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Re: Nigel Farage is now the favourite to be the next Prime Minister – politicalbetting.com
It's a big defeat for Iran and a big defeat for Russia. That's good news in itself geopolitically. It remains to be seen if it's good for Syrians or that West. The poor outcomes are if there's a new factionalised phase of the civil war begins (like in Libya) or it a radical Islamist group ends up in control (like in… -
Re: Let’s talk about your favourite Tube lines – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Eclipsing Badenoch. Soon Farage could be the favourite to be the next PM – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Starmer achieves in 5 months what it took the Tories 14 years – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Like Thatcher in her first term Starmer finds himself third in the polls – politicalbetting.com
I know Goodwin suggests a cap, but I can't remember what it is. I'd go for 250k gross inward (not including Ireland). I think this would be politically acceptable and achievable, and it would lay down the principle of a limit. It could then be adjusted up or down as public enthusiasm waxed and waned. -
Re: If the referendum were rerun today there would be a very different result – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Brits really do not like the odious Trump – politicalbetting.com
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Re: A popular government policy – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The Planning Problem – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Losing your marbles – politicalbetting.com
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Re: A game changer or a QTWTAIN? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Guest slot from Moonrabbit – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Defence of the realm – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Hell – politicalbetting.com
This is the latest in a series of articles by me. They fall into three broad camps: the Measurement Series, about how we measure political concepts, the Ideas series, about current political concepts, and the Chronicle of a Bet Foretold series, about the logistics of betting wrt specific election. Some were lost after the… -
Re: Will Elon Musk be proven right? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: How tomorrow’s vote is shaping up – politicalbetting.com
I think you have been mis-informed about his training. On your point about doctors vs pharmacists. The training to be a pharmacist is fours years of MPharm plus one year or pre-reg training (on the job) after which you must pass the professional exam (only get three goes at this). So five year. Doctors I think are longer… -
Re: Following in Ted Heath’s footsteps – politicalbetting.com
In a Sheffield by election last night Labour went from first to third and lost 60% of their voter base. Outside London and the Central Belt of Scotland Labour is becoming a toxic brand. Labour is starting to panic. Sitting in Scotland I am more aware than the English that the Westminster elections are only one part of the… -
Re: Smoking, like cash, will soon be obsolete for younger generations – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Irish General Election Predictions [Part 2/2] Constituencies F – W – politicalbetting.com
Some over on Buildhub have done it. You may well be dealing with high voltages - say 420V. And you will not be able to connect it to the mains without the required qualifications, or an electrician to do the checks and make the connection. Said electrician will want some spondulicks. If it is all off grid (eg to charge up… -
Re: Irish General Election Predictions [Part 1/2] C & D Constituencies – politicalbetting.com






