Sir Keir Starmer’s transformation in to Boris Johnson could soon be complete – politicalbetting.com
Sir Keir Starmer’s transformation in to Boris Johnson could soon be complete – politicalbetting.com
Andy Burnham is plotting to trigger a “tsunami” of ministerial resignations to try to force Sir Keir Starmer out of No10 if he refuses to quit.https://t.co/IrPjvxrei0
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Since it is so close, I suspect that Starmer will make it to his second anniversary now, but not much further. If an organised handover can be agreed that lets him save face by making that anniversary, that's probably good enough for Burnham and he can use a couple of weeks to plan out his new Cabinet and Ministerial appointments so that when he does make it he can hit the ground running.
I remember the Dutch side in 74 and 78 for the first World Cups that I remember. The best side to never win it.
Remember 2016 when on Monday morning Andrea Leadsom quit the leadership race and on Wednesday Theresa May became PM.
Women's T20 world cup.
Starmer could announce he is resigning immediately with effect from the next morning and the Palace will arrange for Starmer to see the King and resign and Mr Madchester to follow an hour later to be asked to form a new administration.*
The formality is whether Burnham's team can persuade Starmer to have an honourable exit with a timetable over the summer allowing Burnham time to prepare and meet civil service etc etc.
* I'm assuming the King is in the UK and near to London etc.
Also, Burnham is not yet an MP.
Polanski says the 'luck of the irish' will help.
https://x.com/TheGreenParty/status/2068393738162905103
EXCL: Sir Keir Starmer knows “things are bad” and is on the brink of resigning as Prime Minister.
His mood has shifted since Andy Burnham's thumping victory over Reform.
Interesting.
Are the Greens planning a bit of a London-style Doughnut campaign?
Any Manchester PBers on the ground?
It's a weird argument, a few days ago it was the 30th anniversary of the IRA bomb in Manchester, there's been a lot of coverage about all the regeneration in Manchester.
7/1
Revealed: Brexit voting areas have seen faster growth in foreign workers since EU referendum
Guardian investigation also finds same areas experienced relative decline over same period
Leave-voting areas have seen faster relative growth in foreign workers since the Brexit referendum, a Guardian investigation has found.
Data analysis suggests that the decade since the Brexit vote may not have matched the expectations of many Leave supporters, showing their local areas have also become relatively more deprived over the same period.
Migration increased across the UK after Brexit, especially of those arriving on health and care visas, peaking at 944,000 in the year ending March 2023. Net migration has since cratered, and continues to fall as people’s visas expire.
Analysis of government Pay As You Earn data shows that between 2016 and the end of 2024, non-UK workers grew fastest in percentage terms in stronger Leave-voting areas, largely because they had previously made up a smaller share of the workforce.
Wigan, where the Makerfield byelection has taken place, follows the pattern seen in many strong Leave-voting areas. Less than 5% of payrolled employees were from outside the UK in June 2016. That had increased to just under 10% in December 2024 – more than doubling in relative terms.
Across the country, the proportion of foreign workers increased by just 40% over that period, rather than doubling.
Remain-voting areas – often larger cities – still have the largest numbers of non-UK workers. While they have seen bigger rises in absolute numbers, it is Brexit strongholds that have seen faster relative growth of their foreign workforce.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/20/leave-voting-areas-foreign-workers-decade-since-brexit-referendum
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/live/c33lr82pk4pt#LiveReporting
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
Reform UK remains ahead on 27%, despite falling 2 points this week.
➡️ Reform 27% (-2)
🌹 Labour 20% (n/c)
🌳 Conservatives 18% (+1)
🌍 Greens 14% (n/c)
🔶 Lib Dems 12% (+1)
https://x.com/OpiniumResearch/status/2068408544945418496
DAN HODGES: Insiders tell me Starmer is in a 'volcanic rage' over Burnham 'betrayal'. He'll only listen to his wife now - and this is what Lady Starmer's telling him to do…
On a related note I like that if Sweden are Playing Denmark at home the score in the corner spells out SWEDEN and the bits missed off the ends of their names, the “den” and “mark” make up the other team.
Only rather less elegantly expresssed.
Then...Reeves decided to take out the winter fuel allowance.
This sounds like a electoral plan.
Apparently it’s the highest scoring opening set of WC matches since WC 1958.
In the absence of any wisdom or insight from fellow PB’ers, I can only offer AI’s suggestions which are some mix of tactical resets by managers during the hydration breaks (apparently many of the goals are scored in the ten minutes after), the unpredictable nature in flight of the Adidas Trionda ball, defensive errors (obvs), fatigue due to the heat and travel distances and extended stoppage time, and the expanded 48 team format allowing in lower quality teams for the expert nations to beat.
Some of these ideas seem more likely than others. The last one sounds convincing until you consider some of the matches between ‘top’ teams that were surprisingly high scoring, including England v Croatia and Netherlands v Sweden.
*Twitter
Remania was always going to do better than Leaverstan, because it was the economically successful areas of the country that voted Remain.
@tomhfh
It’s always ‘fight on, fight to win’ until it isn’t.
The issue in Sunderland is naff cars more than anything else..
Worth it for thr amusement.
It's a pretty clear practical demonstration of the cost of the Brexit deal to the rest of the country.
What has Burnham done in two years with a landslide majority?
If there are two words to sum up Starmer's tenure in Downing Street it is "wasted opportunity."
Peter.
Extreme Temperatures Around The World
@extremetemps
It's hard to fathom what Europe will live next week.
Thousands of records will be brutalized in Spain,France,UK,Benelux,Germany,Swiss,Austria and than the East
Paris might record 4 consecutive days 40C
UK will ridiculize its June national record
Germany 10 days 37C+
This is CRAZY
https://x.com/extremetemps/status/2068411038450495726
If this goes on to a second week then suddenly but once again breathless pol journos will be asking about climate change and why is the government not doing enough.
BELUGA
Next year the new EU rules of origin make UK exports more challenging, and there are the Trump tariffs too.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clymp4ynldlo?app-referrer=deep-link
It's cold outside. Still, Remain voting London is doing alright at least.
Weekly Cabinet.
He'll make it known that this is when he'll make a decision. Turf out all but Ministers and a few key political appointees. Not civil servants a Labour Party political cabinet meeting.
Go round the room, look everyone in the eye, open and transparent. No repurcussions back me yes or no.
I suspect a majority will say NO
He confirms to them he will not stand for re-election if it's over 50%, in that case he'll request a meeting with the King Tuesday pm
If its under 50% he will put himself to a MP vote if any MPs get the 80 odd needed for a nomination.
This potentially allows Streeting to get his 80 plus, if not it's a coronation.
Far better to walk in to the Cabinet Room and do it this way, either way it's ballsy and puts Cabinet on spot.
Weekly Cabinet.
He'll make it known that this is when he'll make a decision. Turf out all but Ministers and a few key political appointees. Not civil servants a Labour Party political cabinet meeting.
Go round the room, look everyone in the eye, open and transparent. No repurcussions back me yes or no.
I suspect a majority will say NO
He confirms to them he will not stand for re-election if it's over 50%, in that case he'll request a meeting with the King Tuesday pm
If its under 50% he will put himself to a MP vote if any MPs get the 80 odd needed for a nomination.
This potentially allows Streeting to get his 80 plus, if not it's a coronation.
Far better to walk in to the Cabinet Room and do it this way, either way it's ballsy and puts Cabinet on spot.
Peter.
Spain tears down barriers at Gibraltar border
Checkpoints removed for first time in centuries to create frictionless boundary under post-Brexit deal
Spanish workmen tore down checkpoints on the border between Spain and Gibraltar for the first time in more than 300 years as part of a post-Brexit deal.
Machine operators removed police auxiliary buildings from Spain’s side of the border crossing in preparation for the introduction of a frictionless land border with no checks on July 15.
The new Brexit deal erases the land border between the British overseas territory and Spain, enabling the free flow of some 15,000 workers a day, and moves it to Gibraltar’s airport.
Britons arriving at the airport will have to show their passports to Gibraltar officials and then Spanish guards, who will have the final say on entry to the British territory. The same will apply to arrivals from sea.
Footage showed workmen dismantling buildings and taking down checkpoints on the Spanish side on the eve of the 10th anniversary of the Brexit referendum on Tuesday.
On the Gibraltar side, scaffolding has been erected around canopies that are set to be removed, with the dismantling process to begin in the coming days.
The Royal Gibraltar Police booths for checks will also disappear under the deal that effectively makes the Rock part of the EU’s Schengen border-free space.
The wire fence that crosses Gibraltar’s isthmus to mark the border will eventually be removed completely.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/06/20/spain-tears-down-barriers-at-gibraltar-border/