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Re: The betting chart that says BoJo’s survived PartyGate – politicalbetting.com
Richardson has been mildly restive for a while, perhaps with an eye to the quite credible yellow threat in the constituency. By the way, not competing with Leon in the travel stakes, but I'm charmed by mid-Wales (here to speak at the Hay festival tomorrow). A 4-hour drive from Godalming, but very pretty most of the way.… -
Re: The Supreme Court rejects the move by Texas to overturn Biden’s victory – politicalbetting.com
Father Christmas will come down the White House chimney in the early hours of 25th December and deliver Trump a coupon. This should have been a coup on time but Giuliani and the Texas lawyers wrote the letter to Santa for the President and now Trump has a $50 coupon to spend in Walmart. -
Re: It now evens that HealthSec Barclay will be the first out – politicalbetting.com
Transaction volumes have dried up completely in leafy NW3/NW8. Not long ago, a house on Cavendish Avenue (same street as Sir Paul and Lord's) wouldn't have even made it onto Zoopla - it would have been sold off-market in 24 hours. Now, stuff has been listed for 3-4, even 6 months, and still isn't selling. And if it's on… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/10272555/Cameron-backs-down-on-urgent-Syria-strikes.html 'On Wednesday night, a senior Conservative source said: “Labour has been playing politics when they should have been thinking about the national interest. Their position has changed continuously over the last 24 hours — finally ending… -
Re: This should move Betfair back to Harris – politicalbetting.com
They do apply, and standards have been revolutionised since it was all redone in the Housing Act 2005. I trust you are in some measure being ironic. I refer you to the last 15 editions of the English Housing Survey, and the property and tenant satisfaction data therein. There's a lot of stuff which has not been done… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the day ICM gave the Tories a 12% lead, YouGov analysis has
Hmmm... I just don't know. Two things are for certain: the magic that surrounded Theresa for so many months has all but evaporated, and the attempt to paint Jezza as the horrifying unelectable bogeyman never gained the traction that was envisaged. I still expect the Tories to win, but with many of their number thinking… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My 100/1 tip to win the 2020 London Mayoral election
'Unelected PM' Kindly name me a single person who has been elected Prime Minister by the British people. Furthermore, TM is constrained by the Fixed Term Parliament Act. I'm not convinced overturning that legislation would get a majority on the floor so it's perhaps not the brightest throwaway. It's a good spoof piece… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A new month starts and UKIP’s support remains buoyant
No, tim. The housing policy of the Coalition government is a reversal of the decline in house building experienced under Brown/ The current building rate of private sector housing (at 30-35,000) per quarter is about 60% of peak under Labour at a time when demand is only 30-40% of peak. The incentives provided by the Help… -
Re: The cunning and awesomeness of Robert Jenrick – politicalbetting.com
I think there has been a shift among public mood. I am sure part of it is if the social contract of work hard, few years out of uni (or into a job) you buy a house, then have kids, maybe your wife stays at home / works part-time, maybe you do particularly well send your kids to private school, etc, has all broken down.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Who are the centrists and wh
I have just read the front of the FT. Theresa May’s “Chequers” has been given a huge boost by intervention from the economic wunderkind Mark Carney. By the account written here, Carney and Hammond took over cabinet meeting, everyone listened in respectful and fearful silence whilst being educated on the horrors what will… -
Re: Restoring my faith in the betting markets – politicalbetting.com
BADR (business asset disposal relief for the purpose of capital gains) was already reduced from a lifetime amount of 10m to 1m. So if you build something worth 50m that 1m will not make much difference - I know two people who have relocated to Dubai already as a result of exceeding this amount. If they want to propose… -
Re: Will leaders be Hungary for the endorsement of Trump? – politicalbetting.com
I suppose I'm in the VeryComfortable group, and politics has never been much about money for me, though I'm opposed to bonkers government that actually reduces income. Politics is about fairness for me, and our system seems to me transparently unfair, to the point that if you're born in the wrong circles the dice are… -
Re: Understanding Reform voters – politicalbetting.com
They certainly failed on immigration but there have been world factors in the last five years which have had an effect on the economy and taxes. Not to mention that we're continually told that voters support higher taxation. And levelling up has been achieved. The North has full employment to go with affordable housing… -
Re: We need to talk about Trump’s age and faculties – politicalbetting.com
Silver bullet. Make housing cheaper. In every market, in every economy in history, the way to do this is to increase the supply relative to the demand. Build so many houses that people will be getting irate about their 8 year old kid winning another house from a cereal box voucher. "Bloody hell, he has 6 already". Build so… -
Re: Ten seats to watch at the next general election – politicalbetting.com
'It's housing, stupid.' 🏠🏠🏠 The North is not bound to be Labour by some divine rule and has been swinging Tory for a decade now. It's not rocket science why: house prices are much lower, housing construction much higher, so more and more people are climbing onto the housing ladder. People who own their own home are far… -
Re: Profiles in leadership – politicalbetting.com
That is path dependent... it is a unique feature of british politics and FPTP. The conservative/boomer alliance over many many decades has been: boomers vote conservatives and long as the conservatives block housing construction to push up house prices and allow boomers to live off rent and then cut all services for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome back Marf and the second 35% share for LAB from You
Nick, if you are around can I ask you a question which has been baffling me regarding Labour's policy suite and the absence of anything truly radical on housing. There is clearly a housing crisis in this country. It is acute in London and the South-East because that is where everyone wants to live and not enough houses are… -
Re: Farage, not Starmer, is the anti-Midas – politicalbetting.com
Healey is very sensible, and has been doing well thought out things since he got the post, despite lack of resources. I'd extend the compliment in some ways to Ben Wallace, even though he has rather transformed into a bald male version of Kemi recently. The first was an overhaul of the procurement side, which I do not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Independents’ day. The implications for Jeremy Corbyn
Thoughtful header from Alastair. I wonder whether these seven, and any others who follow, will do Labour the service of speeding up a realisation that JC is unelectable. He's been internally untouchable* since overcoming the VONC, and those 'carping from the backbenches' have been dismissed as out of touch. This has been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Palace is laying the groundwork for a Regency
The problem is that there has not been any actual austerity. Government spending is higher than it has ever been, the government is still spending £100,000,000 a day more than we receive in taxes, and we spend more on debt interest than we do on education or defence. People who are arguing for “the end of austerity” are…