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France: How the next President market is moving – politicalbetting.com
France: How the next President market is moving – politicalbetting.com
For all the poll movements and questions over Macron he is still leading in all the surveys and UK punters still rate him very highly. But the 93%+ betting chances of a month ago have passed and he is now an 81% punt.
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I would have thought as a Conservative leaning voter you would be board with rich people donating so those fortunate can have access to top level education?
New XE variant found in UK and early data suggests it's 9.8% more transmissible
Subjectively, it's a disaster, as it reminds the rest of the UK just how much money the Chancellor has to spare. (And how much tax relief was involved, too?)
Edit: that last point concerns the amount of tax moneys effectively taken out of the Exchequer and diverted to the private purposes of this, or indeed, any donor.
A replay.
Russia is incredibly good at winding up and infuriating people like me who watch them aghast as they spout the usual complete lies, with a half smirk. But ultimately we all know know they will lose in just about every way. Even if they somehow manage to occupy Ukraine and then march on Moldova and the Baltics, they will end up losing in the ways that matter.
The trouble is we know they will aim to drag as many people down with them as possible. In that way they remind me of my sister in law's controlling ex-husband who she ended up leaving after a domestic violence episode. The similarities are there both before the incident and afterwards. For years below we could see the warning signs, the erratic and controlling behaviour, though when it happened there was still a feeling of shock. But afterwards he didn't let up - he made false accusations to the police, tried every trick in the book through the courts, vexatious anonymous referrals to social services.
Each time things got harder for him, but he kept going. He lost any share of child custody, then was eventually denied contact, then had a restraining order slapped on him, and finally lost the vast majority of the joint assets after trying to hide sources of income from the court. He lost completely and comprehensively. And again a few years later after abusing his next unfortunate wife. Yet he still managed to drag his ex through about 6 or 7 years of hell on earth on the way down, which she is only just recovering from.
Putin is an abusive ex who's essentially said to Ukraine, if I can't have you then I'm going to make sure nobody else will want you.
Deborah Haynes
@haynesdeborah
·
1h
Asked by
@SkyNews
how Ukraine could negotiate with Russia's Vladimir Putin given the atrocities allegedly committed by his forces, the Ukrainian interior minister said, speaking in English: “Go to hell.”
https://twitter.com/haynesdeborah
Voters who are ideologically opposed to private education generally don't vote Tory anyway
So. The equivalent of someone worth £50 k bunging a tenner to his old school.
Donating money to a cause depends on the worthiness of that cause. Private schools are engines for concentrating the quality of services and delivering them mostly to those who can pay.
Yes, I know that bursaries exist and the poor but brilliant gold ticket winner can get in, but it's still a system of intentional and intense stratification that benefits the extremely wealthy. It obviously right up HYUFD's street but if you asked me (I know, I know) I could find much better things to do with a spare £100k.
But a number of other international players have not been signed. David Warner, Aaron Finch, Chris Gayle and Babar Azam are among those to have missed out.
https://www.bbc.com/sport/live/cricket/60982426
How does nobody sign Babar Azam....
@visegrad24
·
33m
Many Ukrainians say that even worse crimes against humanity were committed by Russian troops in Borodyanka than in Bucha.
This video shows that the city is in ruins.
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1511368084942200838
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DNbad82plR0
LAB: 40% (+1)
CON: 33% (-2)
LDEM: 11% (-)
GRN: 4% (+1)
Via @SavantaComRes, 01 - 03 Apr
Whereas Tories believe in parental choice
The most tin-eared donation EVER? What a moron. This on top of his Will Smith wife analogy, because people should not pick on a billionairess, and also filling up a Kia and being unable to use contactless because he is SO RICH
No chance he ever becomes leader. Not a boerwurst sausage’s chance on a braai
https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1511350713435230217
Enough lay-chat. What have we really done? Everything here comes from our white paper detailing the experimental results. If you want them, every single raw data trace is there. 🧵(1/n)..
https://twitter.com/FLF_Nick/status/1511374600575365122
Choosing one team over another is always a slightly arbitrary choice. But a process whereby a load of random professionals arrive arbitrarily in your city feels to me a bit like they're taking the piss.
Absolute LOLs.
You don't get that sort of stuff in the state sector.
If anybody's interested: https://reports.ofsted.gov.uk/provider/27/121735
View 2: of all the institutions that don't need money from the CotE either in a personal or professional capacity, one of the country's leading public schools must be in the top five.
This is a modern version of the Distressed Gentlefolk* charity. Sure, in theory it's open to anybody but in reality only a very small subset of society, usually with the right connections, would ever have the wherewithal to apply, let alone be successful. It's a sham.
(*I am probably being unfair to that charity, now sensibly renamed 'Elizabeth Finn Care'.)
As has been the case with every other working class lad and lass made good over the years according to the left.
That’s about the level of crassness. A man so lacking in basic political judgement should never be allowed to lead
Go long on Truss or Mordaunt
The main concern from Ofsted is the monks live on site with the pupils, as they have done for centuries. Yet supposedly this is a major safeguarding issue.
The rest is par for the course for most schools with teenagers
So the claims of making a tin eared donation in current climate is nonsense. I am guessing it is more ever since he has become wealthy he probably makes a donation every year, which has now in totality exceeded £100k.
How do you know it's rubbish?
The reality is that people are dying every day in Ukraine and at some point it will stop. It is up to several parties to determine when that is, one of them being Zelensky.
There's lots of better ways of spending your money to contribute to the well-being of under-privileged children. (Not that any are likely to get a place at Winchester even under a bursary/scholarship anyway).
I fear the thought process for some people stops at "well whoever gets it will get it on merit" without thinking through the other selection biases (per you), the opportunity costs of using that money for this and not something else, the opportunity gains for the golden ticket winner (2.5 years of private education for one kid up from... what? Probably a bog standard education).
This is an emblematically poor choice.
Wallace also in the frame for next leader
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/may/21/lord-moore-of-lower-marsh-obituary
https://twitter.com/DoctorJones7961/status/1511378519342821379
And you're too dismissive. The 'monks of concern' are, as the report says, monks who have been accused of, or found guilty of, sexual abuse. It's not unusual for the Catholic Church to cover such things up, is it?
There’s a very interesting Tatler (yes I know….) dive into him which goes into him failing to get a scholarship which resulted in his parents “having to make sacrifices”. It also talks about him working as a waiter during school holidays in a friend of the family’s Indian restaurant. So he’s not the typical loaded public schoolboy of myth.
Added to this was his fixation in his interview after the budget with wanting to give everyone the ability to work.
Whether he’s so far done anything to help more people to “work” I think it shows where his ideology is - work your ass off and you might succeed….
If you are a Tory I would imagine that a chancellor with this ideology and background is actually a wet dream - he might have been holed below the waterline by Covid and Ukraine but Once we are out the other side I think he’s actually probably the “perfect” Tory chancellor. Prob not PM but this donation issue is easy to frame as “billionaire Rishi gives money to toffs” but really exposes that he wants to give people the leg up he felt he had. Which is admirable whatever you think of his Spring statement…..
Also, this listing of a benefactor is in the latest issue of their alumni magazine, I wouldn't be surprised if the donation that triggered this might well have been historic and only now the school have done some sums and said he has reached this status.
Good grief. It gets worse.
https://twitter.com/StratcomCentre/status/1511372231452069895
Ideally the government will come in with lots of money for them in the next few months and help from the defence industry for making their projectiles even faster.
I’d give similar advice to Labour politicians of questionable patriotism: don’t support the IRA and hang out with Hamas
- Voters don’t want a second independence referendum on their proposed timescale: only 36% support an independence referendum being held in 2023
- The majority don’t support independence: when asked as a Yes/No question the split is 47/53 in favour of No
- There is evidence of acquiescence bias favouring the Yes side and the SNP may not benefit from their preferred question in a future referendum: when asked as a Remain/Leave question, the split is 59/41 in favour of Remain
https://www.these-islands.co.uk/publications/i379/keeping_the_dream_alive.aspx
Even for a ceasefire, both sides would have to accept the futility of continuing to fight at the same time. I fear that there is a lot of fighting, and a lot of dying, before that point will be reached between Russia and Ukraine.
In the present Convention, genocide means any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:
Killing members of the group;
Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;
Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;
Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;
Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.
IANAL but that seems to turn on "with intent to destroy".
Genocide remains arguable. War crimes not so.
Wordle 290 6/6
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No, he wanted to be SEEN doing this
Everything else apart, that shows total lack of basic political common sense
It's an ain't gonna happen event.