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Expectations management – politicalbetting.com

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  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    Couldn't he for once have found a suit that fits him and been a bit more professional? This is honestly pathetic

    It shouldn’t matter but it does. It’s a national embarrassment how slovenly and scruffy he looks.
    The hair doesn’t make sense as he won’t be doing it himself, but image experts. Tbf there’s not much you can do with a few long clumps hanging from a decaying cheese. The front and right was actually okay, had he messed the left himself after it was done, he is a bit nervous fidgeter with his hands.
    We awaited the verdict from PB’s resident styling expert.

    And the verdict is not a good one for PM Johnson.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,716

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    Your partisanship is showing.
    You call it partisanship, I call it the truth.

    I have warned about this for months. Complacency setting in again.
    No politician would over rule the JVCI, not Boris, not Starmer.
    Starmer is irrelevant in this case. I am saying what I warned about
    You would overule the JCVI on vaccines, it like telling the public to take horse dewormer....no responsible politician would do it.
    This is the problem with having advisers that make the decisions. The MHRA ruled it safe for kids and said boosters are necessary for all adults yet the government handed the responsibility to another body that dithered and delayed for political reasons.
  • Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340

    ydoethur said:

    Alistair said:

    JCVI need a solid arse kicking for their possing around with child doses and boosters.

    Yes, at the time I said I thought it was the wrong call but it was a marginal decision. Hindsight is proving it was both wrong and anything but marginal unfortunately.
    It was only marginal when JCVI used a 5% total infection rate (IIRC) for children. Yes, they seriously were trying to say that 5% of children would get COVID over the total course of the epidemic....
    Well, their information was nonsensical then as it was 4.2% in one week this time last year.

    But it was marginal in terms of donating vaccines needed elsewhere against the risk of spreading the virus among a population that was otherwise protected.

    I still would have done it, but not for these reasons - simply because it was buggering up the education of so many isolating children.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    jonny83 said:

    Is that feasible? Everyone over 18 offered a booster by December 31st?

    Not offered. Actually injected...
    Mine's due on January 4th. I have no plans before then. Should I rebook?
  • Heathener said:

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    Indeed.

    I am afraid it is quite ridiculous not to extend restrictions into the hospitality industry and large gatherings. Masks should be compulsory throughout at the moment.
    No, I think the advice is probably that Omicron is milder, but the infection rate means it could still put a substantial number of people into hospital as it will burn through the population rather quickly. So getting everybody boosted quickly should do the job.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,842
    I make it 23 million triple vaccinated, 23 and a half million double vaccinated, four and a half million single vaccinated and an unknown number (x) not vaccinated at all.

    Getting the 23,500,000 (roughly) triple vaccinated will be a challenge even at a million per day. The question is of that number, how many had their second vaccinations more than four months ago?

    What of the four and a half million who have had just one vaccination - will there be a push to double vaccinate those people?

    What about x? As we have no real idea how many that represents, we need to prepare for some of these to be coming to hospital if they have so far avoided Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon etc.
  • Ah don't you just love all those Christmas traditions: mince pies, Christmas trees, a Covid surge and lockdown.

    :lol:

    Bob Cratchet: Would it be ok, sir, if you were so pleased to allow me to work at home this xmas.

    Scrooge: Humbug. I want everyone in the office so I can see them working. Do they work from home at the Work House?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,702
    edited December 2021
    MaxPB said:

    30m in 20 days. That feels really unlikely.

    Edit - not being negative, I'd be really happy if that was achieved, of course.

    It's not 30m is it.

    3rd dose as at today = 23.1m

    2nd dose as at 30 Sept = 44.9m

    So max boosters which could be done between now and end of Dec if everyone comes forward = 21.8m

    I thought people on here were following the numbers closely - why am I the first to post the actual numbers some 20 minutes after Boris announcement?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,076
    Nigelb said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    After watching Strictly - beautiful people in great shape wearing gorgeous costumes and fake tan - going straight to this fat pasty faced bastard, a bloke who can't even use a hairbrush and looks like he's slept a fortnight in his clothes, is pretty jarring. Just go, man.

    You feel beautiful people in great shape wearing gorgeous costumes and fake tan are inherently suited to government?
    There’s always Ed Balls….
    Do you think he knows where the origin of the modern archetype of the "beautiful people in great shape wearing gorgeous costumes and fake tan" thing is? Hint - it was a revival of an ancient Greek thing for a certain chap who like his parades.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,652
    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,464
    edited December 2021
    HYUFD said:

    Good statement by Boris.

    Everyone over 18 who is eligible to be offered a booster jab by the end of December

    I’m up for it 🧪

    Just thinking of the logistics with Christmas plans. How does it work with people travelling around for holidays. And enjoying holidays. Surely the promise clashes with most difficult time to have arms presented.
  • Popcorn shortage alert.

    Downing Street believes ITV may have many hours’ more footage of Allegra Stratton’s floundering practice sessions for televised press conferences @Telegraph understands

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/12/pm-accused-culture-disregard-covid-rules-quiz-photo-emerges/
  • https://twitter.com/Tony_Diver/status/1470127408615460869

    Stop being so woke, stiff upper lip etc, that's what they tell us
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Tres said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    FPT:

    @Farooq your problem is you seem to be, like Rochdale, incapable of seeing past "cases = BAD".

    For me, as many cases as happen naturally occur is a GOOD thing. Especially if those who are bothered about the virus are protected by wearing a quality FFP2 etc mask while those who aren't, are not wearing one.

    That segments the risk so that the right people are getting immunity more, which raises the herd immunity levels for the benefit of everyone including those having to wear a mask because they're afraid.

    I don't accept the premise that preventing "cases" is a good thing. It may have been early on in the pandemic pre vaccines but it isn't anymore. I don't want cases reduced by NPIs, so them being reduced by NPIs isn't a benefit.

    The BMJ article says how states (and nations) with mask mandates have had lower case rates. That is an argument AGAINST mask mandates for me. Those states have failed to get immunity.

    No, you're just attacking straw men now.
    The only point I'm trying to make is that masks work. This is in response to your repeated false assertions that they do not. At no point have I said masks should be mandated, I'm just trying to bring some truth in to usurp your lies.

    You seem on the verge in the above post of saying that NPIs do, in fact, work. Alongside a separate argument which is saying that, to paraphrase, "they are bad BECAUSE they work".

    Well, it's progress, I guess. I hope you'll stop with your anti-science premises now. I won't even attempt to tackle your argument that it's good to let this spread, not now at least.
    No shit Sherlock that masks work. That's why I advocated for them last year.

    I dispute that mask mandates work post vaccines because inhibiting those who are not bothered about catching Covid and putting them on the same footing as those who are bothered is a terrible idea.

    The only way out of this is immunity. The best way to get immunity is vaccines, we've done that.

    The second best way to get immunity is for those who don't care if they get infected, to naturally get infected before those who do care if they do.

    Inhibiting the spread of the virus post vaccines is stupid. The sane solution is those who are bothered wear masks to protect themselves and nobody else does.
    So you've gone on journey from being right about the facts of masks to being wrong about them. What do you want, part credit? Most people prefer to go the other way but horses for courses I guess.

    If you were confident in your justification that masks shouldn't be mandated, why go around spreading misinformation about mask efficacy? Why lie?
    I never said masks have no efficacy.

    I said mask mandates are bad.

    There's a difference. I've said that many times now. How many different ways do I need to say it?
    'Sadly there is a bullshit idea that has been spread that "your mask protects others"'

    'If mask mandates had efficacy, we should surely have studies demonstrating that by now. Where are they?'

    You, just in the last few days. I remember older stuff too, but I'm not doing your homework for you a third time.
    You've been trying to get people to think masks don't work for several weeks. It would be better if you used honest means to push your agenda. Philip, you've lied repeatedly.
    Mask mandates. Mask mandates not masks. 🤦‍♂️

    "If mask mandates had efficacy"

    They don't. Mask mandates don't work because they suppress the virus for everyone but the virus is still endemic. It doesn't ensure those capable of defeating the virus get immunity. It doesn't suppress the virus away from those vulnerable, since the virus remains endemic.

    Mandates don't work. Name any state or nation with mask mandates that has better immunity now than we do?
    Mask mandates do work. It's right there in one of the studies I sent you earlier that you claim to have read.
    Jesus fucking Christ, how is it possible you cram so much stupid into just one head? You're like a fucking goldfish.
    Define "work".

    Working is getting out of restrictions and our normal life with high immunity so the virus isn't causing problems. How do mask mandates achieve that end?

    They are counterproductive as they prevent the right people from getting infected, postponing the infection until down the road. They don't prevent infections, they just delay them for everyone which is not working.

    But if you don't have mask mandates then you can have more infections amongst the low-risk, but if you are high-risk you can be better protected than everyone else.
    Work in that they reduce transmission of the virus. And, in the right circumstances, they can keep the R below 1.
    That's it. It's a perfectly simple fact.

    Once again I'm trying not to involve myself in the argument you're making beyond that which is "is that even desirable?" You make your case well but I'll note that there are arguments against what you're saying too. But I'm not going to enter into those right now, especially not with you because you have a tendency to resort easily to fallacies and even lies. And partially because I would be exploring an issue where I haven't decided where I stand. And you are a very poor person to do that with, for the reasons stated above: I don't trust you not to lie.

    The one thing that concerns me most about what you're saying is I think high incidence leads to higher chances of mutations.I haven't read into it or thought much about it, but it "feels" like it's a gamble.
    But again, I'm not pushing a point of view there. I need to know more facts.
    Then you have a completely different and in my view faintly ridiculous definition of working.

    Using your logic, lockdowns work, so we should be under lockdown still.

    Why is suppressing cases the aim? Suppressing cases should only ever be a means to an end.

    My definition for working would be getting to the other side and out of restrictions with as few restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as possible.

    If you end up with more restrictions which suppresses cases in the short term, but overall leads to more hospitalisations and deaths, then you have failed all three of my tests but passed yours.

    Do you really think fewer cases in the short term, but more restrictions, more deaths and more hospitalisations over the long term is "working"?
    Yes, lockdowns DO work. That is not the same as advocating their use.
    Masks work. The whole point of them is to prevent transmission of infections. If you prefer everyone to become infected, don't use masks. What you do with the facts is up to you.
    Working should be more than just preventing infections in the short term.

    If you stop someone from getting infected today but they get infected next Thursday instead, then what purpose has that served?

    You're missing the fact that life goes on for longer than today. Mask mandates don't work because they just kick the can with no solution.
    You keep asking me to get into the other argument with you, Philip, and I keep telling you no.
    No means no.
    That's fine, then don't complain when others say mask mandates don't work. Because they don't.

    Preventing 'cases' is not the goal. It should never be the goal. Preventing 'cases' is never any more than a means to an end.

    If you want to claim mask mandates work then they need to do more than just postpone infections from today to tomorrow.
    And we're back to the start again.
    You're impervious to reason, and concretely anti-science on this. I'm done trying to dig you out. You have the science, you can wallow in your own stupidity.
    I'm pro-science.

    I have different goals than you. You've set a goal of preventing 'cases' today which the science shows doesn't even prevent future cases.

    I have set a goal of reducing restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as much as possible.

    Preventing 'cases' today doesn't achieve that goal if that results in more hospitalisations and deaths tomorrow.
    I wrote this the other day but Farooq would do well to look at daily case rates before and after the Nov lockdown. All that happened was cases were displaced in time. No sombrero was squished, the spike just got pushed to the right.
    Exactly.

    But @Farooq @RochdalePioneers and @CorrectHorseBattery are more interested in virtue signalling and bullying others than the science.
    As you are calling for the wives and daughters of others to die to preserve the "liberty" of yourself and your own wife and daughter, I will take your perspectives on virtue under advisement.
    I haven't called for anyone to die.

    But do you have any evidence that mask mandates prevent deaths over the course of the pandemic, post-vaccines?
    Give over. Your attitude consistently is "people die, so what?" You assume *others* will die.
    Why do you assume he assumes that? Unless he has wholly irrational delusions of preferential immunity, he must be saying: these are risks we should all, including me and mine, be living with.
    Because nobody goes out saying "let people die of Covid so I can do what I like in liberty" assuming it will be they and their own doing the dying.
    What makes you say that? It's just wrong. I support the motorway speed limit being 70 vs 20 despite the additional risk of fatal crashes, on a convenience vs risk basis, in the knowledge that the enhanced risk applies to me every bit as much as it applies to everyone else. Presumably, so do you.
    Fatal motorway crashes aren't contagious.
    An almost unbelievably stupid point. So fking what? The argument is about tolerating risk in exchange for liberty. As with contagious diseases, so with speed limits: being liberal about it increases the risk both of doing harm, and of having harm done to you. What point are you actually trying to make?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,840
    edited December 2021
    MaxPB said:

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    Your partisanship is showing.
    You call it partisanship, I call it the truth.

    I have warned about this for months. Complacency setting in again.
    No politician would over rule the JVCI, not Boris, not Starmer.
    Starmer is irrelevant in this case. I am saying what I warned about
    You would overule the JCVI on vaccines, it like telling the public to take horse dewormer....no responsible politician would do it.
    This is the problem with having advisers that make the decisions. The MHRA ruled it safe for kids and said boosters are necessary for all adults yet the government handed the responsibility to another body that dithered and delayed for political reasons.
    My criticism of the government would be since JCVI actually made a decision, they have been too slow. zahwai replacement is a mrs invisible and i highly doubt she have much ump to get shit done.
  • Tonight's statement by Boris has been endorsed by Starmer and Drakeford and the test of any redemption for him will be the success or otherwise of the boosters

    The media will play a substantial role in this, and if the army become very visible and daily booster stats rise to the targets then maybe he will receive some credit

    But there are a lot of 'ifs' in all of this
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,716

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    Your partisanship is showing.
    You call it partisanship, I call it the truth.

    I have warned about this for months. Complacency setting in again.
    No politician would over rule the JVCI, not Boris, not Starmer.
    Starmer is irrelevant in this case. I am saying what I warned about
    You would overule the JCVI on vaccines, it like telling the public to take horse dewormer.
    Saying complacency had settled in and the vaccine rollout/boosters has been poor in terms of advertisement is not the JCVI's fault
    Boosters and vaccines for kids is absolutely at the door of the JCVI and Hancock for not lighting a fire under them in the summer when it became obvious that 2 dose immunity wanted sufficiently to require a third dose. Until late August they wanted booster for groups 1-4 only until The Saj told them to think again and they expanded to groups 1-9. Again they had to be cajoled by The Saj to expand to all 18+ and second doses for kids.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340
    DougSeal said:

    jonny83 said:

    Is that feasible? Everyone over 18 offered a booster by December 31st?

    Not offered. Actually injected...
    Mine's due on January 4th. I have no plans before then. Should I rebook?
    Given the likely chaos at vaccination centres next week I wouldn’t bother. I’m wondering a bit about mine next Sunday.
  • Staff believe it is likely that ITV journalists have many hours more footage of Ms Stratton’s floundering dry runs as Boris Johnson’s press secretary, recorded in late 2020.

    It is thought the footage could contain more embarrassing disclosures about the heart of Mr Johnson’s administration, after a leaked clip last week confirmed for the first time that a “Christmas party” had taken place on December 18 last year while London was in partial lockdown.

    Junior No10 staff are said to be suffering from mental health crises over the looming threat of more leaks that implicate officials.

    Ms Stratton is understood to have taken part in several sessions to prepare her for “White House-style” televised briefings, with Government special advisers posing as journalists.

    The plan for on-screen press conferences was eventually abandoned, after Mr Johnson was advised that she had not performed well in the practice sessions.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,636
    edited December 2021
    MaxPB said:

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    Your partisanship is showing.
    You call it partisanship, I call it the truth.

    I have warned about this for months. Complacency setting in again.
    No politician would over rule the JVCI, not Boris, not Starmer.
    Starmer is irrelevant in this case. I am saying what I warned about
    You would overule the JCVI on vaccines, it like telling the public to take horse dewormer....no responsible politician would do it.
    This is the problem with having advisers that make the decisions. The MHRA ruled it safe for kids and said boosters are necessary for all adults yet the government handed the responsibility to another body that dithered and delayed for political reasons.
    I could not understand their assumption regarding the proportion of each age cohort that would actually contract the virus in their vaccine side effect calculations.

    The simplest and most accurate assumption for who was going to get it was not 1%, 5% or 20%, it was just 100%. Everyone.

    Why nobody challenged their nonsense at the time I have no idea. If I'd been given a 'question from the public' it would have been the first one I asked.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,648

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    The JCVI are entirely responsible for the delay in recommending the vaccination of children, nobody else
    No, the government should have not allowed them to prevaricate. Noticeable that when Javid became Health Secretary they made some decisions pretty quickly.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Tres said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    FPT:

    @Farooq your problem is you seem to be, like Rochdale, incapable of seeing past "cases = BAD".

    For me, as many cases as happen naturally occur is a GOOD thing. Especially if those who are bothered about the virus are protected by wearing a quality FFP2 etc mask while those who aren't, are not wearing one.

    That segments the risk so that the right people are getting immunity more, which raises the herd immunity levels for the benefit of everyone including those having to wear a mask because they're afraid.

    I don't accept the premise that preventing "cases" is a good thing. It may have been early on in the pandemic pre vaccines but it isn't anymore. I don't want cases reduced by NPIs, so them being reduced by NPIs isn't a benefit.

    The BMJ article says how states (and nations) with mask mandates have had lower case rates. That is an argument AGAINST mask mandates for me. Those states have failed to get immunity.

    No, you're just attacking straw men now.
    The only point I'm trying to make is that masks work. This is in response to your repeated false assertions that they do not. At no point have I said masks should be mandated, I'm just trying to bring some truth in to usurp your lies.

    You seem on the verge in the above post of saying that NPIs do, in fact, work. Alongside a separate argument which is saying that, to paraphrase, "they are bad BECAUSE they work".

    Well, it's progress, I guess. I hope you'll stop with your anti-science premises now. I won't even attempt to tackle your argument that it's good to let this spread, not now at least.
    No shit Sherlock that masks work. That's why I advocated for them last year.

    I dispute that mask mandates work post vaccines because inhibiting those who are not bothered about catching Covid and putting them on the same footing as those who are bothered is a terrible idea.

    The only way out of this is immunity. The best way to get immunity is vaccines, we've done that.

    The second best way to get immunity is for those who don't care if they get infected, to naturally get infected before those who do care if they do.

    Inhibiting the spread of the virus post vaccines is stupid. The sane solution is those who are bothered wear masks to protect themselves and nobody else does.
    So you've gone on journey from being right about the facts of masks to being wrong about them. What do you want, part credit? Most people prefer to go the other way but horses for courses I guess.

    If you were confident in your justification that masks shouldn't be mandated, why go around spreading misinformation about mask efficacy? Why lie?
    I never said masks have no efficacy.

    I said mask mandates are bad.

    There's a difference. I've said that many times now. How many different ways do I need to say it?
    'Sadly there is a bullshit idea that has been spread that "your mask protects others"'

    'If mask mandates had efficacy, we should surely have studies demonstrating that by now. Where are they?'

    You, just in the last few days. I remember older stuff too, but I'm not doing your homework for you a third time.
    You've been trying to get people to think masks don't work for several weeks. It would be better if you used honest means to push your agenda. Philip, you've lied repeatedly.
    Mask mandates. Mask mandates not masks. 🤦‍♂️

    "If mask mandates had efficacy"

    They don't. Mask mandates don't work because they suppress the virus for everyone but the virus is still endemic. It doesn't ensure those capable of defeating the virus get immunity. It doesn't suppress the virus away from those vulnerable, since the virus remains endemic.

    Mandates don't work. Name any state or nation with mask mandates that has better immunity now than we do?
    Mask mandates do work. It's right there in one of the studies I sent you earlier that you claim to have read.
    Jesus fucking Christ, how is it possible you cram so much stupid into just one head? You're like a fucking goldfish.
    Define "work".

    Working is getting out of restrictions and our normal life with high immunity so the virus isn't causing problems. How do mask mandates achieve that end?

    They are counterproductive as they prevent the right people from getting infected, postponing the infection until down the road. They don't prevent infections, they just delay them for everyone which is not working.

    But if you don't have mask mandates then you can have more infections amongst the low-risk, but if you are high-risk you can be better protected than everyone else.
    Work in that they reduce transmission of the virus. And, in the right circumstances, they can keep the R below 1.
    That's it. It's a perfectly simple fact.

    Once again I'm trying not to involve myself in the argument you're making beyond that which is "is that even desirable?" You make your case well but I'll note that there are arguments against what you're saying too. But I'm not going to enter into those right now, especially not with you because you have a tendency to resort easily to fallacies and even lies. And partially because I would be exploring an issue where I haven't decided where I stand. And you are a very poor person to do that with, for the reasons stated above: I don't trust you not to lie.

    The one thing that concerns me most about what you're saying is I think high incidence leads to higher chances of mutations.I haven't read into it or thought much about it, but it "feels" like it's a gamble.
    But again, I'm not pushing a point of view there. I need to know more facts.
    Then you have a completely different and in my view faintly ridiculous definition of working.

    Using your logic, lockdowns work, so we should be under lockdown still.

    Why is suppressing cases the aim? Suppressing cases should only ever be a means to an end.

    My definition for working would be getting to the other side and out of restrictions with as few restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as possible.

    If you end up with more restrictions which suppresses cases in the short term, but overall leads to more hospitalisations and deaths, then you have failed all three of my tests but passed yours.

    Do you really think fewer cases in the short term, but more restrictions, more deaths and more hospitalisations over the long term is "working"?
    Yes, lockdowns DO work. That is not the same as advocating their use.
    Masks work. The whole point of them is to prevent transmission of infections. If you prefer everyone to become infected, don't use masks. What you do with the facts is up to you.
    Working should be more than just preventing infections in the short term.

    If you stop someone from getting infected today but they get infected next Thursday instead, then what purpose has that served?

    You're missing the fact that life goes on for longer than today. Mask mandates don't work because they just kick the can with no solution.
    You keep asking me to get into the other argument with you, Philip, and I keep telling you no.
    No means no.
    That's fine, then don't complain when others say mask mandates don't work. Because they don't.

    Preventing 'cases' is not the goal. It should never be the goal. Preventing 'cases' is never any more than a means to an end.

    If you want to claim mask mandates work then they need to do more than just postpone infections from today to tomorrow.
    And we're back to the start again.
    You're impervious to reason, and concretely anti-science on this. I'm done trying to dig you out. You have the science, you can wallow in your own stupidity.
    I'm pro-science.

    I have different goals than you. You've set a goal of preventing 'cases' today which the science shows doesn't even prevent future cases.

    I have set a goal of reducing restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as much as possible.

    Preventing 'cases' today doesn't achieve that goal if that results in more hospitalisations and deaths tomorrow.
    I wrote this the other day but Farooq would do well to look at daily case rates before and after the Nov lockdown. All that happened was cases were displaced in time. No sombrero was squished, the spike just got pushed to the right.
    Exactly.

    But @Farooq @RochdalePioneers and @CorrectHorseBattery are more interested in virtue signalling and bullying others than the science.
    As you are calling for the wives and daughters of others to die to preserve the "liberty" of yourself and your own wife and daughter, I will take your perspectives on virtue under advisement.
    I haven't called for anyone to die.

    But do you have any evidence that mask mandates prevent deaths over the course of the pandemic, post-vaccines?
    Give over. Your attitude consistently is "people die, so what?" You assume *others* will die.
    Why do you assume he assumes that? Unless he has wholly irrational delusions of preferential immunity, he must be saying: these are risks we should all, including me and mine, be living with.
    Because nobody goes out saying "let people die of Covid so I can do what I like in liberty" assuming it will be they and their own doing the dying.
    What makes you say that? It's just wrong. I support the motorway speed limit being 70 vs 20 despite the additional risk of fatal crashes, on a convenience vs risk basis, in the knowledge that the enhanced risk applies to me every bit as much as it applies to everyone else. Presumably, so do you.
    Fatal motorway crashes aren't contagious.
    An almost unbelievably stupid point. So fking what? The argument is about tolerating risk in exchange for liberty. As with contagious diseases, so with speed limits: being liberal about it increases the risk both of doing harm, and of having harm done to you. What point are you actually trying to make?
    Oh, the humanity, Govt. forcing you to wear a seatbelt whenever you drive!
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Wondering if my guests will turn up for a business Christmas party this week? I’m thinking odds against, although there’s nothing actually preventing it so far. Still, I’m now doubting that it will happen, which will be a shame.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340

    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough

    He’s done slightly better than Eden. He didn’t manage two years after the election.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Stumbling. Exhausted. Ill. Broken.

    Desperate performance.

    Who thought this was a good idea?

    Oyster eyes. Willie Whitelaw look.
    Yeh, but Whitelaw was a towering statesman compared to this fecking 'i lost my comb' jingle bells clown.
  • Cummings has got to be behind ITV leaks right
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,720

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    That's what my friend/source flagged up the other day.

    The NHS collapsing will put the Tories out for decades.
    Another lockdown will put the Tories out for years.

    So Boris took the best course, mass rollout of boosters including the army to save the NHS. However not a single word about a future lockdown or even further vaxports being on the cards either
  • True


  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,716

    Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
    I used to wear it and then started playing with it during the workday, then it fell on the floor and I couldn't find it for hours. After that I leave it at home in the drawer and only wear it to weddings and on our anniversary. I honestly think it would be a week in the spare bedroom if I lost it.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,076
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Alistair said:

    JCVI need a solid arse kicking for their possing around with child doses and boosters.

    Yes, at the time I said I thought it was the wrong call but it was a marginal decision. Hindsight is proving it was both wrong and anything but marginal unfortunately.
    It was only marginal when JCVI used a 5% total infection rate (IIRC) for children. Yes, they seriously were trying to say that 5% of children would get COVID over the total course of the epidemic....
    Well, their information was nonsensical then as it was 4.2% in one week this time last year.

    But it was marginal in terms of donating vaccines needed elsewhere against the risk of spreading the virus among a population that was otherwise protected.

    I still would have done it, but not for these reasons - simply because it was buggering up the education of so many isolating children.
    The donation of vaccines abroad was outside the remit of JCVI - which is why an element on the committee held up a decision as their way of trying to control what was happening.

    Given that the main vaccine producers are producing by the billion, 40 million or whatever is a fart in thunderstorm.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,464

    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough

    What was that great card he played tonight? ‘I’m a scarecrow, I’m a scarecrow, look at me I’m a scarecrow?’
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 12,496
    The speech doesn't sound particularly plausible in the light of the numbers - bloke on BBC1 saying it's a million a day to get it done by 31st Dec. That isn't going to happen. And in the light of the fact that UK closes down for virtually all purposes from about 23rd December to 3rd January (4th Jan this year as New Years's day is a Saturday). Will this year be much different?

    The devil is in the detail of the promise: which is to 'offer' to 'every eligible adult' by 31 Dec. That, I suspect, will be fulfilled by having a website available for all adults to have go at cracking its mysteries by 31 Dec, not by personal contact or by actually getting it done.
  • Staff believe it is likely that ITV journalists have many hours more footage of Ms Stratton’s floundering dry runs as Boris Johnson’s press secretary, recorded in late 2020.

    It is thought the footage could contain more embarrassing disclosures about the heart of Mr Johnson’s administration, after a leaked clip last week confirmed for the first time that a “Christmas party” had taken place on December 18 last year while London was in partial lockdown.

    Junior No10 staff are said to be suffering from mental health crises over the looming threat of more leaks that implicate officials.

    Ms Stratton is understood to have taken part in several sessions to prepare her for “White House-style” televised briefings, with Government special advisers posing as journalists.

    The plan for on-screen press conferences was eventually abandoned, after Mr Johnson was advised that she had not performed well in the practice sessions.

    So why did she get to resign last week? FFS, you pay someone £120K and they're not up to snuff, you hang them out to dry.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,193

    Wondering if my guests will turn up for a business Christmas party this week? I’m thinking odds against, although there’s nothing actually preventing it so far. Still, I’m now doubting that it will happen, which will be a shame.

    Last year if you wanted to have a party you had to pretend it was a business meeting.

    This year if you want to have a business meeting you have to pretend it is a party.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,437
    Wonder if my surgery tomorrow will be cancelled for a 4th time.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,652

    Popcorn shortage alert.

    Downing Street believes ITV may have many hours’ more footage of Allegra Stratton’s floundering practice sessions for televised press conferences @Telegraph understands

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/12/12/pm-accused-culture-disregard-covid-rules-quiz-photo-emerges/

    Last years news (literally)

    Its all about boosters now.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,577

    Staff believe it is likely that ITV journalists have many hours more footage of Ms Stratton’s floundering dry runs as Boris Johnson’s press secretary, recorded in late 2020.

    It is thought the footage could contain more embarrassing disclosures about the heart of Mr Johnson’s administration, after a leaked clip last week confirmed for the first time that a “Christmas party” had taken place on December 18 last year while London was in partial lockdown.

    Junior No10 staff are said to be suffering from mental health crises over the looming threat of more leaks that implicate officials.

    Ms Stratton is understood to have taken part in several sessions to prepare her for “White House-style” televised briefings, with Government special advisers posing as journalists.

    The plan for on-screen press conferences was eventually abandoned, after Mr Johnson was advised that she had not performed well in the practice sessions.

    Well that much is obvious. Few could repeat Johnsons lies and keep a straight face.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,353

    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough

    That being so he has a terrible hand.

    It smacks of desperation.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,193
    HYUFD said:

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    That's what my friend/source flagged up the other day.

    The NHS collapsing will put the Tories out for decades.
    Another lockdown will put the Tories out for years.

    So Boris took the best course, mass rollout of boosters including the army to save the NHS. However not a single word about a future lockdown or even further vaxports being on the cards either
    Yes, sigh of relief from me - I wasn't sure what he was going to say. He's such a loose cannon.
  • Message from another non political WhatsApp group.

    Did have another party last night?


  • I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,840
    edited December 2021

    Perhaps if the Government hadn't installed complacency and been utterly useless yet again over the summer we wouldn't be in this mess

    The JCVI are entirely responsible for the delay in recommending the vaccination of children, nobody else
    No, the government should have not allowed them to prevaricate. Noticeable that when Javid became Health Secretary they made some decisions pretty quickly.
    They kept stalling by claiming they were waiting on a new academic study that hadn't been published yet.

    One thing that the government didn't push hard on, SAGE didn't meet at all in August and I believe only once in September. It was only October when they started to work on a winter plan.

    The government should have been giving them a proper kicking to do some work.
  • I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
  • Tonight's statement by Boris has been endorsed by Starmer and Drakeford and the test of any redemption for him will be the success or otherwise of the boosters

    The media will play a substantial role in this, and if the army become very visible and daily booster stats rise to the targets then maybe he will receive some credit

    But there are a lot of 'ifs' in all of this

    As I said above its a ballsy strategy. All I can see are downsides though - walk-in centres swamped, running out of doses, people fighting - and we're approaching Christmas. Not a prayer they achieve the "we must do this" target. Blame for not getting there will be put on us as he locks us down again.

    Also, he said "Tidal Wave". Sturgeon a "Tsunami". Both based on actual scientists crunching actual data with the actual facts. Or, we can ignore all of them and listen to the PB brains trust who have been reading stuff on Google.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,193
    DougSeal said:

    jonny83 said:

    Is that feasible? Everyone over 18 offered a booster by December 31st?

    Not offered. Actually injected...
    Mine's due on January 4th. I have no plans before then. Should I rebook?
    Yes. My wife did this week and got it done the following afternoon. You can check for appointments before cancelling the one you have got so there is no risk. Check different postcodes.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340
    Foxy said:

    Staff believe it is likely that ITV journalists have many hours more footage of Ms Stratton’s floundering dry runs as Boris Johnson’s press secretary, recorded in late 2020.

    It is thought the footage could contain more embarrassing disclosures about the heart of Mr Johnson’s administration, after a leaked clip last week confirmed for the first time that a “Christmas party” had taken place on December 18 last year while London was in partial lockdown.

    Junior No10 staff are said to be suffering from mental health crises over the looming threat of more leaks that implicate officials.

    Ms Stratton is understood to have taken part in several sessions to prepare her for “White House-style” televised briefings, with Government special advisers posing as journalists.

    The plan for on-screen press conferences was eventually abandoned, after Mr Johnson was advised that she had not performed well in the practice sessions.

    Well that much is obvious. Few could repeat Johnsons lies and keep a straight face.
    I reckon Peter Cook could have done it.

    Can you imagine what he and Christopher Booker would have written about Johnson for The Secret Policeman’s Ball?
  • The UK will never have done better than NZ, our deaths alone put rest to that theory.

    That is why Jacinda was rewarded with a landslide.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    True


    So what we all said was an utterly wankerish non sport, turns out to be an utterly wankerish non sport. Perhaps you should have listened to us? All the excitement of My tyres passed the MOT but the front left is nearly down to minimum tread, and Should I fill up here or try to hang on till Tesco but run the risk of the orange light coming on? Now with added litigation, I can't wait for the bit where they serve Lists of Documents, and the highlights of the Further and Better Particulars.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,738

    HYUFD said:

    Good statement by Boris.

    Everyone over 18 who is eligible to be offered a booster jab by the end of December

    I’m up for it 🧪

    Just thinking of the logistics with Christmas plans. How does it work with people travelling around for holidays. And enjoying holidays. Surely the promise clashes with most difficult time to have arms presented.
    Even postal deliveries ...
  • Does anyone remember "back to normal by the summer" and "two jabs to freedom". I do
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,636

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    Not very likely. They will still need the same number of vaccinations and/or infections.
  • South African President Cyril Ramaphosa tests positive for COVID-19 after feeling unwell, assigns all responsibilities to his deputy for the next week
  • If uptake of boosters among those eligible hits 90%, the NHS will need to administer an average of nearly 1m jabs a day - far outstripping all previous records.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375
    The SA figures are 18035 new cases and 19840 retrospective cases
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,577
    ydoethur said:

    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough

    He’s done slightly better than Eden. He didn’t manage two years after the election.
    Eden was quite a good Foreign Secretary though, while Johnson was not.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340

    Does anyone remember "back to normal by the summer" and "two jabs to freedom". I do

    We were, Horse. Until this happened, which was always a possibility.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    HYUFD said:

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    That's what my friend/source flagged up the other day.

    The NHS collapsing will put the Tories out for decades.
    Another lockdown will put the Tories out for years.

    So Boris took the best course, mass rollout of boosters including the army to save the NHS. However not a single word about a future lockdown or even further vaxports being on the cards either
    Yes I think you are right. My guess is we are probably in the clear for lockdown until after the holiday. 4 Jan onwards is a different matter but quite frankly I think you are possibly right here too and lockdown is too destructive for the government now. You could close the pubs and people will simply have house parties: nobody will observe in-home restrictions ever again after PartyGate.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,648
    MikeL said:

    MaxPB said:

    30m in 20 days. That feels really unlikely.

    Edit - not being negative, I'd be really happy if that was achieved, of course.

    It's not 30m is it.

    3rd dose as at today = 23.1m

    2nd dose as at 30 Sept = 44.9m

    So max boosters which could be done between now and end of Dec if everyone comes forward = 21.8m

    I thought people on here were following the numbers closely - why am I the first to post the actual numbers some 20 minutes after Boris announcement?
    Because nobody else beat you to it?
  • I didn't say the vaccine programme was a failure, I said it has been ineffective.

    "World beating" it is clearly not, I notice Tories have stopped calling it that, why?
  • Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
    I rarely wear mine. Don't like the feeling of it.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,958
    I can’t even laugh at this.
    The Prime Minister’s reckless disregard for his own rules, and shameless lying about it, is destroying public confidence in anything he says at a time of national health crisis when we most need to believe our leaders.
    It will cost many lives.
    https://twitter.com/piersmorgan/status/1470126977512267782/photo/1
  • ydoethur said:

    Does anyone remember "back to normal by the summer" and "two jabs to freedom". I do

    We were, Horse. Until this happened, which was always a possibility.
    That was not what the big brains trust was saying at the time and you know it, friend
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300

    Message from another non political WhatsApp group.

    Did have another party last night?


    When was that baby daughter born? Add on current self inflicted political wounds, and you might do well to look fresh and full of vim and vigour.
  • I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    I have been to New Zealand several times and it is not only 3 hours flying time from anywhere, but consists of two islands with lots of space and nothing like the population density of the UK

    The two countries are not compatible for comparison purposes
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,648
    edited December 2021

    HYUFD said:

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    That's what my friend/source flagged up the other day.

    The NHS collapsing will put the Tories out for decades.
    Another lockdown will put the Tories out for years.

    So Boris took the best course, mass rollout of boosters including the army to save the NHS. However not a single word about a future lockdown or even further vaxports being on the cards either
    Yes I think you are right. My guess is we are probably in the clear for lockdown until after the holiday. 4 Jan onwards is a different matter but quite frankly I think you are possibly right here too and lockdown is too destructive for the government now. You could close the pubs and people will simply have house parties: nobody will observe in-home restrictions ever again after PartyGate.
    I think they would... but don't expect them to vote Tory at the next GE.
  • I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,577
    MaxPB said:

    Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
    I used to wear it and then started playing with it during the workday, then it fell on the floor and I couldn't find it for hours. After that I leave it at home in the drawer and only wear it to weddings and on our anniversary. I honestly think it would be a week in the spare bedroom if I lost it.
    I managed to lose my original wedding ring at a friend's wedding. I was rather drunk...

    I now wear my Great-grandfathers and never take it off.
  • If we don't want to compare to NZ, happy to compare to Taiwan instead
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,720
    Clive Lewis becomes the first Labour MP to suggest he will vote against vaxports on Tuesday, joining well over 50 declared Tory rebels so far

    https://twitter.com/labourlewis/status/1469651368352927749?s=19
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,636

    If uptake of boosters among those eligible hits 90%, the NHS will need to administer an average of nearly 1m jabs a day - far outstripping all previous records.

    If the NHS drop everything I can't see why it isn't possible. We did do 600 or 700k in the first rollout, and 500k yesterday.

    As long as they can get people to the door, I think it will happen.

    Whether it will be a massive super-spreader event is another question. It might make sense to drop the 15 minute wait, or at least have it in the car park.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479
    Stocky said:

    Wondering if my guests will turn up for a business Christmas party this week? I’m thinking odds against, although there’s nothing actually preventing it so far. Still, I’m now doubting that it will happen, which will be a shame.

    Last year if you wanted to have a party you had to pretend it was a business meeting.

    This year if you want to have a business meeting you have to pretend it is a party.
    Ha! That’s true!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,958
    New @IpsosMORI Political Monitor coming in tomorrow's Evening Standard. Voting intention, updated leader satisfaction ratings, deep dive on leader attributes trends plus who would make the most capable PM....plenty to get our teeth into. One NOT to be missed!
    https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1470131240384831490
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,587

    True


    Not quite - Ref also sent off 10 of Lewis's players so the Max goal was a given.

    Unfortunately in agreement with those mocking F1 - hard to bother watching in future with the way the last month has gone.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Tres said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    FPT:

    @Farooq your problem is you seem to be, like Rochdale, incapable of seeing past "cases = BAD".

    For me, as many cases as happen naturally occur is a GOOD thing. Especially if those who are bothered about the virus are protected by wearing a quality FFP2 etc mask while those who aren't, are not wearing one.

    That segments the risk so that the right people are getting immunity more, which raises the herd immunity levels for the benefit of everyone including those having to wear a mask because they're afraid.

    I don't accept the premise that preventing "cases" is a good thing. It may have been early on in the pandemic pre vaccines but it isn't anymore. I don't want cases reduced by NPIs, so them being reduced by NPIs isn't a benefit.

    The BMJ article says how states (and nations) with mask mandates have had lower case rates. That is an argument AGAINST mask mandates for me. Those states have failed to get immunity.

    No, you're just attacking straw men now.
    The only point I'm trying to make is that masks work. This is in response to your repeated false assertions that they do not. At no point have I said masks should be mandated, I'm just trying to bring some truth in to usurp your lies.

    You seem on the verge in the above post of saying that NPIs do, in fact, work. Alongside a separate argument which is saying that, to paraphrase, "they are bad BECAUSE they work".

    Well, it's progress, I guess. I hope you'll stop with your anti-science premises now. I won't even attempt to tackle your argument that it's good to let this spread, not now at least.
    No shit Sherlock that masks work. That's why I advocated for them last year.

    I dispute that mask mandates work post vaccines because inhibiting those who are not bothered about catching Covid and putting them on the same footing as those who are bothered is a terrible idea.

    The only way out of this is immunity. The best way to get immunity is vaccines, we've done that.

    The second best way to get immunity is for those who don't care if they get infected, to naturally get infected before those who do care if they do.

    Inhibiting the spread of the virus post vaccines is stupid. The sane solution is those who are bothered wear masks to protect themselves and nobody else does.
    So you've gone on journey from being right about the facts of masks to being wrong about them. What do you want, part credit? Most people prefer to go the other way but horses for courses I guess.

    If you were confident in your justification that masks shouldn't be mandated, why go around spreading misinformation about mask efficacy? Why lie?
    I never said masks have no efficacy.

    I said mask mandates are bad.

    There's a difference. I've said that many times now. How many different ways do I need to say it?
    'Sadly there is a bullshit idea that has been spread that "your mask protects others"'

    'If mask mandates had efficacy, we should surely have studies demonstrating that by now. Where are they?'

    You, just in the last few days. I remember older stuff too, but I'm not doing your homework for you a third time.
    You've been trying to get people to think masks don't work for several weeks. It would be better if you used honest means to push your agenda. Philip, you've lied repeatedly.
    Mask mandates. Mask mandates not masks. 🤦‍♂️

    "If mask mandates had efficacy"

    They don't. Mask mandates don't work because they suppress the virus for everyone but the virus is still endemic. It doesn't ensure those capable of defeating the virus get immunity. It doesn't suppress the virus away from those vulnerable, since the virus remains endemic.

    Mandates don't work. Name any state or nation with mask mandates that has better immunity now than we do?
    Mask mandates do work. It's right there in one of the studies I sent you earlier that you claim to have read.
    Jesus fucking Christ, how is it possible you cram so much stupid into just one head? You're like a fucking goldfish.
    Define "work".

    Working is getting out of restrictions and our normal life with high immunity so the virus isn't causing problems. How do mask mandates achieve that end?

    They are counterproductive as they prevent the right people from getting infected, postponing the infection until down the road. They don't prevent infections, they just delay them for everyone which is not working.

    But if you don't have mask mandates then you can have more infections amongst the low-risk, but if you are high-risk you can be better protected than everyone else.
    Work in that they reduce transmission of the virus. And, in the right circumstances, they can keep the R below 1.
    That's it. It's a perfectly simple fact.

    Once again I'm trying not to involve myself in the argument you're making beyond that which is "is that even desirable?" You make your case well but I'll note that there are arguments against what you're saying too. But I'm not going to enter into those right now, especially not with you because you have a tendency to resort easily to fallacies and even lies. And partially because I would be exploring an issue where I haven't decided where I stand. And you are a very poor person to do that with, for the reasons stated above: I don't trust you not to lie.

    The one thing that concerns me most about what you're saying is I think high incidence leads to higher chances of mutations.I haven't read into it or thought much about it, but it "feels" like it's a gamble.
    But again, I'm not pushing a point of view there. I need to know more facts.
    Then you have a completely different and in my view faintly ridiculous definition of working.

    Using your logic, lockdowns work, so we should be under lockdown still.

    Why is suppressing cases the aim? Suppressing cases should only ever be a means to an end.

    My definition for working would be getting to the other side and out of restrictions with as few restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as possible.

    If you end up with more restrictions which suppresses cases in the short term, but overall leads to more hospitalisations and deaths, then you have failed all three of my tests but passed yours.

    Do you really think fewer cases in the short term, but more restrictions, more deaths and more hospitalisations over the long term is "working"?
    Yes, lockdowns DO work. That is not the same as advocating their use.
    Masks work. The whole point of them is to prevent transmission of infections. If you prefer everyone to become infected, don't use masks. What you do with the facts is up to you.
    Working should be more than just preventing infections in the short term.

    If you stop someone from getting infected today but they get infected next Thursday instead, then what purpose has that served?

    You're missing the fact that life goes on for longer than today. Mask mandates don't work because they just kick the can with no solution.
    You keep asking me to get into the other argument with you, Philip, and I keep telling you no.
    No means no.
    That's fine, then don't complain when others say mask mandates don't work. Because they don't.

    Preventing 'cases' is not the goal. It should never be the goal. Preventing 'cases' is never any more than a means to an end.

    If you want to claim mask mandates work then they need to do more than just postpone infections from today to tomorrow.
    And we're back to the start again.
    You're impervious to reason, and concretely anti-science on this. I'm done trying to dig you out. You have the science, you can wallow in your own stupidity.
    I'm pro-science.

    I have different goals than you. You've set a goal of preventing 'cases' today which the science shows doesn't even prevent future cases.

    I have set a goal of reducing restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as much as possible.

    Preventing 'cases' today doesn't achieve that goal if that results in more hospitalisations and deaths tomorrow.
    I wrote this the other day but Farooq would do well to look at daily case rates before and after the Nov lockdown. All that happened was cases were displaced in time. No sombrero was squished, the spike just got pushed to the right.
    Exactly.

    But @Farooq @RochdalePioneers and @CorrectHorseBattery are more interested in virtue signalling and bullying others than the science.
    As you are calling for the wives and daughters of others to die to preserve the "liberty" of yourself and your own wife and daughter, I will take your perspectives on virtue under advisement.
    I haven't called for anyone to die.

    But do you have any evidence that mask mandates prevent deaths over the course of the pandemic, post-vaccines?
    Give over. Your attitude consistently is "people die, so what?" You assume *others* will die.
    Why do you assume he assumes that? Unless he has wholly irrational delusions of preferential immunity, he must be saying: these are risks we should all, including me and mine, be living with.
    Because nobody goes out saying "let people die of Covid so I can do what I like in liberty" assuming it will be they and their own doing the dying.
    What makes you say that? It's just wrong. I support the motorway speed limit being 70 vs 20 despite the additional risk of fatal crashes, on a convenience vs risk basis, in the knowledge that the enhanced risk applies to me every bit as much as it applies to everyone else. Presumably, so do you.
    Fatal motorway crashes aren't contagious.
    An almost unbelievably stupid point. So fking what? The argument is about tolerating risk in exchange for liberty. As with contagious diseases, so with speed limits: being liberal about it increases the risk both of doing harm, and of having harm done to you. What point are you actually trying to make?
    Oh, the humanity, Govt. forcing you to wear a seatbelt whenever you drive!
    Did IQs just drop sharply while I was away?

    I know you are a train person, but the law on seatbelts does not vary with the speed limit. Trust me on this.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,577

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Apart from foreign travel, fewer and shorter than here. I don't think that we could have copied their success because of geography, but they have certainly done well.
  • Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
    I rarely wear mine. Don't like the feeling of it.
    Condoms? Oh, sorry, you mean wedding rings :lol:
  • Foxy said:

    ydoethur said:

    Two years ago today, Boris Johnson won a landslide victory in the general election.

    This morning the Conservative Party is talking of removing him as Prime Minister.

    Tonight he plays his strongest available card.

    Time will tell if its enough

    He’s done slightly better than Eden. He didn’t manage two years after the election.
    Eden was quite a good Foreign Secretary though, while Johnson was not.
    Eden liked to fly around the world cutting a dash. This impressed Churchill but few others.
  • Foxy said:

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Apart from foreign travel, fewer and shorter than here. I don't think that we could have copied their success because of geography, but they have certainly done well.
    It's because she's left wing. If it was a Tory Government they'd be singing their praises
  • Tres said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    FPT:

    @Farooq your problem is you seem to be, like Rochdale, incapable of seeing past "cases = BAD".

    For me, as many cases as happen naturally occur is a GOOD thing. Especially if those who are bothered about the virus are protected by wearing a quality FFP2 etc mask while those who aren't, are not wearing one.

    That segments the risk so that the right people are getting immunity more, which raises the herd immunity levels for the benefit of everyone including those having to wear a mask because they're afraid.

    I don't accept the premise that preventing "cases" is a good thing. It may have been early on in the pandemic pre vaccines but it isn't anymore. I don't want cases reduced by NPIs, so them being reduced by NPIs isn't a benefit.

    The BMJ article says how states (and nations) with mask mandates have had lower case rates. That is an argument AGAINST mask mandates for me. Those states have failed to get immunity.

    No, you're just attacking straw men now.
    The only point I'm trying to make is that masks work. This is in response to your repeated false assertions that they do not. At no point have I said masks should be mandated, I'm just trying to bring some truth in to usurp your lies.

    You seem on the verge in the above post of saying that NPIs do, in fact, work. Alongside a separate argument which is saying that, to paraphrase, "they are bad BECAUSE they work".

    Well, it's progress, I guess. I hope you'll stop with your anti-science premises now. I won't even attempt to tackle your argument that it's good to let this spread, not now at least.
    No shit Sherlock that masks work. That's why I advocated for them last year.

    I dispute that mask mandates work post vaccines because inhibiting those who are not bothered about catching Covid and putting them on the same footing as those who are bothered is a terrible idea.

    The only way out of this is immunity. The best way to get immunity is vaccines, we've done that.

    The second best way to get immunity is for those who don't care if they get infected, to naturally get infected before those who do care if they do.

    Inhibiting the spread of the virus post vaccines is stupid. The sane solution is those who are bothered wear masks to protect themselves and nobody else does.
    So you've gone on journey from being right about the facts of masks to being wrong about them. What do you want, part credit? Most people prefer to go the other way but horses for courses I guess.

    If you were confident in your justification that masks shouldn't be mandated, why go around spreading misinformation about mask efficacy? Why lie?
    I never said masks have no efficacy.

    I said mask mandates are bad.

    There's a difference. I've said that many times now. How many different ways do I need to say it?
    'Sadly there is a bullshit idea that has been spread that "your mask protects others"'

    'If mask mandates had efficacy, we should surely have studies demonstrating that by now. Where are they?'

    You, just in the last few days. I remember older stuff too, but I'm not doing your homework for you a third time.
    You've been trying to get people to think masks don't work for several weeks. It would be better if you used honest means to push your agenda. Philip, you've lied repeatedly.
    Mask mandates. Mask mandates not masks. 🤦‍♂️

    "If mask mandates had efficacy"

    They don't. Mask mandates don't work because they suppress the virus for everyone but the virus is still endemic. It doesn't ensure those capable of defeating the virus get immunity. It doesn't suppress the virus away from those vulnerable, since the virus remains endemic.

    Mandates don't work. Name any state or nation with mask mandates that has better immunity now than we do?
    Mask mandates do work. It's right there in one of the studies I sent you earlier that you claim to have read.
    Jesus fucking Christ, how is it possible you cram so much stupid into just one head? You're like a fucking goldfish.
    Define "work".

    Working is getting out of restrictions and our normal life with high immunity so the virus isn't causing problems. How do mask mandates achieve that end?

    They are counterproductive as they prevent the right people from getting infected, postponing the infection until down the road. They don't prevent infections, they just delay them for everyone which is not working.

    But if you don't have mask mandates then you can have more infections amongst the low-risk, but if you are high-risk you can be better protected than everyone else.
    Work in that they reduce transmission of the virus. And, in the right circumstances, they can keep the R below 1.
    That's it. It's a perfectly simple fact.

    Once again I'm trying not to involve myself in the argument you're making beyond that which is "is that even desirable?" You make your case well but I'll note that there are arguments against what you're saying too. But I'm not going to enter into those right now, especially not with you because you have a tendency to resort easily to fallacies and even lies. And partially because I would be exploring an issue where I haven't decided where I stand. And you are a very poor person to do that with, for the reasons stated above: I don't trust you not to lie.

    The one thing that concerns me most about what you're saying is I think high incidence leads to higher chances of mutations.I haven't read into it or thought much about it, but it "feels" like it's a gamble.
    But again, I'm not pushing a point of view there. I need to know more facts.
    Then you have a completely different and in my view faintly ridiculous definition of working.

    Using your logic, lockdowns work, so we should be under lockdown still.

    Why is suppressing cases the aim? Suppressing cases should only ever be a means to an end.

    My definition for working would be getting to the other side and out of restrictions with as few restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as possible.

    If you end up with more restrictions which suppresses cases in the short term, but overall leads to more hospitalisations and deaths, then you have failed all three of my tests but passed yours.

    Do you really think fewer cases in the short term, but more restrictions, more deaths and more hospitalisations over the long term is "working"?
    Yes, lockdowns DO work. That is not the same as advocating their use.
    Masks work. The whole point of them is to prevent transmission of infections. If you prefer everyone to become infected, don't use masks. What you do with the facts is up to you.
    Working should be more than just preventing infections in the short term.

    If you stop someone from getting infected today but they get infected next Thursday instead, then what purpose has that served?

    You're missing the fact that life goes on for longer than today. Mask mandates don't work because they just kick the can with no solution.
    You keep asking me to get into the other argument with you, Philip, and I keep telling you no.
    No means no.
    That's fine, then don't complain when others say mask mandates don't work. Because they don't.

    Preventing 'cases' is not the goal. It should never be the goal. Preventing 'cases' is never any more than a means to an end.

    If you want to claim mask mandates work then they need to do more than just postpone infections from today to tomorrow.
    And we're back to the start again.
    You're impervious to reason, and concretely anti-science on this. I'm done trying to dig you out. You have the science, you can wallow in your own stupidity.
    I'm pro-science.

    I have different goals than you. You've set a goal of preventing 'cases' today which the science shows doesn't even prevent future cases.

    I have set a goal of reducing restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as much as possible.

    Preventing 'cases' today doesn't achieve that goal if that results in more hospitalisations and deaths tomorrow.
    I wrote this the other day but Farooq would do well to look at daily case rates before and after the Nov lockdown. All that happened was cases were displaced in time. No sombrero was squished, the spike just got pushed to the right.
    Exactly.

    But @Farooq @RochdalePioneers and @CorrectHorseBattery are more interested in virtue signalling and bullying others than the science.
    As you are calling for the wives and daughters of others to die to preserve the "liberty" of yourself and your own wife and daughter, I will take your perspectives on virtue under advisement.
    I haven't called for anyone to die.

    But do you have any evidence that mask mandates prevent deaths over the course of the pandemic, post-vaccines?
    Give over. Your attitude consistently is "people die, so what?" You assume *others* will die.
    Why do you assume he assumes that? Unless he has wholly irrational delusions of preferential immunity, he must be saying: these are risks we should all, including me and mine, be living with.
    Because nobody goes out saying "let people die of Covid so I can do what I like in liberty" assuming it will be they and their own doing the dying.
    What makes you say that? It's just wrong. I support the motorway speed limit being 70 vs 20 despite the additional risk of fatal crashes, on a convenience vs risk basis, in the knowledge that the enhanced risk applies to me every bit as much as it applies to everyone else. Presumably, so do you.
    Fatal motorway crashes aren't contagious.
    They can be
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340

    ydoethur said:

    Does anyone remember "back to normal by the summer" and "two jabs to freedom". I do

    We were, Horse. Until this happened, which was always a possibility.
    That was not what the big brains trust was saying at the time and you know it, friend
    Well, it’s what I heard them saying. Depending on who you meant by ‘the big brains trust.’

    And we have effectively operated without restrictions in England at least since June.

    There was always a chance of another variant - the hope was if it did occur it would be milder. This one is milder but not it appears by as much as is needed.

    So - more jabbing and we should be OK again. The issue is reaching those who weren’t jabbed properly first time.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    Tres said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    moonshine said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    Farooq said:

    FPT:

    @Farooq your problem is you seem to be, like Rochdale, incapable of seeing past "cases = BAD".

    For me, as many cases as happen naturally occur is a GOOD thing. Especially if those who are bothered about the virus are protected by wearing a quality FFP2 etc mask while those who aren't, are not wearing one.

    That segments the risk so that the right people are getting immunity more, which raises the herd immunity levels for the benefit of everyone including those having to wear a mask because they're afraid.

    I don't accept the premise that preventing "cases" is a good thing. It may have been early on in the pandemic pre vaccines but it isn't anymore. I don't want cases reduced by NPIs, so them being reduced by NPIs isn't a benefit.

    The BMJ article says how states (and nations) with mask mandates have had lower case rates. That is an argument AGAINST mask mandates for me. Those states have failed to get immunity.

    No, you're just attacking straw men now.
    The only point I'm trying to make is that masks work. This is in response to your repeated false assertions that they do not. At no point have I said masks should be mandated, I'm just trying to bring some truth in to usurp your lies.

    You seem on the verge in the above post of saying that NPIs do, in fact, work. Alongside a separate argument which is saying that, to paraphrase, "they are bad BECAUSE they work".

    Well, it's progress, I guess. I hope you'll stop with your anti-science premises now. I won't even attempt to tackle your argument that it's good to let this spread, not now at least.
    No shit Sherlock that masks work. That's why I advocated for them last year.

    I dispute that mask mandates work post vaccines because inhibiting those who are not bothered about catching Covid and putting them on the same footing as those who are bothered is a terrible idea.

    The only way out of this is immunity. The best way to get immunity is vaccines, we've done that.

    The second best way to get immunity is for those who don't care if they get infected, to naturally get infected before those who do care if they do.

    Inhibiting the spread of the virus post vaccines is stupid. The sane solution is those who are bothered wear masks to protect themselves and nobody else does.
    So you've gone on journey from being right about the facts of masks to being wrong about them. What do you want, part credit? Most people prefer to go the other way but horses for courses I guess.

    If you were confident in your justification that masks shouldn't be mandated, why go around spreading misinformation about mask efficacy? Why lie?
    I never said masks have no efficacy.

    I said mask mandates are bad.

    There's a difference. I've said that many times now. How many different ways do I need to say it?
    'Sadly there is a bullshit idea that has been spread that "your mask protects others"'

    'If mask mandates had efficacy, we should surely have studies demonstrating that by now. Where are they?'

    You, just in the last few days. I remember older stuff too, but I'm not doing your homework for you a third time.
    You've been trying to get people to think masks don't work for several weeks. It would be better if you used honest means to push your agenda. Philip, you've lied repeatedly.
    Mask mandates. Mask mandates not masks. 🤦‍♂️

    "If mask mandates had efficacy"

    They don't. Mask mandates don't work because they suppress the virus for everyone but the virus is still endemic. It doesn't ensure those capable of defeating the virus get immunity. It doesn't suppress the virus away from those vulnerable, since the virus remains endemic.

    Mandates don't work. Name any state or nation with mask mandates that has better immunity now than we do?
    Mask mandates do work. It's right there in one of the studies I sent you earlier that you claim to have read.
    Jesus fucking Christ, how is it possible you cram so much stupid into just one head? You're like a fucking goldfish.
    Define "work".

    Working is getting out of restrictions and our normal life with high immunity so the virus isn't causing problems. How do mask mandates achieve that end?

    They are counterproductive as they prevent the right people from getting infected, postponing the infection until down the road. They don't prevent infections, they just delay them for everyone which is not working.

    But if you don't have mask mandates then you can have more infections amongst the low-risk, but if you are high-risk you can be better protected than everyone else.
    Work in that they reduce transmission of the virus. And, in the right circumstances, they can keep the R below 1.
    That's it. It's a perfectly simple fact.

    Once again I'm trying not to involve myself in the argument you're making beyond that which is "is that even desirable?" You make your case well but I'll note that there are arguments against what you're saying too. But I'm not going to enter into those right now, especially not with you because you have a tendency to resort easily to fallacies and even lies. And partially because I would be exploring an issue where I haven't decided where I stand. And you are a very poor person to do that with, for the reasons stated above: I don't trust you not to lie.

    The one thing that concerns me most about what you're saying is I think high incidence leads to higher chances of mutations.I haven't read into it or thought much about it, but it "feels" like it's a gamble.
    But again, I'm not pushing a point of view there. I need to know more facts.
    Then you have a completely different and in my view faintly ridiculous definition of working.

    Using your logic, lockdowns work, so we should be under lockdown still.

    Why is suppressing cases the aim? Suppressing cases should only ever be a means to an end.

    My definition for working would be getting to the other side and out of restrictions with as few restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as possible.

    If you end up with more restrictions which suppresses cases in the short term, but overall leads to more hospitalisations and deaths, then you have failed all three of my tests but passed yours.

    Do you really think fewer cases in the short term, but more restrictions, more deaths and more hospitalisations over the long term is "working"?
    Yes, lockdowns DO work. That is not the same as advocating their use.
    Masks work. The whole point of them is to prevent transmission of infections. If you prefer everyone to become infected, don't use masks. What you do with the facts is up to you.
    Working should be more than just preventing infections in the short term.

    If you stop someone from getting infected today but they get infected next Thursday instead, then what purpose has that served?

    You're missing the fact that life goes on for longer than today. Mask mandates don't work because they just kick the can with no solution.
    You keep asking me to get into the other argument with you, Philip, and I keep telling you no.
    No means no.
    That's fine, then don't complain when others say mask mandates don't work. Because they don't.

    Preventing 'cases' is not the goal. It should never be the goal. Preventing 'cases' is never any more than a means to an end.

    If you want to claim mask mandates work then they need to do more than just postpone infections from today to tomorrow.
    And we're back to the start again.
    You're impervious to reason, and concretely anti-science on this. I'm done trying to dig you out. You have the science, you can wallow in your own stupidity.
    I'm pro-science.

    I have different goals than you. You've set a goal of preventing 'cases' today which the science shows doesn't even prevent future cases.

    I have set a goal of reducing restrictions, hospitalisations and deaths as much as possible.

    Preventing 'cases' today doesn't achieve that goal if that results in more hospitalisations and deaths tomorrow.
    I wrote this the other day but Farooq would do well to look at daily case rates before and after the Nov lockdown. All that happened was cases were displaced in time. No sombrero was squished, the spike just got pushed to the right.
    Exactly.

    But @Farooq @RochdalePioneers and @CorrectHorseBattery are more interested in virtue signalling and bullying others than the science.
    As you are calling for the wives and daughters of others to die to preserve the "liberty" of yourself and your own wife and daughter, I will take your perspectives on virtue under advisement.
    I haven't called for anyone to die.

    But do you have any evidence that mask mandates prevent deaths over the course of the pandemic, post-vaccines?
    Give over. Your attitude consistently is "people die, so what?" You assume *others* will die.
    Why do you assume he assumes that? Unless he has wholly irrational delusions of preferential immunity, he must be saying: these are risks we should all, including me and mine, be living with.
    Because nobody goes out saying "let people die of Covid so I can do what I like in liberty" assuming it will be they and their own doing the dying.
    What makes you say that? It's just wrong. I support the motorway speed limit being 70 vs 20 despite the additional risk of fatal crashes, on a convenience vs risk basis, in the knowledge that the enhanced risk applies to me every bit as much as it applies to everyone else. Presumably, so do you.
    Fatal motorway crashes aren't contagious.
    An almost unbelievably stupid point. So fking what? The argument is about tolerating risk in exchange for liberty. As with contagious diseases, so with speed limits: being liberal about it increases the risk both of doing harm, and of having harm done to you. What point are you actually trying to make?
    Oh, the humanity, Govt. forcing you to wear a seatbelt whenever you drive!
    Did IQs just drop sharply while I was away?

    I know you are a train person, but the law on seatbelts does not vary with the speed limit. Trust me on this.
    If masks are so oppressive, you should also boycott seatbelts, surely?
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    I am operating under the assumption that the Government doesn't believe the vaccination goal is attainable. This dramatic pledge is just to help get as many people as possible boosted as soon as possible.
  • I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    You don't want to talk about deaths because of how dreadful the UK's record is
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,840
    edited December 2021
    Foxy said:

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Apart from foreign travel, fewer and shorter than here. I don't think that we could have copied their success because of geography, but they have certainly done well.
    The closest comparable to the UK is Germany. Have they done better to date, yes, have they been a bit more consistent, yes, have they also made some crazy dumb decisions yes, have they now have huge amount of death, large case numbers, ICU now at near capacity and way behind on boosters, yes.

    Even gold standard South Korea is seeing big wave.

    If vaccines don't work, your only choice is prison island and realistically that isn't a choice for many countries beyond a very short window.

    And remember, UK imposes a travel ban on a few countries, it gets labelled as colonialist racists.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,716
    Foxy said:

    MaxPB said:

    Why was he not wearing a wedding ring? Has Carrie dumped him already?

    I don't wear mine. Never got on with having it on my finger.
    I used to wear it and then started playing with it during the workday, then it fell on the floor and I couldn't find it for hours. After that I leave it at home in the drawer and only wear it to weddings and on our anniversary. I honestly think it would be a week in the spare bedroom if I lost it.
    I managed to lose my original wedding ring at a friend's wedding. I was rather drunk...

    I now wear my Great-grandfathers and never take it off.
    How many nights in the spare bedroom did you get for that? Just wondering, of course!
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    That hubris thing that Leon and I have referred to has been playing in my mind. A few weeks ago TSE posted up a thread in which he stated that unless there was some flesh-eating mutant form of covid he expected Boris' tories to surge ahead in the polls: 10% I think was quoted.

    That's not a pop at TSE. It's a caution that whenever we think this bloody thing is beat, it comes back and bites us ... hard.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,340

    If we don't want to compare to NZ, happy to compare to Taiwan instead

    I don’t think the EU are likely to invade us. Not unless Macron is on course for third, anyway.
  • Foxy said:

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Apart from foreign travel, fewer and shorter than here. I don't think that we could have copied their success because of geography, but they have certainly done well.
    That was true pre-vaccines certainly, and yet entirely geography related.

    But she's clung onto lockdowns this year which is beyond ridiculous.
  • Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    Good statement by Boris.

    Everyone over 18 who is eligible to be offered a booster jab by the end of December

    I’m up for it 🧪

    Just thinking of the logistics with Christmas plans. How does it work with people travelling around for holidays. And enjoying holidays. Surely the promise clashes with most difficult time to have arms presented.
    Even postal deliveries ...
    You can do a walk-in wherever you happen to be. And friends who have a second home in Cornwall had their first jab down there (they were visiting for work) and the second in Hampshire. Even under the old system.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,587
    Alistair said:

    I am operating under the assumption that the Government doesn't believe the vaccination goal is attainable. This dramatic pledge is just to help get as many people as possible boosted as soon as possible.

    Given their predictions on cases, and the guidance not to be boostered with symptoms, if they believe their own narrative they'll end up with 10-20% ineligible in the final week anyway.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,716
    Alistair said:

    I am operating under the assumption that the Government doesn't believe the vaccination goal is attainable. This dramatic pledge is just to help get as many people as possible boosted as soon as possible.

    Yes, same here. I was speaking to my cousin and he was pretty sure that London jab capacity would double next week and the following week and then ramp down a bit over Xmas. If he's working that week doing jabs no one's told him, he said he would be ok with a few shifts tbf.
  • Foxy said:

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Apart from foreign travel, fewer and shorter than here. I don't think that we could have copied their success because of geography, but they have certainly done well.
    That was true pre-vaccines certainly, and yet entirely geography related.

    But she's clung onto lockdowns this year which is beyond ridiculous.
    You say it's ridiculous but NZ is protecting its citizens and they have very low rates of COVID. I consider that a success and the population endorsed the strategy by electing her in a landslide.

    52% is a mandate isn't it, right?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,479

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    Indeed. Auckland was in an absolutely awful lockdown for four months.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541

    I notice we're not talking about Taiwan or New Zealand's approaches, how strange

    Actually a lot of us have said how atrocious we find Saint Jacinda's approach is repeatedly.
    Jacinda has done a lot better than Boris, this is indisputable.
    It is very disputable.

    If everyone can be boosted by the end of the year that would be incredible.
    Please explain how Boris has done better than Jacinda. I will wait
    Higher vaccination rates, sooner.

    Lockdown restrictions lifted, sooner.

    Much better. Not a long wait for you.
    How many people have died in NZ compared to the UK.

    The vaccination programme seems to have been pretty ineffective all told, we're about to go back into more restrictions and possibly another lockdown.

    I would bet money that NZ will be back to normal ultimately before us.
    How much restrictions have there been in NZ?

    "Deaths" are not the only thing that matter, especially when you can't live your life due to restrictions.
    Loving the scare quotes around the word deaths there...
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,587
    MaxPB said:

    Alistair said:

    I am operating under the assumption that the Government doesn't believe the vaccination goal is attainable. This dramatic pledge is just to help get as many people as possible boosted as soon as possible.

    Yes, same here. I was speaking to my cousin and he was pretty sure that London jab capacity would double next week and the following week and then ramp down a bit over Xmas. If he's working that week doing jabs no one's told him, he said he would be ok with a few shifts tbf.
    When I booked this morning on the edge of the M25, there were no options until the 23rd, but loads of options from them to 31st.
  • HeathenerHeathener Posts: 7,084
    HYUFD said:

    Clearly SAGE have told him Omicron isnt much milder, or not sufficiently milder to not overwhelm the NHS.

    We are back to flatten the curve.

    That's what my friend/source flagged up the other day.

    The NHS collapsing will put the Tories out for decades.
    Another lockdown will put the Tories out for years.

    So Boris took the best course, mass rollout of boosters including the army to save the NHS. However not a single word about a future lockdown or even further vaxports being on the cards either
    If bodies are piling up in January-February this stance is going to put the tories out for 50 years.

    We obviously ought to have tighter restrictions, even if not an actual lockdown. The recklessness given the evident peril of the situation is breathtaking.

This discussion has been closed.