Labour calling for Plan B really was excellent timing. They clearly have got no one reading the runes, it's all just reactive to twitter hashtags and trending topics.
The same people would have you believe that it is obvious what the optimal start date for a lockdown is.
The same people who demanded a firebreak this time last year. Then implemented one in Wales, which resulted in them having identical results to England on a 2 week delay.
I am not knocking the intent of people calling for such measures. It is simply hard to predict what is going to happen in a pandemic beyond the short term. It is harder still to predict the effects of any intervention. So we ought to give those making the decisions, and those giving them advice, the credit for trying their best in extremely difficult circumstances, rather than knocking everything they do and kidding ourselves that they have made obvious mistakes.
Some of us live in areas where water comes out of a tap but it also comes with a foam.
Just think of it as alcohol free beer...
Unfortunately for me alcohol free beer is a no no for me because I'm a devout Muslim because a beer drinking friend of mine came up with analogy for alcohol free beer which I have never been able to forget.
You good muslim also has to watch out for what is 'alcohol free'. Lots of them are less than 0.5%, but are definitely not 0%.
Most of the 0.5% beers are functionally close to zero. It's just that the process they use for making them is not guaranteed to leave them completely alcohol free.
Basically, the way 0.5% beer is made is that they make normal beer. Then they warm it to about 85 degrees centigrade, which is enough to make the alcohol (over a period of time) boil off. But that won't get all the alcohol out. It'll leave 0.1-0.2% in there. In theory there could be as much as 0.5%, but in reality is very rarely anything near that.
With true Zero beers, it's made completely differently. It's a soft drink made to taste somewhat like beer.
I prefer the 0.5% beers. What I'd really like, though, is a 1.5-2% beer. Something which is enough to give you a little bit of an alcohol kick, but not so much that your body isn't able to metabolize it all before the next drink arrives.
In Iceland they have a rule that only beers up to 2.25% alcohol can be sold outside the state run off licenses. So, they have tried lots of ways of brewing beer at this percentage. But the products don't taste very good, they just seem to taste like are like watered down dregs/backwash. I'm sure it could be done better. I always thought there was a good opportunity to brew a low ABV ale and sell it in Icelandic supermarkets.
That explanation you provide above is very interesting - I have always gone for the 0.5% low alcohol beers, no one has bettered becks blue in my opinion, but the adnams ghost ship 0.5% is also pretty good.
To me, the actual Zero beers taste too sweet, like a variation of lemonade. I just avoid them completely.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
Be glad you weren't at the Amersham Grammar school while I was there. For 15 years the fuses in the department were a 1cm thick piece of copper.
Only when a new Physics teacher arrived and complained were things changed. And only then because computers were placed on the same circuit.
Dr Challoner’s? I applied for a job there back in the nineties. Sounds like I had a lucky escape.
On the subject of fuses:
Yep - this was before then though - mid 80's rather than 90's.
Looking at that chart - think we were talking in the 1500amp range. Most things would have blown (probably including things at my parents house before it cut out).
Labour calling for Plan B really was excellent timing. They clearly have got no one reading the runes, it's all just reactive to twitter hashtags and trending topics.
The same people would have you believe that it is obvious what the optimal start date for a lockdown is.
The same people who demanded a firebreak this time last year. Then implemented one in Wales, which resulted in them having identical results to England on a 2 week delay.
I am not knocking the intent of people calling for such measures. It is simply hard to predict what is going to happen in a pandemic beyond the short term. It is harder still to predict the effects of any intervention. So we ought to give those making the decisions, and those giving them advice, the credit for trying their best in extremely difficult circumstances, rather than knocking everything they do and kidding ourselves that they have made obvious mistakes.
Just because something is uncertain doesn't make all options equally valid. The intent of people calling for plan B right now is absolutely suspect because it's an answer which can't be squared with a reasonable understanding of the facts as they currently stand. They're either ill intentioned or stupid, and some of them are in positions which mean they ought not to be stupid.
I should clarify that of course there are species of ill intent, and by far the largest will be people who honestly believe in their position, but are suffering from a drastically wrong sense of proportion and the wider issues to be considered. Perhaps it is hardly surprising and a bit more forgivable for people working in public health to have forgotten about aspects beyond covid, or beyond health, but it still doesn't make them right or laudable.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
England figures at 39 down to 33. Hospitals to rise for another 10 days or so then that should be the end of the current storm in a teacup. Impressive, and scary, how such a sense of momentum and doom was generated from a situation so much better than what was projected at the time of last changing regulations.
Yes, I think this is the key point (and unaffected by recent numbers) – how on Earth did we get ourselves to the brink of wearing 'Plan B' when Plan A had yielded better numbers than even the very best-case estimate from Sage!?
I blame the government's frankly hopeless comms – they should have been on top of this before the usual-suspect lockdownists were given sufficient oxygen.
The lockdown fascists knew that they had one last chance to keep everyone locked up forever because falling cases without any NPIs destroys their case. What they wanted was for lockdown to be introduced last week, hence the massive campaign around Plan B and general doom mongering. That way their measures would be credited for the coming fall in cases despite it being more likely that we've hit close to herd immunity for delta with our current levels of indoor socialising.
Well that's certainly a (conspiracy?) theory I have heard expressed by a few people. There could be some truth in it, dunno. One would hope it's not true, but it's not much of a stretch to think it could be.
I just don't trust anyone calling for a lockdown at all. Anyone doing it hasn't been properly looking at the data. Lockdown is a real last resort tactic for displacing infections into the future if we think there will be better lifesaving treatment in the future. That's not on the cards and we have got very good vaccines available to everyone already. The case for lockdown went away when the vaccines arrived and they proved to be excellent.
Yes but who was calling for lockdown - the call was for Plan B measures wasn't it?
More than nine in 10 schools are still waiting for airflow monitors, which can reduce the spread of Covid-19, despite the education secretary promising that a third of the units would be delivered by the end of this month.
Just 8% of schools have received their allocation of the 300,000 CO2 monitors the government pledged to send to primary and secondary schools in England this term, a Twitter poll by a primary school headteacher revealed last week.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
LOLs. I spend most of my time telling workshop participants that there is no one right answer, which they keep demanding.
Ooof. MPs have just been emailed by Parliament's authorities asking them to wear facemasks on the Estate. It's not mandatory, but much tougher line than government's "use your own judgement"...
For those who don't work on the parliamentary estate, it's now "a condition of entry and guests will be refused entry if they fail to comply"
Those figures are going to reverse as we see reductions to approx. 5,000 cases per week by Christmas, as per the London School of Hygiene and Tropical medicine
I just have an instinctive feeling that we are heading down towards much reduced infections
I would just add that Rishi's budget on Wednesday, followed by COP26 is going to dominate the headlines for the next 2 weeks and by mid to late November I expect we will all be a lot happier about covid, though I doubt some on here know the word 'happy'
Almost on topic.
I'll have a pint of whatever you're drinking.
Well I am sorry to disappoint you but I am not a drinker, but do enjoy a good cup of coffee
I need a clear head to analyse my opinions but age tends to get in the way at times
Me neither these days, although I like a beer with a curry occasionally. On topic, I don't drink bottled waters at all either, from wherever they may be sourced. Dwr Cymru from the tap for me everyday of the week.
I will have a cider with a curry occasionally but I absolutely agree with your comments on bottled water v tap water
Cider. With Curry. Cider with curry.
I have to say, that confirms everything about you I have hitherto only suspected.
Why
I rarely have curry and but when I do I quite like a cider
I might try that. I am having a curry tonight and my daughter has left a can of cider in the fridge. Look what you have started.
I'm surrounded by barbarians!
I feel your pain.
There's people on here who put p*n*a*p*e on their pizza.
Hawaiian = 3rd most popular pizza topping in the UK! Pineapple = 4th!
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
"Which drinks have been affected?
Stronger drinks that contain more units of alcohol have a higher price than drinks that contain less alcohol. Drinks that have been most affected include strong white cider, own brand vodka and gin, and super-strength lager.
A can of 5% lager containing 2 units of alcohol has to cost at least £1, and a bottle of 12% wine containing 9 units has to cost at least £4.50.
Unlike supermarkets and off-licences, most drinks sold in pubs, clubs and restaurants already cost more than 50p per unit so there is no real difference under minimum pricing."
I, for one, am shocked to discover that solid theory, extensive data analysis, mathematical reasoning & well-tried models produce accurate results more often than numbers plucked from the sky cos they'd be convenient to smear your political opponents, plus a lot of swearing.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s net approval rating stands at -3%, a one-point decrease since last week. This week’s poll finds 40% disapproving (down 1%) of his overall job performance, against 37% approving (down 2%).
Keir Starmer’s net approval rating has not changed in the past week, remaining at -10%. 36% disapprove of Keir Starmer’s job performance (up 1%), while 26% approve (up 1%). Meanwhile, 31% neither approve nor disapprove of Starmer’s job performance (down 2%).
This week’s sample has 57% of respondents saying they would be ‘certain to vote’ if there were to be a General Election tomorrow. Those who voted Conservative in 2019 (72%) are more likely to say they are ‘certain to vote’ than those who voted Labour (58%).
Those figures are going to reverse as we see reductions to approx. 5,000 cases per week by Christmas, as per the London School of Hygiene and Tropical medicine
I just have an instinctive feeling that we are heading down towards much reduced infections
I would just add that Rishi's budget on Wednesday, followed by COP26 is going to dominate the headlines for the next 2 weeks and by mid to late November I expect we will all be a lot happier about covid, though I doubt some on here know the word 'happy'
Almost on topic.
I'll have a pint of whatever you're drinking.
Well I am sorry to disappoint you but I am not a drinker, but do enjoy a good cup of coffee
I need a clear head to analyse my opinions but age tends to get in the way at times
Me neither these days, although I like a beer with a curry occasionally. On topic, I don't drink bottled waters at all either, from wherever they may be sourced. Dwr Cymru from the tap for me everyday of the week.
I will have a cider with a curry occasionally but I absolutely agree with your comments on bottled water v tap water
Cider. With Curry. Cider with curry.
I have to say, that confirms everything about you I have hitherto only suspected.
Why
I rarely have curry and but when I do I quite like a cider
You are beyond the reach of civilisation. Cider. With curry!
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
Ah, just noticed the cider. Is there such a thing as "Tennents Extra cider"? I can't find it.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
If the answer is right then the working is usually right as well, and (except at A-level) the equations are not so complicated that I can’t see at a glance if they have done the right thing.
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
One of the features of Man Utd losing are the emails to BBC Sport. The one thing they have over most other teams is that they attract some very dry emailers. My particular favourite from yesterday......
"I wasn't really surprised seeing the Man Utd fans streaming out of the stadium in the second half but seeing Paul Pogba join them was a little unexpected."
Mike Smithson's article (mineral waters etc) is unusual in that each detail in it is incorrect. The Naomi Smith tweet is incorrect in every respect, the headline similarly wrong, and the comment superfluous.
There is a change in the procedure for gaining recognition for mineral waters from a EU authority to a domestic one.
That is exactly what happens when we had to choose between the excellent merits of the single market and the excellent merits of being able to control our own migration policy etc.
And just shows the folly on all sides in failing to come to a realistic settlement.
As to the issue itself, it may seem trivial, but the market and customer does not want radioactive sewage, recycled wine or elephant urine to be sold under the mineral water label. Which is what happens when there is no regulation in the food and drink market. We take fantastically high standards for granted. We shouldn't.
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
Ah, just noticed the cider. Is there such a thing as "Tennents Extra cider"? I can't find it.
Don't think so - he's saying Tennants Extra and 2 litre own brand cider are most affected by the beer tax.
My lifestyle would be a lot more comfortable if 2 litre own brand cider was allowed to be sold without the tax.
Oh. I see Wales once again reported no Cases today.
Shame.
EDIT: Superb England fall though.
Are we sure it's not just down to comparatively lower testing ?
Tests 785553 vs 927399 tests (England 17th vs 24th) 84.7% of previous sunday
33309 vs 39473 cases (Reported 18th vs 25th) 84.4% of previous monday.
The positivity rate looks.. remarkably similar..
Oh, so my theory of people not wanting to test positive before their holibobs could be right...
I think looking at reported date vs tests the previous day is OK - when I did a PCR the result returned the next day. I mean it won't be perfect but good enough. Might have a look at the positivity this way in a bit. I'd assume half term would have a dampening effect on cases, which we might see once the kids are back with a slightly lower rate but the largest effect is probably testing right now. As I said I'll run the numbers in a few hours.
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
Ah, just noticed the cider. Is there such a thing as "Tennents Extra cider"? I can't find it.
Aren't "Tennants Extra" and "2litre Own brand cider" different things that could be affected by the minimum pricing, rather than a weird concoction of branded beer and own brand cider?
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
Ah, just noticed the cider. Is there such a thing as "Tennents Extra cider"? I can't find it.
Don't think so - he's saying Tennants Extra and 2 litre own brand cider are most affected by the beer tax.
My lifestyle would be a lot more comfortable if 2 litre own brand cider was allowed to be sold without the tax.
Yes of course, you're right, he means both the beer and cider.
One of the features of Man Utd losing are the emails to BBC Sport. The one thing they have over most other teams is that they attract some very dry emailers. My particular favourite from yesterday......
"I wasn't really surprised seeing the Man Utd fans streaming out of the stadium in the second half but seeing Paul Pogba join them was a little unexpected."
Oh. I see Wales once again reported no Cases today.
Shame.
EDIT: Superb England fall though.
Are we sure it's not just down to comparatively lower testing ?
Tests 785553 vs 927399 tests (England 17th vs 24th) 84.7% of previous sunday
33309 vs 39473 cases (Reported 18th vs 25th) 84.4% of previous monday.
The positivity rate looks.. remarkably similar..
Oh, so my theory of people not wanting to test positive before their holibobs could be right...
I think looking at reported date vs tests the previous day is OK - when I did a PCR the result returned the next day. I mean it won't be perfect but good enough. Might have a look at the positivity this way in a bit. I'd assume half term would have a dampening effect on cases, which we might see once the kids are back with a slightly lower rate but the largest effect is probably testing right now. As I said I'll run the numbers in a few hours.
Considerable numbers of people will be on holiday, of course....
I shudder to think what beer one might be drinking where the 50p per unit minimum makes a difference to the price
Tennants Extra, 2litre Own brand cider.
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Can't be own brand supermarket if it's Tennants?
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
Ah, just noticed the cider. Is there such a thing as "Tennents Extra cider"? I can't find it.
Aren't "Tennants Extra" and "2litre Own brand cider" different things that could be affected by the minimum pricing, rather than a weird concoction of branded beer and own brand cider?
I did think the comma between them was a clue that they were different items likely to be impacted...
England figures at 39 down to 33. Hospitals to rise for another 10 days or so then that should be the end of the current storm in a teacup. Impressive, and scary, how such a sense of momentum and doom was generated from a situation so much better than what was projected at the time of last changing regulations.
Yes, I think this is the key point (and unaffected by recent numbers) – how on Earth did we get ourselves to the brink of wearing 'Plan B' when Plan A had yielded better numbers than even the very best-case estimate from Sage!?
I blame the government's frankly hopeless comms – they should have been on top of this before the usual-suspect lockdownists were given sufficient oxygen.
The lockdown fascists knew that they had one last chance to keep everyone locked up forever because falling cases without any NPIs destroys their case. What they wanted was for lockdown to be introduced last week, hence the massive campaign around Plan B and general doom mongering. That way their measures would be credited for the coming fall in cases despite it being more likely that we've hit close to herd immunity for delta with our current levels of indoor socialising.
Our R is probably already below most of our neighbours.
Almost certainly - albeit from a higher-case load.
England figures at 39 down to 33. Hospitals to rise for another 10 days or so then that should be the end of the current storm in a teacup. Impressive, and scary, how such a sense of momentum and doom was generated from a situation so much better than what was projected at the time of last changing regulations.
Yes, I think this is the key point (and unaffected by recent numbers) – how on Earth did we get ourselves to the brink of wearing 'Plan B' when Plan A had yielded better numbers than even the very best-case estimate from Sage!?
I blame the government's frankly hopeless comms – they should have been on top of this before the usual-suspect lockdownists were given sufficient oxygen.
The lockdown fascists knew that they had one last chance to keep everyone locked up forever because falling cases without any NPIs destroys their case. What they wanted was for lockdown to be introduced last week, hence the massive campaign around Plan B and general doom mongering. That way their measures would be credited for the coming fall in cases despite it being more likely that we've hit close to herd immunity for delta with our current levels of indoor socialising.
Our R is probably already below most of our neighbours.
Almost certainly - albeit from a higher-case load.
Having a higher caseload in the summer when you can handle it is a good thing, not a bad thing though.
I do wonder who's going to have a real crisis this winter. There's going to be a few nations regrettably who've blown their chances to get mass infections in antivaxxers over the summer.
Petrol prices have hit a record high across the UK in what the RAC has described as a 'truly dark day for drivers' https://trib.al/oAY3RBj
The record prices can only be nominally.
Prices in the late 90s when we had the fuel protests were about 90p per litre I think. £1.40 now doesn't sound expensive to me, 20 + years later, when you account for inflation.
Petrol prices have hit a record high across the UK in what the RAC has described as a 'truly dark day for drivers' https://trib.al/oAY3RBj
The record prices can only be nominally.
Prices in the late 90s when we had the fuel protests were about 90p per litre I think. £1.40 now doesn't sound expensive to me, 20 + years later, when you account for inflation.
Sky were reporting many think they should be even higher to help the move to evs
England figures at 39 down to 33. Hospitals to rise for another 10 days or so then that should be the end of the current storm in a teacup. Impressive, and scary, how such a sense of momentum and doom was generated from a situation so much better than what was projected at the time of last changing regulations.
Yes, I think this is the key point (and unaffected by recent numbers) – how on Earth did we get ourselves to the brink of wearing 'Plan B' when Plan A had yielded better numbers than even the very best-case estimate from Sage!?
I blame the government's frankly hopeless comms – they should have been on top of this before the usual-suspect lockdownists were given sufficient oxygen.
The lockdown fascists knew that they had one last chance to keep everyone locked up forever because falling cases without any NPIs destroys their case. What they wanted was for lockdown to be introduced last week, hence the massive campaign around Plan B and general doom mongering. That way their measures would be credited for the coming fall in cases despite it being more likely that we've hit close to herd immunity for delta with our current levels of indoor socialising.
Our R is probably already below most of our neighbours.
Almost certainly - albeit from a higher-case load.
Having a higher caseload in the summer when you can handle it is a good thing, not a bad thing though.
I do wonder who's going to have a real crisis this winter. There's going to be a few nations regrettably who've blown their chances to get mass infections in antivaxxers over the summer.
It depends on how quickly those countries roll out booster shots.
And we don't know the answer to that question yet.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
If the answer is right then the working is usually right as well, and (except at A-level) the equations are not so complicated that I can’t see at a glance if they have done the right thing.
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
I'm marking A level exam papers for an International exam board at the moment. The rule on working is if the answer is fully correct, totally ignore the working. This obviously doesn't apply if the paper gives the answer first and they have to show the path to it. Those questions are difficult to mark, but easier to answer in my opinion.
I was gonna read that new book about human origins, but then I discovered that the late writer was an anarchist and a communist and this, according to an Atlantic review, is one of his discoveries
‘But the authors’ most compelling instance of urban egalitarianism is undoubtedly Teotihuacan, a Mesoamerican city that rivaled imperial Rome, its contemporary, for size and magnificence. After sliding toward authoritarianism, its people abruptly changed course, abandoning monument-building and human sacrifice for the construction of high-quality public housing.’
Yes. That’s a typical trait in meso-American societies, they abandon their orgies of child murder, ritual cannibalism and heart extrusion, so as to really focus on surprisingly upscale apartments for everyday folk
Anyone whining about petrol prices need only look to the YTD barrel crude Oil to know they aren't being ripped off.
The difference between thin margins in petrol and an absolute bonanze of profit is about 3p per litre, so it's quite hard for people to notice if they're being ripped off or not underneath the massive tax burden.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
If the answer is right then the working is usually right as well, and (except at A-level) the equations are not so complicated that I can’t see at a glance if they have done the right thing.
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
I'm marking A level exam papers for an International exam board at the moment. The rule on working is if the answer is fully correct, totally ignore the working. This obviously doesn't apply if the paper gives the answer first and they have to show the path to it. Those questions are difficult to mark, but easier to answer in my opinion.
So Scotland's run rate required before their innings was 9.55
Anyone whining about petrol prices need only look to the YTD barrel crude Oil to know they aren't being ripped off.
The difference between thin margins in petrol and an absolute bonanze of profit is about 3p per litre, so it's quite hard for people to notice if they're being ripped off or not underneath the massive tax burden.
127.8 to 149.9 in a month. We are being ripped off. Whether its the oil cost or the deealers or the retailers. We are being ripped off. There is no doubt about it.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
If the answer is right then the working is usually right as well, and (except at A-level) the equations are not so complicated that I can’t see at a glance if they have done the right thing.
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
I'm marking A level exam papers for an International exam board at the moment. The rule on working is if the answer is fully correct, totally ignore the working. This obviously doesn't apply if the paper gives the answer first and they have to show the path to it. Those questions are difficult to mark, but easier to answer in my opinion.
So Scotland's run rate required before their innings was 9.55
What was Afghanistan's run total?
Sounds quite difficult to me.
Not sure it's a logical question, but Afghanistan scored 190 in their 20 overs.
FPT: TimT said: » show previous quotes I'd argue having a good teacher is way more important than having a teacher who is the best expert in the subject.
Chemistry is physics is not at all misleading, although it might be better expressed as 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics, and biology is the emergent properties of chemistry, and behaviour is the emergent properties of biology' etc...
My bit: Trying to predict the effects of molecules based purely on the laws of Physics has not had a good track record. For biology that is even more of an issue (if it weren’t we wouldn’t have to muck around with all that clinical testing of drugs; we would be able to calculate which would work and why).
Who says it's all about prediction? You can't predict any chaotic or complex adaptive system, even entirely physical ones. Witness the three body problem. Are you telling me that physical systems are not physics, because physics cannot be used to predict their properties and behaviours?
So what does your observation have to do with the validity of the statement that 'chemistry is the emergent properties of physics'? Nothing. Because science is only partly about prediction. It is mostly about explaining. And the laws of chemistry can be explained in terms of the laws of physics. And biology can be explain in terms of molecular chemistry.
Trying to explain the laws of Chemistry using the laws of Physics requires the type of Physics I didn’t encounter until my second year at university. More to the point it required the big element you have left out of this: Maths, and Maths at a higher level than even those doing Further Maths A-level would be expected to get to before their last year at school (if then).
You can hand wave it of course, but we do that at the moment; I’ve just been teaching pV = NkT and explaining how it is the same equation as the pV = nRT they learned in Chemistry. I have also found that I seem to be better at teaching the idea of the mole better than many Chemistry teachers.
I think my basic point is that if you want teachers of “Science” rather than teachers of Physics, Chemistry, and Biology then you have to accept that a lot more physicists are going to decide that they don’t want anything to do with it and so Physics is going to be taught by people who, if you are lucky, have an A-level in it, and more likely just a GCSE in double award science. Not a recipe for inspiring the next generation of physicists.
Sticking my neck out, I'd say that having more and better maths teachers is perhaps of even greater importance.
I sometimes think I would have been better off becoming a Maths teacher; no equipment to book, much lower chance of electrocuting my self in the line of duty, and fewer classes (as I would see each one for about twice as long as I get with my Physics classes).
An marking homework is much faster I would think.
Probably not: Maths teachers have to check the working. I tend not to bother as long as the answer is right.
Wot!
If the answer is right then the working is usually right as well, and (except at A-level) the equations are not so complicated that I can’t see at a glance if they have done the right thing.
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
I'm marking A level exam papers for an International exam board at the moment. The rule on working is if the answer is fully correct, totally ignore the working. This obviously doesn't apply if the paper gives the answer first and they have to show the path to it. Those questions are difficult to mark, but easier to answer in my opinion.
So Scotland's run rate required before their innings was 9.55
Anyone whining about petrol prices need only look to the YTD barrel crude Oil to know they aren't being ripped off.
The difference between thin margins in petrol and an absolute bonanze of profit is about 3p per litre, so it's quite hard for people to notice if they're being ripped off or not underneath the massive tax burden.
127.8 to 149.9 in a month. We are being ripped off. Whether its the oil cost or the deealers or the retailers. We are being ripped off. There is no doubt about it.
If you're paying 149.9 then yes, you and anyone else daft enough to pay that are getting ripped off.
The Cornoavirus dash board is sooooo slow just after publication. I presume because everyone is hammering the API for data.
Yes, they are. I implemented a slow loop for calls, and exponential backoff on attempts (with an additional randomised time element).
Quite a few morons didn't.
I must be a moron, because I didn't understand any of what you just said!
Sorry.
Instead of looping round in milliseconds and trying like a mad chimp, my software runs the sequence of calls to the API slowly (10s of seconds).
If it hits an "unavailable because of too much traffic", it doubles the time for each retry. So waits longer and longer between tries.
Further, it adds a bit of randomness to the growing time between retries to make sure that I'm am not doing the calls to the API in a pattern that matches what anyone else is doing.
All of this is pretty standard stuff.
But some people out there have written code that is bringing the API to it's knees....
I was gonna read that new book about human origins, but then I discovered that the late writer was an anarchist and a communist and this, according to an Atlantic review, is one of his discoveries
‘But the authors’ most compelling instance of urban egalitarianism is undoubtedly Teotihuacan, a Mesoamerican city that rivaled imperial Rome, its contemporary, for size and magnificence. After sliding toward authoritarianism, its people abruptly changed course, abandoning monument-building and human sacrifice for the construction of high-quality public housing.’
Yes. That’s a typical trait in meso-American societies, they abandon their orgies of child murder, ritual cannibalism and heart extrusion, so as to really focus on surprisingly upscale apartments for everyday folk
Are you saying they were incapable of multitasking?
Anyone whining about petrol prices need only look to the YTD barrel crude Oil to know they aren't being ripped off.
The difference between thin margins in petrol and an absolute bonanze of profit is about 3p per litre, so it's quite hard for people to notice if they're being ripped off or not underneath the massive tax burden.
127.8 to 149.9 in a month. We are being ripped off. Whether its the oil cost or the deealers or the retailers. We are being ripped off. There is no doubt about it.
are you sure?
"Crude Oil WTI (NYM $/bbl) Front Month Overview. ... Performance.
Petrol prices have hit a record high across the UK in what the RAC has described as a 'truly dark day for drivers' https://trib.al/oAY3RBj
The record prices can only be nominally.
Prices in the late 90s when we had the fuel protests were about 90p per litre I think. £1.40 now doesn't sound expensive to me, 20 + years later, when you account for inflation.
We've had an effective tax freeze for umpteen years.
Petrol prices have hit a record high across the UK in what the RAC has described as a 'truly dark day for drivers' https://trib.al/oAY3RBj
The record prices can only be nominally.
Prices in the late 90s when we had the fuel protests were about 90p per litre I think. £1.40 now doesn't sound expensive to me, 20 + years later, when you account for inflation.
We've had an effective tax freeze for umpteen years.
It's not been very effective. Duty is frozen by VAT of course goes up with inflation.
Just back from York. I have managed to lose my glasses twice in one day - in the first instance, leaving them in a cafe (from where I managed to retrieve them half an hour later) and in the second, I think, having them fall out of my pocket on the tram on the way home. Most annoying. Happily I am picking up a new pair tomorrow so not disastrous, but still. Anyway: one further observation about York apart from its ferocious busyness: in a gift shop I noticed cat toys in the shape of unflattering models of world politicians. You could choose between Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin or Nicola Sturgeon. Impressed that Nicola has made it into that particular echelon.
Comments
Putin not attending COP26 because of COVID situation in Russia.
PM asked Putin to back net zero target and said significant bilateral difficulties remain following Salisbury poisonings.
https://twitter.com/ShehabKhan/status/1452660326479056900?s=20
That explanation you provide above is very interesting - I have always gone for the 0.5% low alcohol beers, no one has bettered becks blue in my opinion, but the adnams ghost ship 0.5% is also pretty good.
To me, the actual Zero beers taste too sweet, like a variation of lemonade. I just avoid them completely.
Looking at that chart - think we were talking in the 1500amp range. Most things would have blown (probably including things at my parents house before it cut out).
I should clarify that of course there are species of ill intent, and by far the largest will be people who honestly believe in their position, but are suffering from a drastically wrong sense of proportion and the wider issues to be considered. Perhaps it is hardly surprising and a bit more forgivable for people working in public health to have forgotten about aspects beyond covid, or beyond health, but it still doesn't make them right or laudable.
In Scotland there is a min price of 50p per unit.
Just another example of the Scottish Parliament raping the poor.
Quite a few morons didn't.
So brace yourself for doom and gloom.
More than nine in 10 schools are still waiting for airflow monitors, which can reduce the spread of Covid-19, despite the education secretary promising that a third of the units would be delivered by the end of this month.
Just 8% of schools have received their allocation of the 300,000 CO2 monitors the government pledged to send to primary and secondary schools in England this term, a Twitter poll by a primary school headteacher revealed last week.
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2021/oct/24/only-8-of-uk-schools-have-received-air-monitors-that-were-promised-by-government?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
The Earl of Cardigan leading at the Battle of Balaclava made the wooly thinking inevitable.
For those who don't work on the parliamentary estate, it's now "a condition of entry and guests will be refused entry if they fail to comply"
https://twitter.com/JackElsom/status/1452662648420638731?s=20
I guess that's what happens when you p*ss off Mr Speaker.....
Tests
785553 vs 927399 tests (England 17th vs 24th) 84.7% of previous sunday
33309 vs 39473 cases (Reported 18th vs 25th) 84.4% of previous monday.
The positivity rate looks.. remarkably similar..
Pineapple = 4th!
https://www.ovenpride.com/blog/the-uks-favourite-pizza-toppings-revealed/
Homes England to conduct review too
Comes 6 months after ST story by @ManuMidolo @GeorgeGreenwood & me
https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/news/news/homes-england-vows-to-improve-diligence-after-connection-between-former-chair-and-developer-discovered-72933
"Which drinks have been affected?
Stronger drinks that contain more units of alcohol have a higher price than drinks that contain less alcohol. Drinks that have been most affected include strong white cider, own brand vodka and gin, and super-strength lager.
A can of 5% lager containing 2 units of alcohol has to cost at least £1, and a bottle of 12% wine containing 9 units has to cost at least £4.50.
Unlike supermarkets and off-licences, most drinks sold in pubs, clubs and restaurants already cost more than 50p per unit so there is no real difference under minimum pricing."
https://www.alcohol-focus-scotland.org.uk/campaigns-policy/minimum-pricing/
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Westminster Voting Intention (25 Oct):
Conservative 39% (-1)
Labour 36% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 10% (+1)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 4% (–)
Reform UK 4% (+1)
Other 1% (-1)
Changes +/- 18 Oct
https://twitter.com/andrew_lilico/status/1452665820480409612?s=20
I suspect it won't have impacted drinking, it's probably impacted spending on other items though.
Conservative 39% (-1)
Labour 36% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 10% (+1)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 4% (–)
Reform UK 4% (+1)
Other 1% (-1)
Changes +/- 18 Oct
Subscribe to Magnified: https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/magnified/
https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voting-intention-25-october-2021/ https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1452666282646638604/photo/1
Keir Starmer’s net approval rating has not changed in the past week, remaining at -10%. 36% disapprove of Keir Starmer’s job performance (up 1%), while 26% approve (up 1%). Meanwhile, 31% neither approve nor disapprove of Starmer’s job performance (down 2%).
This week’s sample has 57% of respondents saying they would be ‘certain to vote’ if there were to be a General Election tomorrow. Those who voted Conservative in 2019 (72%) are more likely to say they are ‘certain to vote’ than those who voted Labour (58%).
Conservative 39% (-1)
Labour 36% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 10% (+1)
Green 6% (+1)
Scottish National Party 4% (–)
Reform UK 4% (+1)
Other 1% (-1)
Changes +/- 18 Oct
https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1452666282646638604?s=20
It's 9 per cent beer. Jakey juice as far as I am concerned - but in any case if you are buying it in bulk from a specialist you'll be getting it cheaper than in a supermarket.
C'mon Scotland!
*always handle with caution
A-level is different, particularly “show that” questions; there I do have to check working.
"I wasn't really surprised seeing the Man Utd fans streaming out of the stadium in the second half but seeing Paul Pogba join them was a little unexpected."
There is a change in the procedure for gaining recognition for mineral waters from a EU authority to a domestic one.
That is exactly what happens when we had to choose between the excellent merits of the single market and the excellent merits of being able to control our own migration policy etc.
And just shows the folly on all sides in failing to come to a realistic settlement.
As to the issue itself, it may seem trivial, but the market and customer does not want radioactive sewage, recycled wine or elephant urine to be sold under the mineral water label. Which is what happens when there is no regulation in the food and drink market. We take fantastically high standards for granted. We shouldn't.
My lifestyle would be a lot more comfortable if 2 litre own brand cider was allowed to be sold without the tax.
Might have a look at the positivity this way in a bit.
I'd assume half term would have a dampening effect on cases, which we might see once the kids are back with a slightly lower rate but the largest effect is probably testing right now.
As I said I'll run the numbers in a few hours.
28/3 from 4 overs.
1 W W 0 0 W
Oh and the run rate's pretty poor for a T20 when chasing 190.
Two problems there - not enough runs, and too many wickets.
I do wonder who's going to have a real crisis this winter. There's going to be a few nations regrettably who've blown their chances to get mass infections in antivaxxers over the summer.
This isn't going to be pretty or close.
But 36-5 isn't good.
Should be able to govern though without a partner if SF do not take their seats
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=39&LAB=36&LIB=10&Reform=4&Green=6&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=22.3&SCOTLAB=18.3&SCOTLIB=6.3&SCOTReform=0.7&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=48.3&display=AllChanged&regorseat=(none)&boundary=2019nbbase
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/asian-european-motorists-face-record-petrol-prices-winter-sets-2021-10-22/
We are strengthening links with friends across Europe and with our NATO allies, forging a network of liberty across the globe
https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1452669752493621251?s=20
Prices in the late 90s when we had the fuel protests were about 90p per litre I think. £1.40 now doesn't sound expensive to me, 20 + years later, when you account for inflation.
And we don't know the answer to that question yet.
‘But the authors’ most compelling instance of urban egalitarianism is undoubtedly Teotihuacan, a Mesoamerican city that rivaled imperial Rome, its contemporary, for size and magnificence. After sliding toward authoritarianism, its people abruptly changed course, abandoning monument-building and human sacrifice for the construction of high-quality public housing.’
Yes. That’s a typical trait in meso-American societies, they abandon their orgies of child murder, ritual cannibalism and heart extrusion, so as to really focus on surprisingly upscale apartments for everyday folk
57-8
What was Afghanistan's run total?
Sounds quite difficult to me.
show x or something
C'mon Scotland!
Instead of looping round in milliseconds and trying like a mad chimp, my software runs the sequence of calls to the API slowly (10s of seconds).
If it hits an "unavailable because of too much traffic", it doubles the time for each retry. So waits longer and longer between tries.
Further, it adds a bit of randomness to the growing time between retries to make sure that I'm am not doing the calls to the API in a pattern that matches what anyone else is doing.
All of this is pretty standard stuff.
But some people out there have written code that is bringing the API to it's knees....
"Crude Oil WTI (NYM $/bbl) Front Month Overview.
...
Performance.
YTD 73.09%"
Anyway: one further observation about York apart from its ferocious busyness: in a gift shop I noticed cat toys in the shape of unflattering models of world politicians. You could choose between Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin or Nicola Sturgeon. Impressed that Nicola has made it into that particular echelon.