How Johnson did in 2021 according to YouGov’s “Well/Badly” ratings – politicalbetting.com

It is the last day of the year I thought it might be good to have a few posts just looking back at how the data has changed.
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Can you actually think of any example where the decision made was NOT left so late there was no decision left to be made?
I will grant you the point that Boris isn't permanently depressed but that could equally be a front. Most comedians hide their depression behind a front of public happiness.
Just picked my GF up from a Covid infected ward though, so likely that we'll all come back absolutely riddled.
Horrendous weather as we head up the M90/A9.
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2021/dec/31/my-winter-of-love-rescued-my-partner-from-rabid-dogs
One always had the suspicion that Brown knew, deep down, that he was a fraud, whereas Johnson seems to actually believe that he is the reincarnation of Churchill.
"Adam and I had hit it off at a silent meditation retreat in Minneapolis,"
I do wonder if the Guardian has any idea about the lives of most people.
Had he left the decision late, we'd have maintained face masks and the rest of that garbage through the summer but we didn't.
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2021/dec/20/no-tree-no-presents-no-tv-worst-christmas-ever
And that's even before we talk about his interior decor...
For Boris it will surely be a whole new category: the Peppa Pig speech, a true emperors new clothes moment.
VOTERS’ estimations of the UK and Scottish leaders of both the Tory and Labour parties have sunk to record lows, Professor Sir John Curtice [the president of the British Polling Council] has said.
Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar’s rating has plummeted to a rating of -1, while his UK leader, Keir Starmer, has also seen a drop in his approval rating, which now sits on -35.
The news is equally poor for the Tory leaders, with UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson having an approval rating of -62. A massive 78% of people said Johnson was doing his job poorly.
Scottish Conservative leader Douglas Ross has also seen a drop in his rating, which now sits on -38. Just 17% of Scots said he was doing well in his role.
Alex Cole-Hamilton, the leader of the Scottish LibDems, has an approval rating of -16. However, the majority of respondents (55%) said they did not know how he was performing.
[Curtice] adds: “There is no sign of any electoral challenge to the grip of the nationalist movement on the Holyrood chamber. Meanwhile, the Conservatives are mired in sleaze, and the UK and Scottish leaders of the Conservative and the Labour Party have all sunk to record lows in voters’ estimation.”
https://www.thenational.scot/news/19740590.boris-johnson-keir-starmer-see-scottish-approval-ratings-hit-record-lows/
The Welshman orders a pint of Brains, downs it in one and shouts 'Fuck Drakeford!'
The Scotsman orders a Glenlivet, downs it in one and shouts 'Fuck Sturgeon!'
The Englishwoman orders a lemonade. The other two look at her, surprised, and she says, 'I don't need to get drunk, Boris has already fucked me.'
And with that mild xenophobia, I need to do some shopping.
The argument that he doesn't make decisions seems to come from those who're acting as if the only decision to make is how hard a restriction to impose and how soon can it be imposed.
Are you genuinely going to argue that Boris Johnson’s ratings have gone up in Scotland in the last month? Your own graph and article heavily indicate the opposite.
If the restrictions appear to be useless then they really ought to be dumped, but like you I doubt that they will under the prevailing circumstances. Which would be entirely about political optics rather than epidemiology. As Robert has grown fond of saying recently, if the hospitals are under pressure (which they undoubtedly will be for some time) then something must be done. Plan B is something. So we're going to do it.
Besides, plan B is pretty minimal - not like the business closures and capacity limits elsewhere, which really do hamstring businesses. I imagine that the extra rules will be with us until some point in the Spring.
when there's no one around.
Obese.
History of drug and alcohol abuse.
Unwell.
Repeatedly sacked from jobs and given horrendous references by former employers.
Absent and negligent parent.
Repeatedly unfaithful to partners.
Miserable.
A cad.
A bounder.
Looking after your own interests means being happy and making those around you happy. The two are closely linked. Boris Johnson is a spectacular failure.
Failed to give Alistair's Official SA Update yesterday
Projected Week 52 Admissions: 7893 (down 2% - let's call that flat)
Projected Week 52 Deaths: 715 (up 20%)
Ventilated: 3.4%
Oxygenated: 15.1%
For @Andy_JS , based on hospital admissions we are approx 3 weeks behind SA but there are lots of metrics you could use to determine how far behind we are so treat that with loads of salt.
The big cofounder for knowing how far behind we are is that SA had very low Delta admissions (585 admissions in the week before Omicron took off) whereas we had loads.
@NickPalmer re average yes I agree but not really the point @HYUFD made a statement that was blatantly wrong and as @BartholomewRoberts @IshmaelZ stated the median average would be higher still.
As @Charles pointed out and as I have done on numerous times before @HYUFD can have a quite valid argument that he then completely devalues by using incorrect maths to justify it and thereby completely undermines it. On several occasions I have agreed with the point @HYUFD is making but have been embarrassed to support it because of the nonsense argument. And for instance in the last thread to top it all he answered my point be comparing two unrelated sets.
@Charles re your life insurance story. There was an example on the TV recently re a lady in France I think who had achieved a ripe old age who had outlived the person who bought her life insurance policy by decades. It has to make you smile even if you are on the wrong side of it.
If you want a nice conspiracy theory to while away the morning, there are those who say she is sooo many SDs to the right she can't actually be true, and was actually her own daughter claiming to be her precisely to keep claiming on the policy (which was a specifically French thing a bit like equity release on her flat).
Anyway, hoping this clears up because we've got a few people coming over tonight for NYE, leftover fireworks as well.
Boost the boosters arrived 2 weeks after Omicron first appeared - even introducing the scheme as soon as South Africa announced the new variant would have allowed another 2-5 million to be jabbed
Although to an extent you have a point. Starmer squeaked a win in Batley and the pressure was off. A win is a win. The same would have been true for Johnson had he replicated Starmer's Batley win in North Shropshire.
Is the end of vaccination round 1 enough to explain it?
Will he be out in 2022? I'm going to reverse my position and say that he'll still be there in a year's time. For all the bluster in the Tory ranks, they won't be prepared to get rid, and he won't go voluntarily.
I don't have an opinion one way or the other as I don't have enough facts, so just to make clear I am not disagreeing with you. Someone like @BartholomewRoberts has been consistent from an ideological point of view in his argument, but this has been new from you and you don't tend to express libertarian views.
Is your view politically driven or for the good of the nation and why the relatively new position and libertarian stance. I would expect this argument to come from me rather than you.
May not be worth that many votes but it's probably worth a few for the Tory party.
There are those who think he should be praised to the skies for the lack of further restrictions in England. Others might argue his political authority is fading and he faces a fractious party which is now driving Government policy (which is the cart and which the horse I leave up to you).
We will of course get through this and the new normality will re-assert in 2022 though with other countries still likely to be putting in restrictions, the "holiday" in 2022 may still be more a staycation (at least in the early part of the year).
The economic fallout of this remains unclear - those who worship at the altar of the Laffer Curve will whine on about tax cuts and spending cuts but the unplanned growth of the State since the spring of 2020 won't, I suspect, be easily reversed and local authorities in particular will cry foul if the Government seeks to cut back on services for vulnerable adults and children.
The shape of the post-pandemic political world remains far from clear.
Last I heard, one of the forts was up for sale if you have £1.5 million to spare?
A trip on the IoW ferry and a wander around Osborn is something for day two. What a great view Victoria had of the Spinnaker Tower!
https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/which-economies-have-done-best-and-worst-during-the-pandemic/21806917
I thought the Summer was the silly season, it seems I was wrong. Some posters have been barking at the moon for the last week.
That made me laugh. More like this:
"Alex Cole-Hamilton, the leader of the Scottish LibDems, has an approval rating of -16. However, the majority of respondents (55%) said they did not know who he was."
If the Tories advocated either Lockdown or the complete abolition of restrictions, then no matter what, our reliably partisan posters would follow.
"Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia"
This is like coming on and saying "I think horses are bigger than squirrels".
https://www.jstor.org/stable/2400511
https://academic.oup.com/jmammal/article/93/4/1169/961077
He sure isn't noted for having pored over every document and having policy ideas in the small hours either.
14 degrees here in the boondocks of the midlands.
Actually, I do genuinely think Boris believes in something - small state, liberty, freedom of the individual, that sort of thing. I just don't think he's very good at - or indeed even tries to - join the dots between these 'principles' (to stretch a definition) with pulling the levers which will produce the appropriate outcomes.
However, this quibble has been superseded by @Carnyx 's quite excellent contrarianism showing us that sometimes squirrels are bigger than horses. This is pb's finest moment since the debate over whether London was better than Wick.
Uranus is bigger than the Earth.
@DPJHodges
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The Times: "NHS chiefs do not believe that the threshold for new Covid-19 restrictions has been crossed despite a surge in hospital admissions". Not evil Boris. Not his evil advisors. Not his evil Cabinet. Not his evil MPs. Not his evil media cheerleaders. NHS Chiefs.
@chrischirp
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NHS England have updated their data "with/for" - admissions both with *and* for are rising steeply.
About two thirds of current Covid patients are there directly because of Covid.
Rest mix of: coincidental; covid made existing condition worse; caught in hospital.
https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1476866234524311588
Rishi being happy to serve under Liz, and vice versa... That's when Boris really has to worry. And I'm not sure I can see that happening.
If Tories get a shellacking then could be the summer to get rid of the albatross before a 2023 GE?
As for BJ, I can imagine he believes in all of that but only in a desultory skindeep kind of a way - ie down the pub he might argue that side of life, and he would genuinely prefer it to eg totalitarian communism, but that's about as far as it goes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8EDBJBmlvXY
I've got a Galaxy S9+ and after testing positive yesterday I used the sensor for the first time in years to get a reading of 95. I then immediately tried it again a few times and got an 85, 86 and 88 which rather raises question marks against its reliability. Just tried again and got a 90.