It’s a long time since a LAB leader was dominating the Tories – politicalbetting.com
It’s a long time since a LAB leader was dominating the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Who would have thought only a couple of months ago that LAB would by mid-January be totally dominating CON in the House of Commons and have double digit voting intention leads?
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You don't get to become DPP without having some stardust about you.
The long-delayed mid term has hit the Conservative Government hard and fast helped by some spectacular self-inflicted wounds.
It's clear Johnson expects the payroll vote to back him in any VONC which makes it really difficult for the challengers to get their victory. The problem is the perception of division will remain whatever the outcome as Theresa May discovered.
We've also had a defection from Conservative to Labour which would have been unthinkable not so long ago when the talk was of Labour MPs moving over to the Tories. Those in the ditch with the Prime Minister are understandably prickly and defensive but if what has been said about the new intake of Conservative MPs is true, it's spectacularly naive. Gratitude is a scarce commodity in politics and imagining the Red Wall MPs as some kind of praetorian guard to Boris Maximus was clearly delusional.
To take it a notch further, I sense some of the Red Wall MPs are seeking to re-define modern conservatism and conservative thinking and that may not sit well with some of the traditionalists.
Based on experience of Mt St Helens eruption/explosion, am more hopeful loss of life will be than you fear.
Appears most in Tonga got tsunami warning, which of course was not an issue with MSH. Nor did Tongans have to deal with mud & debris flows down rivers. In both cases plenty of rocks & esp. ash raining down. Highly survivable provided not too heavy in your locality AND you could find shelter.
Huge problem in both cases: dealing with and cleaning out inches-to-feet of ash deposited, which in Tonga's case has reportedly taken out most if not all potable water infrastructure.
PLUS the Tongans now face risk of COVID, in country that IIRC has had just ONE reported case.
Was Cromwell a Freemason?
Part 2.
I havn’t much to go on. But my brother is obsessed with Templars. He says Cromwell was a Freemason 🤷♀️
It’s to do with those who love magnacarta. The night King John signed it he stayed with knight Templar. at that time they wrote all the laws?
I think the graph is unfortunately going to turn red again.
https://www.strandlines.london/2021/08/12/temple-church-magna-carta-and-the-knights-templar/
If you know anything about rugby at all you will know the massive contribution this fantastic little nation has made to the game, far in excess of its size. Some of the world's best players hail from Tonga or like Wales' Faletau, have Tongan connections. Lomu's parents were Tongans FFS.
Club sides all around the world have employed them, some nations have co-opted their players to help achieve success, and now its payback time.
Things have been going his way since Paterson and then Partygate. But it's worth remembering that he became LOTO one month into Covid, during lockdown one, and in his first year it was difficult to be too 'oppositional' in the face of a national crisis that drowned everything else out. So if it looked like he was treading water during his first year, it's because he was.
I think he's a pretty patient sort of chap, and is playing the long game rather well.
Tory MPs defecting to Labour might look good daan saaf, but the optics are dreadful north of the border.
*Edit = channeled through, not just the Kiwis to help
Lab 55% (+4)
Con 23% (-10)
LD 9% (+2)
Grn 7% (nc)
(YouGov; 13-17 January; sample size=1,166)
But, y'know, he's made a good start.
*until 1994 when he changed his mind and came up with 'prison works.'
His performance today looked quite different from previous ones. His pauses his lightness of touch knowing when to smile. I can only see him getting better as he gets more practiced. He's also made a decision to clear out the Corbynites and it's working. They're not missed and they look a much broader church without them.
Those in the Tory party who believe in uncontrolled borrowing, paying people to sit at home and do nothing, capping energy costs and making ridiculous promises they have no hope of keeping on transport should join Labour.
Starting with Boris Johnson.
But nevertheless, that rule is probably right in this case.
I looked up the authors poetry too, but it’s locked down apart from the opening bits, which is a shame as it was instantly engaging
I guess I can copy paste the bit she left open?
Where’s Richard Burton when you need him, I read it with his voice in my head 🙂
Diving into the Wreck
You can’t translate its planks
or say
exactly what its split mast means.
Only, say only its rigging’s green,
its deck a carpet squirming weeds,
lisp grasses, fish unseen.
There too,
a whisper buffeted,
a coffer buried,
embroiled in sand and ancient
tynne – spoils scattered on soft
rock surfaces. It’s true, too, this ship
was Flanders-bound, and held old
stores of muscadel and metheglin.
But any further, and the further
we go in, its shape recedes,
And so is the case here. SKS is much more likely to win in 2024 (possibly outright) with Johnson as his opponent than facing another fresh face.
Has he played a blinder today with the defection? I don't know. But if it makes Johnson safer, then surely that's better for Labour.
Labour really don't want to lose in 2024. To do so would see them out of power until likely 2029, which is the longest they've ever been out of power post war.
( I accept this may not be her priority )
Perhaps Cyclefree could add a word from experience on how one might balance expectations in a situation like this.
Right wing politician favoured hanging is of course not exactly noose.
Have far too much work but getting the energy to do it is proving a bit difficult. So off to bed and to give myself a good talking to. Then will just make myself bloody do it.
Take care all.
We could do with him right now. After all, he sacked Johnson once for lying...
The issue for Labour, though, would be if a new Tory leader came in and then the ratings started to recover. Not hard to imagine those MPs deciding to shift back.
Call yourself an Assassin? Your not even a patch on Norman Bates! The target is still standing.
Norman is going to need something other than more flipping parties?
hugh-gen-aughts
Sort of like 'astronauts'.
The only question is did I move leftward, or did I stay still whilst the political landscape slid to the right?
That should be fun..er, interesting and socially useful, if anyone's actually got it and it really exists.
A Tonga v NZ or Oz League and Union double header would sell out and generate huge broadcast fees.
Unfortunately, politics will intervene no doubt.
https://policyoptions.irpp.org/fr/magazines/september-2018/research-shows-that-mps-who-cross-the-floor-lose-votes/
Rachael Swindon
@Rachael_Swindon
·
5h
Keir Starmer’s Labour Party.
A home for Tony Blair and a Tory MP.
But not a home for Jeremy Corbyn and Ken Loach.
I don't think I could cope with having to vote for him at the next election!
And in one bound, Boris will be free even if on page 23, paragraph 104, sub-paragraph c, it is proved that Boris did see the BYOB email so is 90 per cent certain to have realised this was not a Cobra meeting, few will notice and no-one will care. Because that is how all these inquiries work out.
James Melville
@JamesMelville
As far as U-turns go, this one is quite spectacular.
https://twitter.com/JamesMelville/status/1483894115976761349
“ No wallpapergate inquiry from the Parliamentary Standards Commissioner. “
No. He got away with that too.
Before Big G re convinced us parties would bring Boris down, I did feel Parliamentary Standards Commissioner investigating wallpaper for access effectively cash for government spending on donors pet projects would be more dangerous. If she said you’ve done wrong she can then suspend from commons, in other words resigning matter.
The fact Boris can’t be investigated for that independently like an MP because he is a minister, therefore appoints his own man to investigate just doesn’t feel fair or effective at tackling corruption, does it?
JFC.
Brexit can only truly be unwound once both Boris *and* Macron have left the scene.
Would be fantastic IF a team or better yet the league donated share of HUGE profits from ongoing NFL playoffs to Tongan disaster relief.