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Sunak extends his “better PM” lead over Johnson to 13% – politicalbetting.com
Sunak extends his “better PM” lead over Johnson to 13% – politicalbetting.com
I have referred to this Redfield & Wllton regular poll question before – how do those sampled rate Sunak against Johnson on who would make the better PM – because it is one that could impact on Tory MPs as they try to decide whether to stick with Johnson or have another leader and PM.
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I’m a big vax fan. I think you have to work hard to show how we get through the pandemic without mass vaccination.
I’m in favour of most means to incentivise vaccination, but stop short of compulsory vaccination, except for health workers (who have an obligation to the sick).
It’s interesting to see how haphazard various governments have been in their application of covid rules, whether from a liberal perspective or indeed from an epidemiological perspective.
New York ended its “mask mandate” last Thursday, but my apartment block only did the same today. Mask wearing in New York seems much more enthusiastic than it was in London.
And that's what they need.
“It will be a political catastrophe if Minsk Protocols are not upheld” Gas addict Schulz this afternoon.
So (all my reading up on this has come to the right understanding?) when in coming days and weeks we hear this agreement mentioned (correct me where wrong)
implement now and full is Pro Russia
renegotiate first (and any delay tactic) is pro Kiev
But I’m not sure quite what’s to be gained from caring about COVID vaccination status, to be honest.
I’d argue there’s much more of a case for saying that not getting your child vaccinated (MMR etc) should be considered child abuse.
A party can't annoint someone in 2019, knowing he is a nasty piece of work, and dump him in 2022 for turning out to be a nasty piece of work.
Not without looking really stupid and nasty, anyway.
The school has made it compulsory that my 7 year-old daughter get her second vaccination by the end of this month. The reason is that she cannot use the YMCA facilities without it.
I don’t believe there is any epidemiological rationale for a second vaccination (and I’m not even sure about the first, which we had to administer at the beginning of January).
My wife - not an instinctive rule breaker - has suggested we forge a second vax card, and in discussion with another set of parents it seems they have similar thoughts.
It seems possible too that the YMCA will drop their requirement very soon. It will be kind of insulting to be forced to subject my daughter to a medical requirement which may be shortly abandoned…
🤔
Johnson:Sunak (R&W)
East Midlands 35:37
South East 34:34
London 32:44
Wales 28:37
South West 28:40
Eastern 28:45
West Midlands 27:39
North West 27:39
North East 23:48
Yorkshire & Humber 21:49
Scotland 18:48
Johnson fails to win a single area.
And it is unnecessary?
I strongly believe in vaxxing right up to the point where it is not necessary, then I strongly don’t believe in vaxxing.
Needle phobia is a genuine issue I am sure. Weren't there non-needle methods for vaccine delivery being developed sometime ago?
But these are actually quite bad for Johnson. Some are surprisingly low.
Do you have the same for Tory 19 voters only?
First, to save oneself.
Second, to save others.
The first becomes less important the younger you are.
The second becomes less important as the rest of society vaccinates.
My daughter is vaccinated once already. New York is highly vaccinated. I don’t believe a second vaccination can easily be justified on either of these two grounds.
On that the fact Sunak does not lead Starmer either but only ties him while Boris only trails Starmer by 4% is not a huge difference at this stage, especially as the voting intention polls get closer again too
Do you mean morally or practically?
The insistence seems to be on adhering to the process of vaccination, real world checks seem limited. Remember, this is for school only, so she can use the gym.
Of course if you keep beating your enemy they would want you replaced? Without being a Tory voter I asked a fair question, what’s the same table of Tory vote only, as that’s the one that could really put pressure on.
Nb. I suspect in this type of polling gives unfair advantage to incumbent, better name recognition, and better the devil you know.
I believe you are in the US? Presumably they don't have anything akin to the NHS vaccination certificate, which would be a bit involved to forge.
We probably should move away from the idea that two doses = fully vaccinated. That may have been the regime from the trials, but it’s not a magic formula.
So your avatar, some sort of detail of picture, guess the painting game?
Orange County by contrast had basically given up on masks even before California lifted its ban.
Not to mention that there are 'Scots' anti-submarine planes.
Thank-you.
If I’m honest; as a resolute opponent of this government, Rishi is the only one I “fear” as a replacement.
He shows disconcerting signs of fast learning.
Certain to vote:
Scotland 69%
Wales 67%
North West 64%
Yorkshire & Humber 60%
Eastern 60%
South East 58%
South West 56%
West Midlands 50%
North East 46%
East Midlands 42%
London 32%
My minds just as filthy as Leon’s and my fascination with female nude in art certainly central to my life. But I promised I would clean up my act here if unbanned, so I’ll ask you instead - what do you make Ukraines objections to Minsk Protocol II, should they lay down the Donetsk and Luhansk pleblicites as red lines before further negotiation, or just play for time?
There are people like that, with the charisma to persuade others to act against their best interests.
Sacary people, that's who they are, and they really shouldn't be let into high office. Though with their charisma...
SNP 68%
Lab 65%
Con 59%
LD 51%
DNV 14%
he influenced, crucially. a whole generation of writers
Ah. Sad
I have this one and ❤️ It.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_National_Lampoon_Encyclopedia_of_Humor
But it will be the first one the wokists burn when they take over
What is to be done? Nothing. I have worked out you are, in some creepy conflicted self-hating way, in love with me. There is nowt I can do about that but wish you well. And get better soon
Its also a reminder of how a full fledged offensive operation could be seen to start. Large scale disruption of infrastructure without a shot initially being fired.
The other thing that a lot of people have paid no attention to is that Russian operations often start with some plain clothes actions and Russia will have spent plenty of time prepping in-country networks given their antipathy to Ukraine. The SBU has done some good work in rolling up Russian networks but there are undoubtedly some still there.
PJO answered the hotel door in dressing gown, smoking a full Cuban, drinking a single malt whisky and PJO noticed the clear nerves of my friend said “do you fancy a drink as well?”
My pal said yes and to this day my friend says it was the most fun interview he ever did and PJO remains for him a total hero despite entirely opposing politics. Because they got drunk and laughed
I never met him. He seems to have been a genuinely nice guy, along with the brilliantly acid wit
Jeez, he even voted for Hillary.
The cyber attack stuff has been long expected - they've done this before. The Baltics, for example.
NY Times has this quote from him:
"“The Democrats are the party that says government will make you smarter, taller, richer and remove the crab grass on your lawn. The Republicans are the party that says government doesn’t work and then get elected and prove it.” "
Presume you paraphrase, as no American ever uttered that phrase, except a) if gay and/or b) as a joke.
From P.J. O'Rourke to Joe Rogan . . . what a comedown for US "conservatism" . . .
https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/observations/2020/03/pj-o-rourke-i-thought-trump-was-unstable-dangerous-i-still-do
Also v good on “bachelor furnishing”
I remember this line
“If you have a fine chair, it can be enhanced if you throw over it the skin of some wild animal. Like a young blonde”
Yes yes. Sexist unWoke misogyny. But funny
I know someone who works in the FCO who is a member...
@CBSWalsh
@CBSDavidMartin reporting US can see Russia units moving out of assembly areas toward the Ukraine border; it looks like Russian military uncoiling in preparation for an invasion
Odds on the Russians going for it. imvvho
Along with the conversation with his grandmother who was worried he was becoming a Democrat. When he explained that he was a Maoist, she said that was fine. Just as long as he wasn't becoming Democrat....
Again keep an eye about happenings in Ukraine as much as its borders, signs of internal disruption may time a military attack to around 2-6 hours later.
August 1914 - the railway timetables rolled, the French retreated from the frontier to their fortifications.... And everyone waited.
Joe Biden’s speech sounded like a closing argument, one that had been honed for some time and one that suggested expectations are still high in the White House that Russia will take military action.
Guardian live blog
Deleted - I don’t want another ban.
One strip inside I really can flag up, as it kind of topical as Kiev government can do with these ladies - BDSM cowgirl lovers, who wipe out all the Nazi invaders whilst talking through crisis in their relationship at the same time!
https://the-comics-journal.sfo3.digitaloceanspaces.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/heath_9.jpg
I know what some of you are thinking: a day can’t be a wasted day, when you see a fine drawing of a tank. 😘
"The world is built on discrimination of the most horrible kind. The problem with South Africans is they admit it. They don’t say, like the French, “Algerians have a legal right to live in the sixteenth arrondissement, but they can’t afford to.” They don’t say, like the Israelis, “Arabs have a legal right to live in West Jerusalem, but they’re afraid to.” They don’t say, like the Americans, “Indians have a legal right to live in Ohio, but oops, we killed them all.” The South Africans just say, “Fuck you.” I believe it’s right there in their constitution: “Article IV: Fuck you. We’re bigots.” We hate them for this. And we’re going to hold indignant demonstrations…until the South Africans learn to stand up and lie like white men."
South of that area, in a straight line, is the largest single concentration the Ukrainian military, based in and around the contact line facing the two breakaway republics. Drive down east of that line, you occupy the breakaway republics. Drive west of it & you potentially cut off that large group of Ukrainian forces from the rest of the country.
Thanks to the wonder of aircraft tracking websites its perhaps notable that this area appears to be of particular interest to the now nightly US drone flights.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/we-dont-want-to-say-were-institutionally-racist-insists-met-police-xt67lj3rg
Dorothy and I came to scoff - but went away converted.
Unfortunately we were converted to Satanism. Now we're up half he night
going to witch's sabbaths and have to spend our free time reciting the
Lord's Prayer backward and scouring the neighbourhood for black dogs to
sacrifice. Frankly, it's a nuisance, but if it keeps us from going to the
Heritage USA part of heaven, it will be worth it.
“In the last few weeks, the benefits to Russia from its sabre-rattling must have far exceeded the Kremlin’s expectations”
https://inews.co.uk/news/world/unwinnable-war-ukraine-no-upside-putin-threats-the-west-lining-up-to-listen-1462786
https://inews.co.uk/news/world/russia-ukraine-conflict-putin-is-biggest-winner-so-far-as-uk-others-fight-enhance-status-1454193
I’m not sure about all of that.
But one point he makes I do agree with - to initiate military conflict Putin has to have two basic things, clear goals to achieve, and an exit strategy - what an idiot if he invades with neither, a full on invasion of Ukraine will end up in an open ended mess. However if Putin continues to get more European and Ukraine support for implementing Minsk Protocols II - particularly Donetsk and Luhansk Pleblicites on autonomy - he has something tangible to work with without lumbering himself with a mess. Rather than craving dialogue with Washington, Putin’s design could be to court EU member states instead and distance them from London and Washington to diminish influence of Washington and London. Arguably Washington and London are doing plenty to help Putin, like how Aukus embittered the French? the Afghan debacle wounded Bidens credibility and weakened him? Brexit?
To say Brexit has played into Putin’s plans will be controversial for many - but in situations like this you need to stand together, speak as one, act as one, anything gets in the way of that doesn’t help? So do we need to hear Boris and Truss talk up togetherness with EU countries a bit more? Visit them for talks on this a bit more?