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The (lack of) incumbency bonus – politicalbetting.comJust to clarify: this isn’t just the first time since WW2 that all incumbent parties in developed countries lost vote share.It’s the first time si… (View Post)

Cat meet pigeons – politicalbetting.comSeltzer poll: Harris 47, Trump 44 in Iowa https://t.co/ly7ERGpvEB Read the full story here (View Post)

A blast from the past – politicalbetting.com10 years ago this month: 48% of Britons thought UKIP would still be an important force in British politics by now, while the Lib Dems would have faded away… (View Post)

The Butterfly Effect – Bush vs. Gore revisited – politicalbetting.comThe year 2000 is perhaps best remembered in the UK for the Millenium Dome, the fuel protests and Y2K. For the US, it would be thei… (View Post)

Cleverly becomes the favourite – politicalbetting.comThis is quite the turn up, I wasn’t expecting this but it is good news for those who followed my tip on Cleverly to win this at 7s. Read the full … (View Post)