Surely we need to see a number of further and significant resignations by end of today to maintain the momentum?
We shall see!
The BBC reported excitedly at 2 that they had been told by several sources there were going to be more resignations this afternoon. An hour on, nada. I think Starmer has survived for now. The Burnham supporters want their man in the field first.
Not sure. Most of the cabinet are still maintaining radio silence. I wouldn't call it over until the 6pm news is out of the way
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
Gloriously sunny here a few miles south, assuming you’re in the Toon of course.
Glorious in the Toon too. Till 5 minutes ago. Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
Surely we need to see a number of further and significant resignations by end of today to maintain the momentum?
We shall see!
The BBC reported excitedly at 2 that they had been told by several sources there were going to be more resignations this afternoon. An hour on, nada. I think Starmer has survived for now. The Burnham supporters want their man in the field first.
Aren't we also due the Big Reveal of who is sacrificing themselves to give the King of the North a way back to Westminster? (Sorry, resigning their seat to trigger a by-election and hoping that the NEC and the voters will play ball.)
Four MPs now say they have been in touch with allies of Al Carns and are convinced he is preparing a run for the leadership - although likely only if the PM stands down first
It is all so utterly feeble
It shows that Catherine West was entirely right in her assessment of those who are plotting with anonymous briefings to journalists. They are all too gutless to do anything publicly.
23 RFM 19 GRN 17 LAB 16 CON 13 IND 12 LD 1 WORKERS.
Realistically Green, Lab,LD=50/101 then try to co-opt some of the indies on individual policies
Reform told itv earlier they could not form an administration so will have to be some kind of left alliance
Got to ask what happens when no combination can create a majority
On one hand, a council administration doesn't need an absolute majority, though good luck passing a budget without at least tacit tolerance from enough members. I wonder what the deepest minority council administration out there is?
(Gosport is now C11 Ref10 LD6 Ind1; hard to imagine the Lib Dems wanting to throw their weight behind either of the bigger groups. Why do I keep ending up living in places with insane local government?)
Isn't the next budget deadline Feb 2027 ? That's quite a bit of time to sort something out.
According to Gosport's own website, the Council meeting scheduled for next Wednesday evening has been "adjourned" so not quite sure whether that means they need additional time to form an administration.
The question on the numbers is the Conservative/Reform relationship, A Conservative minoritywith Reform support might be an option but so might a Conservative minority daring any of the other parties to join forces.
23 RFM 19 GRN 17 LAB 16 CON 13 IND 12 LD 1 WORKERS.
So 51 for a majority? What are the independents? Centre-left? So I assume a grand coalition of G/L/LD/Ind, Kemi having ruled out Con / Reform
Has Kemi told the Tory leader in Bradford? He seemed quite keen. Cos there'll be no majority at all there otherwise.
I keep banging on about this - but to me the obvious coalition partners should be Con and Lab (and perhaps LD, if they need further support).
In Bradford that would only work with the Greens as well. And that would be a majority of 1 with 3 vacancies. As a blanket policy excluding Reform altogether isn't going to work in practice.
The biggest winner from an everyone-but-Ref coalition of massively disperate viewpoints would be Reform. Better to do it on an item-by-item basis.
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
My weather station read 18C earlier - what Newton described as, "the heat at midday about the month of July."
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
Gloriously sunny here a few miles south, assuming you’re in the Toon of course.
Glorious in the Toon too. Till 5 minutes ago. Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
Gloriously sunny here a few miles south, assuming you’re in the Toon of course.
Glorious in the Toon too. Till 5 minutes ago. Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
OMG, are you taking Leon for a drink round Ouseburn ?
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
Gloriously sunny here a few miles south, assuming you’re in the Toon of course.
Glorious in the Toon too. Till 5 minutes ago. Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
So @isam and @moonshine - both on the right - are banned in the same week
If I wasn't such a tolerant, generous, sensible, even tempered chap I might suspect a tiny hint of bias, but as I am that lovable geezer with the weirdo tiles and the £9 1820s coffee cans, I don't
We don’t know if temp or perm though.
They'll be temporary bans shirley? Only Russian trolls get permanent bans.
Speaking of which, never mind the lack of tanks in Putin's May parade, what really shows that Russia is on its last legs is their failur to maintain a regular flow of PB Saturday trolls.
23 RFM 19 GRN 17 LAB 16 CON 13 IND 12 LD 1 WORKERS.
Realistically Green, Lab,LD=50/101 then try to co-opt some of the indies on individual policies
Reform told itv earlier they could not form an administration so will have to be some kind of left alliance
Got to ask what happens when no combination can create a majority
On one hand, a council administration doesn't need an absolute majority, though good luck passing a budget without at least tacit tolerance from enough members. I wonder what the deepest minority council administration out there is?
(Gosport is now C11 Ref10 LD6 Ind1; hard to imagine the Lib Dems wanting to throw their weight behind either of the bigger groups. Why do I keep ending up living in places with insane local government?)
Isn't the next budget deadline Feb 2027 ? That's quite a bit of time to sort something out.
According to Gosport's own website, the Council meeting scheduled for next Wednesday evening has been "adjourned" so not quite sure whether that means they need additional time to form an administration.
The question on the numbers is the Conservative/Reform relationship, A Conservative minoritywith Reform support might be an option but so might a Conservative minority daring any of the other parties to join forces.
Another option is an all-party administration.
Wouldn't read anything into the "adjourned" meeting. Tradition is to have the Annual Meeting for Mayor-making and nothing else. Then adjourn until the following evening for all the unpleasant political stuff.
So @isam and @moonshine - both on the right - are banned in the same week
If I wasn't such a tolerant, generous, sensible, even tempered chap I might suspect a tiny hint of bias, but as I am that lovable geezer with the weirdo tiles and the £9 1820s coffee cans, I don't
We don’t know if temp or perm though.
They'll be temporary bans shirley? Only Russian trolls get permanent bans.
Speaking of which, never mind the lack of tanks in Putin's May parade, what really shows that Russia is on its last legs is their failur to maintain a regular flow of PB Saturday trolls.
Four MPs now say they have been in touch with allies of Al Carns and are convinced he is preparing a run for the leadership - although likely only if the PM stands down first
A fascinating presentation by Kate Carpenter, Vice President of the Chartered Institute for Highways and Transportation, about how demographics and population variability affects transportation and safety.
(An example is the impact that Crash Test dummies largely being based on a 50th-percentile man has on the safety of women - who are smaller and have different muscular-skeletal and soft-tissue, children - who are very different, and older people - who's bodies are not used, has on their safety in motor vehicles.)
A fascinating presentation by Kate Carpenter, Vice President of the Chartered Institute for Highways and Transportation, about how demographics and population variability affects transportation and safety. It's about how Equality is about reflecting the needs of all users, and how that needs to be drawn out of data (my addition - rather than dogma).
(An example is the impact that Crash Test dummies largely being based on a 50th-percentile man has on the safety of women - who are smaller and have different muscular-skeletal and soft-tissue, children - who are very different, and older people - who's bodies are not used, has on their safety in motor vehicles.)
Sunny here in the Lake District so I'm hoping we've finally turned into Italy.
We've got its politics and corruption so we may as well get all the better bits as well.
We've had heavy falls of hailstones today, enough to whiten the grass at one point. Nicer now. One of the great things about British weather compared to anywhere else is that if you don't like it wait an hour and it will be something else.
Was about to remark on the pleasant weather here. But a hailstorm has started before I had chance.
Gloriously sunny here a few miles south, assuming you’re in the Toon of course.
Glorious in the Toon too. Till 5 minutes ago. Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
Good thread on what a Burnham premiership might actually do
1/ Thought experiment doing the rounds in my head this morning. Burnham replaces Starmer. He walks into Number 10 with the Manchester accent and the real Labour framing. He announces the renationalisation of water, energy, rail, and grid. All of it. Funded by, well, vibes mostly. Here’s how the next twelve months actually play out.
1. Burnham PROBABLY wouldn’t go this far left. He’d like to, but the gilt market would crush him before he even started
2. I’m increasingly skeptical he will win Makerfield. The opportunity to give Labour - and the powers-that-be - an almighty kicking, will be too hard to resist. I agree with the Labour pols in the Guardian who give him a ‘45%’ chance
Comments
Till 5 minutes ago.
Getting ready for Leon's visit tomorrow.
Such a disappointment that she backed down.
The question on the numbers is the Conservative/Reform relationship, A Conservative minoritywith Reform support might be an option but so might a Conservative minority daring any of the other parties to join forces.
Another option is an all-party administration.
https://bsky.app/profile/chaudman.bsky.social/post/3mlnweheak226
I’m sure the Cluny would be right up his street.
Speaking of which, never mind the lack of tanks in Putin's May parade, what really shows that Russia is on its last legs is their failur to maintain a regular flow of PB Saturday trolls.
NEW THREAD
A fascinating presentation by Kate Carpenter, Vice President of the Chartered Institute for Highways and Transportation, about how demographics and population variability affects transportation and safety.
(An example is the impact that Crash Test dummies largely being based on a 50th-percentile man has on the safety of women - who are smaller and have different muscular-skeletal and soft-tissue, children - who are very different, and older people - who's bodies are not used, has on their safety in motor vehicles.)
Deep link to the start of her presentation:
https://youtu.be/qfc1UFVWsXs?t=658
There's a Q&A at the end for enthusiasts, and a further short presentation on the effect of sideroad Zebra Crossings.
A fascinating presentation by Kate Carpenter, Vice President of the Chartered Institute for Highways and Transportation, about how demographics and population variability affects transportation and safety. It's about how Equality is about reflecting the needs of all users, and how that needs to be drawn out of data (my addition - rather than dogma).
(An example is the impact that Crash Test dummies largely being based on a 50th-percentile man has on the safety of women - who are smaller and have different muscular-skeletal and soft-tissue, children - who are very different, and older people - who's bodies are not used, has on their safety in motor vehicles.)
Deep link to the start of her presentation:
https://youtu.be/qfc1UFVWsXs?t=658
There's a Q&A at the end for enthusiasts, and a further short presentation on the effect of sideroad Zebra Crossings.
1/ Thought experiment doing the rounds in my head this morning. Burnham replaces Starmer. He walks into Number 10 with the Manchester accent and the real Labour framing. He announces the renationalisation of water, energy, rail, and grid. All of it. Funded by, well, vibes mostly.
Here’s how the next twelve months actually play out.
https://x.com/eggplant_elon/status/2055944901620068488?s=61&t=GGp3Vs1t1kTWDiyA-odnZg
TL;DR - it doesn’t end well
My thoughts are
1. Burnham PROBABLY wouldn’t go this far left. He’d like to, but the gilt market would crush him before he even started
2. I’m increasingly skeptical he will win Makerfield. The opportunity to give Labour - and the powers-that-be - an almighty kicking, will be too hard to resist. I agree with the Labour pols in the Guardian who give him a ‘45%’ chance