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Introducing the LAB-LD “pact” that doesn’t exist and won’t – politicalbetting.com

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  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 12,415
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    maaarsh said:

    Ventilated patients at lowest level since Mid October.

    Getting pretty untenable to say that we have anything other than an isolation rules induced staffing crisis at this point.

    IMHO it's time to abandon both whole population testing and isolation rules and concentrate finite resources on health and care settings, their patients/residents, and their employees.

    Expending enormous effort on testing and isolating schoolchildren, for example, is pointless given the nature of the Omicron variant.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391

    COVID Summary

    - Cases still rising. R is coming down, a lot, though


    - Admissions are flat or going down overall.



    even in the North East, which has the highest case rises, the admissions are following this pattern

    - Mechanical ventilator numbers are flat
    - Deaths are rising slightly.

    Mechanical ventilator numbers aren't flat, they fell quite sharply today and are the lowest they've been since the middle of October - 728 for England.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268
    edited January 2022

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,725
    Interesting by election in Birmingham Erdington
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    pigeon said:

    maaarsh said:

    Ventilated patients at lowest level since Mid October.

    Getting pretty untenable to say that we have anything other than an isolation rules induced staffing crisis at this point.

    IMHO it's time to abandon both whole population testing and isolation rules and concentrate finite resources on health and care settings, their patients/residents, and their employees.

    Expending enormous effort on testing and isolating schoolchildren, for example, is pointless given the nature of the Omicron variant.
    We constantly hear (most recently from Drakeford today) that “with”/“of” distinction is meaningless as regards to hospitals because “patients have to be separated at great difficulty in hospital regardless”. At what point does even this basic assumption (in addition to requirement to isolation regardless of symptoms and/or actually being ill) begin to be queried if it is causing disruption to ability to deliver wider hospital care?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,625
    maaarsh said:

    COVID Summary

    - Cases still rising. R is coming down, a lot, though


    - Admissions are flat or going down overall.



    even in the North East, which has the highest case rises, the admissions are following this pattern

    - Mechanical ventilator numbers are flat
    - Deaths are rising slightly.

    Mechanical ventilator numbers aren't flat, they fell quite sharply today and are the lowest they've been since the middle of October - 728 for England.
    I am wary of saying anything based on a single days data - normally hospital numbers are final, but we have had updates before.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,852
    edited January 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    I have written to the Independent Advisor on Ministerial Interests.

    There are serious questions to be answered about the funding of the Downing Street flat.
    https://twitter.com/AngelaRayner/status/1479471714723680260/photo/1

    In due course, I expect Boris to award gongs to the Colston 4 and to Djokovic. They have played a sterling role in diverting attention from his correspondence with Lord Geidt.

    Seriously, are people not bothered with what has gone on here? The letters published yesterday between Geidt and Boris are truly shocking, and I'm pretty unshockable. How Geidt hasn't resigned is beyond me. (Of course I wouldn't expect Boris to resign for his appalling mendacity).
    Johnson's game is obvious but I'm not sure what Geidt's is. My tentative read is he needs the job. Whatever, it looks like an attempt to have it both ways. Not resign but telegraph a sentiment along the lines of: "I'd love to find this bloke guilty of breaking the Ministerial Code, cos I think he did, but he's stitched me up like a kipper and now I can't. And please don't go thinking I'm an idiot to let myself be stitched up like a kipper, because he lied to me and I was duty bound to accept his word, him being the PM and all, and me a man of honour, and it's too late to go back and do it all again."
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    A PLEA ABOUT DRINKS ON 3 FEB

    I really really want to go to a PB drinks but I also really really really want to go to Cape Verde 10 days later. I think this date was fixed when omicron was just a twinkle in some Botswanan's lung. Rather than holding a superspreading entertainment could we punt it a couple of months down the calendar?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 10,462
    Leon said:

    glw said:

    Leon said:

    His point about Daszak - the creepy scientist at Wuhan - successfully avoiding all questions (let alone arrest/trial etc) is bang on. The Americans can’t do much about Chinese labs and Chinese boffins, but Daszak is a US citizen, who got US funding, and he lives in the USA

    He could be hauled in front of a Senate committee/courtroom tomorrow. Yet they don’t do it

    Which strongly suggests plenty of important people in the USA are worried as F about their possible guilt, and are quite content for the whole Covid-origin question to be airily waved away as “unknowable”

    Which is even more reason to investigate it

    Did you see this? A suspected Delta lab-leak from a BSL3 laboratory in Taiwan.

    https://fortune.com/2021/12/10/taiwan-investigates-covid-lab-leak-scientist-tests-positive-bite-infected-mouse/

    Far too many people act as though lab-leaks of dangerous viruses can't happen.
    Yes indeed. Which makes the successful suppression of the lab leak hypothesis - as a “racist conspiracy” - for at least a year, all the more remarkable, and outrageous

    They acted like it was an insane concept - a virus leaking from a lab! No way! - and anyone who voiced the possibility was a crackpot Trumpite

    Quintessential gaslighting

    I confess it worked on me, for a while. My initial assumption when the virus first emerged was Oh it must have come from the lab. The coincidence was just too much. This was, let it be noted, the initial assumption of the Chinese scientist who runs the lab - batwoman Shi - she thought “Christ what if it got out of my lab” and she rushed back from Shanghai to “check”. So it was not an absurd theory to HER

    Then the Lancet letter came out and everyone denounced the hypothesis and I thought “well they must know what they’re talking about”

    A couple of months later the doubts began. THAT virus in THAT city with THAT lab? Etc
    I don't think the reaction to your posts is because people are denying lab leaks happen, after all as I posted last night I can think of two important ones in my lifetime, just in the UK, namely smallpox in Birmingham and Foot and Mouth in Pirbright. There is more to the reaction to your posts than that, but there is no point in going over that again.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,603
    edited January 2022
    pigeon said:

    maaarsh said:

    Ventilated patients at lowest level since Mid October.

    Getting pretty untenable to say that we have anything other than an isolation rules induced staffing crisis at this point.

    IMHO it's time to abandon both whole population testing and isolation rules and concentrate finite resources on health and care settings, their patients/residents, and their employees.

    Expending enormous effort on testing and isolating schoolchildren, for example, is pointless given the nature of the Omicron variant.
    Yes, incentivise the NHS managers as well, put an end 2022 time limit to the testing budget and tell them that the money will get spent whatever happens, whether they want to spend it on pointlessly testing everyone every 3 minutes or have it for wider healthcare spending and waiting list reductions is up to them.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391
    Now London hospital occupation is decreasing, likely the deaths peak by actual date was Tuesday/Wednesday - will be interesting to see where the number ends up. At the moment the rolling 7 day average is at 21. Likely to tick up as lagged data comes in, but given it peaked at 200 last year looks like we're in the 10-20% of last year's daily death peaks territory, and the much quicker wave length means total deaths in wave likely to be half or less of that figure. Omicron is going to struggle to match a routine year of flu deaths.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 24,588

    Interesting by election in Birmingham Erdington

    Great opportunity for your boy Boris to make it an 82 seat majority.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,391

    maaarsh said:

    COVID Summary

    - Cases still rising. R is coming down, a lot, though


    - Admissions are flat or going down overall.



    even in the North East, which has the highest case rises, the admissions are following this pattern

    - Mechanical ventilator numbers are flat
    - Deaths are rising slightly.

    Mechanical ventilator numbers aren't flat, they fell quite sharply today and are the lowest they've been since the middle of October - 728 for England.
    I am wary of saying anything based on a single days data - normally hospital numbers are final, but we have had updates before.
    Fair enough, but may be safer to present the data with caveats than to make a statement which flatly contradicts it.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,081
    edited January 2022
    pigeon said:

    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8

    Though Wales counts reinfections after 42 days, unlike the others at present. These seem to be 10-15% of cases, such as SKS.

    Anyone know if this applies to the 28 day rule for deaths? If a positive is not timestamped, can a death be counted?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268
    maaarsh said:

    Now London hospital occupation is decreasing, likely the deaths peak by actual date was Tuesday/Wednesday - will be interesting to see where the number ends up. At the moment the rolling 7 day average is at 21. Likely to tick up as lagged data comes in, but given it peaked at 200 last year looks like we're in the 10-20% of last year's daily death peaks territory, and the much quicker wave length means total deaths in wave likely to be half or less of that figure. Omicron is going to struggle to match a routine year of flu deaths.

    “I've now heard from sources at three major NHS trusts in England - and I'm sure it's the case elsewhere - that ICU staff are being redeployed to support colleagues on general and acute wards. A complete about-turn from previous waves where ICU was under most strain.”


    https://twitter.com/mroliverbarnes/status/1479488759880110089?s=21
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 7,257

    Interesting by election in Birmingham Erdington

    Curtains for SKS if it's in any way interesting, surely?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,852
    FF43 said:

    Leon said:

    MrEd said:

    Leon said:

    MrEd said:

    Back to @dixiedean and the fact that up to the Reform Act, women could technically vote. A similar-ish thing with regards to gay rights. It was only in 1885 that male homosexual relationships were explicitly made illegal (although they were covered in practice before that). In fact the sodomy laws were a bit of a mess....

    "The definition of sodomy was not specified in these or any statute, but rather established by judicial precedent. Over the years the courts have defined buggery as including either

    anal intercourse or oral intercourse by a man with a man or woman or
    vaginal intercourse by either a man or a woman with an animal,

    but not any other form of "unnatural intercourse", the implication being that anal sex with an animal would not constitute buggery."

    Isn’t that the Act where - apocryphally - Queen Victoria struck out any reference to lesbians, on the grounds that she refused to believe such a thing existed
    Yes, that's the one.
    Hard to believe. Victoria was rampantly sexual. Notoriously so (which is quite odd, given the way her name is associated with prudery)

    She must occasionally have wondered about one of her prettier chamber maids.
    Victoria liked sex but didn't like children, I gather. Something her many offspring had an issue with.
    I wonder if that is more or less common than the reverse?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 12,415
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,004
    IshmaelZ said:

    A PLEA ABOUT DRINKS ON 3 FEB

    I really really want to go to a PB drinks but I also really really really want to go to Cape Verde 10 days later. I think this date was fixed when omicron was just a twinkle in some Botswanan's lung. Rather than holding a superspreading entertainment could we punt it a couple of months down the calendar?

    Everyone will have had Omicron by then.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 7,881
    BigRich said:

    On Tuesday evening on this site I made a bet with rkrkrkr, that UK hospitalisations would not exceed a rate of 3,000 a day before the end of February.

    With 3 days of extra date now out, I'm feeling very confidant in this bet/prediction.

    Well good luck and obviously a large part of me hopes you win!
    I still think cases in England are rising fast (particularly among older age groups), and that will feed into hospitalizations soon.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
    I’ve got quite a few sexy photos and vids of ex girlfriends (all taken and kept consensually - and securely). I don’t think of them as porn but maybe I delude myself

    The ex who did the O Murphy pose has put some of her photos on Onlyfans and made money from them. That probably does cross the line into porn? But I don’t judge her for it, let alone condemn her. They’re her photos of herself, good luck to her if people are willing to pay
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,265
    I agree with Mike's header - that's how it will work.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    IshmaelZ said:

    A PLEA ABOUT DRINKS ON 3 FEB

    I really really want to go to a PB drinks but I also really really really want to go to Cape Verde 10 days later. I think this date was fixed when omicron was just a twinkle in some Botswanan's lung. Rather than holding a superspreading entertainment could we punt it a couple of months down the calendar?

    I am predicting by 3 feb 2022, this wave will be over, so no reason to change plans for that reason. however I can not make that date for work reasons, therefor if there was going to be a delay that might suite me, or we could have more than one?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,043
    Applicant said:

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    They have shares in LFT manufacturers?
    At least that would make sense.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    I'm sorry and I don't what to make like of the rules but this is very funny :)
  • MattWMattW Posts: 18,094
    MaxPB said:

    New data shows 63% of COVID patients in England are being treated primarily for COVID, down from 67% last week and 75% in October

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1479476816821764098?s=20

    The South Africans ended up with that figure at just 40% at their Omicron peak, if memory serves. Ours is headed in the same direction, although possibly unlikely to reach the depths of the Gauteng experience.
    I think that could be because of our older, fatter and more diabetic population. Still we could be heading to around 50/50. The incoming funnel looks to be at about that rate. The daily hospitalisation figure will be above 50% incidental already as it will include A&E patients who get sent home on the same day.
    I think you'll find that prevalence of diabetes is higher in South Africa than in the UK.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
    I don't really understand the painting. How is her left leg supported? How does the white sheet morph into a jumbo size pillow, and what are all those folds of chaise longue coloured cloth billowing on the right hand side?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 14,884

    Patients in England on mechanical ventilation beds down to lowest level since 18-10-2021

    Clearly then Omicron does not affect the lungs in anywhere near the same way as the previous variants, so what are people being admitted to hospital for if its with Omicron
    You can still be pretty sick with omicron. Also there is still delta out there.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,603
    I actually think The Saj might have got it right, the old calculations were done before the infection rate exploded.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    alex_ said:

    pigeon said:

    maaarsh said:

    Ventilated patients at lowest level since Mid October.

    Getting pretty untenable to say that we have anything other than an isolation rules induced staffing crisis at this point.

    IMHO it's time to abandon both whole population testing and isolation rules and concentrate finite resources on health and care settings, their patients/residents, and their employees.

    Expending enormous effort on testing and isolating schoolchildren, for example, is pointless given the nature of the Omicron variant.
    We constantly hear (most recently from Drakeford today) that “with”/“of” distinction is meaningless as regards to hospitals because “patients have to be separated at great difficulty in hospital regardless”. At what point does even this basic assumption (in addition to requirement to isolation regardless of symptoms and/or actually being ill) begin to be queried if it is causing disruption to ability to deliver wider hospital care?
    I don't know. In principle one would've thought that hospitals would want to concentrate on minimising the risk to the categories of patients most vulnerable to Covid (e.g. in immunology clinics) and not be so worried about fit thirtysomethings with broken bones ending up with a snotty nose as well. However, I doubt that it's that simple: there are most likely potentially vulnerable patients (the elderly for starters) scattered all over hospitals, and it would be hard of not impossible to segregate them.

    The best solution is probably, therefore, to carpet bomb healthcare workers with tests, to pick up and remove new cases speedily but also to allow affected workers to come back again the moment that they begin to test clear. Under current circumstances an absolute top priority is to determine whether or not the Americans and others have got it wrong when they've cut the isolation period from 7 to 5 days - and whether, indeed, we're doing more harm than good by making people isolate for any longer than it takes them to return a negative LFT result.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 18,094
    Taz said:

    RIP Jack Dromey. Thoughts to Harriet Harman and their children as well.

    Just seen it on the BBC. RIP
    +1.

    I heard him speak in the early 90s when he was a Trade Union leader.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,346

    Patients in England on mechanical ventilation beds down to lowest level since 18-10-2021

    Clearly then Omicron does not affect the lungs in anywhere near the same way as the previous variants, so what are people being admitted to hospital for if its with Omicron
    You can still be pretty sick with omicron. Also there is still delta out there.
    I know you can be sick, I was just wondering what type of treatment you get.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    Interesting by election in Birmingham Erdington

    Great opportunity for your boy Boris to make it an 82 seat majority.
    Erdington seems to be Leaverstan Central.

    The 4 local wards making up Erdington were all strongly Leave, with Kingstanding a whopping 71 % LEAVE.

    https://tinyurl.com/yckhnu4b

    It looks like an WWC Leaver seat, the kind which have been gradually falling out of love with Labour over the years.

    No doubt SKS with his tin ear will be lining up a prominent member of the metropolitan elite to fight the seat.

    Maybe you, @Mexicanpete ? You have Midlands connections, no :)
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 14,884

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    Well they can fuck off, can't they! I have a chemisty student this semester full time lab work. My pharmacy students need in person teaching, on-line doesn't cut it. There is no need for this.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 12,415
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
    I’ve got quite a few sexy photos and vids of ex girlfriends (all taken and kept consensually - and securely). I don’t think of them as porn but maybe I delude myself

    The ex who did the O Murphy pose has put some of her photos on Onlyfans and made money from them. That probably does cross the line into porn? But I don’t judge her for it, let alone condemn her. They’re her photos of herself, good luck to her if people are willing to pay
    You’ve side stepped the porn status of those nudes on the walls of the rooms of power, but that’s okay, fair enough.

    I have never thought of doing Onlyfans, which is a new thing anyway, I had thought of doing Abby Winters, my favourite porn site. I’m pretty content these days I didn’t.

    My platform posting on PB is perfectly honest what I think and feel, I have no qualms to put my hand up (I think is the right phrase) and say I use porn as much as the next PBer.

    That painting you posted is porn to me. Not least because It’s opened Pandora’s Box for me. I have to step outside the chat room chaps, I may be sometime…
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268
    IshmaelZ said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
    I don't really understand the painting. How is her left leg supported? How does the white sheet morph into a jumbo size pillow, and what are all those folds of chaise longue coloured cloth billowing on the right hand side?
    She does look like she’s about to slide off. Which perhaps adds to the eroticism. It provokes the idea in the observer that you must shortly rush over to “help” her
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    rkrkrk said:

    BigRich said:

    On Tuesday evening on this site I made a bet with rkrkrkr, that UK hospitalisations would not exceed a rate of 3,000 a day before the end of February.

    With 3 days of extra date now out, I'm feeling very confidant in this bet/prediction.

    Well good luck and obviously a large part of me hopes you win!
    I still think cases in England are rising fast (particularly among older age groups), and that will feed into hospitalizations soon.
    Good Evening rkrkrk, :)

    I what to be gentlemanly and wish you luck as well, but because of the natcher of the bet Ill stay away form theat. but thank you for the sentiment.

    Part of me is wishing I did not go for the 3,000 UK wide now. :(
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 53,774
    Leon said:

    “Even without more restrictions, Londoners are hunkering down as much as they did last Jan when the city was in Tier4.

    From The Spectator data hub:-

    data.spectator.co.uk/category/london”

    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/1479487688973688836?s=21

    Ah hem... Which wise sage on here said that government diktat makes surprisingly little difference, and people lock themselves down when they're scared?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,165
    Selebian said:

    Interesting by election in Birmingham Erdington

    Curtains for SKS if it's in any way interesting, surely?
    Asian % in...

    Batley and Spen - 20%
    Erdington - 10%

    George Galloway less of a threat here.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Arguably it is pornographic. Via the pose. Is that how you watch England cricket, in that pose? Is that exactly what she is doing right now, watching live coverage? She is looking pensive about something, like expecting a short one any moment, or one to swing in?

    If you want to argue if it’s porn or not, we can tie this to the Sufferegette discussion. I can’t find the painting(s) online, it was a pre raphealite exhibition in a gallery I went in, a gentleman’s club had hired one of the leading pre raphaelites to paint the leading suffragettes nude, from imagination.

    The intent behind that is kind of obvious isn’t it Leon? Not entirely innocent you would agree?

    I think they found OMurphy in a place of ill repute. The painting just screams “look at my mistress- boo boo losers!”

    Not that I am saying that is what you done.
    Isn’t the definition of porn “you know it when you see it”? And I just don’t see it here, but maybe you do - fair enough. It is still extremely erotic

    Absolutely agree on the motivation. This is the commissioner of the painting, or the painter himself, or both, quietly boasting - yes, I had her

    And also, no doubt, wanting to preserve the pleasant memory of that. Even as time steals the human beauty away
    I think we largely agree. Wether it is preserving the pleasant memory or sharing it in a game of oneupmanship. (I think that’s the right phrase)

    If you filmed yourself in the act to preserve a pleasant memory Leon, would that not be porn?

    The gentlman only club with their naked sufferegette leaders on the walls, in beautiful pre raphaelite perfectly artistic glory, not porn in your opinion?
    I’ve got quite a few sexy photos and vids of ex girlfriends (all taken and kept consensually - and securely). I don’t think of them as porn but maybe I delude myself

    The ex who did the O Murphy pose has put some of her photos on Onlyfans and made money from them. That probably does cross the line into porn? But I don’t judge her for it, let alone condemn her. They’re her photos of herself, good luck to her if people are willing to pay
    You’ve side stepped the porn status of those nudes on the walls of the rooms of power, but that’s okay, fair enough.

    I have never thought of doing Onlyfans, which is a new thing anyway, I had thought of doing Abby Winters, my favourite porn site. I’m pretty content these days I didn’t.

    My platform posting on PB is perfectly honest what I think and feel, I have no qualms to put my hand up (I think is the right phrase) and say I use porn as much as the next PBer.

    That painting you posted is porn to me. Not least because It’s opened Pandora’s Box for me. I have to step outside the chat room chaps, I may be sometime…
    It’s a bit early for this chat! But what the hell

    Confession: for a while I really liked Abby Winters as well
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,625
    maaarsh said:

    maaarsh said:

    COVID Summary

    - Cases still rising. R is coming down, a lot, though


    - Admissions are flat or going down overall.



    even in the North East, which has the highest case rises, the admissions are following this pattern

    - Mechanical ventilator numbers are flat
    - Deaths are rising slightly.

    Mechanical ventilator numbers aren't flat, they fell quite sharply today and are the lowest they've been since the middle of October - 728 for England.
    I am wary of saying anything based on a single days data - normally hospital numbers are final, but we have had updates before.
    Fair enough, but may be safer to present the data with caveats than to make a statement which flatly contradicts it.
    A seven day average of the data would still be flat. The trend is your friend etc.

    The flatness of the ventilator data is remarkable all by itself - it is one of the main reasons I am optimistic about the current situation. That and the trend for hospital admissions - even in the North East.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,328
    Foxy said:

    pigeon said:

    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8

    Though Wales counts reinfections after 42 days, unlike the others at present. These seem to be 10-15% of cases, such as SKS.

    Anyone know if this applies to the 28 day rule for deaths? If a positive is not timestamped, can a death be counted?
    So if 4 million or so have succumbed to omicron, and only 10-15% were reinfections, how few people are now totally naive to COVID? It can only be a couple of millions or so.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268
    edited January 2022
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    “Even without more restrictions, Londoners are hunkering down as much as they did last Jan when the city was in Tier4.

    From The Spectator data hub:-

    data.spectator.co.uk/category/london”

    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/1479487688973688836?s=21

    Ah hem... Which wise sage on here said that government diktat makes surprisingly little difference, and people lock themselves down when they're scared?
    I believe it was me. And thank you for pointing it out

    It was you, wise sir.

    [FTFY, Ed]
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,625
    rkrkrk said:

    BigRich said:

    On Tuesday evening on this site I made a bet with rkrkrkr, that UK hospitalisations would not exceed a rate of 3,000 a day before the end of February.

    With 3 days of extra date now out, I'm feeling very confidant in this bet/prediction.

    Well good luck and obviously a large part of me hopes you win!
    I still think cases in England are rising fast (particularly among older age groups), and that will feed into hospitalizations soon.
    And yet -

    image
  • Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 38,852
    Owen on Tony Blair -
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jan/07/labour-tony-blair-prime-minister-grassroots

    He keeps me honest, Jones does. If ever I drift towards 'centrism' his columns slap me in the chops.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 11,184

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    Their job is lefty posturing, same as every other union.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 38,530
    BigRich said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    I'm sorry and I don't what to make like of the rules but this is very funny :)
    England should, of course, invade that small part of Wales. Causing the Second Football War and a rather important pitch invasion. ;)
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 43,625
    Cookie said:

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    Their job is lefty posturing, same as every other union.
    That is incorrect. For many it is about building their CV for left wing politics. Another small minority are prototype Piers Corbyns..
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,620
    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,043
    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    1h
    Wes Streeting is a serious politician. The Tories need to be worried about this guy.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,328

    BigRich said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    I'm sorry and I don't what to make like of the rules but this is very funny :)
    England should, of course, invade that small part of Wales. Causing the Second Football War and a rather important pitch invasion. ;)
    But the tank tracks will tear up that turf something rotten.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 39,153

    BigRich said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    I'm sorry and I don't what to make like of the rules but this is very funny :)
    England should, of course, invade that small part of Wales. Causing the Second Football War and a rather important pitch invasion. ;)
    Just plan an international (local English team vs local Welsh). it's how that odd reentrant in the Anglo-Scottish border near Coldstream was created - i think we discussed it some years back.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    Cookie said:

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    Their job is lefty posturing, same as every other union.
    That's uncharitable, not all unions are like that. But one suspects that the NUS probably is. Our Students Association didn't bother to affiliate to the NUS because it was regarded as being useless at its actual job and that was back in the 1990s.
  • Interesting comments from Cummings re Guardians alleged party

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1479481033993211905?t=-7mrC04uLXRVca_I05esAA&s=19

    Where as the other party, he was conveniently ill for...Anybody think there is a game being played here....just as party gate dies down a bit, up pop Big Dom, throwing out some more breadcrumbs.
    And he says Carrie's presence was legitimate
    Surely Carrie's presence is problematic because if it was, as Cummings said, a business meeting (or series of business meetings) then Carrie should not have been there. If Carrie was there, which is fine in itself because it is her garden, then it was a social meeting so Cummings should not have been there.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,165
    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    I'd argue that the main entrance to the ground is in England.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 18,094

    Interesting comments from Cummings re Guardians alleged party

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1479481033993211905?t=-7mrC04uLXRVca_I05esAA&s=19

    Where as the other party, he was conveniently ill for...Anybody think there is a game being played here....just as party gate dies down a bit, up pop Big Dom, throwing out some more breadcrumbs.
    And he says Carrie's presence was legitimate
    Surely Carrie's presence is problematic because if it was, as Cummings said, a business meeting (or series of business meetings) then Carrie should not have been there. If Carrie was there, which is fine in itself because it is her garden, then it was a social meeting so Cummings should not have been there.
    Carrie is part of the Government.

    Of course she goes to business meetings.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    Then you should post a painting that you DO find erotic. Go on, it might be fun

    It’s such a pleasant distraction from ICU occupancy and booster rates
  • iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    It would be a complete disgrace. It is bad enough that students have had no compensation for the previous lockdowns.
  • TazTaz Posts: 10,704

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    There are a couple more on her Wikipedia page. Quite frankly my wife is in her mid fifties and her bum is in better shape and according to Wikipedia This pic was estimated as being painted when she was 14/15.
  • kinabalu said:

    Well I've just had a bizarre experience on OJ's twitter feed. We were talking about Sidney Poitier (rip) then Aaron Bastani crashes in with what it took me a few seconds to realize was harking back to the previous chat about Tony Blair.

    "Legendary actor Sidney Poitier has died, aged 94. He became the first Black - and Bahamian - man to win the Best Actor Oscar Award in 1964. Mr Poitier was one of the last surviving major stars from the Golden Age of Hollywood cinema."

    "He was also central to the housing crisis."

    It was a very troubling few seconds.

    I had a troubling few seconds there, too, until I realised you were following Owen Jones, and not a non-murdering former actor and american footballer.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    MattW said:

    Interesting comments from Cummings re Guardians alleged party

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1479481033993211905?t=-7mrC04uLXRVca_I05esAA&s=19

    Where as the other party, he was conveniently ill for...Anybody think there is a game being played here....just as party gate dies down a bit, up pop Big Dom, throwing out some more breadcrumbs.
    And he says Carrie's presence was legitimate
    Surely Carrie's presence is problematic because if it was, as Cummings said, a business meeting (or series of business meetings) then Carrie should not have been there. If Carrie was there, which is fine in itself because it is her garden, then it was a social meeting so Cummings should not have been there.
    Carrie is part of the Government.

    Of course she goes to business meetings.

    I do hope the real brains at No 10 is attending all these business meetings.

    Dillon.
  • Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    Then you should post a painting that you DO find erotic. Go on, it might be fun

    It’s such a pleasant distraction from ICU occupancy and booster rates
    It is not erotic because my attention is exhausted on the puzzle of the missing right thigh, just as with Van Gogh's paintings, I am left wondering if the artist has ever seen a sunflower.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,043

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    Well they can fuck off, can't they! I have a chemisty student this semester full time lab work. My pharmacy students need in person teaching, on-line doesn't cut it. There is no need for this.
    Of course there is no need for this. Ridiculous at this stage of the pandemic. Students have all had it and mainly been vaxxed and boosted. Sure, some level of reinfection with omi, but iirc it is not massive?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    What is the stated purpose? Increasingly with omicron the only point of restrictions is to push infections into the future. It’s probably past the point where they can have much effect on the overwhelming or otherwise of hospitals. And even the staffing issues will begin to resolve themselves naturally before very long. It was different with the pingdemic - now people should only be isolating if actually testing positive - therefore it should only happen once (unlike the “pingdemic” where it could happen multiple times).

    It’s just basically calling for restrictions for the purpose of wanting restrictions.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,328

    kinabalu said:

    Well I've just had a bizarre experience on OJ's twitter feed. We were talking about Sidney Poitier (rip) then Aaron Bastani crashes in with what it took me a few seconds to realize was harking back to the previous chat about Tony Blair.

    "Legendary actor Sidney Poitier has died, aged 94. He became the first Black - and Bahamian - man to win the Best Actor Oscar Award in 1964. Mr Poitier was one of the last surviving major stars from the Golden Age of Hollywood cinema."

    "He was also central to the housing crisis."

    It was a very troubling few seconds.

    I had a troubling few seconds there, too, until I realised you were following Owen Jones, and not a non-murdering former actor and american footballer.
    Didn't the combined lawsuits find him to be a non-murdering death causer?
  • FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    Then you should post a painting that you DO find erotic. Go on, it might be fun

    It’s such a pleasant distraction from ICU occupancy and booster rates
    It is not erotic because my attention is exhausted on the puzzle of the missing right thigh, just as with Van Gogh's paintings, I am left wondering if the artist has ever seen a sunflower.
    Maybe it's you who has never truly seen a sunflower ;)
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    I thought the Job of the NUS was to coach and mentor the next generation of Labour MPs?
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    TimT said:

    Foxy said:

    pigeon said:

    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8

    Though Wales counts reinfections after 42 days, unlike the others at present. These seem to be 10-15% of cases, such as SKS.

    Anyone know if this applies to the 28 day rule for deaths? If a positive is not timestamped, can a death be counted?
    So if 4 million or so have succumbed to omicron, and only 10-15% were reinfections, how few people are now totally naive to COVID? It can only be a couple of millions or so.
    Less than that one would assume. The ONS estimate at the end of November was that 95% of adults had Covid antibodies at the end of November, before all this started, and we know how easily it spreads through schools.

    Though, to give it its due, the Omicron variant does seem to be doing a remarkable job of finding and infecting the few remaining individuals who are left. Hence the high prevalence of refusers amongst the remaining seriously ill Covid patients.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,785
    TimT said:

    Foxy said:

    pigeon said:

    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8

    Though Wales counts reinfections after 42 days, unlike the others at present. These seem to be 10-15% of cases, such as SKS.

    Anyone know if this applies to the 28 day rule for deaths? If a positive is not timestamped, can a death be counted?
    So if 4 million or so have succumbed to omicron, and only 10-15% were reinfections, how few people are now totally naive to COVID? It can only be a couple of millions or so.
    The early signs that cases nationally are curving into a peak (the by sample date patterns, with a similar Bank Holiday pattern, don't look too dissimilar from post Christmas last year and that with lockdown) suggests a decent number of the vaccinated are not Omicron susceptible

    With the schools back, I don't expect as consistent a fall as was seen through lockdown last year, but I think we'll go into a pattern of oscillation, similar to the Summer/Autumn Delta wave, but at higher case levels for a good while.

    The worst of the hospitalisation wave is yet to come in the Regions and the next 2-3 weeks will be hairy, but my mid point guess is that we won't quite blow the NHS. Nevertheless, I'm just edging to the WfH mandates running to February half term and masking a bit longer still.

    From late spring, May time I reckon, a lot of the basics will be gradually toned down - isolation rules, recording COVID out with the normal weekly infection monitoring and next winter will be handled much more BAU basis, though still with a weather eye on variants that all look suspicious like Omicron redux.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 58,043

    MattW said:

    Interesting comments from Cummings re Guardians alleged party

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1479481033993211905?t=-7mrC04uLXRVca_I05esAA&s=19

    Where as the other party, he was conveniently ill for...Anybody think there is a game being played here....just as party gate dies down a bit, up pop Big Dom, throwing out some more breadcrumbs.
    And he says Carrie's presence was legitimate
    Surely Carrie's presence is problematic because if it was, as Cummings said, a business meeting (or series of business meetings) then Carrie should not have been there. If Carrie was there, which is fine in itself because it is her garden, then it was a social meeting so Cummings should not have been there.
    Carrie is part of the Government.

    Of course she goes to business meetings.

    I do hope the real brains at No 10 is attending all these business meetings.

    Dillon.
    Cummings lining up his ducks now that Sue Grey is on the case?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 15,547
    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    Literally an edge case, but there is no doubt the spectators as well as the game itself are in Wales.
  • MattW said:

    Interesting comments from Cummings re Guardians alleged party

    https://twitter.com/GuidoFawkes/status/1479481033993211905?t=-7mrC04uLXRVca_I05esAA&s=19

    Where as the other party, he was conveniently ill for...Anybody think there is a game being played here....just as party gate dies down a bit, up pop Big Dom, throwing out some more breadcrumbs.
    And he says Carrie's presence was legitimate
    Surely Carrie's presence is problematic because if it was, as Cummings said, a business meeting (or series of business meetings) then Carrie should not have been there. If Carrie was there, which is fine in itself because it is her garden, then it was a social meeting so Cummings should not have been there.
    Carrie is part of the Government.

    Of course she goes to business meetings.
    That is true, except of course it isn't, but perhaps Boris can kill two birds with one stone by creating an official government position of First Lady, as in America, thus legitimising Carrie's presence and bringing in an extra salary.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 24,588

    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    1h
    Wes Streeting is a serious politician. The Tories need to be worried about this guy.

    Hodges really is the "idiot" his mother accused him of being. He really is a dick. He blows hot and cold. One week it is a love-in with Johnson the next it is Wes Streeting.
  • FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
    Don't pay too much attention to the border drawn by Google. It's not exact.
  • kinabalu said:

    Owen on Tony Blair -
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jan/07/labour-tony-blair-prime-minister-grassroots

    He keeps me honest, Jones does. If ever I drift towards 'centrism' his columns slap me in the chops.

    People may not like Blair personally but repudiating him would be mad for Labour as it would reek of Corbyn-era far leftery. For myself, I disagreed violently with Blair on Iraq to the point of some light civil disobedience but I can't find it in my heart to hate someone who did a lot of good in power and is the only Labour leader to win an election in my fucking lifetime.
    I never liked him and never voted for him, but I think people that suggest someone of his stature and importance should not have a knighthood are quite bonkers. Yes, I know that means the majority of UK adults, please don't remind me how generally irrational and stupid the people of this country are!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 44,081
    MattW said:

    MaxPB said:

    New data shows 63% of COVID patients in England are being treated primarily for COVID, down from 67% last week and 75% in October

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1479476816821764098?s=20

    The South Africans ended up with that figure at just 40% at their Omicron peak, if memory serves. Ours is headed in the same direction, although possibly unlikely to reach the depths of the Gauteng experience.
    I think that could be because of our older, fatter and more diabetic population. Still we could be heading to around 50/50. The incoming funnel looks to be at about that rate. The daily hospitalisation figure will be above 50% incidental already as it will include A&E patients who get sent home on the same day.
    I think you'll find that prevalence of diabetes is higher in South Africa than in the UK.
    Yes, lots of diabetes in African urban areas.
  • (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    1h
    Wes Streeting is a serious politician. The Tories need to be worried about this guy.

    Hodges really is the "idiot" his mother accused him of being. He really is a dick. He blows hot and cold. One week it is a love-in with Johnson the next it is Wes Streeting.
    Lol! Wes Streeting is an absolute lightweight.
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 4,088
    alex_ said:

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    What is the stated purpose? Increasingly with omicron the only point of restrictions is to push infections into the future. It’s probably past the point where they can have much effect on the overwhelming or otherwise of hospitals. And even the staffing issues will begin to resolve themselves naturally before very long. It was different with the pingdemic - now people should only be isolating if actually testing positive - therefore it should only happen once (unlike the “pingdemic” where it could happen multiple times).

    It’s just basically calling for restrictions for the purpose of wanting restrictions.
    However, there are some other jurisdictions in Europe where governments are still enthusiastically tightening restrictions or seriously contemplating so doing.

    The common mindset in all of this is "restrictions worked in the past, so they'll work again now." Scientists and politicians who are unaware of, or determined to ignore, recent evidence suggesting that restrictions are weak or useless against Omicron are only going to learn this lesson by trying them again - if they learn at all.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 4,785
    FF43 said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    Literally an edge case, but there is no doubt the spectators as well as the game itself are in Wales.
    Who polices Chester City games?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 46,268
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    There are a couple more on her Wikipedia page. Quite frankly my wife is in her mid fifties and her bum is in better shape and according to Wikipedia This pic was estimated as being painted when she was 14/15.
    What an interesting Wiki page she has. A truly remarkable life.

    Born to a family of half-Irish prostitutes and thieves, found by an artist as a girl, got painted nude, became mistress to the French King, got dumped by the French king, then lived to a ripe old age after buying a palace and marrying twice and somehow surviving the guillotine, and her great grandson was Governor General of Algeria

    Brilliant
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 15,547
    Farooq said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
    Don't pay too much attention to the border drawn by Google. It's not exact.
    This is the OS map. The stadium is definitely in Wales


  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    rcs1000 said:

    Leon said:

    “Even without more restrictions, Londoners are hunkering down as much as they did last Jan when the city was in Tier4.

    From The Spectator data hub:-

    data.spectator.co.uk/category/london”

    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/1479487688973688836?s=21

    Ah hem... Which wise sage on here said that government diktat makes surprisingly little difference, and people lock themselves down when they're scared?
    Well I think back in April 2020, I was pointing that out WRT Sweden,

    But you also mentioned that and you deserve credit for it. :)
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,328
    pigeon said:

    TimT said:

    Foxy said:

    pigeon said:

    Seven day case rates on the Covid dashboard now updated as far as the seven days ending January 2nd:

    Northern Ireland: 2,852.7 per 100,000
    Wales: 2,577.6
    Scotland: 2,079.5
    England: 1,786.8

    Though Wales counts reinfections after 42 days, unlike the others at present. These seem to be 10-15% of cases, such as SKS.

    Anyone know if this applies to the 28 day rule for deaths? If a positive is not timestamped, can a death be counted?
    So if 4 million or so have succumbed to omicron, and only 10-15% were reinfections, how few people are now totally naive to COVID? It can only be a couple of millions or so.
    Less than that one would assume. The ONS estimate at the end of November was that 95% of adults had Covid antibodies at the end of November, before all this started, and we know how easily it spreads through schools.

    Though, to give it its due, the Omicron variant does seem to be doing a remarkable job of finding and infecting the few remaining individuals who are left. Hence the high prevalence of refusers amongst the remaining seriously ill Covid patients.
    Makes me think something is wrong with the numbers somewhere along the line. If 95% had some degree of immunity prior to omicron, then that is, say 3.3 million total (adults and kids) without any. Now 85% of 4 million is 3.4 million. the omicron cases amongst the naive. So there is no-one left with zero prior exposure ...

    Doesn't quite add up.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    I can't help but think if you make traditional unis almost entirely online only then you'd just go to one of the actual established online-only unis instead, i.e. go where they actually expect to do everything online and not where they have hastily adapted their courses at the last minute to online only.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,403

    iSAGE want unis to go back to online only and everybody to self-test every time you leave the house.....

    I absolutely don't understand why the NUS are not all over this.

    If teaching is all online, then there are no practicals, no language labs, no computer examples classes, etc.

    Their tuition is seriously diminished. Their learning experience is seriously diminished.

    There should be a fee discount.

    What are the NUS playing at -- their job is to look after students?
    Look after students? What's that got to do with Palestine?
  • TazTaz Posts: 10,704
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    As we are FINALLY TALKING ABOUT BOTTOMS, at least in the fine arts, here is one of my favourites. A Portrait of Louise O’Murphy, by Boucher



    I saw a television drama doc where they found this model and made this painting, the actress had an even better bottom and longer more slender legs.

    I’ve been obsessed by the female nude just about all my life. Painted millions And I have posed, but never like this though, that pose is just so naughty. But it makes beautiful painting from this angle.
    It is a sensationally erotic painting. One of the sexiest ever. Yet in its way quite innocent. Not “pornographic”

    My ex arguably had a peachier bottom than O’Murphy, and longer legs, likewise. No wonder the photographer got quite hot under her Sapphic collar
    Is that painting erotic? My reaction is to wonder what happened to her right thigh.
    There are a couple more on her Wikipedia page. Quite frankly my wife is in her mid fifties and her bum is in better shape and according to Wikipedia This pic was estimated as being painted when she was 14/15.
    What an interesting Wiki page she has. A truly remarkable life.

    Born to a family of half-Irish prostitutes and thieves, found by an artist as a girl, got painted nude, became mistress to the French King, got dumped by the French king, then lived to a ripe old age after buying a palace and marrying twice and somehow surviving the guillotine, and her great grandson was Governor General of Algeria

    Brilliant
    Yes, it’s for finds like that which Wikipedia is invaluable for.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,489
    FF43 said:

    Farooq said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
    Don't pay too much attention to the border drawn by Google. It's not exact.
    This is the OS map. The stadium is definitely in Wales


    Could the club quickly build a new front door and a long tunnel to link to the stadium?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 5,789
    edited January 2022
    FF43 said:

    Farooq said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
    Don't pay too much attention to the border drawn by Google. It's not exact.
    This is the OS map. The stadium is definitely in Wales


    Boris needs to get himself to a game ASAP, if there is part of a stand in England. Genius photo op.

    Weirdly, I've actually been to a game there.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,165
    From OS election maps:



    I think the front door is in England.
  • FarooqFarooq Posts: 10,775
    FF43 said:

    Farooq said:

    AlistairM said:

    Chester FC have been told by Police that they broke Covid regulations by having fans at recent games. Crowds allowed in England but different rules in Wales. They're now taking legal advice. Probably on how to move the border. 👇
    https://twitter.com/BarryAnderson_/status/1479450418648387586

    image

    An absolutely bizarre case! Looks from that picture that their front door is in England - my understanding is that is what determines one’s address. To which authority do they pay their council tax / rates ?
    Don't pay too much attention to the border drawn by Google. It's not exact.
    This is the OS map. The stadium is definitely in Wales


    Oh yes, I've no doubt about that. But I wouldn't take it down to the "where is the front door" level on the basis of a google map.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 15,243
    edited January 2022
    Re: La O'Murphy, is it relevant to note that she was (apparently) just 15 years old when her "portrait" was painted?

    One wonders what Prince Andrew would have to say about that.

    Lots more interesting stuff in her wiki bio
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marie-Louise_O'Murphy

    Make me proud to be Irish . . . sort of . . .

    Addendum - Note that her mother's maiden name was recorded as Iqui or alternatively O'Hiquy.

    My guess is that this is francified version of Hickey (O'Hickey)?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 18,094
    Foxy said:

    MattW said:

    MaxPB said:

    New data shows 63% of COVID patients in England are being treated primarily for COVID, down from 67% last week and 75% in October

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1479476816821764098?s=20

    The South Africans ended up with that figure at just 40% at their Omicron peak, if memory serves. Ours is headed in the same direction, although possibly unlikely to reach the depths of the Gauteng experience.
    I think that could be because of our older, fatter and more diabetic population. Still we could be heading to around 50/50. The incoming funnel looks to be at about that rate. The daily hospitalisation figure will be above 50% incidental already as it will include A&E patients who get sent home on the same day.
    I think you'll find that prevalence of diabetes is higher in South Africa than in the UK.
    Yes, lots of diabetes in African urban areas.
    Checking the numbers,

    UK is 4.9 million adults from 55 million. Approx 8.9%.
    https://www.diabetes.org.uk/professionals/position-statements-reports/statistics

    SA is 4.6 millions adults from 36 million. Approx 12.8%.
    https://idf.org/our-network/regions-members/africa/members/25-south-africa.html
This discussion has been closed.