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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » EXCLUSIVE: PB/Polling Matters Podcast with Damian McBride
Really ??? If the South Yorkshire police had been there they would have been helping the attackers and threatening anyone who tried to report what had happened: ' The Conservative MP Nicola Blackwood said the committee had heard evidence in private from the Home Office researcher that her 2002 report had been greeted with… -
Re: Old Bexley & Sidcup: Another CON by-election flop? – politicalbetting.com
I have an extreme bed-wetter colleague who is huge a bedwetter. However its not just covid - for him its everything. He was convinced the end-times had come when Trump was elected. I have weekly reassurance sessions with him... Oddly, he's just had covid in his house (one of his children) and a flicker of positivity on… -
Re: Global Britain – politicalbetting.com
Interesting thread header. I'm all for seizing Putin and the billionaires who support him by the balls as much as possible. Nevertheless, I think it overstates its case. We will never know, of course, but I don't think there's much evidence that the significant influx of Russian money to London made the government more… -
Re: Johnson NOT being fined would be the worst Tory outcome – politicalbetting.com
About that closeness to Russia thing... No 10 pressured me to drop anti-money laundering measures, says ex-minister https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/feb/15/no-10-pressure-money-laundering-measures-lord-faulks ...He recalls that in return for dropping his amendments he was assured in May 2018 by the Foreign Office… -
Re: The Mail continues with it attacks on Cox – politicalbetting.com
Don't get me wrong, I convinced my sister to send her kids to the school literally across the road from her house. Her eldest had been at nursery at a school a mile away and she wasn't sure it was a good idea to split her from her friends. But I told her that she would be fine and she has been. Most primary/junior schools… -
Re: Could BoJo really make a come-back? – politicalbetting.com
How has nationalising rail helped? Now that operations have been wholly brought back in house, we aren't seeing any changes to the chaos, because the driver of the chaos are the Department for Transport mandarins who were screwing the so-called "privatised" operators as well by dictating micro-details. Ownership is not the… -
Re: This week’s charts from R&W – politicalbetting.com
Pretty typical, homes in 1989 reached a 4-5x multiple. Thankfully for the rest of the country that home would presumably have been worth less a few years later. Meaning an alternate you a few years later would have needed a much smaller deposit. Which as we've discussed a few times is how even after the sale of council… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Farron’s speech was pretty well received but what a mountai
ofc the LibDems have a massive opportunity. The trouble equally obviously is their paucity of MPs and "start up" nature of their organisation. Although not a huge fan of his, I thought Vince did a good job on Pienaar of acknowledging the successes of coalition and paying tribute to the Cons for what they achieved. Clegg,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Stephen Fisher’s latest GE15 forecast is right LAB coul
I was on a grand jury years ago and we were tasked with evaluating different methods of execution, when Georgia was moving on from the electric chair. I have been to the Georgia and Texas death houses, talked with various prison governors who have officiated at executions, talked with doctors about various methods and what… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Someone is trying to persuade me that Trump is ill and might n
Not sure that herd immunity is the way to go, in a country where there’s lots of inter-generational living and a big obesity problem among the young locals, as well as a lot of transient movement of people and areas of high-density housing. It’s definitely going to be a problem for a long time though, especially as we now… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Scoping the damage of the Cummings road trip and Johnson’s dec
Want to double that bet to £10, Kinablu :) ? In seriousness, here's a question: apart from the published polls which come out, what gives you confidence that Biden is winning by a storm at the moment? Because it is not shown by actual results - the Democrats lost a House seat (@RCS says we shouldn't read too much into… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s Achilles heel in Manchester Gorton is its faction-rid
I've been lucky because the only things I've needed planning permission for have been trivial as far as permission is concerned, but this has reminded me of a couple of issues on our previous house. We converted 1/2 of our garage into accommodation. The change was entirely internal. A man came around to see if it impacted… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Austria, Serbia and George W Bush
Thanks for that, Mr. St Clare. My own Wodehouse collection has alas been dispersed by Herself's rather incomprehensible demand that, as every room in the house apart from the bathrooms have bookshelves and those shelves are all over-loaded with books on top of books and the attics are already full, I should get rid of… -
Re: CON MPs will do what’s best for their survival chances? – politicalbetting.com
It's irrelevant as there has been very little tank v tank combat in the SMO. Both sides use them as either not very good artillery or to kill infantry. See that Kharkov video from last year where the Russian "Spetsnatz" try to surrender but an American shoots one in the head so they unsurrender then AFU bring up a T-62 to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
Hugo Rifkind in The Times on the misery of Nationalism. Excellent stuffThere has always been something of the door-to-door salesman about Alex Salmond. You’d invite him for dinner and he’d try to sell you an encyclopaedia. Hence it being no great surprise to see the leader of the Scottish Nationalist Party on Sunday… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Donald Brind wonders whether Osborne’s luck hold?
Osborne hasn't been a great Chancellor, but he hasn't been a terrible one either. I'd give him a C or C-. Yes, the trade figures are frightening and fiscal policy may have been too tight in 2011 and 2012. And he has failed completely to address the numerous supply-side problems in the British economy, in particular in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling on what would happen if there was no UKIP
Very interesting VI data from YouGov, but absolutely no accompanying comment from OGH .... now I wonder why that should be? How long since the Tories had a poll lead of 19% over Labour? Immediately post the Falklands War victory at a guess, or maybe not even then. Speaking of YouGov, 2016 has been a fairly spectacular year… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jumping at shadows
There will be a difference at the margins. Good friends of mine who are both senior lecturers at Edinburgh say that they have never been busier and are now organising remote teaching classes not just for their own students but internationally. In my business video conferencing and quite possibly remote attendance of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If UKIP gets its act together in Wythenshawe and Sale East
Totally agree with you there, Mr. Town. I understand from reading these forums that you are a practising lawyer so maybe you can help with a question that has been bugging me for some years. When the power of arrest was extended to any offence it was balanced (supposedly) by the introduction of the necessity test - i.e. to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Salmond’s blueprint launch: a very good week for No
It may have been the most effective in the past, but that was the past. Elsewhere online, I've seen it claimed that the insulation programme had passed the point of diminishing returns. Between this scheme, and its predecessors, most of the properties willing to accept government help that are easy to insulate have been…