Prime Minister Andy Burnham is inevitable – politicalbetting.com
Prime Minister Andy Burnham is inevitable – politicalbetting.com
NEW: Andy Burnham now has the nominations of 349 of approx 400 Labour MPs in the uncontested Labour leadership contest. (Nobody else could throw their hat in the ring now, even if they wanted to.)
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He needed to to get the majority, but he still did it and won handsomely
Could Burnham even win ugly?
Why on earth would he bother wasting more months on an election ?
Even when they try to be CIV IL
It is equally incredible that the Labour benches are so devoid of talent that they couldn't find a credible Starmer replacement from their own ranks.
How is politics so broken that this is even possible?
Not really sure why, but looking forward to him being PM.
This is in stark contrast to Trump who terrifies me in both his domestic and international actions.
Every day I eagerly reach for the headlines to see if he has dropped dead.
LAB: 38% (-25)
GRN: 22% (+15)
RFM: 19% (+12)
RES: 9% (New)
CON: 8% (-2)
LDM: 3% (-1)
Ind: 1% (New)
2nd Round:
LAB: 64%
GRN: 36%
Via @FindoutnowUK, 7-13 Jul.
Changes w/ 2024.
https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/2076689940872585225
I M LIVID
That's how our system works, and has done for quite some time.
Of course, the inner monologue you've failed to conceal is correct. The police did try to promote a particular view of this crime and it was extremely foolish.
I note that Jonathan Hall KC, the Independent Reviewer of State Threats Legislation and Terrorism Legislation for the UK government has said that the police should not have made such comments - 'I don't understand why Devon and Cornwall police were steering the public away from the idea that this was a terrorist case...they broke one of the golden rules of a live investigation which is not to comment on live investigations in case new facts emerge...regrettable'
But I'm sure you know more than him about it.
https://www.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2026/06/12/is-andy-about-to-crash-and-burn-ham/
I can also reveal Ann's WhatsApp was last active at 9.21pm on Wednesday, suggesting the killer took over her phone or that she was held hostage...'
https://x.com/danwootton/status/2076709140240412944?s=20
Police face questions over why they repeatedly talked down possibility politician’s death was terror-related
Martin Evans
Crime Editor"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/07/13/police-pressure-ann-widdecombe-killing-not-political/
Presidential run-off election
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 67.5%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 32.5%
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 58.5%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 41.5%
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 54%
Attal (RE-RE): 46%
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 52%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 48%
Le Pen (RN-PfE): 56%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 44%
https://x.com/EuropeElects/status/2076576087295889536?s=20
Boris Johnson dresses up as Buzz Lightyear for his son Frank’s third birthday.'
https://x.com/tomhfh/status/2076417363822465223?s=20
I have lived through many leadership changes though am too young to have lived through the elevation of Alec Douglas Home. We have moved on from the days of the Men in Grey Suits making the decision.
Leaders who get the job after a proper process and have faced a vote of the membership of their party have a greater legitimacy because they have to have made their case.
This doesn't always work as Truss proved.
I do wonder whether Labour will now get a taste for defenestration and all future leaders will constantly be looking over their shoulders for the next major rebellion.
Palace refused to have post-Brexit deal signed at Windsor Castle
Officials feared that the King would be dragged into a political minefield if he hosted the signing of the Windsor framework on Northern Ireland
Buckingham Palace blocked the government from signing a post-Brexit deal at Windsor Castle to protect the King from a political minefield, a book reveals.
When the framework to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland was reached in February 2023, politicians did not want to sign it in Brussels because it would look like they were kowtowing to Europe, nor did the European Commission want to sign it at No 10.
Instead, they devised a third option, and sought consent from the King to call it the Windsor Framework. It was hoped that the royal angle would appeal to the EU and make the deal sound “less transactional and more of a settlement”.
The Palace agreed to the name. But when government officials asked if the deal could be signed at Windsor Castle, courtiers refused, saying that it was “going too far”. The decision to block the government’s plan is revealed in an updated paperback edition of Power and the Palace by Valentine Low, former royal correspondent of The Times.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/royal-family/article/windsor-framework-brexit-castle-king-6m9srpwlq
https://news.sky.com/video/in-full-latest-police-statement-on-widdecombe-murder-probe-13562758
Police have arrested a 28-year-old man on suspicion of murdering Ann Widdecombe. Officers say he was arrested in Rotherham and the killing was not politically motivated.
When the media misreport the Police its hardly surprising that people get the wrong end of the stick.
An election was forced upon him, not the other way around.
Police comment on live investogations all the time. I am not sure I have ever seen a high profile investigation where the police have not commented - at least to outline some basic facts. Your mistake, and one you make way too often, is to confuse opinion and fact.
Nor have I blown up my argument. The police did give bald facts. The reason they gave them does not alter the nature of the facts.
Like I said, outside of your mind, the real world is not filled with conspiracies. I see nothing to criticise the police over in this investigation so far and plenty to criticise people like you and Reform who are saying 'don't speculate' and in the next sentence are speculating not only about the motives of the killer but those of the police as well.
There was no Divine Right, like Burnham appears to have
Boris called for an election actually, the opposition including those kicked out MPs voted against it.
Because under our system God = commanding a majority in the Commons.
Liz and Rishi both needed an election according to the (still) PM
If you can find him supporting their ascensions without general elections, then I’ll believe that he didn’t call for them
Whilst I completely agree that incoming Prime Ministers should go to the country, the fact is, they never do unless they are either forced to, or see huge political advantage in doing so.
Eden - took over in early 1955 - went for a spring election in 1955 following the usual four year cycle since 1951.
MacMillan - same - Took over in 1957, waited till 1959.
Home - Took over in late 1963 - waited till the death in 1964.
Callaghan - Took over in March 1976, lost a vote of confidence in March 1979 and was forced to the country by the opposition. Was probably going to hang on till the autumn otherwise.
Major - Took over in November 1990. Hung on to the death in April 1992.
Brown - Took over in July 2007 - hung on to the death in May 2010.
May - Took over in July 2016 but had a thredbare majority of about 10. Looked at polls saying Con 48, Lab 24 and rolled the dice. She wouldn't have done it otherwise. Still took her a year to decide that.
Johnson - Took over in July 2019 without a majority. Made the situation worse by kicking out 20 MPs. Forced to the country - you can't govern with 288MPs.
Truss - I'll give you Truss. I reckon she was about to announce a General Election, but she fucked it up and resigned in error.
Sunak - Appointed in November 2022 and hung on to nearly the death in 2024.
Incoming PMs DON'T call GE. They should, but the history is they never do.
Burnham won't call a GE.
(If he is hiding something in the Epstein files, he may be guilty of statuatory rape. And I wish I didn't have to say this, but his hiding those files should make reasonable people suspicious.)
He opted to go to the polls. The opposition voted against it and was dragged kicking and screaming to the election.
Quite a swing to Green too in the second round. Where does that come from?
And Cons behind Restore? Oh dear, oh dear.
That's how the British constitution works.
Pensioners who as we’ve seen in the UK turnout in much higher numbers will finish off her chances . We see the reverse effect from the UK . In France pensioners are more pro EU and anti the far right .
As long as Philippe gets in the top 2 then I expect him to beat Le Pen .
He then needs the nominations of a minimum of 5% of CLPs; he'll struggle to get less than 95%.
What I'm not sure about is whether he needs the TU/CLP nominations at all, as he's the only candidate being put forward by the PLP.
Don't argue with me. Argue with Boris' namesake, Lyndon Baines Johnson.
* It's actually a touch lower, suggesting somewhat more Lib Dem transfers to Labour than to Greens.
Boris could have chosen to keep the MPs that were in the party and govern as a minority like May did.
Instead he removed the 20 MPs and called an election at the exact same time. It was one action.