon is in second place, the rest bundled together as “others”.
    Voting begins. The Nation votes for the Alpha Male.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,286
    Interesting that Olaf Scholz is already widely unpopular in Germany. No honeymoon for him


    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/01/scholz-defends-ukraine-policy-as-criticism-mounts-in-germany
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    RobD said:

    Doesn’t she live there? In any case, it wasn’t just her who got one (if she even did).
    No. In a separate flat.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,008
    edited May 2022

    Whose kidding who here? Sex sells doesn’t it? Alpha males always beat the beta in elections. 🤷‍♀️

    Monday 2nd May
    Boris Johnson’s Sex Tape with former mistress appears all over the internet. Carrie and the Cabinet pledge loyalty to him “at this difficult time.”

    Tuesday 3rd May
    In response to Boris Johnson’s Poll Surge - a spokesperson for the Labour Leadership reveals Starmer once had “sex with the light on.” Polling and Focus Groups show electorate believe Labour are lying about this.
    Nadine Dorries announces plans to privatise the internet.

    Wednesday 3rd
    Lib Dem statement reveals Ed Davey has been secretly visiting Megan Thee Stallion for “riding lessons.” When vox popped Voters ask “Ed who?” story is filed in media under “Megan Thee Stallion news”.

    Thursday 4th.
    Snap polling reveals Boris Johnson is UK politics number 1 Alpha Male. Nicola Sturgeon is in second place, the rest bundled together as “others”.
    Voting begins. The Nation votes for the Alpha Male.

    Just in case someone needs to ask…

    image . .
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,124
    edited May 2022

    Dunking is an abomination.
    I agree.

    Dunkers are obviously people with really filthy sexual proclivities. And I don’t mean good filthy, just filthy shake-your-head filthy.

    Bleuch.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Nigelb said:

    Not necessarily terminal, either.
    The point was to have what are essentially isolation hospitals for the infected. Had they been available early, many of the care home deaths resulting from discharged infected patients might have been avoided.

    Having some isolation capacity maintained on an ongoing basis ought to be costed and studied.
    Used to be done in every local authority and burgh/borough council as a matter of routine and ?legal duty, and not just in big cities, certainly in Scotland (it is simply that I don't know what happened in rUK, that's all, not having inquired).

    My small town had its own "fever hospital"/"isolation hospital" for the isolation of people suffering from infectious diseases. Scarlet fever, smallpox, meningitis, that sort of thing.

    https://historic-hospitals.com/gazetteer/the-lothians/
    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/Lets-bring-back-Britains-fever-hospitals
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    kle4 said:

    If they had, wouldn't they have been accused of trying to being sexist, picking a woman to front up the issue in order to distract from it?
    They would have been accused of being sensible - something rich & rare with THIS goverment.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    I don't disagree, but if someone invited you around for cake and you got Jaffa cakes you'd probably be slightly disappointed, whereas if someone invited you round for tea and biscuits and you got Jaffa cakes you'd probably think you were up on the deal, so...
    Beg to differ. Crap cake is often better than ordinary biscuit (though there is an overlap: I'd take my late mother's shortbread or gypsy creams over supermarket cake any day).
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,440
    Omnium said:

    FPT: @Luckyguy1983 - Your idea about an allocation of Lords' places rather than having elections made sense.

    Ah, thanks!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Where does that leave the horrible soft cookies that seem to have become all the rage in cafes and the like?

    Biscuit or cake? (Or stale biscuity, cakey monstrosity?)
    In the cheap sell off bin at the end of the day?
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,124
    I miss Tunnock’s tea-cakes.
    They are god-tier biscuit/cakes.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited May 2022
    Leon said:

    A vivid evening in New Orleans. Still a hugely compelling city, but maybe edgier than it was

    And it’s a terrific tourist cliche but it is nonetheless moving to hear Wonderful World - so closely associated with son-of-Nola Louis Armstrong - played in the Preservation Hall in the French Quarter


    Get in your car & check out Pass Manchac and Middendorf's Restaurant.

    You'll be glad you did IF you do.

    Addendum - BTW, what street is that? Believe view is westward (based on tall blue building in background).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,286
    A computer created this non-existent photo of a non-existent muddy dog



  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    NEW THREAD
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,385

    Whose kidding who here? Sex sells doesn’t it? Alpha males always beat the beta in elections. 🤷‍♀️

    Monday 2nd May
    Boris Johnson’s Sex Tape with former mistress appears all over the internet. Carrie and the Cabinet pledge loyalty to him “at this difficult time.”

    Tuesday 3rd May
    In response to Boris Johnson’s Poll Surge - a spokesperson for the Labour Leadership reveals Starmer once had “sex with the light on.” Polling and Focus Groups show electorate believe Labour are lying about this.
    Nadine Dorries announces plans to privatise the internet.

    Wednesday 3rd
    Lib Dem statement reveals Ed Davey has been secretly visiting Megan Thee Stallion for “riding lessons.” When vox popped Voters ask “Ed who?” story is filed in media under “Megan Thee Stallion news”.

    Thursday 4th.
    Snap polling reveals Boris Johnson is UK politics number 1 Alpha Male. Nicola Sturgeon is in second place, the rest bundled together as “others”.
    Voting begins. The Nation votes for the Alpha Male.

    The bit that made me laugh most at that was Nadine Dorries trying to privatise the internet, because if anyone mentions it to her I'm sure she will give it a go.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    This thread has been defined as a biscuit.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,176
    edited May 2022
    ..
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,591
    edited May 2022
    Carnyx said:

    No. In a separate flat.
    It’s an interesting question though. What constitutes a separate property for the purposes of the regulations?

    A flat in a block is a separate property because it has a separate title.

    Downing Street is a designated set of rooms for private use, but without a separate entrance or title. It has the same address as well. I believe the PM pays council tax, but is that as a separate unit or as a percentage of the tax for the whole site?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,080
    The Rayner/Starmer case, in light of fresh allegations, should be reopened by Durham police.

    However, in light of his admission that he lied about his reasons for breaking quarantine, so should the Cummings case.

    Along with an investigation into whether Braverman and Johnson conspired to pervert the course of justice by giving totally misleading advice on facts and law.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,994
    IshmaelZ said:

    Shit. You are deranged about this. The police have played a Don't Want To Get Involved card, like the Met did, and like the Met they are likely to be shamed/lawyered into a Tough, You Are Gonna Have To position. There plainly *is* the potential for further evidence out there, likefrinstance taking some witness statements, collecting some fotos, etc etc.

    I am not saying I want this to happen or that it ought to happen. I just think there's a real chance that it will, because Johnson is a clever shit with a lot of clever shits working for him. I'm just reporting this, not supporting it.
    PMSL at "clever" accept the shits though
This discussion has been closed.