Go West and meet Labour’s Sir Anthony Meyer? – politicalbetting.com
Go West and meet Labour’s Sir Anthony Meyer? – politicalbetting.com
Labour MP says he is "almost certain" Catherine West will have the 81 MPs she needs to trigger a leadership election on Monday. https://t.co/fMaH9km4WL
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Seems more media driven than anything but it has to happen to lance the boil.
It’s given me lots of betting material for headers.
My betting book is twitching nervously.
No poorhouse for me.
We never lose a game
Imagination never lets us take the blame
The MPs pick someone else to be PM.
It’s against the Labour rules, you say?
Just don’t officially inform Starmer. That way, he is technically the leader. While someone else gets on with the job.
No papers across any desks.
I doubt Catherine West will do any better, but with 36 labour mps rumoured to want Starmer gone maybe a big beast will raise the stakes
And now it might all be over.
Understand that allies of Andy Burnham are desperately trying to convince Catherine West to abandon her leadership bid less than an hour after she launched it.
Lou Haigh is working with colleagues to find a way to get her to drop it. Burnham cannot run.
However this is a big moment because what she does is give a challenger cover to not be the one wielding the knife itself. So if she does get the support, then I think someone will emerge.
I do think the leadership situation has now become such a critical point for Labour that ignoring it will only cause them further damage now. I don’t think jettisoning a PM should be the first response to any crisis, but Starmer has had ample opportunity to demonstrate what he’s got over the last 2 years, and he’s just been found badly lacking in almost every measure. He simply can’t change the dial for them. His actions today with Brown and Harman cement it.
Fails to get the 81 signatures and so all leadership stuff is off for a year?
Fails to get the 81 signatures and so all leadership stuff is off for a year? Rewarded with Cabinet post or special envoy to Australia?
We'll surely see others act on the back of this. Streeting and probably then Rayner or otherwise Miliband. Otherwise Catherine West could very likely be next PM!
I did post a comment a few weeks back to the effect that because things could be initiated by an outsider and meltdown in the May elections seemed certain, the chances of it going beyond May were pretty remote.
If the overwhelming momentum was for Burnham, shouldn't an MP announce right now (ie today) that they will stand down and that MP should say "Catherine, please withdraw your challenge so Andy can get back into Parliament first".
But no sign yet of the above happening.
OK, we know the NEC may well block Burnham nomination but they could at least attempt to create momentum for Burnham such that NEC would let him through.
Will he take it or forever regret not doing so
Labour can’t even do leadership contests without the whole thing unravelling before it’s even started !
@DPJHodges
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1h
People need to calm down. The starting gun for the leadership contest was fired yesterday when Lou Haigh and the Tribune Group mobilised. They weren't freelancing. There's a plan. Catherine West isn't central to it. It will all roll out next week.
https://x.com/DPJHodges/status/2053148171832901739
"Oh no he isn't!"
At which point Labour will be lucky to poll in double digits .
@theobertram
Three possible outcomes:
1. Starmer peacefully quits & Cabinet happily agree new leader - v unlikely
2. West gets the 81, then immediately withdraws, inviting others to step forward - less likely but possible
3. West gets <81 MPs, coup fails, Starmer secured - more likely
https://x.com/theobertram/status/2053152717569139111
https://x.com/Keir_Starmer/status/2053042974548775188
So other than the cache of calling himself a former PM at some point - much devalued now it will forever also apply to Truss who, whatever her positives/negatives, barely had any time at all - not sure it is particularly worth it from him.
Just leave Starmer in place until the autumn, with two full years under his belt and then some his faction could not argue he did not get at least a decent amount of time to try.
That's a message which will resonate on the doorstep.
https://x.com/MikeTappTweets/status/2053153802690162988
I wonder why Reform wants the Prime Minister removed? Because they know what comes next, and so do I.
Stability is key.
I couldn't disagree.
@SamCoatesSky
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[There's a group of MPs who's] expectation, by the way, is that Keir Starmer’s Monday speech does not do what’s needed, so they are likely to join the fray.
But they actually want the cabinet to act, to avoid this happening in this disorderly way in public
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Thank you to the entire Trump Doral team for your incredible hospitality and excellence.
And thank you, President Donald J. Trump, for calling me today and speaking to the crowd. We are forever grateful.
https://x.com/pastormarkburns/status/2052227145921892710
Even the Edstone had more dignity.
https://x.com/richardmarcj/status/2053162275872166249
The key thing is that by declaring her candidacy, following the precedent of Angela Eagle in 2016, Catherine West would prompt the NEC to open a window for nominations to be collected for any candidate, inviting more serious contenders.
This keeps being missed by commentators.
Incremental improvement and dull competence now! is not a big votewinner.
(Ok, Starmer was in part portrayed as unflashy and competent, the grown up etc, but they were overall pitching massive change).
Whoever on Cabinet was instrumental in convincing Starmer to prevent Burnham's return is laughing right now. Probably it was Miliband.
Monday is letters rogatory day for me, so for most of the day, I will not be around to focus on politics.
Why do I have a feeling it's all going to kick off on Monday.
The arrogance of this interview, and his refusal to even contemplate he might be wrong, reminds me a lot of Trump.
https://x.com/nowak_paul/status/2052879919705714978
This is exactly what happened to Corbyn, some nonentity challenged him and all it did was secure his position until he got smashed in 2019.
PB is funny. We spent the last day and this morning deriding Starmer over his appointment of Brown, and talking up challengers, but when someone actually comes forward we label them Anthony Meyer and say they're no hopers.
Forget your betting book. If you want Starmer gone, now is the time. Absent some sort of political blackswan, It won't get any more likely going forward unless they're intending to wait until May 2027 and the next local election shellacking.
Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, just reported its 2026 Q1 results.
It lost $405 MILLION on $900,000 in revenue.
https://x.com/JuddLegum/status/2052862877879447775
66 people are currently listed.
Russian finance
According to The Guardian, in December 2021, two loans totaling $8 million (~$9.11 million in 2024) were paid to Trump Media from obscure Putin-connected entities as the company was "on the brink of collapse". $2 million was paid by Paxum Bank, part-owned by Anton Postolnikov, a relation of Aleksandr Smirnov, a former Russian government official who now runs the Russian maritime company Rosmorport. $6 million was paid by an ostensibly separate entity, ES Family Trust, whose director was the director of Paxum Bank at the same time.
Reduced to desperately trying to save Starmer until he is an MP.
@DPJHodges
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Next week Andy Burham will make his move
https://x.com/DPJHodges/status/2053176902374891525
(links to paywall so I can't see what it says)
Now the dust has settled from the local elections, it's time to talk about vote-rigging. In particular, the way in which a sinister force has been manipulating British democracy in council after council, year after year. That force? The goddamn alphabet. (1/?)
https://x.com/rcolvile/status/2053018174736548351
You’d need a heart of stone not to laugh.
Next week those hopes will be dashed. ‘Andy has the seat lined up,’ an ally confirmed. ‘He’s going to go for it.’
The identity of the constituency is currently a tightly guarded secret. But Burnham’s team are completely confident he will be able to carry it in a subsequent by-election.
The identity of the constituency is currently a tightly guarded secret. But Burnham’s team are completely confident he will be able to carry it in a subsequent by-election.
‘We’re not idiots,’ one ally explained. ‘We’re not just going to throw him out there. We’ve been conducting our own private polling and we’ve been crunching the national and local polls. He’ll win.’
Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/09/mps-from-labours-left-to-urge-ed-miliband-to-consider-leadership-bid