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Re: Partisan economies – politicalbetting.com
. We're kind of missing the point here. It doesn't matter that much what his motives were. If he was a hardcore MAGAt, that doesn't mean most hardcore MAGAts are dangerous criminals. If he was a transgendered individual, that doesn't mean most transgendered individuals are dangerous criminals. If he was an antifa… -
Re: I am prolier than thou – politicalbetting.com
Those interested in flag manufacture may want to look at this company: https://gracealley.com/ They are advertising on TV in the Seattle area, which is not cheap, so they are profitable, have a lot of investment money to burn, or both. (Full disclosure: I rather like their ads, which show a diverse group of American… -
Re: Oh, Mandy, Well, you came, And you gave without taking, But I sent you away – politicalbetting.com
Having such a large Labour majority may in the end prove to be more of a danger to Starmer's leadership than having a much smaller one, it appears to have emboldened the government backbenches to become more openly critical and rebellious very quickly. Starmer's authority is draining away and the Labour deputy leadership… -
Re: Focus on the share of the vote not the lead – politicalbetting.com
Ordinarily, I avoid anecdotes, but this one is so timely I have to mention it: Yesterday evening, a couple of Jehovah Witnesses knocked on my door, offering to share their beliefs with me. The homely young man was white, the pretty young woman, black. Earlier, I had walked by a group of refugees from Ukraine, also Jehovah… -
Re: A damning indictment on our politicians – politicalbetting.com
Well, I never heard of him before today. (FPT). I'm well aware of Charlie Kirk, but also the UK version of his "Turning Point" group. As a summary, I'd describe him as "an apostle for the culture war", promoting tropes such as 'cultural Marxism'. In the USA Turning Point is targeted on young adults, and has 850 chapters in… -
Re: Life after Angela – politicalbetting.com
Never mind WW3, I'm crossing Paris at the end of the month and don't want to be in an undeclared war zone... -
Re: Patriotic Brits reject the monarchy – politicalbetting.com
I have 20 French partners in tomorrow for a meeting. They are having fun -
Re: I hope Nigel Farage bets – politicalbetting.com
Option a, correct 57% 2^3 permutations, 1 eliminated, so 7 3 scenarios 1/3 3 scenarios 2/3 1 scenario 3/3 4/7 Option b is 53% 2^4 permutations, 1 eliminated, so 15. 4 scenarios 1/4 6 scenarios 2/4 4 scenarios 3/4 1 scenario 4/4 8/15 -
Re: Farage goes to Holyrood – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The challenge for the… Green parties – politicalbetting.com
Can we let them all in, then put a wall round it? We can call it Stalag Luft IV. -
Re: Graveyard or launchpad? – politicalbetting.com
"In 2018, French authorities, with UK funding, expanded the security infrastructure around the port of Calais, including a new 1-kilometer concrete wall to deter migrants from reaching the UK-bound road and ferry terminals. This was part of a larger system of border barriers and intensified security measures at the Channel… -
Re: About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics – politicalbetting.com
OT - The issue with both Johnson and Truss is that Farage would be a fool to let either enter Reform UK. I think Farage is many things but I don't think he is a fool -
Re: Punters think today was a good day for Wes Streeting – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Oh, Angie, don’t you weep – politicalbetting.com
... And who's paid for you Clarkson? He really is repellent. -
Re: Like Churchill will Boris Johnson defect from the Tories? – politicalbetting.com
I've done journeys like that in an EV - include from London to Chablis. Pretty much all motorway services in the UK & France have Tesla fast chargers. In France, they seem to have done a deal with Ibis hotels to put chargers in their car parks. Ibis (France) seem to have upgraded their coffee to match the market - had a… -
Re: Angela’s ambitions in ashes? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Why Reform winning the next election isn’t the certainty some think it is – politicalbetting.com
Another rat overboard from the sinking ship, Mad Nad joins Reform https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/sep/04/reform-secured-almost-1m-from-former-tory-donors-in-second-quarter-of-2025?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other -
Re: It’s Not About You – politicalbetting.com
Unbelievable was a good (fictionalised, but loosely based on earlier events) illustration of such a scenario. -
Re: This is not a good look for the Deputy Prime Minister – politicalbetting.com
I have a bit of a 'meh' response to Angela Rayner. I don't think I've ever listened to a speech. Can't even recollect her voice. I know she's meant to be a rough diamond and one of the few characters in the Government but nothing about her makes me bothered to explore further. The parody of her on Youtube is quite funny -… -
Re: The public do not expect Starmer to be Lab leader at the next election – politicalbetting.com
Pretty much, and I think he will succeed for the same reason. A year ago he was disliked in the party and MPs but he is creeping/crept up and is now higher rated. Raynor has better stats but she isn't making the weather. I don't think he'll be PM unless Labour wins in 2029 but he's a good bet for LOTO in 2030