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We should remember Starmer is the greatest Leader of the Opposition since the end of World War II

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  • TazTaz Posts: 29,754

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Our town was blighted by aggressive beggars and some rough sleeping.

    Plod and outreach came and although some lived in properties outside the area and bused in others who slept rough didn’t want to go into accomodation.

    Some people like the lifestyle.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 62,611
    Sweeney74 said:

    LOL one for @dixiedean - two G7 leaders now are supporters of Everton FC (Carney and Burnham).

    Wonder when that has happened before?

    Supporting Everton is excellent preparation for geopolitics. Endless crises, occasional false dawns, and somehow you keep turning up.
    And, as with Mr Burnham, moving house this year.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 90,993
    edited July 20

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
  • StarryStarry Posts: 242

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Quite. You can round rough sleepers up and lock them in an institution. Does that solve the problem?
    That's pretty much what we used to do. And the initiations were so horrific that people all over the political spectrum fought to end them.

    In addition, modern law doesn't allow you to lock people up for making the place look a bit untidy. And doctors will not drug people up to the eyeballs, just to make them manageable, as they used to.
    Does Burnham really need to explain he's not advocating concentration camps?
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819
    dixiedean said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    LOL one for @dixiedean - two G7 leaders now are supporters of Everton FC (Carney and Burnham).

    Wonder when that has happened before?

    Supporting Everton is excellent preparation for geopolitics. Endless crises, occasional false dawns, and somehow you keep turning up.
    A deafening airraid siren goes off before you appear, too.
    The siren warns everyone that Everton are about to Everton.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 40,701
    Starry said:

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Quite. You can round rough sleepers up and lock them in an institution. Does that solve the problem?
    That's pretty much what we used to do. And the initiations were so horrific that people all over the political spectrum fought to end them.

    In addition, modern law doesn't allow you to lock people up for making the place look a bit untidy. And doctors will not drug people up to the eyeballs, just to make them manageable, as they used to.
    Does Burnham really need to explain he's not advocating concentration camps?
    I would have thought Restore, Reform and many Tory voters would like the concept of the workhouse.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,527
    Sweeney74 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    LOL one for @dixiedean - two G7 leaders now are supporters of Everton FC (Carney and Burnham).

    Wonder when that has happened before?

    Supporting Everton is excellent preparation for geopolitics. Endless crises, occasional false dawns, and somehow you keep turning up.
    A deafening airraid siren goes off before you appear, too.
    The siren warns everyone that Everton are about to Everton.
    I thought it was that Everton are about to bomb.
  • StarryStarry Posts: 242

    I quite like Burnham if not sure about his 1970s stuff but he has charisma and I wish him the best as long as he does not put Ed Miliband in as COE

    That's going to be Andy's problem. Nothing personal, it's the nature of the job.

    Making Ed Chancellor will upset one slice of opinion.

    Giving Shabana the job will upset another.

    The same dynamic will be there several times a day, every day. Makes you wonder why anyone sane wants the job.
    I thought Shabana was a bloody awful home secretary that tried to out-Reform Reform. Before that, she was a supporter of immigrants. Maybe she's a Boris?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 62,611
    dixiedean said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    Don't underestimate the influence of Catholicism on him.
    It runs deep in the NW Labour Party. And in Burnham.
    Let’s see if he repeals Starmer’s decriminalisation of 40-week abortions then…

    Not holding out much hope.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999
    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819

    Sweeney74 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    LOL one for @dixiedean - two G7 leaders now are supporters of Everton FC (Carney and Burnham).

    Wonder when that has happened before?

    Supporting Everton is excellent preparation for geopolitics. Endless crises, occasional false dawns, and somehow you keep turning up.
    A deafening airraid siren goes off before you appear, too.
    The siren warns everyone that Everton are about to Everton.
    I thought it was that Everton are about to bomb.
    potAyto/potAhto
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 67,292
    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 67,292
    Starry said:

    I quite like Burnham if not sure about his 1970s stuff but he has charisma and I wish him the best as long as he does not put Ed Miliband in as COE

    That's going to be Andy's problem. Nothing personal, it's the nature of the job.

    Making Ed Chancellor will upset one slice of opinion.

    Giving Shabana the job will upset another.

    The same dynamic will be there several times a day, every day. Makes you wonder why anyone sane wants the job.
    I thought Shabana was a bloody awful home secretary that tried to out-Reform Reform. Before that, she was a supporter of immigrants. Maybe she's a Boris?
    That's exactly why she was an excellent home secretary.

    You Lefties need saving from yourselves.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 62,611

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
    The Twitter consensus is that rough sleeping in Manchester has doubled in the time Burnham’s been mayor.

    https://x.com/artemisfornow/status/2079175329575317630
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,607
    edited July 20

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    To me it suggests his vacuity instead; ending rough sleeping isn't possible; its a combination of economic issues, mental health issues, and a very small number of people who embrace the lifestyle (or in some cases, can't function any other way).
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999
    Hopefully Andy Burnham will come under a lot of scrutiny over his polices . Any PM should expect so but especially him given he had no need to justify or explain to anyone before becoming PM . We have the Labour Party to thank for this lack of essential scrutiny of course given their rush to coronate him
  • Starry said:

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Quite. You can round rough sleepers up and lock them in an institution. Does that solve the problem?
    That's pretty much what we used to do. And the initiations were so horrific that people all over the political spectrum fought to end them.

    In addition, modern law doesn't allow you to lock people up for making the place look a bit untidy. And doctors will not drug people up to the eyeballs, just to make them manageable, as they used to.
    Does Burnham really need to explain he's not advocating concentration camps?
    I would have thought Restore, Reform and many Tory voters would like the concept of the workhouse.
    Actually the Workhouse as opposed to the Poorhouse was a Whig / Liberal invention, one of the Benthamite Reforms of the 1830s. Most Tories opposed them as being draconian, expensive, demoralising and ineffective. The Poor Laws Amendment Act has more to answer for than the horrific response of national government to potato blight.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 29,469
    There's a part of me that would like to imagine that Burnham is currently getting a briefing along the lines of this one from the Inauguration episode of Stargate SG1

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F8K9itC48bM

    "Its my first day".

    "Let me enjoy the moment"
    "Moment's over sir"
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999

    There's a part of me that would like to imagine that Burnham is currently getting a briefing along the lines of this one from the Inauguration episode of Stargate SG1

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F8K9itC48bM

    "Its my first day".

    "Let me enjoy the moment"
    "Moment's over sir"

    Yes especially as no chance of scrutiny in any form of election contest .
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651
    edited July 20

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 90,993
    Mortimer said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    To me it suggests his vacuity instead; ending rough sleeping isn't possible; its a combination of economic issues, mental health issues, and a very small number of people who embrace the lifestyle (or in some cases, can't function any other way).
    The other suggestion (which I favour) is that it's something to keep Lucy Powell busy with, which won't do any harm, and might end up doing some good.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 29,469
    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
    The Twitter consensus is that rough sleeping in Manchester has doubled in the time Burnham’s been mayor.

    https://x.com/artemisfornow/status/2079175329575317630
    Not for a change, Twitter is wrong.

    Though it has increased in recent years, it initially went down significantly and has recently rebounded (but is still down overall).

    Which is not unusual for a problem like this. Fixing it entails dealing with a myriad of issues like drugs, mental health etc and the fact some people actually do like the lifestyle or prefer it over getting clean etc

    It may be possible to do something but elimination is not realistic.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,917

    Good on Steve Bray making Burnham look like a tit.

    Burnham actually momentarily stopped his speech.

    Really? The man is an absolute bell-end and I am convinced is mentally sub-normal.*


    *For clarity - Steve Bray, NOT Burnham...
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819
    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651

    Sandpit said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
    The Twitter consensus is that rough sleeping in Manchester has doubled in the time Burnham’s been mayor.

    https://x.com/artemisfornow/status/2079175329575317630
    Not for a change, Twitter is wrong.

    Though it has increased in recent years, it initially went down significantly and has recently rebounded (but is still down overall).

    Which is not unusual for a problem like this. Fixing it entails dealing with a myriad of issues like drugs, mental health etc and the fact some people actually do like the lifestyle or prefer it over getting clean etc

    It may be possible to do something but elimination is not realistic.
    Agree but “liking” it is a bit too far I think. The alternatives of slum landlords, of shared accommodation, hostels etc aren’t a bed of roses either. I can see why for some sleeping rough is the least worst option.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999
    Andy Burnham seems to have many skills and seems pretty inventive and sharp. One thing I have not seen any evidence of though is the ability to say no . I notice Northern Ireland already asking for more money . That’s a real test of a PM . Is he too nice ?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    Rough sleeping has been ended before. It sounds good, is possible, and cheap. There might be an issue with rough sleepers preferring to sleep rough during the summer months but who knows? I'm not sure I've seen many at all since the pandemic.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,917
    Taz said:

    Natasha Clarke suggesting Reeves, Lammy and Darren Jones are out.

    Pity about Darren Jones, like @Brixian59, I think he’s pretty capable.
    Although struggles to tell the difference between men, women and boys when arriving in small boats from France.

    TBH I like him too, and think he is one for the future.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,873
    LBC’s suggestions based on its mixture of guesswork and whispers heard, informed by Marr and Clark their political editor, is Mahmoud for no. 11, Ed to be moved but who knows where…(housing?), Streeting for defence or possibly a new AI-related role, Rayner comes back and might get health, Powell to get a top job….
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,917
    Sandpit said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Just back from a blissful, internet free week on the Isle of Man. No 5g there at all, 4g ish and wifi in the holiday home that worked when it wanted to*.
    Going to unplug more often, it was great.

    Back online now, and back to the Westminster circus.
    AB is much better at the comms piece, certainly comes across as human/personable. Not a fan of the BlameThatcherForEverything schtick but he's preaching to his leftwing base there.
    I'm interested to see who makes up his cabinet now, and what changes will actually materialise other than just better comms.

    *rarely

    The new Starlink Mini 2 has a built-in battery, you can now have internet pretty much anywhere in the world that can see the sky.

    https://x.com/olegkutkov/status/2078989908501582281
    Yeah,

    But switching off was great too...
    Going for long walks, practicing Archery in the garden, painting Warhammer with my son, swimming in the sea with my daughter, wine with card games on the patio.
    The best holiday I had in recent years was where I was totally switched off for a week. It doesn’t happen often enough.
    I recall a glorious Lake district trip with my soon to be girlfriend, now wife, where I forgot all the cares about football and research chemistry. Not even radio signal for the football results. Bliss.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 29,469

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
    Yes he has, though its gotten worse in recent years its still better than it was in 2017.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cgrkv8e8l9qt?post=asset:08aefc0c-f5d1-4e9a-bca1-5d1137853699#post

    That pattern of decline since 2017 until 2021 then increase since then mirrors what has happened in the rest of the country, though in the rest of the country it is now at a record high whereas in Manchester it is still significantly below where it was in 2017.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 90,993
    "The war in Iran is approaching that crucial point where it becomes Joe Biden's fault."

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651
    edited July 20
    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999
    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 8,360

    Good on Steve Bray making Burnham look like a tit.

    Burnham actually momentarily stopped his speech.

    Really? The man is an absolute bell-end and I am convinced is mentally sub-normal.*


    *For clarity - Steve Bray, NOT Burnham...
    Steve Bray needs sorting out without going to court. That’s a nice megaphone you’ve got. Shame if it got run over by a police van.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 25,069
    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Burnham had a major pledge on rough sleeping in Greater Manchester, and he's been donating 15% of his salary to a charity to deal with it. I think this is genuine on his part. A bit harsh for people to decry it as performative.

    He wasn't successful as Mayor in dealing with the issue in Greater Manchester - said that he couldn't address the problem as one city alone. In this sense it's also a test of his commitment to devolution - what if Scotland or Wales are less committed to this? Or a future mayor somewhere decides to prioritise resources to achieving some other policy objective?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 32,977

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 25,854

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    You would think now he has a flat at 10 Downing Street he does not need to sleep rough .

    Seriously has he achieved anything on this in Manchester ? You would think being a long term mayor he should have if it’s his mission
    Yes he has, though its gotten worse in recent years its still better than it was in 2017.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cgrkv8e8l9qt?post=asset:08aefc0c-f5d1-4e9a-bca1-5d1137853699#post

    That pattern of decline since 2017 until 2021 then increase since then mirrors what has happened in the rest of the country, though in the rest of the country it is now at a record high whereas in Manchester it is still significantly below where it was in 2017.
    From my lived experience, there are more Jakies in Manchester than Leeds.

    However, Bradford takes the prize.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,211
    Do we have a new second lord of the treasury yet?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 40,701
    It turns out Boris Johnson was not responsible for the post Brexit immigration spike. It was Remainer civil servants.

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-brexit-immigration-sky-37449637

    Glad we have sorted that out.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490
    FF43 said:

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    It's part of the problem - the visible part. Almost no-one wants to be sleeping rough. There is a big difference in outcomes between let's get rid of rough sleeping and let's not bother particularly, which is current policy.

    This is a universal problem and there's plenty of good practice to follow, including in the UK, that delivers those better outcomes.
    Though the biggest issue is that the problems that leave to rough sleeping are personal and varied. Putting more resources into mental health, drug treatment, sheltered accommodation and rehabilitation as a *combined* effort will probably reduce the number of rough sleepers.

    It will not just end it as a politicians solution. Certainly not by the next election, for example.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 23,427

    Taz said:

    Natasha Clarke suggesting Reeves, Lammy and Darren Jones are out.

    Pity about Darren Jones, like @Brixian59, I think he’s pretty capable.
    Although struggles to tell the difference between men, women and boys when arriving in small boats from France.

    TBH I like him too, and think he is one for the future.
    If it happens, presumably executed for being left over from the previous reign.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819
    Seems Bray is now blaring out nursery rhymes - at least that's what's in the background on BBC News coverage right now
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490
    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    And having encountered certain people in the charity world, they project a belief in a lack of compassion in others, because they lack it themselves.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 25,854
    Starry said:

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Quite. You can round rough sleepers up and lock them in an institution. Does that solve the problem?
    That's pretty much what we used to do. And the initiations were so horrific that people all over the political spectrum fought to end them.

    In addition, modern law doesn't allow you to lock people up for making the place look a bit untidy. And doctors will not drug people up to the eyeballs, just to make them manageable, as they used to.
    Does Burnham really need to explain he's not advocating concentration camps?
    I thought they were referred to as four star hotels these days?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651
    edited July 20
    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,999
    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .
    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 29,312

    Taz said:

    Tradesman servicing the boiler has just asked to use my loo

    I cannot say no.

    I hope he’s not taking a dump !!

    😳

    A tradesman taking the piss?

    Perish the though.
    I think it would be more *providing* it than *taking* it, to be honest.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 32,977
    edited July 20

    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .

    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
    More likely they have asked.
    What people wear seems to be an endless source of fascination for many.
    It always is a favourite topic for journalists.
    Makes a nice change to be about a bloke tbh.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 29,469

    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .

    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
    Or they have eyes and can see he's not wearing one when they speak to him.

    Cutting other people's property absolutely make you a nob. Not wearing one yourself does not.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 15,812
    edited July 20
    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Well, all tories are sadists who worship people that have more money than them so formulate your own Arbitrium Morale.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490

    Starry said:

    Taz said:

    Burnham's. Delivery. Has. A strange. Cadence
    My wife observes.

    Ending rough sleeping. It was done during Covid, it is good to see there is a commitment to do it again.

    "We will do better." He said.
    I think I would have preferred an emphasis on turning around the country being a collective effort that required the involvement of everyone. "We're all in it together," was one of the best political soundbites of our generation.

    Like the greatest living Canadian, William Shatner, every word is its own sentence ?
    The rough sleeping problem, isn't the sleeping outdoors bit. That's the *outcome*.

    Herding them all into accomodation rapidly broke down, during COVID, because of the personal issues of the rough sleepers. Which is why they are rough sleeping in the first place.

    Homelessness != Rough Sleeping, as well.
    Quite. You can round rough sleepers up and lock them in an institution. Does that solve the problem?
    That's pretty much what we used to do. And the initiations were so horrific that people all over the political spectrum fought to end them.

    In addition, modern law doesn't allow you to lock people up for making the place look a bit untidy. And doctors will not drug people up to the eyeballs, just to make them manageable, as they used to.
    Does Burnham really need to explain he's not advocating concentration camps?
    I thought they were referred to as four star hotels these days?
    Hilariously, the Nazis tried to abolish tramps, dysfunctional families etc. This was about saving "Aryan blood". So they put quite a bit of resources into it - not just violence. First they housed them is special housing (Gulags for Slags....). When this was often damaged or destroyed, they rebuilt in concrete. Then the barbed wire went up. Basically, they did a speed run through reform and help to ultra violence.

    Then the war came.

    The men were all conscripted into the army. Many ended up in punishment battalions on the Eastern front. A number ended up in the Dirlewanger Brigade. The children were generally forcibly adopted into "normal" families.

    Oh, and the "problem" never actually went away,
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819
    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 29,469
    dixiedean said:

    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .

    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
    More likely they have asked.
    What people wear seems to be an endless source of fascination for many.
    It always is a favourite topic for journalists.
    Makes a nice change to be about a bloke tbh.
    Journalists are wanting to come across as knowing something about what's going on, but no announcements have been made about policies or Cabinet etc so are filling in time with inane nonsense like "he was not wearing a tie" which anyone who isn't blind looking at the picture of him can see.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287

    dixiedean said:

    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .

    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
    More likely they have asked.
    What people wear seems to be an endless source of fascination for many.
    It always is a favourite topic for journalists.
    Makes a nice change to be about a bloke tbh.
    Journalists are wanting to come across as knowing something about what's going on, but no announcements have been made about policies or Cabinet etc so are filling in time with inane nonsense like "he was not wearing a tie" which anyone who isn't blind looking at the picture of him can see.
    We've previously seen Keir Starmer not wearing a tie without banging on about it.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819

    dixiedean said:

    So he must have told them then to be going on about it .

    dixiedean said:

    One thing I would advise Andy Burnham on is to stop going on about not wearing a suit and tie . If he really wants to wear them less just quietly do so . By going on as if it’s a grand policy of his makes him look like more Kevin the Teenager than a PM of a top 10 economic power country

    I haven't heard him mention it tbh.
    It seems to be mostly journalists and commentators astonished that he may choose not to wear the required uniform for a London club.
    So he must have told them for them to make a fuss . I remember thinking what a nob Richard Branson was when reading his bio when he was going on about not wearing ties (fair enough if that’s what you personally want ) and cutting off ties of any employee or business acquaintance who wore one in a meeting with him.
    More likely they have asked.
    What people wear seems to be an endless source of fascination for many.
    It always is a favourite topic for journalists.
    Makes a nice change to be about a bloke tbh.
    Journalists are wanting to come across as knowing something about what's going on, but no announcements have been made about policies or Cabinet etc so are filling in time with inane nonsense like "he was not wearing a tie" which anyone who isn't blind looking at the picture of him can see.
    We've previously seen Keir Starmer not wearing a tie without banging on about it.
    Thatcher never wore a tie either (except on Spitting Image)
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 15,812

    It turns out Boris Johnson was not responsible for the post Brexit immigration spike. It was Remainer civil servants.

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/boris-johnson-brexit-immigration-sky-37449637

    Glad we have sorted that out.

    What an irredemable canker he is.

    His Ukraine comments are weird too. The strategy of the EU et al is readily to apparent to all including VVP. Just try to keep the SMO going until 2029 and hope for a more biddable POTUS. To them, Ukraine is simply something to be expended. There is no theory of victory.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 29,312

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    “Stronger public control’ not ownership 🤔

    Yes. I noticed that too.
    A move towards the French system. Large amounts of stuff provided by private companiies but with very strict Government limits/controls on service, quality and profits. It is something I have been advocating for the NHS for years. We have had the two extremes being advocated for too long - either Nationalisaation or laisse faire privatisation. Neither is the way to go.

    I am afraid of Burnham on a personal level as I think he could end up causing me a lot of grief and costing me a lot of money with his policies and in the end I am old and just don't like change. But if he genuinely sticks to his announcements on ID cards, drilling and a new way of dealing with utilities (at least as a start) then I would give him a cautious welcome.
    Our problem seems to be, as we are halfway towards the French model, our regulation is just wholly inadequate.

    We have nationalised utilities but the regulation seems to be lacking.
    We simply don't have the understanding of how these things can and should be done. And we bounce back and forth between privatisation and nationalisation with each side looking for the purist answer.
    Nationalise the industries which the state is held responsible for, privatise those which it isn't, and make the first group as small as possible. So that's trains, water, gas, electric, law enforcement, and the military in the former, and everything else in the latter. Pulse we need a state broadcaster and some other stuff.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,561
    What time does the cull start !

    We’ve done all the pleasantries now it’s time for the bitter recriminations.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490
    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    "Ending rough sleeping" is pretty much impossible. Reducing it is possible.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 67,292
    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    That's hilarious.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 21,723
    Mortimer said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    To me it suggests his vacuity instead; ending rough sleeping isn't possible; its a combination of economic issues, mental health issues, and a very small number of people who embrace the lifestyle (or in some cases, can't function any other way).
    Crisis suggests that ending rough sleeping is possible and not even that difficult: https://www.crisis.org.uk/ending-homelessness/the-plan-to-end-homelessness/solutions/chapter-8-ending-rough-sleeping/
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287
    Met to axe road policing division amid major cuts
    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/met-axe-road-policing-cuts-b1290540.html

    Soft southerners with their fancy road police...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,873

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    I am fairly confident that the next PM isn’t any of the top seven
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 57,586
    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    I suspect there are few easy votes in ending rough sleeping. It obviously requires investment in more than accommodation, as a lot of rough sleepers are substance abusers, ex-convicts or ex-military, sometimes all of the above.

    But a bit like the "Broken Window" theory of crime control, it does make our streets less threatening, particularly to older people and women, so is a key part of visibly improving our town centres.
  • Sweeney74Sweeney74 Posts: 819

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    "Ending rough sleeping" is pretty much impossible. Reducing it is possible.
    The former sounds better on Radio 4
    Foxy said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    I suspect there are few easy votes in ending rough sleeping. It obviously requires investment in more than accommodation, as a lot of rough sleepers are substance abusers, ex-convicts or ex-military, sometimes all of the above.

    But a bit like the "Broken Window" theory of crime control, it does make our streets less threatening, particularly to older people and women, so is a key part of visibly improving our town centres.
    I agree, small things can make a real difference to our collective quality of life.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 57,586
    IanB2 said:

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    I am fairly confident that the next PM isn’t any of the top seven
    If the event is the next GE, then Badenoch, but if Lab wins either a majority or minority government then likely to be a fresh field in 5-7 years time.

    I think the Lab most seats at 2.8 and Lab majority at 6.8 are both value at present on BFX.

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,573

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    "Ending rough sleeping" is pretty much impossible. Reducing it is possible.
    Yes. Ditto for most bad things. The 'end' is a rhetorical technique to add punch. Which is fine so long as the intention and follow through is there.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,211
    edited July 20
    The amount of homeless people in Newcastle City Centre has increased quite significantly over the past few years, at least anecdotally from appearances.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490
    Sweeney74 said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    "Ending rough sleeping" is pretty much impossible. Reducing it is possible.
    The former sounds better on Radio 4
    Foxy said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    I suspect there are few easy votes in ending rough sleeping. It obviously requires investment in more than accommodation, as a lot of rough sleepers are substance abusers, ex-convicts or ex-military, sometimes all of the above.

    But a bit like the "Broken Window" theory of crime control, it does make our streets less threatening, particularly to older people and women, so is a key part of visibly improving our town centres.
    I agree, small things can make a real difference to our collective quality of life.
    The ex-military thing is of interest.

    A few years back a charity tried verifying the claims of rough sleepers to be veterans.

    Most who claim to be weren’t. A slack handful were military who’d seen combat.

    A significant number of the genuine were those who’d been rejected in training and never actually got into the military. Often rejected as mentally unsuitable.

    There is a bigger problem of *homelessness* among ex-military. But that is a different problem.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 622
    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Bollox. At worst they are realists infinitely preferable to the left hypocrisy which only see selective human suffering which fits their world view - hence the weird obsession with Gaza.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,561
    Trump called the UK a poverty stricken disaster and this hardly got any media attention . Imagine the furore if a UK PM had said that about the USA .

  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 17,889

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Burnham had a major pledge on rough sleeping in Greater Manchester, and he's been donating 15% of his salary to a charity to deal with it. I think this is genuine on his part. A bit harsh for people to decry it as performative.

    He wasn't successful as Mayor in dealing with the issue in Greater Manchester - said that he couldn't address the problem as one city alone. In this sense it's also a test of his commitment to devolution - what if Scotland or Wales are less committed to this? Or a future mayor somewhere decides to prioritise resources to achieving some other policy objective?
    Mixed feeling. As a proportion of the population (under 5000 per night - how do they know?) the homeless by standard definition is minute. About 1 in 14000 people at any one time. In much of the country invisible, but probably most visible where talking heads and the powerful live. I notice it most in London, Edinburgh, Oxford, Cambridge. This is not coincidence.

    And over the years I have met a number of shelterless people, some many times over many years, who have neither the capacity nor inclination to live under any sort of roof.

  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287
    Foxy said:

    IanB2 said:

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    I am fairly confident that the next PM isn’t any of the top seven
    If the event is the next GE, then Badenoch, but if Lab wins either a majority or minority government then likely to be a fresh field in 5-7 years time.

    I think the Lab most seats at 2.8 and Lab majority at 6.8 are both value at present on BFX.

    Yes, it is not an appealing market if Burnham is expected to remain for longer than the now-customary two or three years, unless you spot a rick that you can build a book around.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651
    scampi25 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Bollox. At worst they are realists infinitely preferable to the left hypocrisy which only see selective human suffering which fits their world view - hence the weird obsession with Gaza.
    It’s weird for the UK to ally with a country committing a genocide. That’s the distinction.

    Anyway, will be interesting to see how Burnham deals with that. Softly softly so far.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 41,017
    edited July 20
    Andy Burnham's wife appeared on Cilla Black's Blind Date show in 1992.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,490
    edited July 20
    algarkirk said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Burnham had a major pledge on rough sleeping in Greater Manchester, and he's been donating 15% of his salary to a charity to deal with it. I think this is genuine on his part. A bit harsh for people to decry it as performative.

    He wasn't successful as Mayor in dealing with the issue in Greater Manchester - said that he couldn't address the problem as one city alone. In this sense it's also a test of his commitment to devolution - what if Scotland or Wales are less committed to this? Or a future mayor somewhere decides to prioritise resources to achieving some other policy objective?
    Mixed feeling. As a proportion of the population (under 5000 per night - how do they know?) the homeless by standard definition is minute. About 1 in 14000 people at any one time. In much of the country invisible, but probably most visible where talking heads and the powerful live. I notice it most in London, Edinburgh, Oxford, Cambridge. This is not coincidence.

    And over the years I have met a number of shelterless people, some many times over many years, who have neither the capacity nor inclination to live under any sort of roof.

    It depends on definition.

    But there are considered to be 300-400K people "homeless". With about 5,000 sleeping rough on the streets each night - as measured by the charities that are funded to work on this.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 17,889

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    9/4 Farage is bonkers. Personally I would take 10/1 or longer. As for the rest, the next PM may be someone not on the list or any list. I think it's likely to be 6+ years away. So it's like betting on the 2028 Derby.
  • eekeek Posts: 34,642
    algarkirk said:

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    9/4 Farage is bonkers. Personally I would take 10/1 or longer. As for the rest, the next PM may be someone not on the list or any list. I think it's likely to be 6+ years away. So it's like betting on the 2028 Derby.
    9/4 is a lay in any market offering anything like those odds...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 137,684
    Reeves rumoured to go to defence says Christopher Hope
  • eekeek Posts: 34,642
    Andy_JS said:

    Andy Burnham's wife appeared on Cilla Black's Blind Date show in 1992. This page includes a photo from the programme.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    She appeared in a failed attempt to get a TV career...
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 15,812
    I have given Supermanc's Mandelist government by and for the Bildungsburgertum a chance but I've decided that I fucking hate it. His time is up. He's got to go. Burnham out.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 37,287
    Andy_JS said:

    Andy Burnham's wife appeared on Cilla Black's Blind Date show in 1992.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    van Heel appeared on the hit ITV programme.

    She chose Will from Surrey to be her date on a holiday to Gibraltar, but the pair did not hit it off.

    Having quickly reunited, Burnham and van Heel were reportedly in a bar in Parliament 12 years later when Will walked in, having become the director of communications for the Conservative Party.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    Blimey, they all know each other. It's NU10k again, veering on the Chumocracy.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 67,292
    IanB2 said:

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    I am fairly confident that the next PM isn’t any of the top seven
    I'm a layer of Farage at that price.
  • The_WoodpeckerThe_Woodpecker Posts: 594
    scampi25 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    Bollox. At worst they are realists infinitely preferable to the left hypocrisy which only see selective human suffering which fits their world view - hence the weird obsession with Gaza.
    More bollox.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,651
    HYUFD said:

    Reeves rumoured to go to defence says Christopher Hope

    Reeves to defence, Miliband to housing, Mahmoud to Treasury would be inexplicable. I don’t get it at all.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 29,312

    Mortimer said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    To me it suggests his vacuity instead; ending rough sleeping isn't possible; its a combination of economic issues, mental health issues, and a very small number of people who embrace the lifestyle (or in some cases, can't function any other way).
    Crisis suggests that ending rough sleeping is possible and not even that difficult: https://www.crisis.org.uk/ending-homelessness/the-plan-to-end-homelessness/solutions/chapter-8-ending-rough-sleeping/
    I tried to read that. It was very long on descriptions of the problem and very short on solutions, and even shorter on detailed solutions (eg what does "assertive outreach" mean in detail?).
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,561
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Reeves rumoured to go to defence says Christopher Hope

    Reeves to defence, Miliband to housing, Mahmoud to Treasury would be inexplicable. I don’t get it at all.
    You’re not the only one ! Why force the COE brief onto Mahmoud when she clearly isn’t interested. I’d be shocked if Reeves gets such a high profile job and Miliband to Housing !
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 40,701
    Dura_Ace said:

    I have given Supermanc's Mandelist government by and for the Bildungsburgertum a chance but I've decided that I fucking hate it. His time is up. He's got to go. Burnham out.

    That's the PB spirit.

    He's had long enough to turn things around.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,527
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Reeves rumoured to go to defence says Christopher Hope

    Reeves to defence, Miliband to housing, Mahmoud to Treasury would be inexplicable. I don’t get it at all.
    One thing's for sure, however Burnham allocates the cabinet posts there are going to be some serious meltdowns on PB.

    His best chance of avoiding criticism on here is never to announce them.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 137,684

    Andy_JS said:

    Andy Burnham's wife appeared on Cilla Black's Blind Date show in 1992.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    van Heel appeared on the hit ITV programme.

    She chose Will from Surrey to be her date on a holiday to Gibraltar, but the pair did not hit it off.

    Having quickly reunited, Burnham and van Heel were reportedly in a bar in Parliament 12 years later when Will walked in, having become the director of communications for the Conservative Party.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    Blimey, they all know each other. It's NU10k again, veering on the Chumocracy.
    Looks like the Burnhams had a child first then got married

    'By this point, van Heel had given birth to their first child, Jimmy - and it was his birth in March 2000 which Burnham has said spurred them on to get married, after years of living together.

    "I think marriage is better for kids," Burnham told the Daily Telegraph in 2007, external, adding: "I'm a bit old fashioned on these matters - although I have to admit that Jimmy, my eldest son, was at our wedding so I'm only old fashioned up to a point.

    "When my wife got pregnant for the first time it was a complete shock. My first thought was, 'Oh my God, we'll have to get married'.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,873
    Foxy said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Sweeney74 said:

    Eabhal said:

    Nigelb said:

    Burnham's high-profile pledge to end rough sleeping is interesting, as it's not a pledge that is an obvious vote winner - i.e. it's not on most people's list of priorities.

    It rather suggests that a 'moral mission' will be part of Burnham's agenda - doing what's right, not just what's most popular.

    And/or it's a nod to the left; this was to have been Corbyn's first action, had he won.
    All of this is. It's performative.

    He's trying to shore up his base.
    Alternatively, he might actually care about stuff like this, particularly being a former mayor of a major (Alpha) city with its own problems with rough sleeping.

    It’s a blind spot for some people on the right - they see things like Palestine protests as performative because they don’t experience the same visceral and overwhelming reaction to human suffering as others do.
    The assumption that disagreement can only be explained by a moral defect is a remarkably illiberal habit.
    Politics has become a competition to prove who's the better person, rather than who's got the better argument.

    If your political philosophy requires you to believe your opponents are less compassionate human beings, it's probably compensating for something.
    To invert it - I genuinely can’t comprehend how some PBers can be so callous about people living in Gaza, Trans people etc etc. But I don’t make the mistake of thinking that is performative - I’ve no doubt they and many others think like that, and take that into account when considering politics.
    Fair enough. I don't think it's performative either. I think people often genuinely reach very different conclusions from the same facts.

    Where I part company is when those differences are explained as "they don't care" or "they lack compassion". That's a much stronger claim than "I think they're wrong", and one that's very hard to substantiate.

    Most people aren't devoid of empathy. They simply prioritise competing harms differently or disagree about what policies will actually reduce suffering.

    And this is why the left so often lose. If you explain disagreement as a deficit of compassion rather than a difference in priorities or judgement, you stop trying to persuade. You end up preaching to people who already agree with you and wondering why everyone else isn't listening.
    That may be true - but the observation here was about Burnham personally, and I don’t see any evidence that it’s performative (and others have backed that up with evidence).
    I don't think AB's stance on homelessness is performative either.
    But I can understand why some may think that it is without traducing them personally in return.
    I can understand why someone might see political calculation in almost any high-profile policy announcement. Disagree with that judgement if you like, but it's quite a leap from "I think you're cynical" to "you don't experience a visceral reaction to human suffering".

    I suspect there are few easy votes in ending rough sleeping. It obviously requires investment in more than accommodation, as a lot of rough sleepers are substance abusers, ex-convicts or ex-military, sometimes all of the above.

    But a bit like the "Broken Window" theory of crime control, it does make our streets less threatening, particularly to older people and women, so is a key part of visibly improving our town centres.
    Morally, it’s to Burnham’s credit. There are zero votes in dealing with rough sleeping, whatsoever. The oddity is that he’s so bullish about it despite his mixed experience in Manchester. Most rough sleepers are suffering from one of a myriad of mental health or addiction problems and those are not easily solved merely by providing supported accommodation and support.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 29,312
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    Reeves rumoured to go to defence says Christopher Hope

    Reeves to defence, Miliband to housing, Mahmoud to Treasury would be inexplicable. I don’t get it at all.
    I find myself rather sad that Milliband and Mahmood are being moved from their departments, because they have shown passion and capability. With proper supervision (cancel CCS, cancel voluntary repatriation) they could be outstanding and change Britain in a way that others could not.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 25,069
    algarkirk said:

    Betfair has suspended and is settling the next PM market. ETA now settled.

    Hills has settled on Burnham PM.

    Hills next PM after Burnham:-
    9/4 Nigel Farage
    5/1 Kemi Badenoch
    8/1 Shabana Mahmood
    8/1 Al Carns
    12/1 Robert Jenrick
    14/1 Angela Rayner
    16/1 Ed Miliband
    16/1 James Cleverly
    16/1 Wes Streeting
    16/1 Yvette Cooper
    16/1 Zia Yusuf
    16/1 Richard Tice
    16/1 Rupert Lowe
    22/1 Darren Jones
    25/1 Zack Polanksi
    33/1 Katie Lam
    33/1 Louise Haigh
    33/1 Lucy Powell
    50/1 Claire Coutinho
    50/1 John Healey
    50/1 Boris Johnson
    50/1 Ed Davey
    50/1 Torsten Bell
    66/1 Nick Timothy
    66/1 Suella Braverman
    66/1 Tom Tugendhat
    66/1 Chris Philp
    66/1 Hilary Benn
    66/1 Peter Kyle
    66/1 Sarah Sackman
    100/1 Jeremy Hunt
    100/1 Jeremy Corbyn
    100/1 Hamish Falconer
    100/1 Nadia Whittome
    100/1 Dan Jarvis
    100/1 Richard Burgon
    100/1 David Lammy
    100/1 Rebecca Long-Bailey

    9/4 Farage is bonkers. Personally I would take 10/1 or longer. As for the rest, the next PM may be someone not on the list or any list. I think it's likely to be 6+ years away. So it's like betting on the 2028 Derby.
    The last five PMs have lasted a collective ten years. Why are you so confident that Burnham can defy recent history and last at least as long as Cameron?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,873
    Andy_JS said:

    Andy Burnham's wife appeared on Cilla Black's Blind Date show in 1992.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c75y4q61eevo

    With his approval
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