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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Osborne edges up further in the next CON leader betting with Boris trailing a long way behind
With all the focus today being on the George Osborne speech it is inevitable that there has been a fair amount of betting on whether he will in fact become David Cameron’s successor.
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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/the-eu-is-used-to-bypass-national-democracy-home-office-minister-admits-a6680341.html
Karen Bradley told a fringe meeting at Conservative party conference that other countries sometimes asked British MEPs to push legislation through the European Parliament so it could not be blocked by their own national legislatures.
She used the example of mandatory passenger name records on flights, which she said British MEPs were currently pushing through in Brussels for an unnamed country.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/11911629/Babysitter-spared-jail-after-having-sex-with-boy-aged-11.html
I'm utterly sick of how judges always let women off easy.
Look at the case last week of the woman who killed a man on her estate and was given a light sentence because she was a single mother.
Yes, the victim seems to have been an unrepentant paedophile but taking a kitchen knife with you when you go to visit and then using that knife to kill him seems to warrant more than just a couple of years behind bars.
Odds on Osborne must also be related to the EU referendum, if DC goes down there, then GO probably goes with him.
All it takes is someone else who is more in tune with the grassroots, and he could easily lose the vote. Election credibility is a card he'll have difficulty in playing because (a) he's not a huge vote winner himself and (b) Labour's leader could well still be Corbyn.
http://www.debka.com/article/24926/Chinese-warplanes-to-join-Russian-air-strikes-in-Syria-Russia-gains-Iraqi-air-base
Agence France-Presse @AFP 2m2 minutes ago #BREAKING Russian air force says hit '10 Islamic State targets' in Syria Monday
Beyond weird.
Will be increased I imagine.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VFCY5VfT1lM
Put it this way, if he'd wanted to do her the biggest favour he could, he would have said what he did.
- Victim is blackout drunk
- Attacker turns up without knowledge of victim (n.b. invitor is cleared)
- Gives account of asking for consent, by any account doesn't actually ask the victim
I mean, you ever slept with someone after asking a completely different person if you could?
Ultimately, all treaties remove power from electorates to a greater or lesser extent, because they bind a country to behave in a certain way. In the case of TIPP or TTP, the ISDS mechanisms means that foreign courts have the ability to impose fines of tens of billions of dollars, such as to effectively limit the sovereignty of domestic politicians.
That, unfortunately, is the reality of free trade deals.
With regards to your final point, I think it's important to understand the motivation of all the players here. The motivation for us in the UK (or in any advanced economy) is to sell the things we are good at: advanced engineering, etc. The motivation for India or China is to use provide markets for their domestic, low skilled, low wage, workers, and to drag them out of poverty. Protecting low skilled workers in the West from competition would probably make any FTA we offered unattractive to the Chinas and Indias of this world.
This has been dragging on for years. I believe it's maditory to pass on names to the USA within 15 mins of a flight to the USA.
Do you want to roll out a red carpet to terrorists?
PS
I believe the changes put forward by a UK (Tory?) MEP, in Feb15, was to narrow the definition of terror offenses and other serious crime offenses.
That kid is probably confused as hell as to what actually happened.
It is clearly possible to be too drunk to consent (Bree being the most important case in this line). The only cases I'm aware of to have succeeded are where the victim is passed out at the time, or has passed out shortly before the act of intercourse.
Being so drunk that you've passed out, means you can't legally consent to sex.
I thought his comments on the Northern Powerhouse very telling - this is clearly something in which he passionately believes, and will be a big focus of the next couple of years in policy terms.
@gabyhinsliff: ..given it gave them the chance to get Corbyn as leader. Contrast is so stark it's surreal.
"We are the many, they are the few."
@JoeWatts_: Natalie Bennett is playing Corbyn's warm up act. The Greens have a real problem in their hands #CPC15
Where is Neil these days?
Why would he be? He's Tory Scum after all.
One assumes there will be video of these assaults as well as police witnesses. If there are not arrests in the coming days expect pressure on GM Police to explain why.
Given the notice of the protest there are probably also police (Special Branch, TSG) and spooks embedded with the nutters, to ensure there were no genuine threats against the government and its ministers among all the egg throwing and placard waving.
I feel sorry for the Dan Hodges' and Southam Observer's of this world. They have had their party taken over by people who appear not to believe in democracy.
https://twitter.com/cllrnormanwork/status/588416432989458432
Nothng to see here.
Sometimes I sympathise for the moderate Labour folk who have seen their party swamped and taken over by the extremists. But then I remember that they were very happy to slam the Tories as evil while overlooking the bigotry by the Diane Abbotts of the world in their own ranks. They allowed the nastiness to fester and are now paying for their own double standard.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eN-NpqYjrLc
And here:
http://media.cwu.org/peoplespostlive.html
But the Crown Office is sitting smug on this. They acted in 6 days. It is the Law Society that have questions to answer.
Does he not understand that if he starts every speech with an attack on the media then he will end up with only RT and the Morning Star covering him? What chance that next year's conference is boycotted by the Lobby after the way they've been treated in the last 48 hours..?
Not to mention a number of journalists and charity workers trying to go about their legitimate business in Manchester.
Light on specifics, heavy on ideology and very loud.
He's so out of touch from reality that he nominated Liz Kendall.
Corbyn would have been much better off staying the hell out of town, and those giving him succour would do well to reflect on how that looks to the general public, given the activities of the protestors over the past 48 hours.
We've already been told people voting Tory didn't know the implications of what they were doing, now apparently those voting Tory just don't count at all. Even if one thinks the Tories only care about the few, they still got voted in by the many. I was not among that many, I voted LD in the end (almost Green, if only for the laughs, as I want small parties to do well), but I'd probably pretend I did if confronted by that band of loonies, who always seem to believe they speak for the majority no matter how much the majority let them down at the ballot box.
He seems surrounded by people that are deluded currently, he needs a practical person to help him out. Any takers?
Tories have done an astonishingly good job in weaning the electorate off them without adverse political impacts.
6.3m families in 2009/2010.
4.5m families in 2013/2014.
It will go under 4m soon.
The most interesting bit for me is the carrier: if the Chinese have managed to get both aircraft, crew and ship ready to perform high-tempo operations then it'll be a massively impressive and significant effort. They only did their first touch-and-go landing on the Lianoing two or three years ago.
It's hard to know what good the Lianoing would do in theatre without the capability to perform high-tempo operations.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/londoners-diary/a3083096.html
Also according to CNN the US suspects the russians are going to start ground operations in Syria soon.
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/05/politics/russia-ground-campaign-syria-isis/
You would need 160 thousand troops for an effective operation in Syria though, I can't see Russia putting in more than 10 thousand at best.
– JEREMY CORBYN
Not responding to personal abuse...
No mention of the increased minimum wage, or of the massive rise in personal allowances since 2010. No-one working less than 30 hours on minimum wage is paying any income tax at all.
Under the last Labour government, working 24 hours a week could leave you worse off than working 16 - where is the incentive there to do more work?
Blimey.
It appears the new politics is about to be tested, the ability for MPs to openly criticise their leader on social media as they speak at a public meeting but I think that large sections of the Corbynistas will not take kindly to it. The new politics is for certain people only, not Tories, not Lib Dems, no UKIP....just certain sections of the left.
If two parents are both working anything like near full-time their household income will be way, way above £20k.
Tax credits are by and large a huge subsidy for people with children where there is only only parent (or only one parent works).
In my view it is outrageous that a single person earning £15k gets zero tax credits. But a single person with two children earning £30k gets tax credits. Or a couple with only one working earning £30k gets tax credits.
These changes will lead to major behavioural change.
For starters they will encourage couples on low to middle incomes to stay together - because they will know that if they split the huge subsidy for single parents with children will no longer be so generous.
As for the effective rate of tax - in future any couple with two children and a household income of just £29k - not much if both parents work - won't be getting tax credits at all - so every extra pound they earn they keep 68p - a very good incentive indeed for them both to work and to further their careers to earn more.
The electorate is nearly 50 million.