This is the polling Andy Burnham has to change – politicalbetting.com
This is the polling Andy Burnham has to change – politicalbetting.com
Both YouGov and Ipsos have published polling which shows Andy Burnham’s ratings falling in the last month, which is worrying considering he hasn’t become Prime Minister, although I would add the caveat he’s still the most popular (technically the least unliked) GB wide politician.
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It seems doubtful as he seems to have true fans, a bit like Johnson.
The large value of don't know for the Lib Dems is quite remarkable. Continuing hangover from the Coalition, or a consequence of Farage starving all the other opposition parties of attention?
Even if we could properly fund the "rapid reaction" 4th brigade to contribute to Europe's defence, we'd be far better spending the money on artillery and IFVs.
At the moment we're not properly funding any single component of our armed forces, and it's getting worse, not better.
Unless someone finds another few tens of billions, we need to make some pretty ruthless choices.
Binning our MBTs is one of the easy ones.
Idiocy of the highest order.
Class 398 (Wales), Class 399 (Sheffield Supertram) built in Spain.
Class 195, 331 (Northern), Class 397 (Trans-Pennine), mostly built in Spain.
Class 185 (Transpennine) built in Germany
Class 350 (LNWR) built in Austria, Czechia, Poland, and Germany
Class 360 (Luton Express) built in Austria and Germany
Class 380 (Scotrail) built in Germany
Class 444 (Southwest) built in Austria
Class 450 (Southwest) built in Austria and Germany
Class 700 (Thameslink, Grt Northern) and Class 717 (Grt Northern) built in Germany
Class 707 (Southeastern) Built in Germany
We need to be clear about what is happening in this photo.
Rick Scarborough, former Southern Baptist pastor, got on stage at the Texas Republican Convention and told state DELEGATE Mohamed Hussein to convert to Christianity or leave the country. He was so upset that he cried. It was then and only then that Rick felt guilty, so he sat down and pretended to pray for him.
The only evil we need to expel from this state are the people who don’t believe in the CONSTITUTIONALLY PROTECTED RIGHT of freedom of religion.
https://x.com/SaraForTexLege/status/2066756697251623267
(I did my History O'level project on the non-Slav nationalities in the Russian Civil War.)
Sir Julian Brazier, minister for reserves from 2014 to 2016, said of the proposals to cut reserve days: “The timing could not worse. It would mean the slow re-building that has been happening over the past year will be hammered.”.
https://www.thetimes.com/article/94a84928-736c-4ebf-b488-df472f0e72e0
https://nypost.com/2026/06/16/us-news/splc-employee-who-paid-neo-nazi-lover-1-2-million-unmasked/
A top Southern Poverty Law Center official is accused of helping funnel $1.2 million in donor money to an informant in the National Alliance white supremacist group — who was also allegedly her lover.
Ref 27.3%
Lab 19.3%
Con 18.4%
Grn 13.7%
LD 12.3%
Res 3.4%
https://electionmaps.uk/polling/vi
bad day to be a duck
https://x.com/igorbobic/status/2066872397056114927?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
More reasons to love social media and AI
https://www.theregister.com/cyber-crime/2026/06/16/scammers-keep-scoring-brits-fleeced-for-13b-as-americans-lose-35b-to-impersonators/5256106
Stay safe, everyone.
telecoms infrastructure firm has been told it must rethink plans for a 20m-high (66ft) town centre phone mast after the proposal was refused.
The scheme in Keighley town centre was rejected by Bradford Council, with concerns the mast – roughly the height of five double-decker buses stacked on top of each other – would clash with the surrounding environment.
The application argued a central location was needed to ensure the town centre had a good 5G signal.
Refusing the scheme, council planners said the proposal would create a "visually prominent and intrusive feature within the conservation area".
The applicant, Mobile Broadband Network Ltd (MBNL), is looking to replace telecoms equipment currently located on the Devonshire House office building.
A new location is needed due to planned works to the roof.
It is the second time this year MBNL has seen plans for a site in the town turned down.
And we wonder why nothing gets built in this country. Absolutely bonkers.
Class 345 (Elizabeth line)
Class 701 (Southwest)
Class 710 (London Overground)
Class 720 (Greater Anglia)
Class 730 (LNWR)
Class 807 (Avanti)
Class 810 (East Midlands)
Lovely mare loves good to firm quid ew at 50/1
Night Raider looks an absolute beast
When I worked at Alstom their strategy was very much to target periodic overhaul as it was quite lucrative.
A lot of theories circulating about this, but the primary driver of the shift is a lot of Conservative and Reform UK voters seemingly going "The Labour Party? But I hate the Labour Party". There is a smaller increase in unfavourable among Lab/LD/Grn voters, but little change in favourable with them.
https://bsky.app/profile/dylandifford.bsky.social/post/3mofzjbomys2y
It puts Burnham in a similar, though slightly more positive*, position to Starmer on the eve of the 2024 election (which was 36% vs 54%), which isn't great, but is nowhere near Starmer today. Not a fresh start, but a reset to July 2024.
*with the biggest difference being among Green voters.
I wonder how short Burnham's honeymoon will be?
How useful is any Tank in the UK
Surely the word defence means defend not attack.
This is the point Jarvis and Cairns, are try to make against theittle England global power right Wing crap.
Build, develop or buy what we need for the next 20 years, not the past 50 years and scrap value.
The elephant in the room to is do we need a outdated nuclear option that just makes us a target
It's not just money, it's how you spend it and what you spend it on and tanks, ships and some types of aircraft are just beyond useful defensive use.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2026/jun/16/andy-burnham-makerfield-labour-reform-keir-starmer-uk-politics-latest-news-updates?page=with:block-6a314d468f084ec9fe8281f5#block-6a314d468f084ec9fe8281f5
..This was an implicit criticism of Healey, who (unlike Carns) had been working on the Dip for months.
Explaining why he quit, Carns said:
Firstly, because I no longer believe the defence investment plan was preparing for the wars we are most likely to fight.
The character of warfare is changing at an exceptional speed.
In Ukraine a navy without a ship has destroyed a navy. A drone costing thousands candestroy a tank costing millions. A drone can now strike 2000km into Russia at a fraction of the cost of a fighter jet.
It is not either/or. It’s an equitable mix of high-end sophistication coupled with low-end mass. That’s the balance we must seek.
But from my view, the defence investment plan did not strike that balance for various reasons..
Rather remarkably, Carns was not shown the plan until the week before last.
Meantime, the MoD keeps churning out the bullshit. At pace.
(Times)
..A defence ministry spokeswoman said: “The DIP [defence investment plan] will deliver the best kit into the hands of our armed forces. The defence secretary is working through the detail now, so the plan meets their needs. Work on the plan is continuing at pace, and it will be published ahead of the Nato Summit.”..
If you make social media less ubiquitous, less socially compulsory and slightly more awkward to access, you’ve changed behaviour for millions of normal users even though the nerds are still tunnelling packets through three continents. As ever, public policy is aimed at the middle of the bell curve, not the people arguing about SSH port forwarding online.
Depending on how the ban is enforced many will learn how relatively quickly.
But that's not an argument agains a ban. We don’t abandon age restrictions on alcohol because some teenagers can get served, or speed limits because some drivers speed.
If we are going to have Digital ID, at least admit that's what you are doing, and do it properly.
Do you mean a small cell? They provide about 300m of coverage so you’d need hundreds to cover a small town.
The harms of social media on minors are now well documented and widely accepted. Doing nothing is not a neutral position. It is a conscious choice to allow those harms to continue.
Instead of disappearing down the conspiracy rabbit hole, or smugly declaring that “da yoof” will bypass the controls with VPNs and disappear into the dark web, perhaps we could have a grown-up discussion about what might actually help.
No policy is ever 100% effective. We don’t abandon age restrictions on alcohol because some teenagers get served, or speed limits because some drivers speed.
The question isn’t whether a determined minority can circumvent the rules. It’s whether the lives of the much larger compliant majority are improved.
If you’ve got better ideas, let’s hear them. If not, “they’ll get around it anyway” isn’t much of a policy.
The debate should be about the implementation, not pretending every form of age verification is secretly digital ID by another name.
And for the record, I am steadfastly opposed to a national digital id.
If you do want to do this, we need a proper double-blind government Digital ID for everyone, where
a) The site receiving the verification only receives a flag that you are over 18
b) The site providing the verification doesn't know what you are looking at.
I believe it works like this in France.
Don't pretend that this is just a small change for da kids.
And if TikTok and the like are publishing stuff that shouldn't be seen, then deal with TikTok first, before restricting the populace.
After a fair bit of googling, it appears the ban is actually going to be on under 16s having a YouTube account.
So under 16s will still be able to watch a YouTube video. But under 16s won't be able to subscribe, comment, like etc.
Is this in line with everyone's understanding?
I think he may run a very interesting government.
If you have to search several times and click over the page to find what you want, you see many sets of adverts...
The proposal appears to be about restricting YouTube accounts rather than access to YouTube videos. Which makes some sense if the concern is the social media aspects of the platform rather than video consumption itself.
Russian warship fires warning shots at a yacht in the channel
What's that about defence spending ?
https://news.sky.com/liveblog-webview/ukraine-war-latest-russian-strikes-kill-nine-across-ukraine-as-fire-breaks-out-at-religious-landmark-in-kyiv-12541713
"Cutting, I see. Bloody Tory..."
Battle of Dogger Bank II ?
Restrict access to social media apps through age-verified Apple and Google accounts. Add parental controls and website restrictions on phones and tablets, with access denied by default rather than granted by default.
Is it perfect? No.
Will some determined teenagers find workarounds? Of course.
But the goal isn’t perfection. The goal is friction.
Public policy doesn’t have to be unbreakable to be effective. It just has to change the default behaviour for the majority.
At the moment social media is effectively omnipresent and frictionless. Making access conditional rather than automatic would be a significant change even if a minority still circumvent it.
I would just say that if Starmer refuses to go, a fight between Starmer, Burnham, Streeting and Carns would be quite an event
You do age verification securely on device. That passes a token to every app and website.
They really should just use that.
We saw it with smoking. We saw it with drink-driving. We saw it with seatbelts.
The objective isn’t merely to stop every under-16 accessing social media. The objective is to shift the default expectation away from “every child should have unrestricted access to algorithm-driven engagement platforms from the moment they’re handed a smartphone”.
If, in ten years’ time, parents feel less pressure to put their children on social media and children feel less pressure to be on it because “everyone else is”, then the policy may have succeeded even if some teenagers are still finding workarounds.
https://x.com/MattCartoonist/status/2029608254834159867
I dunno. I’d have less of an issue with this had the provos and the so called loyalists got a free pass.
As they did, if I’m wrong someone can correct me, then the Brit occupiers should too.
Bit like the Admiral in Dogger Bank, really.
If Nicholas was the real Tsar and Stalin the Red Tsar, what's Putin? The bareback rider Tsar?
There is no requirement, when identifying a stupid policy that will not work, to come up with a better policy that will. A stupid policy is stupid all on its own. And this is a stupid policy.
If you are so concerned about this then you come up with a better policy. Don't just expect us to accept this because it is 'something', irrespective of how stupid it is.
Truth and reconciliation. Lots of people died or were harmed in lots of different ways. I am still horrified by the fate of one young squaddie who was taken by the IRA and murdered. For what? Really? What was any of it worth?
And now it's back to square one.
And they're still crapping on about "at pace".
“We must do something. This is something. Therefore we must do it” is indeed a poor argument.
But that’s not actually the argument being made.
The argument is:
1. Social media appears to be causing measurable harm to many children.
2. Doing nothing is a policy choice, not a neutral position.
3. Restricting access may reduce those harms.
4. Therefore the proposal should be judged on whether it is likely to reduce those harms, not on whether it is perfect.
You say it is a stupid policy that won’t work. Fine. Explain why.
“Some people will circumvent it” isn’t enough, because people circumvent every restriction ever devised.
The relevant question is whether it changes behaviour for the majority.
If your position is that the policy won’t materially reduce social media use among children, that’s a serious argument. If your position is merely that it won’t eliminate it entirely, then that’s setting a standard that almost no public policy could ever meet.
Although didn't TSE suggest he should be King of Narnia on that basis?
I am not convinced.
This will be quietly dropped once Burnham or Streeting has done their initial reshuffle.
He's quite good, but I think his biggest selling point is that he's a blank slate whom people don't yet know he's not what they don't want him to be.
I think there's a world in which he becomes PM, but the only one I can see is AB not winning at Makerfield and the PLP rolling the dice anyway.
Milliband D.
But it’s on the Secure Enclave so it never leaves the phone. It’s actually incredibly secure.
apt