Despite my best efforts, Labour out and about in East Ham High Street this morning - plenty of helpers, balloons and leaflets. I suspect some Council candidates will be in attendance shortly and perhaps the Mayor herself will grace us with her presence.
🚨Met Police have confirmed an “investigation is ongoing” into alleged Covid law breaking at Tory HQ Xmas party in 2020. 👀One of those present is standing as my local Tory candidate on May 5 🥳This chap in the braces, lying on the floor + raising a wine glass, in Mirror pic 🧵
Ah so this is why the Mail want Starmer on the front page
Historically there's always been a fair amount of bullshit around fighter aces & their scores, I suspect things haven't changed.
Two months to double Hawkeye Epstein's tally which was accrued over 40 years of service in the Israeli Air Force. Sounds completely believable.
UkrAF are yet to break their duck aren't they? We haven't had one confirmed A2A kill yet.
I thought there was one dogfight video on twitter that the Ukrainian plane was said to have flown away from after downing the Russian, but I'm not sure how you'd be sure which side won from a phone camera video.
Very impressed with The Dropout, they really got to the essence of the toxic startup cult of personality. In my sector I see founders all the time who build themselves up and have their employees put them on this huge pedestal and when they come to see us for investment we wonder what all the fuss is about.
"...the Ohio primary will kick off a four-week period that will reveal much about Mr. Trump’s sway with the party — and just how transferable his continued popularity is to others. After Ohio, his preferred picks in Nebraska, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia will all be tested in heated primaries."
Among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but would not currently vote Conservative, what is the most important reason they would no longer vote Conservative?
The rising cost-of-living: 63% The partygate scandal: 31%
I've little legal knowledge, but I know we have some legal people on here. It seems a simple question but how can you increase the number or percentage of successful prosecutions for rape?
Unlike other offences, there often is no independent forensic evidence. Most rapes are not stranger rapes (as far as I know). It often comes down to who the jury trusts most - weighing up the "he said" versus "she said". Unless we instruct the jury to beleve the woman as a routine. But surely that's against the principle of 'all equal before the law.'
It's easy to demand a change but how would it be achieved?
If the CPS take more marginal cases, the successful prosecution rate will decrease.
The only thing that really springs to mind, is better equipment and training for police and medical facilities, alongside campaigns to encourage women who have been raped to present themselves to such a facility as soon as possible to document evidence.
The fact is that a jury is unlikely to convict someone, of an offence for which the starting point is five years, without evidence of the crime having being committed.
Anything else proposed, such as presumption of belief of one side of the story, or doing away with the jury, seem contrary to justice for the accused.
That's not really true, though. For example, bringing cases to court within a year, rather than four, might make a significant difference.
Sorry, what was the fuss about? (used my usual starting word, playing hard mode)
Well, I don't play hard mode, and only got the first letter on the last try.
I'm not convinced hard mode is not the more effective strategy for wordle, I tend to play as of it applied even if it doesn't. Quordle is different because it is so uninformative about the other 3 words (if hard mode is a thing in quordle)
Sorry, what was the fuss about? (used my usual starting word, playing hard mode)
Well, I don't play hard mode, and only got the first letter on the last try.
I'm not convinced hard mode is not the more effective strategy for wordle, I tend to play as of it applied even if it doesn't. Quordle is different because it is so uninformative about the other 3 words (if hard mode is a thing in quordle)
Hard mode can be a real pain if you've got (say) three of the five, but there are a dozen words that fit.
Let's say you start with CRATE and you get XXATE.
Yay! Just two to get, but it could be SLATE, GRATE, PLATE, ELATE, STATE, SPATE, etc. And if you don't get it, it's mostly just because there are a lot of words that end with ATE.
There was a time the government almost welcomed by-elections, counter to historical precedent though that was. Now it feels like they are both desperate to avoid them but unable to stem the flow of them, when you even have people like the execreble Paterson quitting even when he hadn't needed to.
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
To move on from Wordle to another pointless exercise, time to bring back the Stodge Saturday Patent - an exercise in futility if there ever was:
Newmarket has the 2000 Guineas but the supporting card isn't that strong in terms of quality but a good number and selection of handicaps if that floats your boat.
Nonetheless, I'll stay on the Cambridgeshire/Suffolk border for today's sure-fire losers:
2.25 Newmarket: FAST MEDICINE 3.40 Newmarket: LUXEMBOURG 4.50 Newmarket: PRIVATE SIGNAL
Try a 1-point Patent or just leave the money in the street.
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
I suppose when sitting on the Tory front bench there may be so many dicks in your vicinity it's not easy to notice when one more has suddenly appeared.
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
I suppose when sitting on the Tory front bench there may be so many dicks in your vicinity it's not easy to notice when one more has suddenly appeared.
It's not as though he's a hypocrite. He's quite openly campaigned for rural broadband. Surely we are all men of the world and we know what that means in practice.
I don't particularly like this line that 'in any other workplace it's a sackable offence.' There is no MPs equivalent to a line manager or board. Suspend him from the Commons, fine.
I think Parish would be best off speaking to his constituents who put him there. If they're a forgiving bunch he can carry on. If not he ought to go.
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
I suppose when sitting on the Tory front bench there may be so many dicks in your vicinity it's not easy to notice when one more has suddenly appeared.
It's not as though he's a hypocrite. He's quite openly campaigned for rural broadband. Surely we are all men of the world and we know what that means in practice.
I'm astonished an elected MP would be so brazen as to actually watch pornography live in parliament, which is a public sphere and recorded on television.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
It's interesting how consistent the DUP vote has been at 20% across all polls for a while which is why I struggle to see them avoiding losing at least 4 seats and remaining the largest party. This is actually a worse poll for unionism than the lucidtalk one as the DUP+UUP+TUV vote is only 36% here compared with 43% for lucidtalk (and most TUV voters will transfer to DUP anyway).
I think the SDLP would be very happy with this poll if it actually materialised and they might even hang on in Lagan Valley at the expense of the UUP even at the same time as Alliance getting 2 seats and make surprise gains elsewhere like in Strangford.
So if there are three unionists parties competing for votes, does the voting system allow them to gift crucial seats to the Nationalist leaning parties?
Could TUV voters end up regretting not backing DUP?
Not really as it is STV not FPTP.
TUV voters not backing DUP is more an issue in terms of stopping SF becoming largest party.
Transfers still splitting on Unionist and Nationalist lines
They say he's resigning this afternoon. I think it's ridiculously unfair.
We've had a Minister of Health who was filmed with his hands around his assistant's bottom and his tongue down her throat at work. We've got a Home Secretary who has bullied and lied and held secret meetings with foreign powers. A Prime Minister who has lied to the House his staff his wife and has had an affair on a foreign trip with someone gifted £125,000 from the Mayor Boris Johnson's Office.....
And MR Nobody gets the sack for looking at porn on his mobile
I'm astonished an elected MP would be so brazen as to actually watch pornography live in parliament, which is a public sphere and recorded on television.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
Wait a minute, the pornography was made in parliament?
Is now a bad time to point out that the Government haven't abandoned EU import checks (indeed, many are already in place and have been since last year) but have instead deferred the outstanding ones in a favour of a digitised approach towards the rest by the end of 2023?
It's part of the broader 2025 Border Strategy for a smart digital border for all UK inward trade, including the UK single trade window as the gateway platform to manage it:
I'm astonished an elected MP would be so brazen as to actually watch pornography live in parliament, which is a public sphere and recorded on television.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
Wait a minute, the pornography was made in parliament?
There probably is a niche website out there somewhere that delivers that.
Sky News understands Conservative MP Neil Parish, who's accused of watching pornography in the House of Commons, is likely to resign this afternoon
By-election!!!
Another LibDem gain in the offing.
I wouldn't start the expectations management game just yet. The LDs need a 23% swing to take the constituency which you may think is simple in the context of North Shropshire but no two constituencies are the same.
I'm astonished an elected MP would be so brazen as to actually watch pornography live in parliament, which is a public sphere and recorded on television.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
Wait a minute, the pornography was made in parliament?
There probably is a niche website out there somewhere that delivers that.
Sky News understands Conservative MP Neil Parish, who's accused of watching pornography in the House of Commons, is likely to resign this afternoon
By-election!!!
Another LibDem gain in the offing.
I wouldn't start the expectations management game just yet. The LDs need a 23% swing to take the constituency which you may think is simple in the context of North Shropshire but no two constituencies are the same.
I'm astonished an elected MP would be so brazen as to actually watch pornography live in parliament, which is a public sphere and recorded on television.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
Wait a minute, the pornography was made in parliament?
There probably is a niche website out there somewhere that delivers that.
They say he's resigning this afternoon. I think it's ridiculously unfair.
We've had a Minister of Health who was filmed with his hands around his assistant's bottom and his tongue down her throat at work. We've got a Home Secretary who has bullied and lied and held secret meetings with foreign powers. A Prime Minister who has lied to the House his staff his wife and has had an affair on a foreign trip with someone gifted £125,000 from the Mayor Boris Johnson's Office.....
And MR Nobody gets the sack for looking at porn on his mobile
You couldn't make it up.
Sorry, I don't agree, Rog.
It's a sackable offence in most workplaces and everyone knows it. I know there are some technical issues in that MPs aren't employeed but the substance of the matter is that they have to accept the kind of rules and standards the rest of us are obliged to keep to.
Incidentally, I suspect the devil may be in the detail. NickP reckons he was looking at it whilst chairing a Parliamentary Committee. That would certainly lessen any sympathy for him.
I get where you are coming from. It's a fairly innocuous offence, but still can't see how MPs can expect to get away with that kind of thing.
I don't particularly like this line that 'in any other workplace it's a sackable offence.' There is no MPs equivalent to a line manager or board. Suspend him from the Commons, fine.
I think Parish would be best off speaking to his constituents who put him there. If they're a forgiving bunch he can carry on. If not he ought to go.
Okay, MPs don't work for the Speaker. They're responsible to their constituents on your analysis. That makes them comparable to say IT contractors coming into an organization. An organization can discipline or even demand exclusion of offending contractors - potentially more severely than it treats its own staff. It can ban an offending contractor de jure or de facto by leaning on the contractor firm's management.
And your analysis doesn't take into account the other contractors, eg. female Tory MPs, who rightly regard this sort of behaviour as outrageous disregard for their sensitivities.
Remember, those issues have been flagged up in general long ago. So anyone wilfully persisting ...
The Speaker's banning him from Pmt would be entirely justifiable. Which makes him unable to do his job, and means dismissal on any sane grounds.
The 'workplace' rule of thumb is important because it's how normal people are used to operating. And there are issues of fairness, as with the repeated No 10 covid parties.
Fuck I am disappointed by starmer and Rayner. Even if they were genuinely mistaken when they made the statement she wasn't there she must have read it and said yes I fucking was. Their USP for me began and ended with: not liars. Turns out they are, and stupid with it
Comments
It also mentions his helmet and goggles are going on auction in London. Presumably his spares rather than grisly relics?
Nothing more is required.
Move on to issues that directly affect voters: 46%
Not move on until there are consequences: 43%
The Tories are screwed.
Despite my best efforts, Labour out and about in East Ham High Street this morning - plenty of helpers, balloons and leaflets. I suspect some Council candidates will be in attendance shortly and perhaps the Mayor herself will grace us with her presence.
👀One of those present is standing as my local Tory candidate on May 5
🥳This chap in the braces, lying on the floor + raising a wine glass, in Mirror pic 🧵
Ah so this is why the Mail want Starmer on the front page
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Tough. Tough. Tough.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/30/us/politics/ohio-senate-primary-vance-trump.html
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Sorry, what was the fuss about? (used my usual starting word, playing hard mode)
The rising cost-of-living: 63%
The partygate scandal: 31%
End of days
By-election!!!
The Tory “porn MP” has been told by allies his position untenable because of the way he kept quiet and allowed speculation form about Tory colleagues.
https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1520369150287306752
For example, bringing cases to court within a year, rather than four, might make a significant difference.
Wordle 315 4/6
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Pulled it out of the bag.
Let's say you start with CRATE and you get XXATE.
Yay! Just two to get, but it could be SLATE, GRATE, PLATE, ELATE, STATE, SPATE, etc. And if you don't get it, it's mostly just because there are a lot of words that end with ATE.
Which of us can lay his hand on his heart and say we've never accidentally clicked on a porn site and failed to realise what we'd done after staring at the screen for several minutes?
To move on from Wordle to another pointless exercise, time to bring back the Stodge Saturday Patent - an exercise in futility if there ever was:
Newmarket has the 2000 Guineas but the supporting card isn't that strong in terms of quality but a good number and selection of handicaps if that floats your boat.
Nonetheless, I'll stay on the Cambridgeshire/Suffolk border for today's sure-fire losers:
2.25 Newmarket: FAST MEDICINE
3.40 Newmarket: LUXEMBOURG
4.50 Newmarket: PRIVATE SIGNAL
Try a 1-point Patent or just leave the money in the street.
Wordle 315 3/6
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I think Parish would be best off speaking to his constituents who put him there. If they're a forgiving bunch he can carry on. If not he ought to go.
Resignation is the right decision. It was wholly inappropriate and clearly not a one off nor an accident.
TUV voters not backing DUP is more an issue in terms of stopping SF becoming largest party.
Transfers still splitting on Unionist and Nationalist lines
https://twitter.com/LucidTalk/status/1520367778351493121?s=20&t=X0ubWVr0Pc0J2hA6ctd-Ew
https://twitter.com/LucidTalk/status/1520367772647186432?s=20&t=X0ubWVr0Pc0J2hA6ctd-Ew
https://twitter.com/LucidTalk/status/1520367766490042369?s=20&t=X0ubWVr0Pc0J2hA6ctd-Ew
We've had a Minister of Health who was filmed with his hands around his assistant's bottom and his tongue down her throat at work. We've got a Home Secretary who has bullied and lied and held secret meetings with foreign powers. A Prime Minister who has lied to the House his staff his wife and has had an affair on a foreign trip with someone gifted £125,000 from the Mayor Boris Johnson's Office.....
And MR Nobody gets the sack for looking at porn on his mobile
You couldn't make it up.
It's part of the broader 2025 Border Strategy for a smart digital border for all UK inward trade, including the UK single trade window as the gateway platform to manage it:
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-approach-to-import-controls-to-help-ease-cost-of-living
October 1974 result in Tiverton:
Con 46.7%, Lib 36.8%, Lab 16.5%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tiverton_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
It's a sackable offence in most workplaces and everyone knows it. I know there are some technical issues in that MPs aren't employeed but the substance of the matter is that they have to accept the kind of rules and standards the rest of us are obliged to keep to.
Incidentally, I suspect the devil may be in the detail. NickP reckons he was looking at it whilst chairing a Parliamentary Committee. That would certainly lessen any sympathy for him.
I get where you are coming from. It's a fairly innocuous offence, but still can't see how MPs can expect to get away with that kind of thing.
And your analysis doesn't take into account the other contractors, eg. female Tory MPs, who rightly regard this sort of behaviour as outrageous disregard for their sensitivities.
Remember, those issues have been flagged up in general long ago. So anyone wilfully persisting ...
The Speaker's banning him from Pmt would be entirely justifiable. Which makes him unable to do his job, and means dismissal on any sane grounds.
The 'workplace' rule of thumb is important because it's how normal people are used to operating. And there are issues of fairness, as with the repeated No 10 covid parties.