The trend should worry Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
The trend should worry Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
How do people describe main party leaders in their own words. The world clouds below give you a flavour of what the public say. For Starmer biggest word is weak, For Farage racist, For Badenoch OKFor Davey don’t know How negative they are neatly captures an anti politics mood
1
Comments
The more vitriol that comes his way the better, might be his thinking, as it will deepen the divide between right and left and they left is, as ever, more divided than the right.
The truth remains the translation of this sentiment into positive votes for the Conservatives in polls and elections continues to be patchy. Yes, some good London results against Labour in the North and West and against Reform in the south east but significant reverses to the LDs in south west London and crushed by Reform in Havering.
The Conservatives, like the Liberal Democrats,have been forced back into areas of strength surrounded by large areas of weakness or irrelevance. In London, despite the small net gain of councillors, there are 13 Boroughs where there are 3 or fewer Conservatives (10 have no Tories at all). The figure for the LDs is 21 by the way.
Both parties can survive in their heartlands and it's quite likely they will form a substantial bloc between them at the next GE.
Do they have a font big enough?
If that takes hold he's doomed and I suspect Lowe and X are going to continually repeat it...
It's rather difficult to justify for more than what? 5-8% of the population prepared to go along with that brand?
Shiny and new --> 30's throwback. Not a way to power.
What are the LibDems for? How can Davey break out and make his party nationally relevant again?
They changed the rules for Elon again...
They waved the profitability rule & are adding SpaceX to indices only 5 days after IPO... normally it's 90
This forces 401k retirement & passive funds to buy SpaceX at elevated IPO pricing, holding the bags the entire way down
https://x.com/FinanceLancelot/status/2060139159260410057
The party did reasonably in the May local elections and indeed well in their heartlands though, as with the Conservatives, in the weaker areas they were picked off by Reform and the Greens.
A lot of water has to pass under a lot of bridges before the next election and we'll see how Davey positions the party at that time - Badenoch has similar issues.
Trump has pardoned Trevor Milton, a man convicted of stealing $695 million from investors.
This pardon came after Milton donated nearly $1 million to Trump's PAC.
https://x.com/GOP__Ls/status/2060172399530717344
He's selling so many pardons that it's depressing the market price.
Go figure and stay deluded.
It's like the soccer boss 5 nil down at half time, the opposition put their bench on, the final score is 5 - 2 and you claim we won the second half.
The Tory Party is irrelevant
"Who"
"Who are ya"
Of 100 people shown her picture
How many would know her
10 tops
'''and Ed Davey has to fall in it.
He ought to bow out gracefully and give Daisy time to build a profile and public recognition ahead of the GE.
If they can hold seventy plus seats, mostly gained from the Tories, they stand every chance of becoming exceptionally relevant after the next GE.
Massive Racist.
To increase their balances.
Farage and Polanski are both extreme politicians feeding on a disenchanted electorate and both are dangerous
The usual anti Kemi suspects are entirely predictable, but it is evident that she has grown into her role and is getting a hearing
As far as I know the last three polls have the conservatives in 2nd place and Kemi's task is to overtake Farage and regain the centre right over the next 3 years
She is the leader of the opposition so does get more coverage and has a positive outlook which according to some is not accepting reality
Actually the party facing the biggest crisis is Labour stuck with an impotent leader and crossing their fingers that Burnham can ride to the rescue but first has the wee problem of winning in Makerfield
The days of 2 party politics is over with 5, even 7, fighting to be heard and anyone who knows how GE29 will turn out is wishcasting
I would just say Kemi has won over @HYUFD and to be fair he is supportive
While Tony Blair's critical essay of Keir Starmer's government has dominated headlines all week, just 19% of Britons believe Blair would make a better PM than Starmer today
Blair would be a better PM: 19%
Starmer would be a better PM: 17%
Neither would be good PMs: 44%
It's undoubtedly true that our liberal society deemed racism socially unacceptable from around the 1970s until fairly recently, and racists, of whom there have always been many, largely kept their views to themselves. Though that may have given a false impression of the level of racism in our society, personally I find that preferable to a move towards explicit racism being worn as a badge of honour. And as if that's not enough, Lowe and his bunch are trying to persuade us that Farage's racism isn't sufficiently explicit.
This morning we are introducing COGE — the Commission on Government Efficiency. This Commission will find ways for our city to work smarter, faster, and more effectively for working people. New Yorkers deserve a city government as careful with their money as they are.
https://x.com/NYCMayor/status/2059995253550002361
So, in BlueSky reality, Farage is obviously a massive racist, Trump arse-licker and corrupt grifter. Meanwhile in Reform reality, Farage is the victim of a lefty smear campaign, British patriot and a self-made man.
The people living in Reform reality do not think of themselves as racist and do not take seriously the accusations of racism levelled at Farage by people outside of their bubble.
This is, potentially, why Restore could be a threat to Farage. Restore supporters are people who talk like Reform supporters, in the same social media bubbles, with similar priorities and prejudices. Reform supporters are much more likely to listen to Restore supporters than they are to the larger number of Britons who think Farage is a racist.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/articles/c98rvpll333o
I mean what was he playing at, taking as many as 47 balls, piss poor effort.
The crazy thing is that the concept of a pardon is so tied up in Monarchies of the old order that most monarchies wouldn’t have anything like these powers nor would their governments.
Iran explains what Trump failed to say in his account of the agreement
https://x.com/patrickwintour/status/2060394744744665231
Iran claims (and it is worth remembering that Iran's relationship with the truth is no better than Trump's) that the agreement it has reached with the US:
1. Leaves Iran in control of the Straits of Hormuz
2. Does not require them to hand over or dismantle nuclear materials
3. Involves the US handing over $12bn to Iran on day one
4. Requires an immediate ceasefire in Lebanon
https://x.com/ClaireCoutinho/status/2060378439664673061
You talk about the centre ground, which is something you seem to think other people create - rather than accurately diagnosing the country's problems and pushing for the right solutions.
Maybe that’s why you pushed Net Zero legislation with no plan and with no forecast on the cost of energy.
https://www.natesilver.net/p/social-media-has-become-a-freak-show
The Conservative Party, as I've said, is being driven back into heartlands - islands of strength surrounded by oceans of weakness (like the LDs).
Indeed, Labour is probably just about the only national party left though even they have weak areas. Reform would be next but again look at Reform in London, 79 seats, 39 of them in Havering - 22 Boroughs with no Reform representation at all. The Greens in London - 297 Councillors but more than half in just three Boroughs - Waltham Forest, Hackney and Lewisham. There are 12 Councils with no Green representation in London, supposedly an area of strength.
This is what happens with political fragmentation.
Dems might have to start by impeaching most of the SCOTUS.
The 11th Circuit covers Alabama, Georgia and Florida. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Court_of_Appeals_for_the_Eleventh_Circuit
(The name of the judge is in the rest of the post; I am omitting it so as not to cause any possible problems for this site.
In the past I have found Jonathan Turley to be reliable.)
Blair will be to them what Wilson is to me - distant history.
Badenoch gets plenty of air time - I'm not sure how "positive" her outlook is - she seems to be maoning about the Government all the time and as for her response, it's all "we've got a plan" which will presumably work until we see the detail.
https://x.com/poll_checker/status/2060392500674601218
NEW:
Andy Burnham would lose a General Election to Reform if held today
With Burnham as leader:
Reform: 23%
Labour: 20%
With Starmer as leader:
Reform: 25%
Labour: 18%
Via: @BMGResearch / @theipaper
18-22 May
As to your last paragraph that is true for all parties and why 3 years out of a GE it is impossible to predict
Kemi has committed to ending stamp duty, the farm tax, and has opened the topic of student fees
If she is wise she will concentrate on the young, NEETS, and reduce business tax
I know from my own family the distress of NEETS
I would pose a question
How much does a NEET receive on benefits per week ?
How much does it cost an employer with the new minimum wage rises to employ a NEET for a week ?
In the circumstances that there is a substantial difference then reduce the minimum wage to address this and for employers to be able to create the entry level jobs NEETS are so in need off
Yes, labour and the unions would be outraged but as long as this crisis remains an issue their ideology is responsible and unhelpful
Are they living with their family and how are they supporting themselves ?
Or are they in education and training so not a NEET ?
I do not know the explanation but it does mean 54% are claiming benefits
The only recourse is impeachment, or a Constitutional amendment.
Plans to increase the minimum wage for 18 to 20-year-olds to the same level as for other adults could be delayed, Sky News understands.
In its 2024 election manifesto, Labour committed to "remove the discriminatory age bands, so all adults are entitled to the same minimum wage, delivering a pay rise to hundreds of thousands of workers across the UK".
But Sky News understands the government is considering delaying the pledge - although it is committed to doing it eventually.
Reports suggest the potential delay is over fears the higher cost of employing young people could put off firms from hiring them
The President shall be Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, and of the Militia of the several States, when called into the actual Service of the United States; he may require the Opinion, in writing, of the principal Officer in each of the executive Departments, upon any Subject relating to the Duties of their respective Offices, and he shall have Power to Grant Reprieves and Pardons for Offences against the United States, except in Cases of Impeachment.
Truthfully what they really need (and have done for around 170 years) is a new constitution, but that's if anything even more difficult to obtain.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/29/cia-official-gold-theft-trial
Impressive tradecraft.
Banger of a tournament so far.
There's a Nazi hiding in a tree..
You might start by selling to a few customers for high prices- but it's the mass market where the real money is to be made.
"I'd be interested in Cyclefree's comment on a Supreme Court Justicd failing one of her basic tests.
Samuel Alito’s son has worked as a lawyer inside Trump’s Treasury Department since early last year. The administration hid it.
No public resume, no LinkedIn, no mention on the Treasury website, outdated bar listings. Four former officials confirmed it.
The public was never told.
Here is why that matters.
Philip Alito served as an attorney-adviser in Treasury’s general counsel office, briefed on department matters across the board, while the Supreme Court took up a case in which the Treasury Department was a named defendant.
The department never disclosed the connection in court.
Justice Alito did not recuse.
The federal recusal law is plain. A justice must step aside in any case where his impartiality might reasonably be questioned.
That is the test.
Not whether anyone can prove influence but whether a reasonable person looking at this would doubt it. A justice ruling on cases involving the very agency that employs his son fails that test on its face...
https://x.com/MikeLevin/status/2060049428434518037"
This is not just my test. It is basic A, B, C stuff for any judge - let alone a judge in the US's apex court. Alito should have recused himself. That he did not understand this or did but did not care is a disgrace and makes him unfit to be a judge.
We have had similar instances here - in employment tribunals, for instance. And most infamously in the Lords when it was deciding whether Pinochet could be extradited and Lord Hoffmann failed to declare his and his wife's links with Amnesty, which was a party in the case. When it came out, the previous judgment was set aside and a new court without Hoffmann decided the issue. The other judges were pretty scathing about Hoffmann's failure, one of them describing the issue as something that a first year law student would have understood. Ouch!
The current SC justices in the US have pretty much destroyed their own reputations and have come close to destroying that of the court itself. It will take one hell of an effort by future justices - and lot of bi-partisan political will (if that is even there) to put that right.
The debate is therefore no longer between a bad option and a worse one. It is increasingly a choice between two very bad outcome, one of which at least imposes tangible limits on Iran's nuclear progress.
https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2060404448766152955
Burnham allies urge him to make Louise Haigh chancellor
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/29/burnham-allies-urge-him-to-make-louise-haigh-chancellor/
FFS
MORONIC
One of the other standout points of the Milburn report is that we spend 25 times as much on benefits as on employment support for young people.
We have a fairly shrewd idea who the NEETs are, and can anticipate who is at risk at age 18/16/14... As with troubled families, intensive work with at-risk young people feels like it would pay big dividends. Trouble is, it isn't consistent with a Smaller State, and the costs are now and the benefits come later.
Pass me another bad of seedcorn, I'm feeling hungry.
Sdhe can't deny she wasn't there, she was.