Skip to content

A reminder that Sir Keir Starmer is the greatest Leader of the Opposition since the end of WWII

245678

Comments

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,351

    https://x.com/siennamarla/status/2055281169936122153

    EXCL: Senior Labour figures are concerned that the party will be dragged towards “bankruptcy” if Andy Burnham successfully stands as its candidate in the Makerfield by-election, triggering a mayoral by-election and possibly a leadership contest

    Not as bankrupt as they'll be if the unions shut the purse which they will if Starmer remains.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,671
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Bit unfair not to have 1931 on that chart.

    What's really staggering is that Starmer would have far exceeded Atlee if he hadn't run such a useless election campaign.

    I think the extent to which British politics is still dealing with the fallout from the Truss Ministry is underrated. Voters never liked Starmer, but many felt obliged to give him a landslide majority because of what the Tories had done.

    And Reform first sparked into life when Truss was defenestrated, animated by those unwilling to accept that she had blundered so catastrophically.

    The Labour vote really surged against the Tories after the Truss and Kwarteng budget. Reform surged under Sunak's premiership and then with the Farage return to lead them and have increased further since Badenoch beat Jenrick to become Tory leader. Now over half the 2019 Boris vote backs Reform, only the posher bit of the 2019 Boris vote is still voting Tory
    We need to remember a lot of the 2019 Boris vote was due to Nigel Farage standing down his candidates in Tory seats.
    To an extent but there were a number of voters in 2019 who had always voted Labour, lent their vote to Boris but would never vote for another Tory and have now gone to Farage and Reform
    Burnham - should it be he - needs to appeal to those voters and he might well succeed with those who have gone Reform because they hate Keir Starmer. But he'll struggle with those who are Reform because of their anti-immigrant rhetoric. Burnham won't be able to chase that vote (I'm happy to say) because of the other thing he needs to do, which is appeal to the larger number of people who have moved from Labour to Green.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    edited May 15

    On Topic

    Any sentence that contains the phrase Keir Starmer and Greatest leader is misleading without the word not in front of greatest leader.

    The one exception would be if it refers to him replacing his predecessor who is clearly in with a shout of greatest leader based on his 2017 achievements where he increased Lab vote share by the largest amount since WW2!

    The problem is Starmer could have been an excellent PM if he had acted as he promised prior to the election to govern with integrity and purpose in contrast to the conservatives

    And yet, within weeks he was walking around in clothes bought for him, with freebies and even glasses, then embarked on catastrophic decisions starting with the WFA and then followed by 16+ u turns

    But far and away his worst failure was the appointment of Mandelson and then sacking anyone and everyone but himself

    His behaviour towards Johnson in demanding resignation after resignation has now returned to bite him and his breathtaking hypocrisy by not doing the right thing is unedyfing

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,561
    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Totally agree.

    All the Tories I speak to say if Andy Burnham wins the Tories will never win again.

    He's being massively underestimated. He's a force of nature.
  • CJtheOptimistCJtheOptimist Posts: 338
    HYUFD said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    It was the Worcestershire Tory Leader agreeing to make a Green Leader of the county council that Kemi rightly ruled unacceptable, it would have meant Reform could now say 'Vote Tory, get Green' had Kemi not told CCHQ to suspend his party membership
    A common enemy makes strange bedfellows. There is precedent.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-39940006
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,489

    Another example of how lies about immigration spread quickly: https://x.com/Care2much18/status/2054998967230898353?s=20

    Note that part of the issue here appears to be people treating LLMs as an authoritative source. I've seen it disturbingly often on here too. People simply willing to take the word of an LLM as gospel.

    They simply aren't reliable. They will make things up, at best, or be coded to purposefully feed you biased bullshit.
    OK, so I've checked, and apparently the real problem is people who refuse to believe LLMs.

    And, I mean, who am I going to trust on this issue, Claude or you?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 81,137
    THe accounts taking Southampton's side on social media - if they're not explicitly Saints fans - seem to have a remarkable mix of beaches, Union Navy flags, Nelson statues etc on their publicly available profiles.

    I doubt many are in Portsmouth either :D
  • CJtheOptimistCJtheOptimist Posts: 338
    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    But we have seen that being perceived as a successful regional mayor does not necessarily mean being a good PM
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,498

    https://x.com/siennamarla/status/2055281169936122153

    EXCL: Senior Labour figures are concerned that the party will be dragged towards “bankruptcy” if Andy Burnham successfully stands as its candidate in the Makerfield by-election, triggering a mayoral by-election and possibly a leadership contest

    Not as bankrupt as they'll be if the unions shut the purse which they will if Starmer remains.
    I understand that tripping over and accidentally giving someone £5 million pounds is common in modern politics. Indeed, to be expected. For absolutely no return or expectation of favours.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    HYUFD said:

    On Topic

    Any sentence that contains the phrase Keir Starmer and Greatest leader is misleading without the word not in front of greatest leader.

    The one exception would be if it refers to him replacing his predecessor who is clearly in with a shout of greatest leader based on his 2017 achievements where he increased Lab vote share by the largest amount since WW2!

    Yet Corbyn still lost even in 2017 and Starmer won a landslide majority in 2024. Starmer knew how to count and that he was fighting an election based on seats won not votes won
    Hopefully he can count up to 1496

    Apparently not though and Streeting cant even count to 81
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 2,185

    Andy_JS said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    I very much doubt it.
    Re Kemi of course it won't and her current popularity including her take down of labour at the Kings speech has been widely praised

    Indeed the one way to beat Farage is for Kemi to take centre stage on the right and I expect to see that in the coming months
    Those 550 Tory Councilors who lost seats last week, including dozens who she will expect to canvas to save her own seat will be all asking the question.

    Which of us are completely and utterly deluded.

    The 550 of us it the tone deaf arrogant one in charge.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,587

    Nigelb said:

    viewcode said:

    https://x.com/attorneygeneral/status/2055293869168755087?s=46

    This is the problem the government has. “We’ve signed a new ECHR declaration… This addresses tackling illegal immigration” … yeah but what? How? Just so much nothingness.

    In any event people will read the first bit, say rude words about the government, and then vote reform. They should lead with “WE HAVE AGREED X WITH OTHER EUROPEAN LEADERS WHICH ALLOW US TO DO Y BECAUSE Z” The actual mechanism is not important

    Fair enough. Does this help?

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/reforms-to-secure-british-borders-to-be-agreed-by-foreign-ministers-in-moldova-this-week
    Hold on. Courts are expected to rule on the basis of this declaration and not legislation?
    Try reading the leaders' agreed statement, which I posted on the last thread.
    Courts rule on the basis of legislation and precedent, but this is about the members agreeing a common set of principles.
    If all member states agree on a tougher approach, then that is their business.

    The ECHR has less power than is assumed. As the statement says, it is not an appeal court of fourth instance.
    I did read it thanks and my point remains that we normally expect courts to act on legislation and case law and not what politicians agree. The Supreme Court recently ignored what legislators' intentions on the trans issue, for example.
    International law is somewhat different?
    I think all constitutional law (and treaty law is effectively a part of constitutional law, as long as a country is signed up to that treaty) involves something of a balance between executive, legislative and judicial power.

    Plenty of us on the liberal side of the fence would argue the the US Supreme Court (for example) has in recent years abrogated power to itself that more properly belongs to the legislature.
    While what we're talking about here is far less blatant, I don't think we can automatically dismiss complaints for the less liberal side of the political spectrum that the ECHR has, in recent years, shown something of a tendency to intrude on the preserve of the members' own governments.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,671
    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Hopefully this 'Labour Boris' will bring the charisma and voter appeal but spare us the rest of the package.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,887
    edited May 15
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,916
    Pertinent...


  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    edited May 15
    Brixian59 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    I very much doubt it.
    Re Kemi of course it won't and her current popularity including her take down of labour at the Kings speech has been widely praised

    Indeed the one way to beat Farage is for Kemi to take centre stage on the right and I expect to see that in the coming months
    Those 550 Tory Councilors who lost seats last week, including dozens who she will expect to canvas to save her own seat will be all asking the question.

    Which of us are completely and utterly deluded.

    The 550 of us it the tone deaf arrogant one in charge.
    Ever since you started posting anti Kemi comments, she has risen both within her party and in the public's perception whilst your man is about to lose his job as PM

    Kemi will be the one to watch this year, and last wednesday's humilation of the labour party by her and across our television screens must have been terrible for you
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,305
    edited May 15
    Getting ahead of myself a bit, here are the full 2026 council election figures for the whole of Greater Manchester:

    Reform 257k, 30.7%
    Labour 198k, 23.6%
    Green 160k, 19.1%
    Conservative 85k, 10.2%
    LD 79k, 9.5%
    Ind/Others 58k, 6.9%

    I honestly think in the post glow of Burnham going into parliament, the mayoralty would be Labour's to lose, with enough drift back from the other left parties and from the Conservatives to get Labour over the line.

    This is not so much the baseline hardcore Green vote of 400ish in each ward, but rather the "defeat Reform" vote in Green leaning wards and the LD vote in Stockport (at the last mayoral election the LD split in Stockport was barely higher than elsewhere).

    I don't think the chain of events here ends with a Reform mayor running Greater Manchester, even back under FPTP.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,186

    Brixian59 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    I very much doubt it.
    Re Kemi of course it won't and her current popularity including her take down of labour at the Kings speech has been widely praised

    Indeed the one way to beat Farage is for Kemi to take centre stage on the right and I expect to see that in the coming months
    Those 550 Tory Councilors who lost seats last week, including dozens who she will expect to canvas to save her own seat will be all asking the question.

    Which of us are completely and utterly deluded.

    The 550 of us it the tone deaf arrogant one in charge.
    Ever since you started posting anti Kemi comments, she has risen both within her party and in the public's perception whilst your man is about to lose his job as PM

    Kemi will be the one to watch this year, and last wednesday's humilation of the labour party by her and across our television screens must have been terrible for you
    I’m sceptical that Badenoch has the kind of broad appeal required to win an election.

    Maybe things will change.

    But until they do I file under the kind of opposition leader that loves the party and appeals to and comforts the core.

    More Hague & Milliband, less Cameron and Blair.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    Pro_Rata said:

    Getting ahead of myself a bit, here are the full 2026 council election figures for the whole of Greater Manchester:

    Reform 257k, 30.7%
    Labour 198k, 23.6%
    Green 160k, 19.1%
    Conservative 85k, 10.2%
    LD 79k, 9.5%
    Ind/Others 58k, 6.9%

    I honestly think in the post glow of Burnham going into parliament, the mayoralty would be Labour's to lose, with enough drift back from the other left parties and from the Conservatives to get Labour over the line.

    This is not so much the baseline hardcore Green vote of 400ish in each wards, but rather the "defeat Reform" vote in Green leaning wards and the LD vote in Stockport (at the last mayoral election the LD split in Stockport was barely higher than elsewhere).

    I don't think the chain of events here ends with a Reform mayor running Greater Manchester, even back under FPTP.

    Agreed and it is entirely the wrong message for leading labour mps to even suggest it

    It is a form of silly blackmail to try to stop Burnham, and everything that is wrong with some senior labour politicians
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,748
    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,748
    Brixian59 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    I very much doubt it.
    Re Kemi of course it won't and her current popularity including her take down of labour at the Kings speech has been widely praised

    Indeed the one way to beat Farage is for Kemi to take centre stage on the right and I expect to see that in the coming months
    Those 550 Tory Councilors who lost seats last week, including dozens who she will expect to canvas to save her own seat will be all asking the question.

    Which of us are completely and utterly deluded.

    The 550 of us it the tone deaf arrogant one in charge.
    Do you think 1,500 LABOUR councillors lost their seats last week because of, or despite Keir Starmer?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,475
    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    viewcode said:

    https://x.com/attorneygeneral/status/2055293869168755087?s=46

    This is the problem the government has. “We’ve signed a new ECHR declaration… This addresses tackling illegal immigration” … yeah but what? How? Just so much nothingness.

    In any event people will read the first bit, say rude words about the government, and then vote reform. They should lead with “WE HAVE AGREED X WITH OTHER EUROPEAN LEADERS WHICH ALLOW US TO DO Y BECAUSE Z” The actual mechanism is not important

    Fair enough. Does this help?

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/reforms-to-secure-british-borders-to-be-agreed-by-foreign-ministers-in-moldova-this-week
    Hold on. Courts are expected to rule on the basis of this declaration and not legislation?
    Try reading the leaders' agreed statement, which I posted on the last thread.
    Courts rule on the basis of legislation and precedent, but this is about the members agreeing a common set of principles.
    If all member states agree on a tougher approach, then that is their business.

    The ECHR has less power than is assumed. As the statement says, it is not an appeal court of fourth instance.
    I did read it thanks and my point remains that we normally expect courts to act on legislation and case law and not what politicians agree. The Supreme Court recently ignored what legislators' intentions on the trans issue, for example.
    International law is somewhat different?
    I think all constitutional law (and treaty law is effectively a part of constitutional law, as long as a country is signed up to that treaty) involves something of a balance between executive, legislative and judicial power.

    Plenty of us on the liberal side of the fence would argue the the US Supreme Court (for example) has in recent years abrogated power to itself that more properly belongs to the legislature.

    While what we're talking about here is far less blatant, I don't think we can automatically dismiss complaints for the less liberal side of the political spectrum that the ECHR has, in recent years, shown something of a tendency to intrude on the preserve of the members' own governments.
    Arrogate?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126

    Brixian59 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    I very much doubt it.
    Re Kemi of course it won't and her current popularity including her take down of labour at the Kings speech has been widely praised

    Indeed the one way to beat Farage is for Kemi to take centre stage on the right and I expect to see that in the coming months
    Those 550 Tory Councilors who lost seats last week, including dozens who she will expect to canvas to save her own seat will be all asking the question.

    Which of us are completely and utterly deluded.

    The 550 of us it the tone deaf arrogant one in charge.
    Do you think 1,500 LABOUR councillors lost their seats last week because of, or despite Keir Starmer?
    Only 9 out of 96 in the Senedd
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    Sky

    NEC approve Burnham standing

    Now get on with it
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842

    HYUFD said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    It was the Worcestershire Tory Leader agreeing to make a Green Leader of the county council that Kemi rightly ruled unacceptable, it would have meant Reform could now say 'Vote Tory, get Green' had Kemi not told CCHQ to suspend his party membership
    A common enemy makes strange bedfellows. There is precedent.
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-39940006
    The SNP are more of Scottish Labour's enemies than the Tories but the Greens are more the Tories enemies than Reform
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,916
    Pro_Rata said:

    Getting ahead of myself a bit, here are the full 2026 council election figures for the whole of Greater Manchester:

    Reform 257k, 30.7%
    Labour 198k, 23.6%
    Green 160k, 19.1%
    Conservative 85k, 10.2%
    LD 79k, 9.5%
    Ind/Others 58k, 6.9%

    I honestly think in the post glow of Burnham going into parliament, the mayoralty would be Labour's to lose, with enough drift back from the other left parties and from the Conservatives to get Labour over the line.

    This is not so much the baseline hardcore Green vote of 400ish in each ward, but rather the "defeat Reform" vote in Green leaning wards and the LD vote in Stockport (at the last mayoral election the LD split in Stockport was barely higher than elsewhere).

    I don't think the chain of events here ends with a Reform mayor running Greater Manchester, even back under FPTP.

    Would the mayoral by-election be under FPTP? They're going back to SV, but I don't know the timings. Reform seem unlikely to win under SV.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842

    Sky

    NEC approve Burnham standing

    Now get on with it

    So if Burnham wins the by election, now as an approved Labour parliamentary candidate, he almost certainly becomes Labour leader and PM.

    If Burnham loses the by election, Streeting still challenges Starmer anyway and blames Starmer for the Labour by election loss
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    HYUFD said:

    Sky

    NEC approve Burnham standing

    Now get on with it

    So if Burnham wins the by election, now as an approved Labour parliamentary candidate, he almost certainly becomes Labour leader and PM.

    If Burnham loses the by election, Streeting still challenges Starmer anyway and blames Starmer for the Labour by election loss
    About right
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,789
    The greatest leader of the opposition since 1945.

    Also the greatest Prime minister since Rishi Sunak.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,193
    rcs1000 said:

    Another example of how lies about immigration spread quickly: https://x.com/Care2much18/status/2054998967230898353?s=20

    Note that part of the issue here appears to be people treating LLMs as an authoritative source. I've seen it disturbingly often on here too. People simply willing to take the word of an LLM as gospel.

    They simply aren't reliable. They will make things up, at best, or be coded to purposefully feed you biased bullshit.
    OK, so I've checked, and apparently the real problem is people who refuse to believe LLMs.

    And, I mean, who am I going to trust on this issue, Claude or you?
    I've never been so strongly tempted to flag one of your posts.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,587
    MattW said:

    Nigelb said:

    Nigelb said:

    viewcode said:

    https://x.com/attorneygeneral/status/2055293869168755087?s=46

    This is the problem the government has. “We’ve signed a new ECHR declaration… This addresses tackling illegal immigration” … yeah but what? How? Just so much nothingness.

    In any event people will read the first bit, say rude words about the government, and then vote reform. They should lead with “WE HAVE AGREED X WITH OTHER EUROPEAN LEADERS WHICH ALLOW US TO DO Y BECAUSE Z” The actual mechanism is not important

    Fair enough. Does this help?

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/reforms-to-secure-british-borders-to-be-agreed-by-foreign-ministers-in-moldova-this-week
    Hold on. Courts are expected to rule on the basis of this declaration and not legislation?
    Try reading the leaders' agreed statement, which I posted on the last thread.
    Courts rule on the basis of legislation and precedent, but this is about the members agreeing a common set of principles.
    If all member states agree on a tougher approach, then that is their business.

    The ECHR has less power than is assumed. As the statement says, it is not an appeal court of fourth instance.
    I did read it thanks and my point remains that we normally expect courts to act on legislation and case law and not what politicians agree. The Supreme Court recently ignored what legislators' intentions on the trans issue, for example.
    International law is somewhat different?
    I think all constitutional law (and treaty law is effectively a part of constitutional law, as long as a country is signed up to that treaty) involves something of a balance between executive, legislative and judicial power.

    Plenty of us on the liberal side of the fence would argue the the US Supreme Court (for example) has in recent years abrogated power to itself that more properly belongs to the legislature.

    While what we're talking about here is far less blatant, I don't think we can automatically dismiss complaints for the less liberal side of the political spectrum that the ECHR has, in recent years, shown something of a tendency to intrude on the preserve of the members' own governments.
    Arrogate?
    Yes my bad.
    Or a typo/autocorrect...
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,193

    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference

    If he takes over on the 5th July then Labour can try to pretend that the last two years didn't happen.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 579
    edited May 15

    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference

    The whole shenanigans resembles nothing so much as a recurring car crash with the country rudderless. Funny and ridiculous if it wasn't so tragic and serious. Wtaf has happened to the UK when an enormous majority produces this?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,008
    scampi25 said:

    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference

    The whole shenanigans resembles nothing so much as a recurring car crash with the country rudderless. Funny and ridiculous if it wasn't so tragic and serious. Wtaf has happened to the UK when an enormous majority produces this?
    ...again. You forgot to mention that it happened four (FOUR!) times under the Tories.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,498

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Seems a long way from “Keep Calm And Vote Starmer”

    You have my sympathies - it’s hard to find that your hoped for leaders have feet of clay.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,791
    Pulpstar said:

    THe accounts taking Southampton's side on social media - if they're not explicitly Saints fans - seem to have a remarkable mix of beaches, Union Navy flags, Nelson statues etc on their publicly available profiles.

    I doubt many are in Portsmouth either :D

    Rupert Lowe was once their chairman, of course.

    fwiw, as a Boro fan I think they should still be allowed to proceed to the final, even if found guilty. I can't really see how any information they gleaned from their spying helped contribute to their victory. The right punishment would be a points deduction for next season (which they could ask the Premier League to impose should they be promoted).
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,834
    Could Burnham undermine himself by clinging on to the mayoralty as a backup option? People who think he's doing a good job might vote against him to keep him there.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 37,008

    Could Burnham undermine himself by clinging on to the mayoralty as a backup option? People who think he's doing a good job might vote against him to keep him there.

    No
  • CookieCookie Posts: 17,550

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Funnily enough I always felt most sad for Theresa May. Much as I disagreed with her political stance she did always give the impression she was trying to do her best for the country but events, and her colleagues, were too much for her.

    The others since haven't provoked much sympathy from me. Starmer had a wonderful opportunity and has wasted it. Sadly.
    I remember feeling, to my surprise, great sympathy for Gordon Brown when the bigoted woman tape was plated back to him.
    I found Gordon Brown an unpleasant PM. And I am riled by the knee jerk reaction of people like him that people whi disagree with them are bigots. But we've all had bad days at work - and for most of us, it doesn't get played out on the national news.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,791
    HYUFD said:

    Sky

    NEC approve Burnham standing

    Now get on with it

    So if Burnham wins the by election, now as an approved Labour parliamentary candidate, he almost certainly becomes Labour leader and PM.

    If Burnham loses the by election, Streeting still challenges Starmer anyway and blames Starmer for the Labour by election loss
    If Burnham loses, the blame for that lies squarely with Burnham.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 579
    scampi25 said:

    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference

    The whole shenanigans resembles nothing so much as a recurring car crash with the country rudderless. Funny and ridiculous if it wasn't so tragic and serious. Wtaf has happened to the UK when an enormous majority produces this?
    Of course for those who love ve to live in the past....
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    Must be hard! Bet he won the step mum vote

    https://x.com/DeathlyAcorn/status/2055205682450743787/photo/1
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 81,137
    Have to admit as a Burnham backer in this by-election I rolled my eyes at Starmer's "Battle for the soul of the nation" comment today.
    Can he not just shut up ?
    Not helpful to Burnham's chances that comment I think
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 579
    Pulpstar said:

    Have to admit as a Burnham backer in this by-election I rolled my eyes at Starmer's "Battle for the soul of the nation" comment today.
    Can he not just shut up ?
    Not helpful to Burnham's chances that comment I think

    Is there any reason why he should? 🤔🤔🤔
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Your not very good at spotting odious little rats are you?

    Or persons utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further their own ends.

    Both SKS and your current MP fit the odious rats devoid of principles much more than the KoN
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 81,137
    edited May 15

    Pulpstar said:

    THe accounts taking Southampton's side on social media - if they're not explicitly Saints fans - seem to have a remarkable mix of beaches, Union Navy flags, Nelson statues etc on their publicly available profiles.

    I doubt many are in Portsmouth either :D

    Rupert Lowe was once their chairman, of course.

    fwiw, as a Boro fan I think they should still be allowed to proceed to the final, even if found guilty. I can't really see how any information they gleaned from their spying helped contribute to their victory. The right punishment would be a points deduction for next season (which they could ask the Premier League to impose should they be promoted).
    That's very magnanimous coming from yourself as a Boro fan but the Spies need punishing. Here's big Frank after one of our best points of the season https://youtu.be/PHnVjBdpuAk?si=0-DdiPxE4LaO_ntk
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,148
    edited May 15

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Is this really you Sunil? Never heard you post in such an angry way before! You're normally so mild-mannered.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,224
    edited May 15
    Sunday Time Rich List is out:

    1. Sanjay and Dheeraj Hinduja and family (£38bn)
    2. David and Simon Reuben and family (£27.9bn)
    3. Sir Leonard Blavatnik (£26.8bn)
    4. Idan Ofer (£24.4bn)
    5. Guy, George, Alannah and Galen Weston and family (£18.9bn)
    6. Christopher Harborne (£18.1bn)
    7. Nik Storonsky (£16.4bn)
    8. Alex Gerko (£16bn)
    9. Sir Jim Ratcliffe: (£15.1bn)
    10. Igor and Dmitry Bukhman: (£14.2bn)

    "The Sunday Times Rich List calculates that there are now 157 UK billionaires, 20 less [sic] than four years ago."
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,834
    edited May 15
    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Or Reform, if Burnham wins it that would be equally disastrous for Farage given Reform won most council seats in the Makerfield area last week.

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,834
    HYUFD said:

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Or Reform, if Burnham wins it that would be equally disastrous for Farage given Reform won most council seats in the Makerfield area last week.
    If Reform keep their local candidate from the last general election then I think they can brush off a loss. It only becomes make or break for them if they try to parachute in a big name.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842
    edited May 15
    carnforth said:

    Sunday Time Rich List is out:

    1. Sanjay and Dheeraj Hinduja and family (£38bn)
    2. David and Simon Reuben and family (£27.9bn)
    3. Sir Leonard Blavatnik (£26.8bn)
    4. Idan Ofer (£24.4bn)
    5. Guy, George, Alannah and Galen Weston and family (£18.9bn)
    6. Christopher Harborne (£18.1bn)
    7. Nik Storonsky (£16.4bn)
    8. Alex Gerko (£16bn)
    9. Sir Jim Ratcliffe: (£15.1bn)
    10. Igor and Dmitry Bukhman: (£14.2bn)

    "The Sunday Times Rich List calculates that there are now 157 UK billionaires, 20 less [sic] than four years ago."

    Now we have a Labour government and the UK is not even in the top 10 nations with most billionaires, we have fallen to 12th this year behind even Taiwan.

    1 USA
    2 China
    3 India
    4 Germany
    5 Russia
    6 Italy
    7 Canada
    8 Hong Kong
    9 Brazil
    10 Taiwan

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/samellefson/2026/03/11/the-countries-with-the-most-billionaires/
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,542
    carnforth said:

    Sunday Time Rich List is out:

    1. Sanjay and Dheeraj Hinduja and family (£38bn)
    2. David and Simon Reuben and family (£27.9bn)
    3. Sir Leonard Blavatnik (£26.8bn)
    4. Idan Ofer (£24.4bn)
    5. Guy, George, Alannah and Galen Weston and family (£18.9bn)
    6. Christopher Harborne (£18.1bn)
    7. Nik Storonsky (£16.4bn)
    8. Alex Gerko (£16bn)
    9. Sir Jim Ratcliffe: (£15.1bn)
    10. Igor and Dmitry Bukhman: (£14.2bn)

    "The Sunday Times Rich List calculates that there are now 157 UK billionaires, 20 less [sic] than four years ago."

    Broken Britain eh?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,748
    Andy_JS said:

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Is this really you Sunil? Never heard you post in such an angry way before! You're normally so mild-mannered.
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5548720/#Comment_5548720 :lol:
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842

    HYUFD said:

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Or Reform, if Burnham wins it that would be equally disastrous for Farage given Reform won most council seats in the Makerfield area last week.
    If Reform keep their local candidate from the last general election then I think they can brush off a loss. It only becomes make or break for them if they try to parachute in a big name.
    Makerfield is in the top 50 Reform target seats at number 29, if they can't even win this by election it looks like curtains for Farage's chances of becoming PM.

    Farage has to see his party win it as much as Burnham needs to win it

    https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/reform-uk#google_vignette
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,224
    carnforth said:

    Sunday Time Rich List is out:

    1. Sanjay and Dheeraj Hinduja and family (£38bn)
    2. David and Simon Reuben and family (£27.9bn)
    3. Sir Leonard Blavatnik (£26.8bn)
    4. Idan Ofer (£24.4bn)
    5. Guy, George, Alannah and Galen Weston and family (£18.9bn)
    6. Christopher Harborne (£18.1bn)
    7. Nik Storonsky (£16.4bn)
    8. Alex Gerko (£16bn)
    9. Sir Jim Ratcliffe: (£15.1bn)
    10. Igor and Dmitry Bukhman: (£14.2bn)

    "The Sunday Times Rich List calculates that there are now 157 UK billionaires, 20 less [sic] than four years ago."

    Number 6 of note, Farage-wise, by the way.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,791
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    THe accounts taking Southampton's side on social media - if they're not explicitly Saints fans - seem to have a remarkable mix of beaches, Union Navy flags, Nelson statues etc on their publicly available profiles.

    I doubt many are in Portsmouth either :D

    Rupert Lowe was once their chairman, of course.

    fwiw, as a Boro fan I think they should still be allowed to proceed to the final, even if found guilty. I can't really see how any information they gleaned from their spying helped contribute to their victory. The right punishment would be a points deduction for next season (which they could ask the Premier League to impose should they be promoted).
    That's very magnanimous coming from yourself as a Boro fan but the Spies need punishing. Here's big Frank after one of our best points of the season https://youtu.be/PHnVjBdpuAk?si=0-DdiPxE4LaO_ntk
    Yes, Cov had the character that Boro lacked at crucial points in the season, and that's why they got promoted and Boro didn't.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,561

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Given South Western Railway's performance recently, I can fully believe it.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 10,057
    Cookie said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Funnily enough I always felt most sad for Theresa May. Much as I disagreed with her political stance she did always give the impression she was trying to do her best for the country but events, and her colleagues, were too much for her.

    The others since haven't provoked much sympathy from me. Starmer had a wonderful opportunity and has wasted it. Sadly.
    I remember feeling, to my surprise, great sympathy for Gordon Brown when the bigoted woman tape was plated back to him.
    I found Gordon Brown an unpleasant PM. And I am riled by the knee jerk reaction of people like him that people whi disagree with them are bigots. But we've all had bad days at work - and for most of us, it doesn't get played out on the national news.
    The worst example is Charles and his fantasy about Camilla.
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 10,057
    edited May 15

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Your not very good at spotting odious little rats are you?

    Or persons utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further their own ends.

    Both SKS and your current MP fit the odious rats devoid of principles much more than the KoN
    I think someone has hacked Sunil's account. Doesn't sound like him. Or he is being ironic. Or Burnham is anti-train.

    Ah I see. 6:03pm
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700

    18/6/25 OR 25/6/25 for the By Election

    If he wins could be a Coronation by end of June or if a contest could be Labour Conference

    If he takes over on the 5th July then Labour can try to pretend that the last two years didn't happen.
    Which 2 years!!

    Seriously if Burnham becomes PM although i would likely stay in Greens would vote Lab in GE 2029 to stop Reform
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,208

    dixiedean said:

    What's really fascinating about that graph is the extent that when folk get sick of a Tory government they can get quite extraordinarily sick of them.

    Too long in power and everything starts to smell. My conterfactual is what would have happened if Labour had won a narrow victory in 1992?
    Look at the Senedd last week where labour won just 9 seats out of 96

    I did say how bad Wales looked for labour but the reality is they are years away from recovery in Wales
    Depends how Plaid do. If they become very unpopular it is more likely that Wales would revert back to Labour than give the Tories or Reform a majority.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,748
    Barnesian said:

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Your not very good at spotting odious little rats are you?

    Or persons utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further their own ends.

    Both SKS and your current MP fit the odious rats devoid of principles much more than the KoN
    I think someone has hacked Sunil's account. Doesn't sound like him. Or he is being ironic. Or Burnham is anti-train.
    https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5548720/#Comment_5548720
    :innocent:
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,834
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Or Reform, if Burnham wins it that would be equally disastrous for Farage given Reform won most council seats in the Makerfield area last week.
    If Reform keep their local candidate from the last general election then I think they can brush off a loss. It only becomes make or break for them if they try to parachute in a big name.
    Makerfield is in the top 50 Reform target seats at number 29, if they can't even win this by election it looks like curtains for Farage's chances of becoming PM.

    Farage has to see his party win it as much as Burnham needs to win it

    https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/reform-uk#google_vignette
    If Burnham, it will be reminiscent of past defeats of big Labour names at the hands of the SNP, and a sign that Labour's decline in England is a long-term political fact.

    Maybe Reform need to find the equivalent of a Mhairi Black to stand for generational change.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,748

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Your not very good at spotting odious little rats are you?

    Or persons utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further their own ends.

    Both SKS and your current MP fit the odious rats devoid of principles much more than the KoN
    Is it true that Andy Burnham is merely SKS with mascara and a faux Northern accent?
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,542
    OllyT said:

    dixiedean said:

    What's really fascinating about that graph is the extent that when folk get sick of a Tory government they can get quite extraordinarily sick of them.

    Too long in power and everything starts to smell. My conterfactual is what would have happened if Labour had won a narrow victory in 1992?
    Look at the Senedd last week where labour won just 9 seats out of 96

    I did say how bad Wales looked for labour but the reality is they are years away from recovery in Wales
    Depends how Plaid do. If they become very unpopular it is more likely that Wales would revert back to Labour than give the Tories or Reform a majority.
    I think they will be generous to plaid timewise as labour did have nearly 30 years.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    Barnesian said:

    Cookie said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Funnily enough I always felt most sad for Theresa May. Much as I disagreed with her political stance she did always give the impression she was trying to do her best for the country but events, and her colleagues, were too much for her.

    The others since haven't provoked much sympathy from me. Starmer had a wonderful opportunity and has wasted it. Sadly.
    I remember feeling, to my surprise, great sympathy for Gordon Brown when the bigoted woman tape was plated back to him.
    I found Gordon Brown an unpleasant PM. And I am riled by the knee jerk reaction of people like him that people whi disagree with them are bigots. But we've all had bad days at work - and for most of us, it doesn't get played out on the national news.
    The worst example is Charles and his fantasy about Camilla.
    No wonder he disappeared from PB.
    Lol.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    From Twitter

    "Starmer met with a select group of cabinet ministers this evening and branded Wes Streeting 'a complete bastard'"

    LOL
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,208

    eek said:

    kle4 said:

    FF43 said:

    I doubt Farage expects anyone to believe this.

    Farage paid for £1.4m house with I'm a Celebrity cash, says Reform

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c809gkg7m00o

    Could be true, but muddying the waters helps either way.
    Got to ask did ITV really pay him £2m+ to appear on I'm a Celeb?
    £1.5 million was widely reported, eg:-

    Nigel Farage to become ‘highest-paid’ I’m A Celebrity star in history
    https://metro.co.uk/2023/11/13/nigel-farages-wild-im-a-celebrity-get-fee-revealed-19817568/
    Surely the £1.5m would have been subject to tax and reduced by at least 40%, so how could he have bought a £1.4m house with the proceeds?

    The story will change again tomorrow.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842
    edited May 15

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Or Reform, if Burnham wins it that would be equally disastrous for Farage given Reform won most council seats in the Makerfield area last week.
    If Reform keep their local candidate from the last general election then I think they can brush off a loss. It only becomes make or break for them if they try to parachute in a big name.
    Makerfield is in the top 50 Reform target seats at number 29, if they can't even win this by election it looks like curtains for Farage's chances of becoming PM.

    Farage has to see his party win it as much as Burnham needs to win it

    https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/targets/reform-uk#google_vignette
    If Burnham, it will be reminiscent of past defeats of big Labour names at the hands of the SNP, and a sign that Labour's decline in England is a long-term political fact.

    Maybe Reform need to find the equivalent of a Mhairi Black to stand for generational change.
    If it wasn't for Burnham, Labour would have a 95% chance of losing this seat to Reform as Curtice said today. Reform should win Makerfield on current polls comfortably, if they don't and Burnham wins it would show Burnham would likely defeat Farage if he replaced Starmer as Labour leader at the next GE.

    Who Reform picks is therefore important for Farage
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    Labour will face their Waterloo in Makerfield on June 18th.

    Which seat next? How many goes does Andy get?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    BBC reporting "A Palestinian teenager has been killed by Israeli soldiers in the occupied West Bank"

    Presume they mean a child? And murdered? as he was 14
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,790

    'Millions' of pounds saved by replacing Palantir tech in refugee system
    ...
    The report notes the Government's chief commercial officer informed Palantir of his concern about the firm's practice of offering a zero- or nominal-cost initial offer to gain a commercial foothold.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2l2j1lxdk5o

    Speaking of sharing data across systems, Palantir has recently been awarded contracts by the NHS and Metropolitan Police among other public bodies.

    Which goes back to having real expertise in contract negotiation.

    The “initial freebie to lock you in” is junior stuff in the world of commercial contracts.
    And drug dealing.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,842

    From Twitter

    "Starmer met with a select group of cabinet ministers this evening and branded Wes Streeting 'a complete bastard'"

    LOL

    Takes one to know one
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    https://x.com/siennamarla/status/2055281169936122153

    EXCL: Senior Labour figures are concerned that the party will be dragged towards “bankruptcy” if Andy Burnham successfully stands as its candidate in the Makerfield by-election, triggering a mayoral by-election and possibly a leadership contest

    Haven't they got Christopher Harborne's number?
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 22,858

    https://x.com/siennamarla/status/2055281169936122153

    EXCL: Senior Labour figures are concerned that the party will be dragged towards “bankruptcy” if Andy Burnham successfully stands as its candidate in the Makerfield by-election, triggering a mayoral by-election and possibly a leadership contest

    Haven't they got Christopher Harborne's number?
    18.1 billion?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,218
    I think a great leader of the opposition should have a plan for governing. One that doesn't involve turning the country into an impoverished Stalinist hellscape I mean.

    This is something that has got my goat about the resignations of Wes Streeting and Jess Phillips. Commentators have been saying 'Ooooh, they pulled no punches' - but they did. They pulled the punch of what different policies they think should have been pursued. It was their own version of the ming vase. Both their critiques left room for any policies they care to dream up. That's not good enough any more.

    On a similar note, I find it very annoying when commentators insist, "People need to feeeeel better off" - as if we need to give the electorate some shiny lego coins or put prozac in the drinking water. People don't 'feel' poorer, they are poorer. Money doesn't 'feel like' it's all going to the Treasury and the big corporations, it is. Energy is a good example - we used to pay for coal and gas generation, a little above wholesale prices, and mainly British energy companies made good profits for mainly British shareholders. Now we have Net Zero, and it's a profit feeding frenzy for the world's pension funds, and the poor are paying for it. Anyone who tries to deal with it is going to need to be brave and resourceful, because you have effectively to take money away from the powerful and well-resourced (not in tax but in opportunity cost) and give it back to taxpayers. And they will use every smear and connivance to retain those profits.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Kemi sacking Worcestershire Tory Leader for supporting progressive alliance against Reform will alarm a large swathe of moderate Tory Members and Voters.

    Caroline Lucas strongly suggesting Greens should not field a candidate in Makers field if Burnham stands, specifically because Burnham is a long term supporter of Proportional Representation.

    Both very very significant and potentially important pointers for the future travel of right wing and progressive wing alliances in the medium term future.

    It was the Worcestershire Tory Leader agreeing to make a Green Leader of the county council that Kemi rightly ruled unacceptable, it would have meant Reform could now say 'Vote Tory, get Green' had Kemi not told CCHQ to suspend his party membership
    Better than' Vote Tory get Reform' imo.

    (Although we all know that's what will happen next time.)
    Depends, the Tories could abstain in a hung parliament on a confidence vote and just vote bill by bill.

    Kemi didn't tell Worcestershire Tories to do a deal with Reform either, she just rightly decided the Tories forming an administration with a Green leader was unacceptable
    That seems to be their position in the Senedd
    Despite having a great Thursday, if Kemi had got another dozen seats in the Senedd we would have seen how the land actually lies.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,872

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Curiously, I had said exactly the same before I read your post. Yesterday morning he was full of vim ready to take on all comers with all the advantages of office. But, firstly with Wes and then with Burnham’s moves, it all fizzled away. He has weeks left as PM but the power has gone already.
    He cuts a sorry figure. If he wasn’t such a shit I would feel sorry for him.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,872
    edited May 15
    Well, "Waterloo" isn't a great song, but it's better than the Loser's "YMCA".
  • DavidL said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Curiously, I had said exactly the same before I read your post. Yesterday morning he was full of vim ready to take on all comers with all the advantages of office. But, firstly with Wes and then with Burnham’s moves, it all fizzled away. He has weeks left as PM but the power has gone already.
    He cuts a sorry figure. If he wasn’t such a shit I would feel sorry for him.
    On the other hand, think of Lord Hermer, Philip Sands and the Mauritian government. Surely whoever takes over will ditch the Chagos deal on day 1 as it is a dangerous and treacherous disaster (and insanely expensive)

    Hermer will be sacked instantly

    Every cloud…
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    From Twitter

    "Starmer met with a select group of cabinet ministers this evening and branded Wes Streeting 'a complete bastard'"

    LOL

    Starmer is completely oblivious to the reality that he has been a remarkably ineffective Prime Minister for almost two years.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,872

    DavidL said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Curiously, I had said exactly the same before I read your post. Yesterday morning he was full of vim ready to take on all comers with all the advantages of office. But, firstly with Wes and then with Burnham’s moves, it all fizzled away. He has weeks left as PM but the power has gone already.
    He cuts a sorry figure. If he wasn’t such a shit I would feel sorry for him.
    On the other hand, think of Lord Hermer, Philip Sands and the Mauritian government. Surely whoever takes over will ditch the Chagos deal on day 1 as it is a dangerous and treacherous disaster (and insanely expensive)

    Hermer will be sacked instantly

    Every cloud…
    Sacking should frankly be the least of Hermer’s worries.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,126
    HYUFD said:

    From Twitter

    "Starmer met with a select group of cabinet ministers this evening and branded Wes Streeting 'a complete bastard'"

    LOL

    Takes one to know one
    Not taking it well are they
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700

    Heathener said:

    Manchester Anecdote Update. Sample size: 1.

    G'day. I heard more today from my tory voting acquaintance in Manchester. He owns a pub and recently opened a restaurant.

    He loves Andy Burnham and thinks he has "been brilliant for business" in the city. He loves that he gets things done. He was desperately hoping to hold onto Burnham as mayor of Manchester.

    The last politician who cut through across the political divide like this was ... Boris.

    This is why this guy is such a threat to a Reform or Tory-Reform Government.

    Andy Burnham is the most odious little rat I think I've ever seen in British politics, which is saying something. A person utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further his own ends.

    I'm still seething with anger at this "Labour" Government for whom I so mistakenly and bitterly voted
    Your not very good at spotting odious little rats are you?

    Or persons utterly devoid of principles who would push anyone under a train to further their own ends.

    Both SKS and your current MP fit the odious rats devoid of principles much more than the KoN
    Is it true that Andy Burnham is merely SKS with mascara and a faux Northern accent?
    No he has committed to let Jezza rejoin
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,208

    OllyT said:

    dixiedean said:

    What's really fascinating about that graph is the extent that when folk get sick of a Tory government they can get quite extraordinarily sick of them.

    Too long in power and everything starts to smell. My conterfactual is what would have happened if Labour had won a narrow victory in 1992?
    Look at the Senedd last week where labour won just 9 seats out of 96

    I did say how bad Wales looked for labour but the reality is they are years away from recovery in Wales
    Depends how Plaid do. If they become very unpopular it is more likely that Wales would revert back to Labour than give the Tories or Reform a majority.
    I think they will be generous to plaid timewise as labour did have nearly 30 years.

    You might be right, in many ways are Plaid are more left of centre than Labour. Interesting that neither Scotland nor Wales turned rightwards when Labour was ousted.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,475
    Oooh.

    Quoted in the .. er .. Northwich Guardian.

    https://www.northwichguardian.co.uk/news/26104722.update-concerning-three-month-middlewich-cycling-ban/

    (It's notable that it's a clarification not an explanation, and there is no indication that they will be doing what they should actually be doing - which is a 20mph limit on the roadworks, or a signposted diversion. But the key points are there.)
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,498
    a
    kle4 said:

    'Millions' of pounds saved by replacing Palantir tech in refugee system
    ...
    The report notes the Government's chief commercial officer informed Palantir of his concern about the firm's practice of offering a zero- or nominal-cost initial offer to gain a commercial foothold.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c2l2j1lxdk5o

    Speaking of sharing data across systems, Palantir has recently been awarded contracts by the NHS and Metropolitan Police among other public bodies.

    Which goes back to having real expertise in contract negotiation.

    The “initial freebie to lock you in” is junior stuff in the world of commercial contracts.
    And drug dealing.
    If any fentanyl-laced-weed sellers decide to sue you for likening them to Peter Thiel....
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,872
    HYUFD said:

    From Twitter

    "Starmer met with a select group of cabinet ministers this evening and branded Wes Streeting 'a complete bastard'"

    LOL

    Takes one to know one
    So the letter to Wes, which was quite complementary , was another piece of hypocrisy and lies. Quelle surprise.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,878
    Evening all. The world of not-interested-in-politics seems to be catching up with the current jollities, judging by my timeline. AFAICT no-one has a clue what's going on.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,700
    Eleven 'far-right agitators' banned from UK ahead of rally, government says

    It goes from bad to worse for WS!!
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 14,281
    edited May 15
    DavidL said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Curiously, I had said exactly the same before I read your post. Yesterday morning he was full of vim ready to take on all comers with all the advantages of office. But, firstly with Wes and then with Burnham’s moves, it all fizzled away. He has weeks left as PM but the power has gone already.
    He cuts a sorry figure. If he wasn’t such a shit I would feel sorry for him.
    Where’s that vitriol come from? Disagree with his politics, lament his ineptitude, but a bit like Theresa May I don’t think he’s an unnecessarily cruel individual.

    The internet is a pretty nasty place sometimes and I think that is influencing how people feel about Starmer. Frankly if he did possess the kind of malice people suggest then he might have been a much better PM.
  • Eleven 'far-right agitators' banned from UK ahead of rally, government says

    It goes from bad to worse for WS!!

    And yet Starmer was keen to welcome “with delight” the Egyptian Islamist who proclaimed his hatred of white people and his desire to destroy the west

    I doubt anyone on his list of “far right agitators” is remotely in that league, as a danger to the British public

    The hypocrisy is as breathtaking as it is self harming. We can all see it now
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,872
    Eabhal said:

    DavidL said:

    On a human level I thought Starmer looked forlorn, even haunted today, and I did feel a bit for him

    But politics is politics and he simply is not suited to be PM

    Curiously, I had said exactly the same before I read your post. Yesterday morning he was full of vim ready to take on all comers with all the advantages of office. But, firstly with Wes and then with Burnham’s moves, it all fizzled away. He has weeks left as PM but the power has gone already.
    He cuts a sorry figure. If he wasn’t such a shit I would feel sorry for him.
    Where’s that vitriol come from? Disagree with his politics, lament his ineptitude, but a bit like Theresa May I don’t think he’s an unnecessarily cruel individual.

    The internet is a pretty nasty place sometimes and I think that is influencing how people feel about Starmer. Frankly if he did possess the kind of malice people suggest then he might have been a much better PM.
    The way he had treated those working for him and his willingness to sack them to protect his own skin sickened me. Sir Olly Robbins in particular. Disgraceful behaviour.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,733

    Eleven 'far-right agitators' banned from UK ahead of rally, government says

    It goes from bad to worse for WS!!

    And yet Starmer was keen to welcome “with delight” the Egyptian Islamist who proclaimed his hatred of white people and his desire to destroy the west

    I doubt anyone on his list of “far right agitators” is remotely in that league, as a danger to the British public

    The hypocrisy is as breathtaking as it is self harming. We can all see it now
    I would have thought any fule can add shade to an extreme Islamist without felating Tiny Tom and his chums. Seems I was wrong.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,887

    Eleven 'far-right agitators' banned from UK ahead of rally, government says

    It goes from bad to worse for WS!!

    And yet Starmer was keen to welcome “with delight” the Egyptian Islamist who proclaimed his hatred of white people and his desire to destroy the west

    I doubt anyone on his list of “far right agitators” is remotely in that league, as a danger to the British public

    The hypocrisy is as breathtaking as it is self harming. We can all see it now
    Dunno, that Vance guy is a mean sonofabitch.
This discussion has been closed.