YouGov 16/17 Mar: Lab +6 YouGov 22/23 Mar: Lab +1 YouGov 23/24 Mar: Lab +2 So a significant fall in the Lab lead with YouGov over the past week, shown in two polls, albeit the later poll is marginall… (View Post)

Yes, the increase was 9.5% last year. Now 8.8% this year. So that's a cumulative increase of 19.1% over the two years. A reminder of the need to tread very carefully even with supposed "moderate… (View Post)

Looks like a very good day for Democrats re redistricting. 538 hasn't written articles yet but this morning Courts appear to have approved new maps for North Carolina and Pennsylvania - Court map for… (View Post)

I started posting in 2005. I still read the site almost every day, though recently haven't been able to post as often as I used to - but hope I will be able to post more again in the future. I know m… (View Post)

It's blindingly obvious that if Con elect Truss as leader it'll be total wipeout - back to approx 175 seats. She is simply not remotely credible as a PM. But that doesn't mean she won't win - it's ex… (View Post)