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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Poll boost for TMay as she struggles to hang on at Number 10
Given it seems to have been accepted as valid by pretty much every media outlet, was the subject of an urgent question in the house, and has not been refuted or denied or branded a fake by any facet of government, I'd say I was right to believe it was genuine. You seem to be in a paranoid minority of one. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lucian Fletcher on the DUP and what supporting the government
This shows the fundamental error in the Osborne city strategy. Instead of thinking that towns needed to become more like London they should have been trying to make London become more like Mansfield. Affordable housing and rising home ownership has always been a basis of Conservative strategy. -
Re: The June 23rd by-elections – what happened at GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
Do you not think there's a point to be made there? Why is 50% of people going to university the magic number? Why not 90%? 20%? My nephew got the grades to go to uni, but chose instead to go into the Wonderful World of Work. He's now on a significantly higher salary than his friends who went to uni, and has a house (with… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Stop, Hammond Time
I disagree. I reckon austerity has had a larger effect on the flattening of growth than Brexit has. And I'd argue - from a traditional dry-economic viewpoint - that austerity has been entirely necessary. Remain predicted enormous upheaval, directly after the vote. It hasn't happened. So ordinary people (like me*), who… -
Re: Sir Keir Starmer continues to be Malleus Scotnatorum – politicalbetting.com
He’s got a lot to be grudgey about, TBF He is a rabble rousing hoon but he has ALSO been persecuted by the UK legal system. Both these things can be true - indeed both ARE true -
Re: The PM’s branding Starmer as “a lawyer” hardly a negative – politicalbetting.com
A couple of thoughts (I'm assuming Breyer has been persuaded to step down): 1. Suggests the Democrats are less confident of holding the Senate, which is a fair enough assumption given the current polling; 2. Does this mean Kamala Harris is being lined up to step down as VP and is nominated to the SC? Biden has pretty much… -
Re: Neither Johnson nor his deputy Raab come out of this well – politicalbetting.com
FPT I don't think that is the case - though at present there are extras because of Covid restrictions, and the 12 month or more delay it takes to remove an unwilling tenant forced to stay because the Council have told them that leaving before the full legal process and the bailiff coming means they will be deemed… -
Re: The State of the Union Week 2 – politicalbetting.com
That won't help as much as it seems. On realistic projections, UK population now is about 67m, and in 2030 will be 69-70m. Another 1.5 million homes will help but not do hugely more than cope with the increase. There is also a particular need for vastly more social housing. I have no idea what this government's policy and… -
Re: Is this is proof that David Cameron is the most popular PM ever? – politicalbetting.com
There’s something about NextDoor that turns people into paranoid curtain twitchers convinced that the new postie is casing their house for future burglary. Two things can be true simultaneously: 1) Crime as a whole & especially violent crime against the person is down dramatically over the past decades & that’s something… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mrs May’s Italian job could see Boris quit
Osborne manages to unite Jacob Rees Mogg and Cat Smith in criticism of his May freezer comments JRM "I admired George Osborne as chancellor ... he is an able and highly intelligent man who is descending into worse bitterness and bile than Ted Heath," said the Conservative backbencher, who was recently embroiled in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bookending the 20th Century: South Africa’s gifts to Humani
Off topic, the FT zeroes in on a puzzle that is at the heart of Britain's problems and politics: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4b82f884-5dd1-11e3-b3e8-00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=uk#axzz2mcf3HnYb "The OBR’s best guess is that much of this productivity loss has been structural, rather than just a result of weak demand. The… -
Re: Johnson could face by-election in his Uxbridge seat – politicalbetting.com
This thread has been suspended for misleading the House. -
Re: And so to Sunak’s budget starting with an announcement that parts of the Treasury are moving to Darl
Tax incentives for big co’s to over declare losses now, when no one cares, and over declare profits next year which will feed into a narrative of new growth and confidence. Some token efforts to say “we must pay back the debt”. When really, the covid bill has been paid for with monetisation of gilts, with any longer term… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Labour’s loss of Ramsbottom to CON should bring some ch
It is rare that I agree with Avery but to say the bailouts did not work is simply not correct. The difference between this contraction and the 1930's is all there to see. By pumping money into the system and thereby keeping interest rates low, many many, bankruptcies were avoided. All of us need look no further than our… -
Re: Some harsh realities on the Monarchy from Prof John Curtice – politicalbetting.com
There’s very little media that goes out actually live, without a delay loop and a producer ready to hit the button. Everyone has learned over the years, both that live broadcasts are a target for idiots, and that even well-trained people can screw up under pressure. Newsreaders (not interviews) and sports matches are the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Senator Elizabeth Warren becomes the fourth Democrat to occupy
If it got to 2) and Corbyn refused to suport Clarke (say), it is still quite likely that Clarke would be voted in as emergency PM. Think about this scenario in more detail: The UK government is in gridlock, after 20 Conservatives voted against Johnson's premiership. The HOC needs desperately to find an emergency PM, and… -
Re: Labour has a much lower chance than 12% of winning a majority – politicalbetting.com
We really do lack for colourful politicians in this country Brazil's lower house of Congress has voted in favour of expelling a lawmaker who has been accused of ordering the murder of her husband. Evangelical gospel singer and pastor turned politician Flordelis de Souza has always maintained she is innocent. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON takes 12% lead in ComRe/Mail poll which uses new method
Today we learn that the DOJ and FBI are now investigating four Olympic bids - 1998, 2010, 2018 and 2022. Yesterday we had the unedifying prospect of former FIFA vice president Jack Warner buying time on local TV in Trinidad and Tobago to explain that he is going to spill the beans on the whole FIFA shenanigans, including… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big post Euro election question is whether the Westminster
> @williamglenn said: > I could see Nandy edging towards justifying a Deal vote on Peston last week along those lines, Flint has already made the move as the only choice against two extremes as has Snell, others will follow and May only needs 40 or so Labour MPs added on to those who voted for the WA last time for it to… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Now while Jesus was at Bethany in the house of Simon the leper, a woman came to him with an alabaster jar of very costly ointment, and she poured it on his head as he sat at the table. But when the disciples saw it, they were angry and said, “Why this waste? For this ointment could have been sold for a large sum, and the…