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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Meanwhile for the other contenders the battle continues…

Andy Burnham's in Edinburgh to do a Q&A with his supporters. Here they are pic.twitter.com/sthKeR8po0
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I do wonder if Burnham would be worse for Labour than Corbyn, given the latter seems destined for a Shadow Cabinet position if the former is leader.
Jez well ahead on first preferences and andy nudging it on second..... If that happens it will be conclusive proof that God is a Conservative, and you can put the Son and the Holy Ghost down as a C also on the canvassing board.
http://hurryupharry.org/2015/08/25/jeremy-corbyn-teams-up-with-moazzam-begg-to-help-terrorists/
Burnham is the Jeb Bush of this contest.
Much of this is appearing outside the main stream media, so could they be holding back until he is confirmed in place and then bring him down?
Two weeks to save the Labour party.
Carson 13%
Bush 10%
Cruz 7%
Kasich 5%
Fiorina 5%
Rubio 5%
http://www.oann.com/trump-breaks-new-ceiling-in-national-gop-poll/
Andy Burnham is ... well, everyone knows the rest.
Edited extra bit: good for mascara sales?
A lightweight?
Someone whose premiership is as tempting a prospect as a handjob from Edward Scissorhands?
Vote for Mad, Bad, Sad or Glad?
Corbyn, Burnham, Cooper or Kendall - glad she will not be chosen.
Burnham’s Q&A venue was upgraded from broom cupboard to classroom, due to demand.
Do we cut him a bit of slack.. was it pissing down..
HELL NO..
This is the man who is associated with the report into failings in hospitals.. his finger wasn't on the pulse,.
Stafford anyone?
https://twitter.com/DanHannanMEP/status/636640403782037506
https://twitter.com/MichaelPDeacon/status/636504602939125760
re BTL tax changes
This is the official policy costing document, with figures approved by the OBR.
Note that it says there is uncertainty around the size of the tax base. I suppose they are thinking relatively few will sell up?
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/443195/Policy_costings_summer_budget_2015.pdf (p. 21)
This document estimates that one in five individual landlords will receive less tax relief as a result of the changes:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/restricting-finance-cost-relief-for-individual-landlords/restricting-finance-cost-relief-for-individual-landlords
The Tories were in a similar position under IDS the pendulum turns eventually, indeed someone like Alan Johnson could take over in 3 years or so if Corbyn is elected and fails to perform
IDS never lost a GE as Tory leader!!!
http://www.geohive.com/earth/population_age_1.aspx
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/
It's not often that you get to see an organisation disintegrating in real time in front of you in such detail and under such a spotlight.
It was a potentially interesting debate (about whether the media has a duty not to give this psycho the attention he wanted by broadcasting the video, or whether not to do it would just be censorship) but was ruined by both people in the debate using arguments on the level of "I know you are but what am I".
I am massive Corbyn supporter but my local MP is Kendalls right hand man.
Cant see me helping him as much as in 2015. There must be lots of others like me.
"Comrades, our own Parliamentary Party doesn't know our full potential. They will do everything possible to test us; but they will only test their own embarrassment. We will leave our MPs behind, we will pass through the Conservative patrols, past their sonar nets, and lay off their largest constituency, and listen to their chortling and tittering... while we conduct Austerity Debates! Then, and when we are finished, the only sound they will hear is our laughter, while we sail to Havana, where the sun is warm, and so is the... Comradeship!
"A great day, Comrades! We sail into history!"
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/historical-polls/voting-intention-2001-2005
But Trump if he persists musty be seen as a disaster - and not just for the Repunblicans. A mirror image of Corbyn, a Farage with brains, it also speaks volumes for the disaster that is 'populism'.
But even that didnt stop them getting swept away. What you are selling still has to have some value. Do we honestly believe that if labour had managed fifteen million conversations instead of five million it would have won?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b0684sgm/worlds-busiest-railway-2015-episode-3
As it is the great disaster that apparently faces the tories is that they want to tax landlords - landlords already on the top band of tax. This is undoubtedly tough - but will the nations heart bleed?
As predicted re what will happen post his election - almost nothing on the economy - main focus was on leaving NATO and people he has associated with. Though no mention of the monarchy.
At the end one other thing came up that I haven't seen mentioned. Reporter said Corbyn cycles everywhere as he doesn't agree with the impact cars have on the environment.
Sounded innocuous but it's easy to imagine the tabloids going for that big time - Corby is "anti-car" - "he will declare war on motorists" etc etc. Will not go down well with a lot of people
Furthermore David was crap as was Ed. No reason whatsoever to believe David wouldn't have done equally as dreadfully as his brother he couldn't even beat himself.