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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LEAVE moves into lead for 1st time in ICM’s EURef tracker
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LEAVE moves into lead for 1st time in ICM’s EURef tracker
After a stormy week during which he’s come under sustained attack from the papers that were so supportive last May the latest ICM EURef poll has LEAVE taking the lead for the first time. The figures are.
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http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/feb/10/chris-christie-expected-suspend-presidential-campa/
Just what Cameron deserves. That "master strategist" Osborne seems to have learnt nothing from Crosby. Can we please have more talk about immigration from project fear.
A year ago 5 Conservative members 60 yrs+ "always voters" were 3:2 for Remain and are now 3:1 for Leave and one DK. Growing anger over the pi** poor deal.
Breaking: Kristen Brekke, Adeel Ulhaq and Forhad Rahman, who helped youth join IS in Syria, jailed for 4 and a half years, 6 years & 5 years
Any delay now and his lame duck campaign will lose its other leg.
Well, that's a view.
REMAIN = believe in Brussels
Do YOU believe in Britain?
Assisting in manslaughter.
Religion of Peace, my arse.
* Alex Ferguson
Plenty of other people manage family lives around similar shift patterns, for much lower pay, and without the same career progression.
My bank's open on a Saturday afternoon, and I can get my haircut on a Sunday. Why should the expensive MRI scanner in the local hospital be lying idle?
tl;dr: If Cameron thinks the news isn't going to be full of huge migrant movements every night well before his June referendum, he is dreaming.
Insurance market says a vote to leave the EU would create barriers to customers but no 'regulatory nirvana'"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/insurance/12150680/Lloyds-of-London-says-Brexit-would-hamper-its-global-business.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
They don't know what we'll do if Leave wins and won't want to hang about if they think the doors are firmly closing. I'd expect there to be a lot of fence breaking in the run up.
Still big hopes for the smoke and mirrors approach I see...
And you do know that bankers didn't pocket the bailout money personally, and why it was injected into the system?
This is looking like a highly-greased slope for Remain.
http://www.conservativehome.com/thetorydiary/2016/02/google-sinks-osborne-in-our-latest-cabinet-league-table.html
Party Chairman Feldman has the same rating as something smelly on the bottom of one's shoe.
which is extremely apt
I hope the potential departure is of the positive variety.
Apparently Yvette thinks that Cameron should be taking in more refugees as that will help settle things down in Europe and make people in the UK less eurosceptic..... Call it the Merkel approach? Just imagine if Labour had chosen her rather than Corbyn?
Maybe I am getting too cynical but I think the prospects of him signing off a deal are falling by the hour.
I have been thinking what could change my mind. One possibility is that things get really bad again. If they do then whatever the long term benefits the argument that this is not the time to jump out of the lifeboat (or sinking ship of course, depending on how the crisis shows itself) into the uncertainty of deals still to be negotiated may become compelling.
I linked a couple of times to a chart last week showing the very rapidly increasing cost of insuring against the default of investment grade bank debt. Liquidity is draining out of our banking system as those who used to be ready sources of credit such as major commodity providers fall into deficit and look to sell down their existing holdings. Without going all @hunchman about it I think the financial outlook is as bad as it has been for at least 4 years, possibly longer.
Watch this space. Nurse just might start to look more attractive.
I think maybe the party needs its ears syringing....
She was particularly critical given that - apparently - A&E is already the department where it is hardest to recruit and keep doctors.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3440499/Solicitor-claimed-married-Tory-MP-pestered-affair-one-night-stand-drops-250-000-compensation-claim.html
In other news, Johnny Depp stars as Donald Trump in "Art of the Deal, The Movie", directed by Ron Howard :
http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/ad38087bac/donald-trump-art-of-the-deal-movie?_cc=__d___&_ccid=cec08d822f9aa214
But I do wonder if the whole thing could have been avoided if they'd divided it up by specialities and had variable payrises between 3% and 18%, and then eliminated overtime and the like.
I can only imagine that this will mean the Prime Minister will delay the referendum to next year.
The EU is not going to get better for the UK. As the financial climate worsens problems we saw a few years ago will return. Things can only get worse as long as we remain onboard. Either we take the lifeboat now or we suffer far more when we are forced to swim for it later.
Jihadist who deserted IS and returned to the UK after becoming complaining of a lack of hot water and other comforts jailed. http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/crime/article4687560.ece
REMAIN 45%-50% at 4s
REMAIN 40%-45% at 14s
and
REMAIN 40% and under at 28s
is marginally better (3.32) than the best price of 9/4
EDIT: and you get the dead heat!
If you take the net debt of the 500 largest companies in Europe (the Bloomberg 500), and sum up the net debt of non-banks, you see it fell from EUR2.0trillion in 2007, to EUR1.5trn in 2008.
Plus the banks have massively more capital than in 2007/8. RBS had core tier one of - what - 3.5% in 2007/8. It's now (what) 12%.
So, banks are owed much less, and have 3-4x the loss absorbing capacity that they used to.
Certainly if it makes A&E harder for recruitment and retention that isn't a good thing.
Suggest it to ACAS
I often find that Labour supporters are actually the most sectarian. They are brought up to believe, continue to believe, and teach to their children the belief, that Tories = Scum.
Proved again by this pathetic MP.
Hunt has said that no junior doctor will be paid less so it quite obviously is not about money.
His stated aim is to have more junior doctors at weekends (why we'll have to speculate because he certainly needs more radiographers, pharmacists, nurses, consultants, pathologists, porters etc before he needs junior doctors). So if he has more juniors at weekends where will they have come from? The only place is by denuding the weekday rotas to make weekday care less safe.
This strike is about safety, not money.
Khan’s supporters dismiss Galloway’s political organisation as little more than a Twitter feed these days. But in their hearts they must be worried. Galloway is capable of winning a substantial vote. He came from nowhere to take parliamentary seats, first in Tower Hamlets and then in Bradford. His supporters are unlikely to make Khan their second preference, after Galloway has spent the campaign attacking Khan’s supposed treasons. More to the point Galloway’s prejudices are the prejudices of London’s Corbynites, the people Khan needs to campaign for him.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2016/02/would-jeremy-corbyn-prefer-george-galloway-to-be-mayor-of-london/
Making it tax deductable would be a great Budget idea for Osbo.
Do you think the BMA would accept the same? Or would those not included sulk, and ultimately strike, because they felt left out.
Cameron is drawing vast attention to those aspects of the EU that he regards as unsatisfactory but he isn't saying a word about (let alone promoting) those that he's happy with.
He's simultaneously alienating the soft LEAVERS, the soft REMAINERS, the undecided swing voters and even some of us firm REMAINERS!
IIRC you were once one of PB's prolific posters and proved the old adage that "you can leave PB, you will also return". Incidentally I hope the same also applies to my near namesake who has gone AWOL for the last several months.
If memory serves, I believe you were working for The Times group, but were looking to make a move to Ireland ..... or am I confusing you with someone else?
P.S you're one of the few Tories on here who has gone public in stating that they appears intend to to vote for Remain .... has Ireland perhaps converted you into a Europhile?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/12149849/Shock-fall-in-UK-industrial-output-lays-bare-plight-of-sector.html
Thank goodness we have our "near perfect" (tm Mr. Nabavi) chancellor looking after the economy (when he can be bothered to turn away from political stunts) otherwise we might also still have a large structural deficit and a massive current account imbalance.
Britain is presumably a bladdy expensive place to manufacture stuff....
Coroner criticises Maidstone and Tunbridge NHS Trust over death of woman denied a CT scan at the weekend because of hospital policy
Coroner Roger Hatch said Trust policy over weekend CT scans "highly unsatisfactory" and "proved critical" in case of Sandra Wood's death