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Re: Political betting dominates the news – politicalbetting.com
I think the scandal might be the mindless deskilling of society. Hospital basements used to have a few handy chaps knocking out bits and bobs in a workshop. They had the skills to make ppe on demand and they had all been sacked in the name of efficient procurement. -
Re: The Tory party has realised a major can of whoop-ass is about to be opened on them
So what? The only difference between him and the Tories is aesthetics. In 14 years the Tories have not scrapped one woke DEI policy Indeed May and others passed many such bills and made it worse. At least with Labour they don't try to hide it. -
Re: The Battle of Tewkesbury – politicalbetting.com
Approaching this like a statistician, if you have separate male and female sport then there has to be a way of distinguishing male from female. Genital inspections are quick and cheap (this is how it used to be done in the Olympics in the 20th century I think?) but it poses obvious moral problems in letting strangers… -
Re: Some very sage advice on reacting to the MRPs – politicalbetting.com
This is my photo quota for today, the outfit worn by 22 year old professional cyclist Kate Richardson of the "Lifeplus Wahoo" Tour of Britain team, when she was knocked off her cycle whilst training on June 4th by a man who forced his SUV past her at speed on a blind bend on a single track road near Holmfirth. The… -
Re: Timing is everything – politicalbetting.com
Face to face you are going to get a lot of shy Refukkers. -
Re: There’s certainly no herding on today’s MRPs – politicalbetting.com
It’s possible we see a large Green vote in quite a few safe Lab seats, and the usual swing back to the reds that we might expect doesn’t materialise if the seat isn’t thought to be in doubt. This might also lead to a few unexpected Tory holds on relatively small vote %age, with Lab/LD/Grn taking votes from each other… -
Re: Survation is great for Lab and the SNP but awful for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
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Re: By 32% to 26% Brits think Ed Davey would be a better PM than Rishi Sunak – politicalbetting.com
For @Andy_Cooke and @NickPalmer: I have quite a few contacts in Wantage and Didcot (Nick you will be aware because of the help you gave me on one of my campaigns which involved a lot of people from that area). So here is some feedback from someone who lives there who is not political but who is interested in who gets… -
Re: A point of agreement – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Ipsos MRP has the Tories on 115 seats – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Why do some right wing Tory MPs want to overturn a democratic vote? – politicalbetting.com
Remember that the MRPs are working from broad demographic models, not decent sized hyper local samples. They can pick up local swings when these reflect wider trends - as happened with both Canterbury and Kensington during their first outing at a GE - but have no way of picking up local factors or local campaigning in a… -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
No chance, Swinney is one of the biggest rats in the nest. No way I will vote SNP whilst teh current bunch of shysters are in control. I have only Alba or ISP as the only real Independence parties left and so looks likely that I will have no-one to vote for this time. -
Re: The War at Home: Labour Defences (Part Two) – politicalbetting.com
I don't deny I feared for 1992. I am still not entirely convinced the voter won't give us a shock to some degree on July 4th. I suspect with Reform being caressed by the media, the Conservatives might not be the net beneficiaries of any late surge, but I don't know. You are probably too young to remember Labour's victory… -
Re: The War at Home: Labour Defences (Part One) – politicalbetting.com
Even Reform fanboi Matthew Goodwin doesn't believe Team Farage will win as many as half a dozen seats. Although BBC WATO found lots of voters who were happy to take a punt on them. Most important issue was illegal migration, second most was legal migration, and it would appear Nigel has some dark arts magic, some smoke and… -
Re: A nice tip to start your Sunday – politicalbetting.com
Can the real, intelligent and interesting, genteel @Casino_Royale please come back? This imposter is boring and venomous in equal measure. -
Re: Into the Great Wide Yonder – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Unite the right – politicalbetting.com
Yet you are strident about people need to lose money constantly because you know you wont be the victim -
Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
Thanks @Heathener for the compliment about me having brains. -
Re: Profiles in leadership – politicalbetting.com
Far more seemly than my suggestion of where he places his carnation.