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Re: A 75/1 and 80/1 tip for next PM – politicalbetting.com
We have had on here, once again, this morning the stock Tory objection to paying people enough to live on. If inflation is low, pay settlements should be low - because workers do not need the extra money so asking for it is greedy. If inflation is high, pay settlements should also be low, because wage-price spiral.… -
Re: How the papers are reporting BoJo’s big day – politicalbetting.com
Not as bonkers as the Quentin Letts sketch in the Times. When medieval heretics were burnt at the stake it took three hours for the corpse to turn to ashes. The Martyrdom of St Boris lasted roughly the same time but by the end it was not clear who had been vapourised. Johnson looked annoyingly chipper but the privileges… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ex-LAB MP Nick Palmer puts the case for a new election
If the situation wasn't terrible, Corbyn would have no chance of winning. That's the reason he's trying to force an election before, God forbid, the Tories sort themselves out. I flatly disagree with Dr Palmer's claim '20 gains' would allow Corbyn to form a government. Even if they were all from the Tories - which isn't… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE 2015 – the view of the spread betting trader
It seems some of our more excitable Scottish friends are going to be out to make a nuisance of themselves again. Scottish police have issued nationwide warnings amid fears of 'threatening behaviour' from firebrand SNP supporters. According to the Guardian police and election officials have still sent out warnings to all of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just one council by-election tonight – a CON defence in the mi
That's not that different from how it's supposed to work now. You pay for yourself down to £23,000 capital, then the council will pay for the cheapest more or less reasonable available local care home place. I've just been helping a relative in Cornwall, who was initially in an emergency situation placed in a home costing… -
Re: As far as punters are concerned the Tories are set to lose their majority at the next election – pol
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/mar/09/guidance-on-sex-question-in-uk-census-must-be-changed-high-court-rules Mr Justice Swift ordered that the guidance should be rewritten to remove the words “such as” and “or passport”, to make clear that respondents should only use the sex recorded on their birth or gender… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the last LAB government continues to be blamed then how
And I disagree - I had a very painful back injury but because surgery hours were so restricted/appts equally so, I put off going and instead filled myself with painkillers. In the end, I made a bad situation worse and ended up having an operation. I can't be the only person who felt they could *manage* on their own until… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Team Corbyn makes a generous New Year gift to Tim Farron given
Agree with everyone about what a fascinating read that Cummings blog was. This is well worth a look as well: https://dominiccummings.wordpress.com/2014/10/30/the-hollow-men-ii-some-reflections-on-westminster-and-whitehall-dysfunction/ Two (of many) highlights: ' For the first few months, all sorts of things spewed from the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Party by-election vote projections should be treated with a ma
Mr Jessop, "I've been doing some reading up on this period recently." As I did for my e-book (An Ever Rolling Stream - published by Wild Wolf in 2014). Castro was a revolutionary but far more of a Napoleon than a Snowball. He did some good things, but he was dangerous. JFK had many faults but he was a consummate… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If LAB’s polling gap with CON had throughout been 6% worse
"The polls saved Ed and helped Dave to his majority." Not sure about this. Labour stuck with Michael Foot and Gordon Brown, both of whom did far worse in the polls than the dismal Miliband would have, even if they had been accurate. Also it is far from certain that anybody else would have done any better, especially given… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The other billionaire WH2020 hopeful spends some money and get
I’m sure there is some, esp on social media. But there is also some justified criticism. They seem unwilling to distinguish between the two. FPT:- Morris_Dancer said: “How they try and square the funding circle will determine public perceptions going forward, it seems.” Exactly. I don’t think anyone sensible should have a… -
Re: Starmer is still struggling to win Tory converts – politicalbetting.com
I'll actually feed the troll in this case. 10,000 seems like an *incredible* amount, and it is certainly a grand claim. However, if we look back, we can see claims that Ukraine 'lost' 2,500 armoured vehicles in two years in the Donbass. Even with the larger scale of this conflict, 10,000 seems a bit of a stretch for the… -
Re: Labour has been edging back in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
Pink News are hardly whiter than white in their coverage of the greyness of Trans debate - they are biased! “The revised PinkNews article no longer contains the statement “it is incorrect to claim that a man ‘who intends to have no surgery and take no hormones’ can ‘be a woman in the sight of the law,’ as JK Rowling… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Buttigieg’s powerful new argument two weeks before Iowa : When
London's a fantastic place, but for most people the economies are all wrong, and they've been getting worse. I lived there for 13 years in Hackney, Streatham Hill, Wood Green, and briefly Greenford. When I bought in Streatham it was one of the few areas that I could afford, working for a charity. When I sold it, the people… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The lack of options for Brexit Britain
I believe Theresa May and the UK are in a good place with the US pricipally because of her speech to the Republicans that commanded five standing ovations. The judiciary and the republicans will be the power behind the throne and we have to maintain our closeness no matter what the feelings of bewilderment at present. I… -
Re: A LAB majority bet is starting to look value – politicalbetting.com
ok well onto my savings account....normally when i log in they send me a verification code by sms...this time tried three times..no verification code...phoned them....was on hold for an hour....when they answered they said the verification codes had been sent....i dont believe them,,,anyway then i finally got access to my… -
Re: In the betting it’s about evens that BoJo will re-introduce restrictions by the end of the year – po
The security perimeter around that stadium was clearly grossly deficient. That's partly the fault of the hopeless Met (though Cressida Dick's forcefield shields officers from censure for almost anything,) and partly, I would imagine, the fault of the FA. It would be fascinating to know if there was a large cohort of well… -
Re: Opinium finds double-digit LAB leads whoever becomes PM – politicalbetting.com
And yet there were similar articles about the Shard a few years after it was finished and "empty" - now it is a huge success And multiple similar articles fastened on to Canary Wharf, in its struggling early days, it was called Thatcher's doomed vanity project, devoid of tenants, blah blah; look at it now Indeed these… -
Re: Whatever else BoJo might have done he’s failed to convince many on Brexit – politicalbetting.com
Quite. There are important things in life. Like scholarship. And knowing where the pitfalls lie. I'm not being facetious. I recently discovered that the folks who scanned an old scientific journal had left out the substantial errata and addenda pages of the relevant volume. Happily they did something about it - but it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Don’t expect anything to come of the GOP’s establishment ef
At last you're starting to face reality and admit there's a difference. Of course it's a lot easier to not increase spending than it is to cut it, which is why we have a Chancellor doing such a thankless and almost unprecedented task. But to put him in the same sentence as Brown is preposterous. If Brown had done an…