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Eurovision punters are on a rollercoaster ride – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,161
edited March 2022 in General
imageEurovision punters are on a rollercoaster ride – politicalbetting.com

Ever since the Russian invasion I’ve been asked several time by friends and family if there is betting on the outcome. Quite rightly: There is not. However, while I appreciate some people might find even this column too close to the line, I want to discuss Eurovision 2022.

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Comments

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    nul points
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,717
    edited March 2022
    Bin ich zuerst?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    geoffw said:

    Bin ich zuerst?

    Nine
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,561
    Hopefully we'll get some points from the Ukrainian jury.... but not enough to mean were aren't a lay.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,955

    dixiedean said:

    I'm tempted to cancel my subscription to The Times after seeing this.

    Because I must have missed Boris Johnson invading another country and shelling civilians.


    Hang on. We ARE fed propaganda. About things that utterly pale into comparison, but propaganda nonetheless.

    That isn't new. Political spin and newspaper lies have been part of our landscape since the dawn of print.
    All is phoney.
    A good starting attitude to approach any opinion tbh.
    Yep, an attitude to be applied to what one agrees with as well as to the stuff one thinks is risible crap. Can get a bit tiring though.
    But the truth will out!

    https://twitter.com/lewis_baston/status/1499708225951784962?s=21
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    I'm going to guess, given they present pausing their vicious assaults as a grand indication of their humanitarian morality, that Russia will not listen to this particular demand

    From BBC

    Russia must not take advantage of an agreed humanitarian corridor to advance its troops, Ukraine's Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk has warned.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083

    dixiedean said:

    I'm tempted to cancel my subscription to The Times after seeing this.

    Because I must have missed Boris Johnson invading another country and shelling civilians.


    Hang on. We ARE fed propaganda. About things that utterly pale into comparison, but propaganda nonetheless.

    That isn't new. Political spin and newspaper lies have been part of our landscape since the dawn of print.
    All is phoney.
    A good starting attitude to approach any opinion tbh.
    Yep, an attitude to be applied to what one agrees with as well as to the stuff one thinks is risible crap. Can get a bit tiring though.
    But the truth will out!

    https://twitter.com/lewis_baston/status/1499708225951784962?s=21
    Well, some people are being a bit ridiculous, but somehoe I doubt that's really the part upsetting him.
  • I adore Eurovision. But lets not pretend that the results are fair and unbiased. Why anyone would bet on it is beyond me.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,955
    Any hint on the big name? If it’s Gary Barlow, that constitutes an act of war.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401
    edited March 2022
    How can there be a market on a contest when you don't even know who'll be performing?
    That's like betting on Brazil for the World Cup when it may be their full side.
    Or possibly the Third XI from a plastics factory in Recife.
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682
    Was the Russian entry a rehash of Lulu's "Boom Bang-A-Bang" ?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,890

    I adore Eurovision. But lets not pretend that the results are fair and unbiased. Why anyone would bet on it is beyond me.

    People bet on Eurovision because results are, to an extent, predictable. What you call bias might help in that regard.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,785
    edited March 2022
    F1: terrible news: Mazepin's gone.

    https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-haas-to-part-ways-with-nikita-mazepin-with-immediate-effect.nmmqyclyJjFNkPJjQyiyF.html

    Edited extra bit: also, his billionaire dad's firm isn't the main sponsor, which does raise a serious financial question mark, one would've thought. The whole reason Haas had the spinning oaf as a driver was for the cash.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,813
    The virtue signalling will be off the wall at Eurovision this year. Its intolerable in a normal year. The odds look about right for Ukraine I suppose- a lot could still happen. Frankly if the world makes it to Eurovision without a nuclear exchange then I would be grateful. Never thought I would say this but i would love Eurovision to be held this year !
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Hopefully we'll get some points from the Ukrainian jury.... but not enough to mean were aren't a lay.

    I don't know, after the victorious British led liberation of Eastern Europe it will be douze points all round, particularly If Bozza were to sing the song too.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,813
    edited March 2022

    Hopefully we'll get some points from the Ukrainian jury.... but not enough to mean were aren't a lay.

    I don't know, after the victorious British led liberation of Eastern Europe it will be douze points all round, particularly If Bozza were to sing the song too.
    Gavin Williamson (Sir sorry) could come in on a monocycle like that Moldovan entry did once

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHAY_OVN_gY
  • stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,861
    Great betting article Pip. Thanks. As I posted on PB last week, I had £600 on Ukraine to win Eurovision at 4.8 and cashed out a few days later at 3.55. So £200 profit. I think they will win if they turn up. But will they be able to do so? That's the main risk of the bet, I think.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,561
    edited March 2022
    JACK_W said:

    Was the Russian entry a rehash of Lulu's "Boom Bang-A-Bang" ?

    Belarus have "Puppet on a String"....

    EDIT: Damn, beaten to it by nanoseconds.....
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    JACK_W said:

    Was the Russian entry a rehash of Lulu's "Boom Bang-A-Bang" ?

    Crimea Wurst.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,643
    Waterloo
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    I adore Eurovision. But lets not pretend that the results are fair and unbiased. Why anyone would bet on it is beyond me.

    People bet on Eurovision because results are, to an extent, predictable. What you call bias might help in that regard.
    My problem with betting on it is I have much more fun taking it as a big, surreal piece of art, not a serious endeavour.
  • F1: terrible news: Mazepin's gone.

    https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-haas-to-part-ways-with-nikita-mazepin-with-immediate-effect.nmmqyclyJjFNkPJjQyiyF.html

    Edited extra bit: also, his billionaire dad's firm isn't the main sponsor, which does raise a serious financial question mark, one would've thought. The whole reason Haas had the spinning oaf as a driver was for the cash.

    If Haas had any sense they’d choose Luca Badoer to replace Mazepin.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821
    edited March 2022
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,523
    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    edited March 2022
    One of my least popular opinions with friends and family is that while a lot of Eurovision songs are weak, the winners and a handful of others each year tend to be genuinely good and often a legitimate banger.

    Arcade. Fuego. Even Toy. I'm not saying any of them will go down in history, but they were all songs which if you heard they had charted at the top one week you wouldn't be shocked.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373
    edited March 2022

    Hopefully we'll get some points from the Ukrainian jury.... but not enough to mean were aren't a lay.

    I don't know, after the victorious British led liberation of Eastern Europe it will be douze points all round, particularly If Bozza were to sing the song too.
    Gavin Williamson (Sir sorry) could come in on a monocycle like that Moldovan entry did once

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHAY_OVN_gY
    No Eurovision entry will ever match the class of this:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jzYzVMcgWhg

    But one where Gavin Williamson had a monocycle crash on screen would come quite close for LOLs.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,821

    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

    On the other hand, India has abstained in every UN vote since the invasion started - even though Indians constitute the single biggest group of foreign students in Ukraine.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Power to all our (Ukrainian) friends.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,561
    An ode to Russian logistics - "Beg, Steal or Borrow"
  • By chance, just happened to be listening to Knights of Cydonia. Seemed somehow appropriate:

    Come ride with me
    Through the veins of history,
    I'll show you how God
    Falls asleep on the job

    And how can we win,
    When fools can be kings?
    Don't waste your time
    Or time will, waste, you...

    No one's gonna take me alive
    Time has come to make things right
    You and I must fight for our rights
    You and I must fight to survive


    They don't make them like that anymore though.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,812
    Its so long since I watched Eurovision that I wasn't even aware that they now have a 2 jury system. When did that start?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    An ode to Russian logistics - "Beg, Steal or Borrow"

    By the New Heat Seekers?
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,818

    I adore Eurovision. But lets not pretend that the results are fair and unbiased. Why anyone would bet on it is beyond me.

    People bet on Eurovision because results are, to an extent, predictable. What you call bias might help in that regard.
    My problem with betting on it is I have much more fun taking it as a big, surreal piece of art, not a serious endeavour.
    That is also the approach our PM takes to his job so perhaps bets involving him should be off limits too.
  • JACK_WJACK_W Posts: 682
    Ukraine Cities

    Our House (Is Gone) - Madness
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    DavidL said:

    Its so long since I watched Eurovision that I wasn't even aware that they now have a 2 jury system. When did that start?

    About 5-10 years I think. Let me just look it up.

    [Musical interlude]

    It was 2016.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084

    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

    On the other hand, India has abstained in every UN vote since the invasion started - even though Indians constitute the single biggest group of foreign students in Ukraine.
    Indeed. Huge trade and arms links between India and Russia.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,818
    Quincel said:

    Incidentally, it really is striking how much we shit on (to be impolite but blunt) our Eurovision entrants compared to other countries. Maneskin, who won for Italy last year, had a chart-topping album in Italy before they were chosen and they went for the chance because it is a big break in Italy not a way to end your career. I was in Amsterdam in summer 2019 and a department store (I think it was Primark of all places) was playing Arcade by Duncan Lawrence over the sound system - which made sense since it had charted at #1 in The Netherlands even pre-Eurovision.

    We send James Newman, a songwriter more than a singer with a career high single of 23rd in the UK charts to sing a song he frankly sounded off-key in every performance. And then we complain about Eurovision bias for our poor results. We are at least as much to blame for sending crap!

    If it really is a big name I wonder if Ed Sheeran might fancy a crack at it. Can't think of any other genuine top level performers who would get involved.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,633
    DavidL said:

    Its so long since I watched Eurovision that I wasn't even aware that they now have a 2 jury system. When did that start?

    It's been a few years back. The juries have half the votes, the popular vote the other half. There are sometimes great discrepancies. Gender-bending is popular with the juries, while the popular votes are a bit more Robin Askwith. The Polish milkmaids demonstrated this well.

    https://youtu.be/VJ920cN2HmA

    Eurovision is harmless fun. The voting is nonsense, so just revel in the compression and eccentricity. Our problem is trying too hard, and taking it too seriously, and Iraq and Brexit of course.
  • Quincel said:

    DavidL said:

    Its so long since I watched Eurovision that I wasn't even aware that they now have a 2 jury system. When did that start?

    About 5-10 years I think. Let me just look it up.

    [Musical interlude]

    It was 2016.
    So many bad things happened in 2016 but this was the apotheosis of evil in 2016.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,011

    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

    On the other hand, India has abstained in every UN vote since the invasion started - even though Indians constitute the single biggest group of foreign students in Ukraine.
    My wife's cousin's son studied medicine in Ukraine. Much of the course was taught in Russian, so the first thing that the students had to do was learn the language.

    Meanwhile, India is abstaining coz their PM is an arsehole.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    rcs1000 said:

    Savanta ComRes have finally published their detailed tables (how they are not kicked out of the BPC for persistent breach of the rules escapes me).

    It transpires that it was a fantastic poll for Labour, especially Scottish Labour.

    England:

    Lab 45%
    Con 38%
    LD 9%
    Grn 3%
    Ref 3%

    Scotland:

    SNP 44%
    Lab 28%
    Con 17%
    LD 10%
    Grn 2%
    Ref -

    Wales:

    Lab 42%
    Con 23%
    PC 16%
    LD 10%
    Ref 5%
    Grn 3%

    (Savanta ComRes; 25-29 February; 2,208)

    But, rather oddly, if you pump those Scottish numbers into Baxter, it is not Scottish Labour who are the big winners, but rather the Tories and Lib Dems who lose big time:

    SNP 56 seats (+8)
    Lab 1 seat (nc)
    Con 0 seats (-6)
    LD 0 seats (-2)

    (New boundaries: only 57 seats.)

    Ummm:

    The SNP got 45.0% in 2019 and the LDs 9.5%.

    The boundaries of Orkney & Shetland have not changed and the LDs were 12 points ahead of the SNP there.

    So... it's a tiny swing to the LDs from the SNP. So why would the LDs be on zero seats on that poll? They should still hold O&S.
    Absolutely! That was exactly my first thought when I saw Baxter’s LD zero seats prediction. On the face of it it seems totally bonkers. Orkney and Shetland is one of just 3 (?) Scottish seats to have identical boundaries under the new review. So a small SNP to LD swing ought to make it an easy Hold surely?

    I long ago gave up trying to understand Martin Baxter’s methodology. All I know is that the man is a wizard and a living legend. Doubt his maths at your peril.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,633
    On the musical theme, I have been inspired to create a playlist for times of nuclear angst. Mostly eighties as that is my era, but a few others. Further suggestions welcome.

    https://open.spotify.com/playlist/4LybGX1d2YvaFIHB3VAxXx?si=3zEEOkoBRZC1-V1N1LArHA&utm_source=copy-link
  • TresTres Posts: 2,695
    Wait, a woman named Lionel? Brings to mind a boy named Sue.
  • Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 41,955
    edited March 2022

    Quincel said:

    Incidentally, it really is striking how much we shit on (to be impolite but blunt) our Eurovision entrants compared to other countries. Maneskin, who won for Italy last year, had a chart-topping album in Italy before they were chosen and they went for the chance because it is a big break in Italy not a way to end your career. I was in Amsterdam in summer 2019 and a department store (I think it was Primark of all places) was playing Arcade by Duncan Lawrence over the sound system - which made sense since it had charted at #1 in The Netherlands even pre-Eurovision.

    We send James Newman, a songwriter more than a singer with a career high single of 23rd in the UK charts to sing a song he frankly sounded off-key in every performance. And then we complain about Eurovision bias for our poor results. We are at least as much to blame for sending crap!

    If it really is a big name I wonder if Ed Sheeran might fancy a crack at it. Can't think of any other genuine top level performers who would get involved.
    They would have to have the lack of ego or confidence that would be prepared to do mediocrely (or even badly); Sheeran is so successful he may not give a feck, but I think that would rule out a bloke who thinks plastering his name over a bottle of £5.99 wine is a selling point.
  • Foxy said:

    On the musical theme, I have been inspired to create a playlist for times of nuclear angst. Mostly eighties as that is my era, but a few others. Further suggestions welcome.

    https://open.spotify.com/playlist/4LybGX1d2YvaFIHB3VAxXx?si=3zEEOkoBRZC1-V1N1LArHA&utm_source=copy-link

    Boom, Boom, Boom, Boom!!
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    Never move to Sweden Peter. It’s the Number One tv event of the year. Almost shibboleth status. I’ve got my glitterpants and lördagsmys ready to go. Hope Vladimir is understanding and puts off his invasion until after Torino.
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,494

    Quincel said:

    Incidentally, it really is striking how much we shit on (to be impolite but blunt) our Eurovision entrants compared to other countries. Maneskin, who won for Italy last year, had a chart-topping album in Italy before they were chosen and they went for the chance because it is a big break in Italy not a way to end your career. I was in Amsterdam in summer 2019 and a department store (I think it was Primark of all places) was playing Arcade by Duncan Lawrence over the sound system - which made sense since it had charted at #1 in The Netherlands even pre-Eurovision.

    We send James Newman, a songwriter more than a singer with a career high single of 23rd in the UK charts to sing a song he frankly sounded off-key in every performance. And then we complain about Eurovision bias for our poor results. We are at least as much to blame for sending crap!

    If it really is a big name I wonder if Ed Sheeran might fancy a crack at it. Can't think of any other genuine top level performers who would get involved.
    They would have to have the lack of ego or confidence that would be prepared to do mediocrely (or even badly); Sheeran is so successful he may not give a feck, but I think that would rule out a bloke who thinks plastering his name over a bottle of £5.99 wine is a selling point.
    Sheeran is sponsoring Ipswich Town this season, he must be used to dismal failures
  • TresTres Posts: 2,695

    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

    On the other hand, India has abstained in every UN vote since the invasion started - even though Indians constitute the single biggest group of foreign students in Ukraine.
    My wife's cousin's son studied medicine in Ukraine. Much of the course was taught in Russian, so the first thing that the students had to do was learn the language.

    Meanwhile, India is abstaining coz their PM is an arsehole.
    Will our pro-Modi/BJP commentators condemn?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401
    Quincel said:

    One of my least popular opinions with friends and family is that while a lot of Eurovision songs are weak, the winners and a handful of others each year tend to be genuinely good and often a legitimate banger.

    Arcade. Fuego. Even Toy. I'm not saying any of them will go down in history, but they were all songs which if you heard they had charted at the top one week you wouldn't be shocked.
    Euphoria was the kind of inoffensive, summery, light techno hit which you could have seen being no 1 across Europe without ever having been in the contest.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    I adore Eurovision. But lets not pretend that the results are fair and unbiased. Why anyone would bet on it is beyond me.

    It’s because it is unfair and biased that punters love it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    edited March 2022
    In Eurovision 2014 the Russian entry was booed because of what had happened in Ukraine.

    I liked the entry, but it is worth remembering some of the lyrics from the song, called 'Shine', as I think Putin must listen to it on loop.

    Living on the edge
    Closer to the crime
    Cross the line a step at a time

    Now maybe there's a place
    Maybe there's a time
    Maybe there's a day you'll be mine


    As John Oliver put it, that chorus is essentially an anthem to annexation.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,941
    Foxy said:

    On the musical theme, I have been inspired to create a playlist for times of nuclear angst. Mostly eighties as that is my era, but a few others. Further suggestions welcome.

    https://open.spotify.com/playlist/4LybGX1d2YvaFIHB3VAxXx?si=3zEEOkoBRZC1-V1N1LArHA&utm_source=copy-link

    I think you are missing Kraftwerk - Radioactivity. Otherwise, good playlist.
  • Tres said:

    Heathener said:

    Leon wrote about hypocrisy yesterday and we had a brief dialogue in which I suggested the scope was widened.

    Putin's disgraceful invasion has unfortunately also shone the spotlight on the west. Why, for instance, are we so sure that Putin is a war criminal whilst Tony Blair isn't? But leaving aside that favourite trope of the Left, this article in the Telegraph makes for some very sobering reading. I suggest we all read it:

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/terror-and-security/history-politics-mercenaries-many-african-nations-quietly-standing/

    It's not just an influence thing, surely? We were discussing on the last thread why lots of people actually living in Russia aren't getting engaged in the debate. How reasonable is it really to expect people in the Central African Republic to be taking a keen interest? How zealously did the average Brit follow the atrocities in the Congo?

    An African country weighing in might have future opportunity costs as the country looks for competing offers of aid-for-influence, and I imagine the pressure on the leadership from the general population to take a stand is precisely zero.

    On the other hand, India has abstained in every UN vote since the invasion started - even though Indians constitute the single biggest group of foreign students in Ukraine.
    My wife's cousin's son studied medicine in Ukraine. Much of the course was taught in Russian, so the first thing that the students had to do was learn the language.

    Meanwhile, India is abstaining coz their PM is an arsehole.
    Will our pro-Modi/BJP commentators condemn?
    Both of them?
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,785
    Mr. Tres, well, John Wayne's real name was Marion...
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083

    F1: terrible news: Mazepin's gone.

    https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-haas-to-part-ways-with-nikita-mazepin-with-immediate-effect.nmmqyclyJjFNkPJjQyiyF.html

    Edited extra bit: also, his billionaire dad's firm isn't the main sponsor, which does raise a serious financial question mark, one would've thought. The whole reason Haas had the spinning oaf as a driver was for the cash.

    Grand tradition in F1 to pay for your seat.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    Shocking!

    BBC:A ceasefire agreed between Russia and Ukraine to allow civilians to leave the city of Mariupol is not being fully observed, according to the city council.

    In a message posted on Telegram, the council said that fighting was taking place in the Zaporizhzhia region, which is where the humanitarian corridor ends.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,630
    edited March 2022
    I’ve finally found it, something worse than pineapple on pizza. 🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮


  • Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    Never move to Sweden Peter. It’s the Number One tv event of the year. Almost shibboleth status. I’ve got my glitterpants and lördagsmys ready to go. Hope Vladimir is understanding and puts off his invasion until after Torino.
    Not much likelihood of me moving there, Stuart, but number one son has just been offered a job there. He's thinking about it.

    Since he very much likes music and plays a bit himself I will pass on your helpful information. I imagine it will make his mind up for him.

    Nej tack.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    kyf_100 said:

    Foxy said:

    On the musical theme, I have been inspired to create a playlist for times of nuclear angst. Mostly eighties as that is my era, but a few others. Further suggestions welcome.

    https://open.spotify.com/playlist/4LybGX1d2YvaFIHB3VAxXx?si=3zEEOkoBRZC1-V1N1LArHA&utm_source=copy-link

    I think you are missing Kraftwerk - Radioactivity. Otherwise, good playlist.
    End of the World as we Know It?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 23,148

    The virtue signalling will be off the wall at Eurovision this year. Its intolerable in a normal year. The odds look about right for Ukraine I suppose- a lot could still happen. Frankly if the world makes it to Eurovision without a nuclear exchange then I would be grateful. Never thought I would say this but i would love Eurovision to be held this year !

    Where's the ghost of Terry Wogan when you need him?

    2001 Results: Dr Death and the Tooth Fairy.


    "Cross your fingers, we are in this together - fans"
    Now let's call .... the Netherlands".

    (Strewth !)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9696cd3CN0
  • kle4 said:

    F1: terrible news: Mazepin's gone.

    https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-haas-to-part-ways-with-nikita-mazepin-with-immediate-effect.nmmqyclyJjFNkPJjQyiyF.html

    Edited extra bit: also, his billionaire dad's firm isn't the main sponsor, which does raise a serious financial question mark, one would've thought. The whole reason Haas had the spinning oaf as a driver was for the cash.

    Grand tradition in F1 to pay for your seat.
    I don't follow the sport but isn't Mazepin the world's worst Ueber driver?
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454

    I’ve finally found it, something worse than pineapple on pizza. 🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮


    You've never been to a Теремок, clearly.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957
    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Good piece. The Eurovision occupies a quantum state of being both a reassuringly silly comfort experience and also searing political commentary.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,324
    edited March 2022
    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    Never move to Sweden Peter. It’s the Number One tv event of the year. Almost shibboleth status. I’ve got my glitterpants and lördagsmys ready to go. Hope Vladimir is understanding and puts off his invasion until after Torino.
    There was that excellent film with Will Ferrell about it.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,368
    kle4 said:

    F1: terrible news: Mazepin's gone.

    https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.breaking-haas-to-part-ways-with-nikita-mazepin-with-immediate-effect.nmmqyclyJjFNkPJjQyiyF.html

    Edited extra bit: also, his billionaire dad's firm isn't the main sponsor, which does raise a serious financial question mark, one would've thought. The whole reason Haas had the spinning oaf as a driver was for the cash.

    Grand tradition in F1 to pay for your seat.
    And Haas now needs every penny they can get....
  • Mr. Tres, well, John Wayne's real name was Marion...

    And Big Daddy was of course Shirley Crabtree in real life, and also a sweetie by all accounts.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Incredible footage from the only two cities of any size Russia have captured so far.

    In Melitopol a large pro Ukraine protest advances towards soldiers firing over their head.
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1500026068782178304

    In Kherson the main town square is filled to the brim by a pro-Ukraine protest, despite Russians firing warning shots.
    https://twitter.com/VALERIEinNYT/status/1500055776534179840

  • Quincel said:

    Incidentally, it really is striking how much we shit on (to be impolite but blunt) our Eurovision entrants compared to other countries. Maneskin, who won for Italy last year, had a chart-topping album in Italy before they were chosen and they went for the chance because it is a big break in Italy not a way to end your career. I was in Amsterdam in summer 2019 and a department store (I think it was Primark of all places) was playing Arcade by Duncan Lawrence over the sound system - which made sense since it had charted at #1 in The Netherlands even pre-Eurovision.

    We send James Newman, a songwriter more than a singer with a career high single of 23rd in the UK charts to sing a song he frankly sounded off-key in every performance. And then we complain about Eurovision bias for our poor results. We are at least as much to blame for sending crap!

    If it really is a big name I wonder if Ed Sheeran might fancy a crack at it. Can't think of any other genuine top level performers who would get involved.
    They would have to have the lack of ego or confidence that would be prepared to do mediocrely (or even badly); Sheeran is so successful he may not give a feck, but I think that would rule out a bloke who thinks plastering his name over a bottle of £5.99 wine is a selling point.
    Sheeran played himself in a very self-deprecating manner in the film Yesterday.

    He might just do it.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    A Trinity friend of mine, Daniel Gould, ran sofabet.com until his untimely death 3 years ago. He gently explained betting to this callow undergrad and his Eurovision tips were invariably correct.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401

    Mr. Tres, well, John Wayne's real name was Marion...

    And Big Daddy was of course Shirley Crabtree in real life, and also a sweetie by all accounts.
    And Tracy was a unisex name too.
    It is Jill Biden's middle name. Which is incongruous in a UK setting.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,246
    I'd have voted for Brexit with a song in my heart if I'd thought it entailed expulsion from the Annual International Ear-Worm Competition. Far away countries of which we know little, beating the crap out of each other with sonic WMDs, is not very nice.
  • Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    Lol!

    I used to have a similar attitude to the Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,355

    Quincel said:

    Incidentally, it really is striking how much we shit on (to be impolite but blunt) our Eurovision entrants compared to other countries. Maneskin, who won for Italy last year, had a chart-topping album in Italy before they were chosen and they went for the chance because it is a big break in Italy not a way to end your career. I was in Amsterdam in summer 2019 and a department store (I think it was Primark of all places) was playing Arcade by Duncan Lawrence over the sound system - which made sense since it had charted at #1 in The Netherlands even pre-Eurovision.

    We send James Newman, a songwriter more than a singer with a career high single of 23rd in the UK charts to sing a song he frankly sounded off-key in every performance. And then we complain about Eurovision bias for our poor results. We are at least as much to blame for sending crap!

    If it really is a big name I wonder if Ed Sheeran might fancy a crack at it. Can't think of any other genuine top level performers who would get involved.
    I'm surprised the sausage roll people haven't had a go.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    Lol!

    I used to have a similar attitude to the Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
    Now transferred to the "cross country" race I presume.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    dixiedean said:

    Mr. Tres, well, John Wayne's real name was Marion...

    And Big Daddy was of course Shirley Crabtree in real life, and also a sweetie by all accounts.
    And Tracy was a unisex name too.
    It is Jill Biden's middle name. Which is incongruous in a UK setting.
    Doris Miller was a USN cook who won the Navy Cross at Pearl Harbour and is getting a Ford class CVN named after him.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,324
    edited March 2022
    TOPPING said:

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    Lol!

    I used to have a similar attitude to the Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
    Now transferred to the "cross country" race I presume.
    That is at least over fences, Topping. What the hell is a flat race doing in the middle of a jumps festival?

    I know what you mean about the x-Country though. It's a bit of a 'novelty' event, entertaining mainly for seeing how many jockeys get lost and go the wrong way.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,424
    Is this the current thread or is it the one about the Ukraine situation?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Interesting thread:

    I wonder if what looks ever more like a huge military, economic, and strategic disaster for Russia is a product of a category error by Putin, who failed to appreciate what type of Russian military action he was starting. (A thread – apologies for the length.)

    https://twitter.com/ruth_deyermond/status/1499862127322046465?s=21
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,957

    TOPPING said:

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    Lol!

    I used to have a similar attitude to the Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
    Now transferred to the "cross country" race I presume.
    That is at least over fences, Topping. What the hell is a flat race doing in the middle of a jumps festival?

    I know what you mean about the x-Country though. It's a bit of a 'novelty' event, entertaining mainly for seeing how many jockeys get lost and go the wrong way.
    I don't mind the bumpers actually. Get a decent trip into up and coming horses. Then onto hurdles, etc.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,633
    Chameleon said:

    Incredible footage from the only two cities of any size Russia have captured so far.

    In Melitopol a large pro Ukraine protest advances towards soldiers firing over their head.
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1500026068782178304

    In Kherson the main town square is filled to the brim by a pro-Ukraine protest, despite Russians firing warning shots.
    https://twitter.com/VALERIEinNYT/status/1500055776534179840

    Brave folk. Controlling that won't be easy.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,277
    Hello.

    Much been happening these past few weeks lol?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175
    DougSeal said:

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    A Trinity friend of mine, Daniel Gould, ran sofabet.com until his untimely death 3 years ago. He gently explained betting to this callow undergrad and his Eurovision tips were invariably correct.
    You knew Daniel Gould? Such a sad loss to the world.

    I got properly hooked on the X Factor because of sofabet. I even managed to win some money! What did for the programme was when they bought in an app giving people five free votes (so people could split their votes). That gave the powers that be far too much info and it became incredibly predictable (good for odds-on punters, but not my cup of tea).

    But Eurovision was Daniel’s big passion. I think he actually got accreditation to attend in a formal role! I think he made a lot of money when they brought in the semi finals. It was something like he backed Armenia based on the draw and their diaspora being able to vote in that semi final.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714

    Interesting thread:

    I wonder if what looks ever more like a huge military, economic, and strategic disaster for Russia is a product of a category error by Putin, who failed to appreciate what type of Russian military action he was starting. (A thread – apologies for the length.)

    https://twitter.com/ruth_deyermond/status/1499862127322046465?s=21

    V interesting.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,572
    Dura_Ace said:

    dixiedean said:

    Mr. Tres, well, John Wayne's real name was Marion...

    And Big Daddy was of course Shirley Crabtree in real life, and also a sweetie by all accounts.
    And Tracy was a unisex name too.
    It is Jill Biden's middle name. Which is incongruous in a UK setting.
    Doris Miller was a USN cook who won the Navy Cross at Pearl Harbour and is getting a Ford class CVN named after him.
    Quite a story:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doris_Miller

    But as an aside, according to Wiki he was given a girl's name as the midwife was convinced he would be a she.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    tlg86 said:

    DougSeal said:

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    A Trinity friend of mine, Daniel Gould, ran sofabet.com until his untimely death 3 years ago. He gently explained betting to this callow undergrad and his Eurovision tips were invariably correct.
    You knew Daniel Gould? Such a sad loss to the world.

    I got properly hooked on the X Factor because of sofabet. I even managed to win some money! What did for the programme was when they bought in an app giving people five free votes (so people could split their votes). That gave the powers that be far too much info and it became incredibly predictable (good for odds-on punters, but not my cup of tea).

    But Eurovision was Daniel’s big passion. I think he actually got accreditation to attend in a formal role! I think he made a lot of money when they brought in the semi finals. It was something like he backed Armenia based on the draw and their diaspora being able to vote in that semi final.
    Yes - we both did history at the same time at Trinity and we lived in the same part of N London during our 20s.
  • On Mazespin, how will the world cope without him? There must be some other drivers out there backed with money who Haas could tap up. Drivers who aren't as thoroughly repellent as him.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,324
    edited March 2022
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Thanks for another excellent piece, Quincel.

    It's an event I hate and I don't recall ever betting on it, but don't you just lay the favorites?

    That often works, though you can go further. I got quite into the world of Eurovision betting the last couple of years and there are some people who have become experts at understanding what sort of songs the Eurovision crowd loves and what a good performance looks like for the jury crowd etc.

    Also, the way results are now ordered they know the final result before they start asking the countries to report - so they order the countries to make it look more interesting. This means laying the favourite in-play has been profitable every year since they started that system.
    Noted with thanks, Quincel, but doesn't that mean you have to actually watch the thing?

    There are some things I won't do for money.
    I once watched a Betting People interview with a Reality TV punter (it's a whole thing, Eurovision, Strictly, X Factor, Big Brother, and more). He was asked about Love Island gambling, and he said he couldn't bring himself to watch it and so he couldn't place informed bets. I think the response was something like 'You have to draw the line somewhere'.
    Lol!

    I used to have a similar attitude to the Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
    Now transferred to the "cross country" race I presume.
    That is at least over fences, Topping. What the hell is a flat race doing in the middle of a jumps festival?

    I know what you mean about the x-Country though. It's a bit of a 'novelty' event, entertaining mainly for seeing how many jockeys get lost and go the wrong way.
    I don't mind the bumpers actually. Get a decent trip into up and coming horses. Then onto hurdles, etc.
    Many many years ago the legendary Alan Potts pointed out that if you noted down the names of the first six home in the bumper and backed them blind next season you'd clean up. A number of us followed this advice with considerable success. Eventually the trick became too well known and became self-defeating, although I understand the wheel has turned full circle and it works again now.
This discussion has been closed.