The above YouGov polling highlights a gamble that Boris Johnson is taking with the relaxation of the COVID rules in England. What is interesting is that north of the border Nicola Sturgeon is continuing to keep her rules in place and this offers a possible comparison.
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Revealed preference is somewhat different.
(and... first!)
Ostensibly this is because of Ukrainian threats – rather than the enormous Russian troop buildup that prompted western countries to evacuate.
https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1496178781219926022?s=21
Off Topic
I've just had an email from my energy provider telling me that my energy bill will rise by 50% a month. This coupled with BT, Sky and Poll Tax rises is going to be very tough. I suspect the I'll have to find another £100 per month from our pensions. Very tough.
But compared to PB, where it has been broadly welcomed, I think, it maybe polled a tad worse than I expected.
As people see the current trends in hospitalisations and deaths continue the polling will change. I think its called leadership.
Every time somebody test positive for Covid, Boris Johnson and the No. 10 Staff isolate.
This will mean they can't come out with more useless BS to damage the country.
What was announced today is so minimal and ineffective the government may as well have not bothered.
For this is alone Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak need to quit or be removed.
They hate my working class Yorkshire accent.
Are we now living in an era where we decide what is the right and wrong thing to do based on polling ?
Even the EU's sanctions are tougher than ours. After all the tough talk, the reality is that the UK government has done the bare minimum. And those who may be targeted further down the line have been given the time and space to move their assets elsewhere.
The Nord 2 suspension is by far the most material sanction to date, for all our criticism of Germany's mealy mouth to date.
Do we want infectious people to keep themselves away from the rest of society? Of course. Do we want to criminalise those who do not? I would argue not.
He is gambling that the West has become so squeamish and weak it will never, ever put forces into the field against him.
I am not sure he is wrong.
Is there a line in the sand? if so, where the f8ck is it?
Different sticks..
Invite Ukrane into NATO, evict ALL Russian citizens, freeze all Russian accounts. Close all borders. Carefully disengage from the ISS. That's the small stick.
Somehow I knew it was the app to blame.
However, the rhetoric now, as shown in the You Gov polling question, is that "there's no need to self isolate if you test positive". I disagree and think there is a need. I don't think it should be criminalised, however. But I do think that some people need, and should be given, financial support to self isolate. That's going.
Normal service resumed.
I finished a trial in Aberdeen today with a jury on the wonderwall, hearing all the evidence at a cinema. I am hoping that does not last too long although I am told that the courts, contrary to expectations, are finding a slightly higher conviction rate from Juries not actually in the court room. Today added to that statistic.
"Maybe 20 points deducted from Chelsea would do the trick?"
That would immediately add 20 points to the PM's approval rating.
One wonders if the national security wing of the party will look today and finally think, yup this dude’s gotta go.
"evict ALL Russian citizens, freeze all Russian accounts" - dissidents, opposition?
"Carefully disengage from the ISS" - can't be done. Not in timescale of less than years, and the station only has a few years left.
Problem with using up your ammunition in the first engagement is that the enemy know you have nothing left so you become irrelevant.
But death by a thousand cuts cranks up the pressure.
Having said that I don’t think Boris would have done this on purpose but stumbled into it like Covid successes.
It makes me much more furious than I ought to allow when politicians so brazenly lie and seem to be convinced by their own lies. I still have this desire to see them persuaded by the evidence and change their minds, as if their minds are open in the first place. They have no such qualms. It's so irritating.
But that's where we are: I reckon Starmer would have been tougher than Johnson, and would have handled the crisis better all round. Bad news for Tories, I think.
Entrance is by consensus, and requires aiui that there be no territorial disputes in the new member. What would Germany and France do if faced with that request?
Despite sanctions being more firm than some of us may have been expecting, I'm not sure about NATO entry.
The West's strategic failure is massive. Its has cowed its populations with fears about climate and covid, beggared its economies responding to both and failed utterly to identify more urgent threats.
Where are the soldiers coming from to halt Putin's advance. Because I am sorry, I don't see them. I don't see them anywhere.
Inviting Ukrane into NATO would almost be a declaration of war after all. I'd nearly just about do it, I think.
All Russians are responsible for Russia. Anyone that has asylum would be treated differently.
ISS: Of course it can be done!
The FO has somehow recommended a really woeful package though.
But even if more efficient , wfh is a lot more depressing to me , if life is supposed to evolve to get better I am not sure everyone stuck in their houses all day all week is an human advance
Whodathunkit ?
That's got to hurt
Germany suspends Nord Stream 2
THEY ONLY DID BECAUSE THEY WERE FORCED TO!!!
They've just sent another email with, attached, a letter setting out a further explanation of the incident. Except what's actually attached is not a letter but the database containing all parents' email addresses.
I'm agog to see what the next instalment will be.
It's been proposed before - but those in the loop with the Russians reckon they would always reject such additions, precisely because they would make the Russian contribution obsolete.
And yes, there have been various suggestions about jury rigging with a Dragon capsule.
Yes, Nord Stream 2 not going into operation doesn't mean that the Russians lose vast amounts of money coming in from Germany. They mainly lose leverage over Ukraine with respect to the "Gas Weapon"
Follow the money. The Conservatives don't want to go after their filthy rich mates.
If we ever manage to get rid of this lot, the inquiry that follows into who was bought and for how much is going to be quite something.
Presumably Mr Pootin is going to have to keep the one through Ukraine up and running if he is not to violate his contracts, which we hope he does not treat the same as his international treaty agreements.
That is iirc worth a couple of billion a year to Ukraine, which if push comes to shove is a lorra lorra antitank missiles.
North Korea is using increasingly sophisticated hacking and money-laundering techniques to steal cryptocurrencies in its latest effort to evade sanctions and fund its nuclear weapons programmes.
Kim Jong-un’s government is earning hundreds of millions of dollars at a time in hacking raids on cryptocurrency exchanges, where currencies such as bitcoin are traded digitally, studies indicate. The regime is evading efforts to clamp down on its activities with the use of the latest technologies that help it to transfer and sell digital currencies without detection.
North Korea’s state cryptorobber, known as the Lazarus Group, has carried out a number of spectacular heists over the years, including from the central bank of Bangladesh. Ordinary North Korean citizens are denied access to the world wide web, but Lazarus continues to mount sophisticated attacks under the auspices of the country’s external intelligence agency, the Reconnaissance General Bureau.
“Pyongyang has demonstrated an increasing interest in using evolving financial platforms such as cryptocurrency and blockchain technology to compensate for the fiscal losses related to economic sanctions,” a report by the Centre for a New American Security (CNAS), a Washington think tank, said.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/kim-steals-crypto-to-make-a-bomb-hhjxmjvrx
It’s a fast moving situation.
https://twitter.com/jessicaelgot/status/1496180285561528325
I’m not sure. I am certainly not getting that from the MSM, that’s likely not to even feature on tomorrows front pages either.
I think mistake Boris and his government done was to trail for weeks sanctions would be effective and powerful, and even to big up today’s announcement as a barrage.
Sanction day, but with some held back for what is referred to as a “proper invasion.” The what? And what if it doesn’t come?
How joined up are the West on sanctions? Couple of people Boris sanctioned today were sanctioned by US years ago. After Salisbury outrage US, in show of solidarity with Britain, sanctioned someone the UK left alone. How is that explained?
I’ll have a go at explaining it. are the Western nations joined up in how they target, or do they choose different targets based on how they are personally exposed to each? For example. Have the EU already started with a tougher line than the UK, just because they are in an easier place on some things compared to how difficult it would be for Boris to kick Russian money out that quickly. Property? The City? Political donations? For sure Europe is currently a bit too dependent on Gazprom Gas, but UK could have similar exposure in other ways? Or is it other way round, considering how banks in some EU countries, Greece, Cyprus, and Austria and Germany too, have too much Exposure to Russian money, for swift meaningful action?
If the West isn’t joined up on sanctions, could each member of the west take decisions others will not want them to take. If, for example, EU go cold Turkey on Russian Gas, this in turn exposes UK, our households, businesses and economy because we gain wealthy competition after the same supplies we have been purchasing? This could create a situation we are outbid for what we need, and pay prices that really hurt our businesses and households? So is this taken into account, if Western nations do their own form of sanctions, not act in concerted joined up way?
Barrage of Sanctions day, where Putin should be worried, is he in fact chuckling so far?
Presumably young and Con/Leave are very supportive.
I've been dealing with lawyers wrt my parent's estate for the last 2 years 3 months now, and have just been told that it will be another 5-6 months to get things wrapped up and finished.
I am slightly dreading the bill when it arrives.
Each 5.5 minute phone call (I have a lawyer-timer) is about another £20.
https://www.online-stopwatch.com/timer/6minute/
(Though this would, of course, be very unfair. It was obviously all above board.)
Personally though I think it's all cobblers.
https://mid.ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/1800036/
It depends how much Uk Gov knew about the EuCo package.
The next thing will almost certainly be the resignations of the data controller and whoever sent the email.
Then a very heavy fine from the ICO.
Quite possibly followed by an OFSTED inspection which will not go well, because that's a disastrous safeguarding breach.
Fecking hell, that's awful.