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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A reminder that national nomination polls at this stage in
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A reminder that national nomination polls at this stage in White House races have to be treated with caution
Every day at the moment the excellent Real Clear Politics site is putting up the above table showing the national polling average for the Republican nomination compared with what it was at this stage in the 2012 and 2008 races.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=438UKM1Av1g
He's been happy to spend decades supporting mixing with such people.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-south-scotland-35297396
But it could be transferred almost verbatim to the contemporary Green Party.
@philnmarks @WikiGuido mohammed, mohammed, mohammed, john, mohammed and mohammed.
well it made me laugh...
However, with Trump polling so well in all the early states as well as nationally (and having done so for half a year now), it's difficult to see far beyond him.
Retail investment advice is not my area of speciality but my thoughts are these:-
1. There is a crying need for sensible investment advice for those who have some money to invest / savings but are not well off enough to justify the more expensive advisors.
2. People need to be able to trust their advisors. That is not just dependant on the individual advisors but on the reputation of the organisation. Santander has not had the best reputation in the past for customer care - trying to get past their IT is a challenge - but that does not necessarily mean the advisors are no good.
3. The costs associated with giving good investment advice are high, which is why the market has tended to focus in recent years on higher end clients.
4. I'm not at all sure that the market has yet found a good model for giving advice to the vast majority who are not in that position.
5. In some ways the whole retail banking model is broken: banks have high costs, customers don't trust them very much, they want them and need them but also want it to be done at low cost; they also need good quality advice but banks have rather trashed their USP in relation to being trusted advisors.
5. Customers need to understand that if you pay for the advice you are in charge. If you allow your advisor to be paid by someone else there will inevitably be the potential for a conflict of interest. There are ways of addressing this of course. But you don't get something for nothing. People need to be prepared to pay for good financial advice as they would for good legal advice or a good builder or electrician or dentist or whatever.
7. How Santander remunerates those advisors is key: if they're paid on the basis of sales, there is the potential for mis-selling. How they are trained, how rewarded and what disclosures are made to customers will need to be carefully considered.
I'm sure @Charles will have views on this, if he's around.
I'm going for Land of Hope and Glory, then I Vow to thee my country.
I detest Jerusalem.
A man from Central Casting with no charisma.
Last prices matched;
Rubio 3.3
Trump 3.05
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107664938
Top security there...
The repubs used their response to the State of the Union to ambush Trump.
I have just had an email from Google+ asking me if I know three named people and inviting me to "add" them. As it happens I do know all three people but not directly:
1. The nickname of a gaming chum in Australia. I do not know his real name and the only contact I have had with him is through Steam (I bought him a steam game for Christmas) and TeamSpeak.
2. The real name of a chap in the Netherlands with whom I have exchanged a few emails using my gmail account
3. The real name of a person I was on a course with ten years ago and who is on my phone's address book but with whom I have had no contact in nearly a decade.
I have never actually used my google+ account.
So how in Gods name have Google come up with these accurate connections?
I have had a similar experience with FaceBook. I created an account because I mistakenly thought I had to for something I was doing and the wretched programme immediately came up with an accurate list of people I do actually know. Even now, months later and despite the fact that I have never used my account, I regularly get an email from FaceBook asking me if I know such and such a person and usually I do.
The secondary point is why the PLP even begins to tolerate such behaviour.
The tertiary point is that all this demonstrates why the whole shooting match is totally unfit for public consumption.
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2016/01/owen-smith-interview-it-would-be-incredible-honour-and-privilege-be-labour
Remember that time we went to Scotland and tried a 3000 calorie Munchy Box? https://t.co/NMnnvchKX6 https://t.co/QF8RlenSa8
As Richard Nabavi says, caveat emptor !
Perfectly normal in any regulated industry or data-sensitive company.
I've used this lovely piece of software before - it logs keystrokes and takes a screenshot every few seconds that can be played back as a video. Scary to most people who don't know what's possible. http://www.spector360.com
2. You used Gmail.
3. Do you have an Android phone?
More appropriate would be "Life on Mars" for the content and comment on England in the 1970s.
Now the workers
have struck for fame
'Cause Lennon's on sale again
Seriously, Land of Hope and Glory or I Vow to thee my country.
What should he do to get himself out of his very large reds? As he's now very worried the buggers are going to choose him.
Hope Ted Cruz wins Iowa and then back Trump before New Hampshire ?
Of course this strategy won't work if Trump wins Iowa, but Ted Cruz seems well organised there.
1. No I use a different email address for steam not the Gmail one
2. OK, explains it but not sure I like the idea.
3. Yes I do and the supplier is Vodaphone.
Donald Trump has been called a lot of things in his time, but rarely have his critics stooped quite as low as this.
At a rally in South Carolina last week, a Trump aide removed a handwritten sign from a man in the crowd after it was noticed it bore an egregious claim: Trump likes Nickelback.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/us-politics/12093773/Donald-Trump-faces-accusations-that-hes-a-Nickelback-fan.html
Guido found a Tory council leader yesterday who made a big boob on Twitter too.
Who is doing information security training and social media awareness for the political parties, seriously?
@Plato_Says we, could go into business doing training for these muppets!
http://www.cityam.com/232234/london-mayoral-election-2016-exclusive-new-poll-shows-goldsmith-leads-khan-by-39-per-cent-among-london-businesses?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
*With businesses.
Edited extra bit: more seriously, I hope you manage to diminish the loss or even make it green.
Android is a Google product, they data mine your phone book to make possible connections. The person in question probably has their Gmail account linked to their phone number.
We'll see how 2016 goes. I hope Ferrari do well. Not just for a real title race, but so I can use the headline "The Horse Awakens".
https://youtu.be/_1hgVcNzvzY
Paul Brand VERIFIED ACCOUNT
@PaulBrandITV
Understand there'll be a very personal announcement from a very senior MP this afternoon. Wishing them all the best and leaving it to them.
Sounds like a illness.
NHS strike?
I remember when I asked my bank (RBS, then) for advice like this, they insisted on a personal discussion giving me far more information than I actually wanted - they weren't willing to answer a couple of simple questions, presumably partly as they wanted to sell me stuff and partly for fear that I'd sue them if the simple questions produced a sub-optimal answer. I understand this, but it should be possible all the same, and if the market won't do it maybe the Government's agencies should, rather like the basic pension advice.
1. The fact that it is a lot harder work to 'vote' than simply turning up and placing an x in a box. Trump supporters are less likely to be politically experienced, and I'm not sure he has an organisational structure in place to get his supporters to the caucuses and organise them appropriately.
2. The structure of the caucuses, where people stand in groups to show their support for candidates, tends to result in the elimination of smaller candidates. No one wants to stand in a group by themselves. You can therefore expect to see Kasich, Bush, Fiorina, etc. badly squeezed. Their votes are unlikely to go to Trump.
I would therefore sell Trump into the Iowa caucuses.
Shelter - they provide shelter to how many people?
http://order-order.com/2016/01/13/tory-boob-i-was-hacked/
Good fortune that Scotland voted No, or they couldn't have bought a ticket?
It is like the people screaming at IDS when he suggested that people look for work 15-30 miles from their homes, in Cardiff, as there were jobs going there. And we got all this guff about people not being able to manage to do that.
To your Mateusz's of this world must be the most laughable suggestion that it is not possible.