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Starmer’s going to need a bigger bus – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 13,174
edited April 17 in General
Starmer’s going to need a bigger bus – politicalbetting.com

There is a pattern here. Both Chris Wormald and Olly Robbins appointed by this Government. Both sacked by press release when Starmer under pressure. Robbins may have approved Mandelson but it’s not credible that he acted alone w/o instruction from No10.https://t.co/rEyWmIJpCW

Read the full story here

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Comments

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17
    Due process was followed, vetting was passed, I was absolutely unaware of anything as it never touched my desk.....therefore I have taken responsbility by sacking the person responsible....repeated ad infinitum
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689
    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814
    Battlebus said:

    Aggregate Result of the 231 Council By-Elections (for 234 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

    RFM: 81 (+66)
    LDM: 64(+20)
    CON: 29 (-22)
    GRN: 20 (+5)
    LAB: 17 (-53)
    Ind: 9 (-10)
    Local: 5 (-6)
    PLC: 5 (+1)
    SNP: 4 (-1)

    81 Reform Councils between 2026-2028. Now that'll be interesting given the range of statutory duties they are mandated to carry out in comparison with the funds required to do it. Hate to rely on Adult Social Care or SEND in any of these councils.
    Unless they gut funding for them, which they really cannot, that will depend on competent officer delivery and so whether Reform force out or recruit the wrong people.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 23,142
    A useful morning on Radio 4.

    1. Kemy Badenock is never going to be PM.
    2. SKS is crap. Not a patch on Macron or Carney
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,193
    I have no idea how this pans out but Monday's apology to the HOC will be pure theatre and a moment of great peril as I doubt the commons are just going to sit back and say 'OK then'

    Anyway, it simply confirms he is not up to the job of PM
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 17,376
    edited April 17
    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 25,472
    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814
    I still think a process to overrule could in theory make sense, but there would surely need to be a record of who personally did so, for what reason, and who they consulted. Many organisations have simple templates to ensure they capture such details.

    Said record indicating they did not consult any political leader would be very useful for the PM right now. If they just made the call through email as the record that's very careless.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17
    And we are still supposed to believe that the civil service who are the ultimate arse covering when it comes to making decisions, not only didn't pass information to #10 but also not to Lammy or any political figure close to him, all without any instruction from anybody? They just totally went rogue on this and ok'ed the overruling of a failed vetting for an extreme senior and sensitive position after failure of top secret vetting clearance?

    If al that is true, well we have a massive problem with the civil service.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,554

    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
    Perhaps the truth is that Starmer doesn’t have a desk.

    He doesn’t need one.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,924
    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599
    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814
    edited April 17
    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    I quoted Yes Prime Minister yesterday on the perils of people definitively denying things about which they do not know - perhaps Olly didn't know until this week either.

    Of course, that's a whole other mess as someone did and you'd really think on such a politically vital subject Olly and Keir would both insist on getting every detail confirmed before saying anything.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 17,376

    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
    Perhaps the truth is that Starmer doesn’t have a desk.

    He doesn’t need one.
    Not so much a Ming Vase strategy as a No Desk one?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    The lead could use a spell check.

    How this will all pan out, it's too early to say. At least my betting strategy of laying Farage, Lowe and Johnson for next PM looks like paying off.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 7,937

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    You’d the advise the PM to engage in ridiculous whataboutery?

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17
    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    And Starmer never asked for a full debrief over the last 6 months? Nothing more than a phone call, we did the vetting process, yes, good. Not very forensic.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599

    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
    Perhaps the truth is that Starmer doesn’t have a desk.

    He doesn’t need one.
    The perils of hot desking.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    You’d the advise the PM to engage in ridiculous whataboutery?

    Works when you're popular.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,649
    edited April 17
    FPT @DavidL

    "So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?"



    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Maybe Starmer will claim like Brown, who are these people I hardly knew them....despite having a desk right next to them.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 17,376

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Next LOTO Questions he will no doubt do just that until Hoyle tells him off again
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    You’d the advise the PM to engage in ridiculous whataboutery?

    You've never followed politics until this morning?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689
    edited April 17
    kle4 said:

    I still think a process to overrule could in theory make sense, but there would surely need to be a record of who personally did so, for what reason, and who they consulted. Many organisations have simple templates to ensure they capture such details.

    Said record indicating they did not consult any political leader would be very useful for the PM right now. If they just made the call through email as the record that's very careless.

    The fact that he was being vetted for Top Secret clearance anyway, would tend to suggest that it was mandatory for the role he was offered, being in charge of communications with a key ally who had just elected again a rather interesting character as president.

    The news that it was refused, despite the individual presumably receiving such clearances previously in his career, would in any organisation have gone straight to the person making the appointment, not some junior in his office or the vetting office.

    You can understand that it was a very political appointment, but you’d also think that the PM should have been asked to review his rather large MI5 file personally, alongside their recommendation to refuse him clearance. They may or may not have also known, or asked for, what the Americans had on him. What finally got Mandy in trouble came from an American release of information.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,793
    It's strange how Ollie Robins - once scorned and belittled by the British Right as a continuity-EU Remainer quisling - is now their latest martyr. That's British politics: sometimes you're up, sometimes you're down.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 3,146
    Darren Jones extremely competent on a very difficult wicket
    Webb incredulous that the details in someone's security vetting wouldn't be shared across govt. :smiley:
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 581

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer has one thing going for him. All the alternatives, incredibly, are much worse.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,649

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
    Sure, although in this case it amounts to much the same thing.

    The question remains 'Why?'

    Nobody seems to be addressing this properly. We need more facts. Vapid speculation won't do.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Badenoch instincts to always go two footed at every opportunity means when the big scandals hit it just Kemi being Kemi. She really needs an attack dog or two, to go out to the media and stick the boot in on regular basis, while she waits for the big blow up. If you do it that way, if you do attack something that doesn't quite pan out right, the leadership can say we always said wait and see for more information and much more impact from the leader of the oppostion comes and says I normally don't do this, but this is very serious matter.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 9,134

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer’s best quality is his dull inertia might actually be better in some respects than anyone else having a go.

    However, we are now so far down the path of doing nothing giving rise to bad outcomes, that this is being tested.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 581

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
    Sure, although in this case it amounts to much the same thing.

    The question remains 'Why?'

    Nobody seems to be addressing this properly. We need more facts. Vapid speculation won't do.
    You want facts from this shower. All you'll get is process, due process was followed, international law, my dad was a toolmaker, rinse, repeat.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 17,376
    When/if Starner goes over this Labour will need to be careful the replacement hasnt got Mandy's paw prints all over them too
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689
    scampi25 said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer has one thing going for him. All the alternatives, incredibly, are much worse.
    The best of a bad bunch at the moment is probably John Healey. Those who dislike Starmer really need to find a way of getting Andy Burnham out of Manchester and back into Parliament.

    There’s also the process and the membership to think about. Are the members more moderate now the Greens are increasing in popularity, or are those who obsess about Israel and gender still actually Labour members?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    edited April 17

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
    Sure, although in this case it amounts to much the same thing.

    The question remains 'Why?'

    Nobody seems to be addressing this properly. We need more facts. Vapid speculation won't do.
    What we will get and Darren Jones already rolling the pitch, the state procedures failed, we will have an inquiry to advise on reforms (which won't ask the "right" questions) and in 6 months will report what we need is even more process, even more triple tick procedure for every decision every where....
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,924

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Badenoch instincts to always go two footed at every opportunity means when the big scandals hit it just Kemi being Kemi. She really needs an attack dog or two, to go out to the media and stick the boot in on regular basis, while she waits for the big blow up. If you do it that way, if you do attack something that doesn't quite pan out right, the leadership can say we always said wait and see for more information and much more impact from the leader of the oppostion comes and says I normally don't do this, but this is very serious matter.
    Yes, effective politics often needs the stiletto not the broadsword. She really needs to get and take advice on the best way to focus this.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,649
    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    Kind of, David, but it still doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The Vetters give a thumbs down, perhaps qualified but certainly not a pass. The Head Honcho says, 'Nah, that's ok, he'll do.' He then fails to notify his boss of the concerns, or anybody in authority of the reasons for overriding the Vetters? Possible, yes. Plausible, no.

    I appreciate that the resignation/sacking of Robbins must have come as a terrible disappointment to all the Starmer haters who thought they had their man, but until we know why Robbins lied it seems the PM's neck is out of the noose, for the moment.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 9,134

    When/if Starner goes over this Labour will need to be careful the replacement hasnt got Mandy's paw prints all over them too

    The person who would be the immediate “ship steadying” candidate, at least out in the country IMHO, is Wes Streeting.

    But he has ties to Mandy too.

    So then it’s hard to see beyond Our Ange - but HMRC still haunts her.

    .. its for that reason we have to take the prospect of PM Ed Miliband seriously.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,924
    Sandpit said:

    scampi25 said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer has one thing going for him. All the alternatives, incredibly, are much worse.
    The best of a bad bunch at the moment is probably John Healey. Those who dislike Starmer really need to find a way of getting Andy Burnham out of Manchester and back into Parliament.

    There’s also the process and the membership to think about. Are the members more moderate now the Greens are increasing in popularity, or are those who obsess about Israel and gender still actually Labour members?
    His performance over the state of the Navy and its ability to put a single frigate or destroyer to sea was just shocking. I am not saying it was all his fault that we are in that mess, most of it was inherited, but his presentation of this sad state of affairs really did not inspire any confidence whatsoever.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689
    scampi25 said:

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
    Sure, although in this case it amounts to much the same thing.

    The question remains 'Why?'

    Nobody seems to be addressing this properly. We need more facts. Vapid speculation won't do.
    You want facts from this shower. All you'll get is process, due process was followed, international law, my dad was a toolmaker, rinse, repeat.
    I feel very sorry for the hundreds of people employed by the companies on this list:

    https://madeingreatbritain.uk/made-in-great-britain/british-business-directory-2/british-made-tools/

    Someone in a large house in Downing St is giving the toolmakers a bad name.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 36,367
    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Why would the head of the FO meet daily with the Prime Minister?
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    The problem is the obvious contenders for PM aren't currently in a position to move so things need to continue as they are.

    While we complain about how the Tory party can remove a PM, at least the Tory Party have a mechanism that can do so...
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,924

    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Why would the head of the FO meet daily with the Prime Minister?
    Because our PM spends nearly all his time on foreign affairs (more than understandably at the moment).
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599
    Sandpit said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    What would Badenoch know about appointments made by someone else to an office totally unrelated to her own?
    Because the shadow Foreign Secretary receives briefings from the government on Privy Council terms the LOTO is informed if the Shadow Foreign Secretary has ever failed vetting or was was considered a risk relating to why she was sacked by Theresa May.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,554
    a
    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    All the documents will end up in front of the Commons Committee. Who will be having lots of fun. The persons who were apparently considering concealing this from Parliament will have to be careful.

    Wouldn’t conspiracy to conceal information from Parliament reach the standard of Misconduct in a Public Office?
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,649
    scampi25 said:

    FPT @DavidL

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    He didn't resign, he was sacked.
    Sure, although in this case it amounts to much the same thing.

    The question remains 'Why?'

    Nobody seems to be addressing this properly. We need more facts. Vapid speculation won't do.
    You want facts from this shower. All you'll get is process, due process was followed, international law, my dad was a toolmaker, rinse, repeat.
    Well I was thinking more of journalists, commentators, various spokesman and even some of the better informed contributors to this august site. You might even consider that Robbins himself might say a word or two now that he is no longer a Government employee. Or maybe his friends, of whom I am sure he has many.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,920

    When/if Starner goes over this Labour will need to be careful the replacement hasnt got Mandy's paw prints all over them too

    So Wes..
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689

    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Why would the head of the FO meet daily with the Prime Minister?
    If I were PM I’d be wanting both 7am and 7pm briefings from the foreign office, given all that’s going on in the world at the moment.
  • ManOfGwentManOfGwent Posts: 320
    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    There is some nuance. For example, if you are not in serious debt, but obviously overspend, they may give you a shorter time period that you're actively cleared for and give recommendations that you're in a better financial situation when you're reviewed.

    Most failures of SC/DV clearance are financially related.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599
    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    It’s a blunt tool, the Ambassador to the United States has access to intelligence assessments that a lot of the cabinet do not.

    My own thinking is given the (money related) reasons why Lord Mandelson had to resign from the cabinet made him a risk.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 9,134
    eek said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    The problem is the obvious contenders for PM aren't currently in a position to move so things need to continue as they are.

    While we complain about how the Tory party can remove a PM, at least the Tory Party have a mechanism that can do so...
    Do the current rules allow stalking horses? Can the field widen if a challenger comes forwards?

    That’s the key one for me. If for instance someone like Richard Burgeon got the nominations and challenged Starmer after May, does the party have the time for other challengers to emerge/seek nominations.

    If so it’s much easier to see someone going for it: “I didn’t want to challenge the PM but regretfully my duty requires me to stand” etc etc.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599
    eek said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    The problem is the obvious contenders for PM aren't currently in a position to move so things need to continue as they are.

    While we complain about how the Tory party can remove a PM, at least the Tory Party have a mechanism that can do so...
    So do Labour, they need 81 MPs to ask for a leadership contest for X to challenge Starmer.
  • scampi25scampi25 Posts: 581
    It all started with the pile in , led by Starmer, right from the start with the grab for cheap freebies, with the justification that all was within the rules. After the crazy years of Bono and Truss , this was how they were draining the swamp. Bullshit par excellence and it's got steadily worse. He's managing to make the UK look really crap in a world where we have Donald Trump!! Extraordinary.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 22,877

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Badenoch instincts to always go two footed at every opportunity means when the big scandals hit it just Kemi being Kemi. She really needs an attack dog or two, to go out to the media and stick the boot in on regular basis, while she waits for the big blow up. If you do it that way, if you do attack something that doesn't quite pan out right, the leadership can say we always said wait and see for more information and much more impact from the leader of the oppostion comes and says I normally don't do this, but this is very serious matter.
    Kemi's problem is that she's well-suited to being the big attack dog, and enjoys it.

    It's possible that she realises the game she is playing- not to be PM but to keep the party alive until after 2029. But it's not the manner of a PM in waiting.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689

    eek said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    The problem is the obvious contenders for PM aren't currently in a position to move so things need to continue as they are.

    While we complain about how the Tory party can remove a PM, at least the Tory Party have a mechanism that can do so...
    Do the current rules allow stalking horses? Can the field widen if a challenger comes forwards?

    That’s the key one for me. If for instance someone like Richard Burgeon got the nominations and challenged Starmer after May, does the party have the time for other challengers to emerge/seek nominations.

    If so it’s much easier to see someone going for it: “I didn’t want to challenge the PM but regretfully my duty requires me to stand” etc etc.
    The rules pretty much require a stalking horse. 81 Lab MPs (20%) need to nominate someone for the contest, as the first point in the process. Starmer, as incumbent, is automatically on the ballot if he wishes to be.

    Rules: https://labourlist.org/2025/11/labour-leadership-election-rules-keir-starmer-challenger/
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    kle4 said:

    I still think a process to overrule could in theory make sense, but there would surely need to be a record of who personally did so, for what reason, and who they consulted. Many organisations have simple templates to ensure they capture such details.

    Said record indicating they did not consult any political leader would be very useful for the PM right now. If they just made the call through email as the record that's very careless.

    You don't override vetting. There's one defence open to Starmer when he does: I considered all the relevant facts and decided Mandelson would make the best ambassador to Washington. PM's get to make these decisions.

    In which case it's on you when the shit hits the fan. HR exists to protect the employer - specifically senior management. Something the anti-Woke peddlers don't get about the modern workplace.

    Anyhow Starmer didn't use the only defence available to him, for presumably obvious reasons, and has to go.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 9,134
    edited April 17
    DavidL said:

    Sandpit said:

    scampi25 said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer has one thing going for him. All the alternatives, incredibly, are much worse.
    The best of a bad bunch at the moment is probably John Healey. Those who dislike Starmer really need to find a way of getting Andy Burnham out of Manchester and back into Parliament.

    There’s also the process and the membership to think about. Are the members more moderate now the Greens are increasing in popularity, or are those who obsess about Israel and gender still actually Labour members?
    His performance over the state of the Navy and its ability to put a single frigate or destroyer to sea was just shocking. I am not saying it was all his fault that we are in that mess, most of it was inherited, but his presentation of this sad state of affairs really did not inspire any confidence whatsoever.
    He cannot move on from the past because he has no big ideas for the future.

    He is PM playing the role of Leader of the Opposition, and he has been pretty much ever since he took office, at least on the domestic front.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 36,367
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    Kind of, David, but it still doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The Vetters give a thumbs down, perhaps qualified but certainly not a pass. The Head Honcho says, 'Nah, that's ok, he'll do.' He then fails to notify his boss of the concerns, or anybody in authority of the reasons for overriding the Vetters? Possible, yes. Plausible, no.

    I appreciate that the resignation/sacking of Robbins must have come as a terrible disappointment to all the Starmer haters who thought they had their man, but until we know why Robbins lied it seems the PM's neck is out of the noose, for the moment.
    None of this makes sense Peter. In a world with clear lines of responsibility, efficiency and organisation this simply wouldn't happen.

    We are, after all, talking about the appointment of our most senior Ambassador who is going to have to deal with a lunatic and his coterie of slavering hounds, someone who is going to have to represent the government's political position when there is all the tension between America First and Europe. This is not something trivial. And the government has, exceptionally gone out of the ranks of the professionals for the appointment. Which, as we have all learned, is a political risk. And there are concerns. And the PM is not told? I just don't believe it I am afraid.
    By Robbins' account, Mandelson was appointed before vetting was complete.
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    edited April 17

    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    It’s a blunt tool, the Ambassador to the United States has access to intelligence assessments that a lot of the cabinet do not.

    My own thinking is given the (money related) reasons why Lord Mandelson had to resign from the cabinet made him a risk.
    True but the risk is known by the big boss and the big boss wants him there so as the vetting doesn’t tell us anything we don’t already know so do I pass the information up or ignore it.

    And how many people really want to tell the person who can sack them that they are an idiot especially when that person already has a reputation for sacking people for speaking the truth
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,447
    Disgraceful.

    Good morning, everybody.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,924
    Sandpit said:

    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Why would the head of the FO meet daily with the Prime Minister?
    If I were PM I’d be wanting both 7am and 7pm briefings from the foreign office, given all that’s going on in the world at the moment.
    Yeah, to take an example, the government is currently dealing with the fact we have less than 6 weeks of jet fuel available. The most obvious source of this is probably the US with its lighter oils. The daily developments in the Strait are complicated and completely irrational. Lots of other countries are also going to be looking for that jet fuel. I would be astonished if the senior staff of the FO were not in those meetings on an almost daily basis, possibly even more often than that.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    edited April 17
    Based on what we know, Ollie Robbins should be sacked. He will have overruled advice without an explicit direction from the Prime Minister to do so. Doesn't protect Starmer from the same fate however.
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    edited April 17

    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    Kind of, David, but it still doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The Vetters give a thumbs down, perhaps qualified but certainly not a pass. The Head Honcho says, 'Nah, that's ok, he'll do.' He then fails to notify his boss of the concerns, or anybody in authority of the reasons for overriding the Vetters? Possible, yes. Plausible, no.

    I appreciate that the resignation/sacking of Robbins must have come as a terrible disappointment to all the Starmer haters who thought they had their man, but until we know why Robbins lied it seems the PM's neck is out of the noose, for the moment.
    None of this makes sense Peter. In a world with clear lines of responsibility, efficiency and organisation this simply wouldn't happen.

    We are, after all, talking about the appointment of our most senior Ambassador who is going to have to deal with a lunatic and his coterie of slavering hounds, someone who is going to have to represent the government's political position when there is all the tension between America First and Europe. This is not something trivial. And the government has, exceptionally gone out of the ranks of the professionals for the appointment. Which, as we have all learned, is a political risk. And there are concerns. And the PM is not told? I just don't believe it I am afraid.
    By Robbins' account, Mandelson was appointed before vetting was complete.
    Which makes it even harder for the person who has the report saying don’t appoint Mandelson to go to a person (SKS) known to fire those providing bad news about the rather bad news
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,447
    I hope somebody is able to offer Mr Robbins a terrific job that suits him down to the ground.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,554
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    It slightly surprises me that you pass or fail DV. I can't believe it is not a bit more nuanced than that. I would expect such an assessment to highlight issues, to raise possible concerns but ultimately leave the decision to the decision maker in light of the information provided. That is what seems to have happened here. I do wonder if even now this story is proceeding on a slightly false premise.

    So. to take an example, if I was subject to DV they might highlight some of my dafter posts on here but it would be the person who was making the appointment who would decide what weight to give to that.
    Kind of, David, but it still doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The Vetters give a thumbs down, perhaps qualified but certainly not a pass. The Head Honcho says, 'Nah, that's ok, he'll do.' He then fails to notify his boss of the concerns, or anybody in authority of the reasons for overriding the Vetters? Possible, yes. Plausible, no.

    I appreciate that the resignation/sacking of Robbins must have come as a terrible disappointment to all the Starmer haters who thought they had their man, but until we know why Robbins lied it seems the PM's neck is out of the noose, for the moment.
    None of this makes sense Peter. In a world with clear lines of responsibility, efficiency and organisation this simply wouldn't happen.

    We are, after all, talking about the appointment of our most senior Ambassador who is going to have to deal with a lunatic and his coterie of slavering hounds, someone who is going to have to represent the government's political position when there is all the tension between America First and Europe. This is not something trivial. And the government has, exceptionally gone out of the ranks of the professionals for the appointment. Which, as we have all learned, is a political risk. And there are concerns. And the PM is not told? I just don't believe it I am afraid.
    We have the following possibilities

    - Civil servants don't include politicians in the loop when they think telling politicians will lead to accusations of Officiously Informing Seniors Of Things They Don't Want To Know
    - The politicians lied
    - The politicians flunkies did it. Then got their phones stolen.
    - That when political appointments fail vetting they are appointed anyway. As The Process.

    More than 1 of these may be true.

    The first leads to some interesting questions - if a civil servant finds out that the Americans are conducting Offensive (or Highly Rude) operations against Iran (say)... do they tell the PM? Or just NFA it?
  • Due process was followed, vetting was passed, I was absolutely unaware of anything as it never touched my desk.....therefore I have taken responsbility by sacking the person responsible....repeated ad infinitum

    Panic in Downing Street as paper accidentally crosses PMs desk.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    This argument would only work if Starmer had changed the process, which he clearly hasn't
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,212

    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
    Perhaps the truth is that Starmer doesn’t have a desk.

    He doesn’t need one.
    Didn't Blair have a sofa?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,599

    Sandpit said:

    So little appears to cross the PM’s desk, that he must have someone in No.10 with the specific job of filtering out anything potentially problematic from Starmer’s red box (or it’s digital equivalent).

    This is now a clear pattern of behaviour, going back to the Jimmy Savile scandal when he was DPP.

    His excuse today reminds me of Gordon Brown’s “I accept full responsibility, and the person responsible has been fired”, except that Starmer never accepts responsibility for anything.

    He has a desk which considers what should cross his main desk. This didn't even cross that desk.

    Its uncrossed desks all the way down
    Perhaps the truth is that Starmer doesn’t have a desk.

    He doesn’t need one.
    Didn't Blair have a sofa?
    JD Vance is now a big fan of Tony Blair.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    edited April 17
    Anas Sarwar can take the credit when Starmer does go. Who knew?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,212

    FPT @DavidL

    "So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?"



    Difficult to know what to believe, David.

    Why would one of our top Civil Servants resign if he had merely been doing what the PM wanted? I'm not inclined to believe that such senior officials readily sacrifice their careers for their political masters.

    So far all we can say with certainty is that it appears it was Robbins that lied, not the PM. The question as to why he lied is important, and fascinating.

    Resign on the understanding of a glowing reference and hints of lucrative new appointments in a few months. Good time for 3-4 months off in the garden over summer, then into the next N10K post.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,986
    I came across something that reminded me of a comment by @Sandpit from a couple of days ago ( https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5516355#Comment_5516355 ):
    Sandpit said:

    The issue with those coming under asylum rules isn’t race per se.

    It’s, in general:

    [...]
    2. That people are claiming asylum when they are actually economic refugees. They’re not under threat, in fact many travel back ‘home’ regularly.

    Sandpit thinks that someone visiting their country of origin is slamdunk proof that they're not a refugee. The thing I saw that made me think of this was https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/visaholdersenteringtheukundertheukrainehumanitarianschemes/15aprilto22april2024 This is a survey of Ukrainian refugees and it notes:

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).

    So, Sandpit, should we revoke the refugee stats of 53% of the Ukrainians in the UK for visiting Ukraine? Or can we accept that it is possible to be in danger in your home country, but for it still to be worth the risk of visiting?

    There are more details in the full report. The exec summary reads:

    Around 9 in 10 (88%) adults who responded plan to apply for the Ukraine Permission Extension Scheme, extending their permission to stay in the UK, when their current visa expires.

    When asked to think about a future in which they feel it is safe to return to Ukraine, around 7 in 10 (68%) adults said they wanted to remain living in the UK.

    Over half (60%) of those who want to remain living in the UK said this is because there are more work opportunities in the UK.

    Of those who have experienced difficulties finding work in the UK, half (50%) said this was because their English language skills did not meet job requirements.

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,325
    edited April 17
    This from the Guardian in relation talking with Emily Thornberry .

    She also pointed to the careful language in a letter she received from Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper on the vetting process, which noted that: “The vetting process was undertaken by UK Security Vetting on behalf of the FCDO and concluded with DV clearance being granted by the FCDO.”

    Seems a bit opaque given what we know now .
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 9,134
    FF43 said:

    Based on what we know, Ollie Robbins should be sacked. He will have overruled advice without an explicit direction from the Prime Minister to do so. Doesn't protect Starmer from the same fate however.

    If an official overruled the objections without expressly confirming that instruction with the FS/PM, then it feels to me the larger question is around the culture that sat behind this appointment that made them decide that it wasn’t appropriate to raise it.

    It gives off the strong vibes that someone, somewhere, has made it clear that the appointment will happen one way or the other, so nobody is to be troubled with anything to do with it. That is in many ways even worse.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,920
    edited April 17

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Badenoch instincts to always go two footed at every opportunity means when the big scandals hit it just Kemi being Kemi. She really needs an attack dog or two, to go out to the media and stick the boot in on regular basis, while she waits for the big blow up. If you do it that way, if you do attack something that doesn't quite pan out right, the leadership can say we always said wait and see for more information and much more impact from the leader of the oppostion comes and says I normally don't do this, but this is very serious matter.
    Kemi's problem is that she's well-suited to being the big attack dog, and enjoys it.

    It's possible that she realises the game she is playing- not to be PM but to keep the party alive until after 2029. But it's not the manner of a PM in waiting.
    I'd be amazed if Kemi didn't think she was PM material. Perhaps more likely is that the people of indeterminate gender in grey suits have decided that's her role and haven't bothered to inform Kemi of this.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 23,142

    I came across something that reminded me of a comment by @Sandpit from a couple of days ago ( https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5516355#Comment_5516355 ):

    Sandpit said:

    The issue with those coming under asylum rules isn’t race per se.

    It’s, in general:

    [...]
    2. That people are claiming asylum when they are actually economic refugees. They’re not under threat, in fact many travel back ‘home’ regularly.

    Sandpit thinks that someone visiting their country of origin is slamdunk proof that they're not a refugee. The thing I saw that made me think of this was https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/visaholdersenteringtheukundertheukrainehumanitarianschemes/15aprilto22april2024 This is a survey of Ukrainian refugees and it notes:

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).

    So, Sandpit, should we revoke the refugee stats of 53% of the Ukrainians in the UK for visiting Ukraine? Or can we accept that it is possible to be in danger in your home country, but for it still to be worth the risk of visiting?

    There are more details in the full report. The exec summary reads:

    Around 9 in 10 (88%) adults who responded plan to apply for the Ukraine Permission Extension Scheme, extending their permission to stay in the UK, when their current visa expires.

    When asked to think about a future in which they feel it is safe to return to Ukraine, around 7 in 10 (68%) adults said they wanted to remain living in the UK.

    Over half (60%) of those who want to remain living in the UK said this is because there are more work opportunities in the UK.

    Of those who have experienced difficulties finding work in the UK, half (50%) said this was because their English language skills did not meet job requirements.

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).
    The hypocricy of right wing tax dodgers is something to behold
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 27,866

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Hang on, that's not the issue. Indeed, this whole episode wouldn't be a big deal if they'd stood by Mandelson and said all the bad stuff about him was worth it.

    The scandal is that they now think that the decision to appoint him was wrong for a number of reasons. And the question now is, who made the bad call?

    Also, Starmer knew about this on Tuesday night. First question to him is, when was he planning on telling us?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,212

    I came across something that reminded me of a comment by @Sandpit from a couple of days ago ( https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5516355#Comment_5516355 ):

    Sandpit said:

    The issue with those coming under asylum rules isn’t race per se.

    It’s, in general:

    [...]
    2. That people are claiming asylum when they are actually economic refugees. They’re not under threat, in fact many travel back ‘home’ regularly.

    Sandpit thinks that someone visiting their country of origin is slamdunk proof that they're not a refugee. The thing I saw that made me think of this was https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/visaholdersenteringtheukundertheukrainehumanitarianschemes/15aprilto22april2024 This is a survey of Ukrainian refugees and it notes:

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).

    So, Sandpit, should we revoke the refugee stats of 53% of the Ukrainians in the UK for visiting Ukraine? Or can we accept that it is possible to be in danger in your home country, but for it still to be worth the risk of visiting?

    There are more details in the full report. The exec summary reads:

    Around 9 in 10 (88%) adults who responded plan to apply for the Ukraine Permission Extension Scheme, extending their permission to stay in the UK, when their current visa expires.

    When asked to think about a future in which they feel it is safe to return to Ukraine, around 7 in 10 (68%) adults said they wanted to remain living in the UK.

    Over half (60%) of those who want to remain living in the UK said this is because there are more work opportunities in the UK.

    Of those who have experienced difficulties finding work in the UK, half (50%) said this was because their English language skills did not meet job requirements.

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).
    I think you make the case re Ukraine that it is very different to someone fleeing say a strict Muslim country when they claim to be homosexual and under threat of execution if they go back.

    I'd also suggest that there is a case for saying to Ukranians - actually, we are helping with the war, which your country appears to be at the worst not losing, and hopefully slowly gaining the upper hand. Time to think about going back.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 3,146

    Sandpit said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    What would Badenoch know about appointments made by someone else to an office totally unrelated to her own?
    Because the shadow Foreign Secretary receives briefings from the government on Privy Council terms the LOTO is informed if the Shadow Foreign Secretary has ever failed vetting or was was considered a risk relating to why she was sacked by Theresa May.
    But presumably they will have passed?
    Even if the security vetting advised they failed.
    That is the implication of Darren Jones' today interview, the FO had an override button as part of their vetting process that predated Mandelson.
    If it had been used before then Patel is an obvious candidate.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    edited April 17

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Badenoch instincts to always go two footed at every opportunity means when the big scandals hit it just Kemi being Kemi. She really needs an attack dog or two, to go out to the media and stick the boot in on regular basis, while she waits for the big blow up. If you do it that way, if you do attack something that doesn't quite pan out right, the leadership can say we always said wait and see for more information and much more impact from the leader of the oppostion comes and says I normally don't do this, but this is very serious matter.
    Kemi's problem is that she's well-suited to being the big attack dog, and enjoys it.

    It's possible that she realises the game she is playing- not to be PM but to keep the party alive until after 2029. But it's not the manner of a PM in waiting.
    I think the job of a Leader of the Opposition following a period in government and heavy defeat is firstly to rally the troops and secondly prepare the groundwork for rebuilding the party - fix the party organisation and encourage new ideas. Badenoch seems to be doing OK on the first, but actually going backwards on the groundwork.
  • eekeek Posts: 33,922
    tlg86 said:

    If I were advising Starmer to blunt Badenoch I'd start asking questions about the vetting process for when Priti Patel was appointed Home Secretary, also the time Suella Braverman was reappointed Home Secretary.

    Hang on, that's not the issue. Indeed, this whole episode wouldn't be a big deal if they'd stood by Mandelson and said all the bad stuff about him was worth it.

    The scandal is that they now think that the decision to appoint him was wrong for a number of reasons. And the question now is, who made the bad call?

    Also, Starmer knew about this on Tuesday night. First question to him is, when was he planning on telling us?
    +1 - Mandelson had known problems so the fact he failed vetting and was still appointed isn’t that surprising. The question becomes who ignored the vetting as it should have been left for SKS so the decision maker was the obvious correct one.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 36,367
    DavidL said:

    Sandpit said:

    DavidL said:

    So Olly Robbins, a Civil Servant at the heart of government and head of the FO, a Civil Servant who probably has almost daily contact with Starmer, knew that Mandelson had failed his vetting but didn't think to mention this until this week? When the PM is answering questions about this week after week in Parliament? Are we supposed to believe this?

    Why would the head of the FO meet daily with the Prime Minister?
    If I were PM I’d be wanting both 7am and 7pm briefings from the foreign office, given all that’s going on in the world at the moment.
    Yeah, to take an example, the government is currently dealing with the fact we have less than 6 weeks of jet fuel available. The most obvious source of this is probably the US with its lighter oils. The daily developments in the Strait are complicated and completely irrational. Lots of other countries are also going to be looking for that jet fuel. I would be astonished if the senior staff of the FO were not in those meetings on an almost daily basis, possibly even more often than that.
    Why? And even if there are daily Foreign Office meetings about jet fuel, why would the Prime Minister be present? Look at the Covid pandemic – Boris did not attend daily SAGE meetings; Boris was not working the phone to Chinese PPE manufacturers. Large organisations do not work that way. CEOs rarely get into the weeds. There may well be one or more interdepartmental committees involving the FO, MoD, Transport and Energy, but surely not daily meetings chaired by Starmer.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 22,100

    And we are still supposed to believe that the civil service who are the ultimate arse covering when it comes to making decisions, not only didn't pass information to #10 but also not to Lammy or any political figure close to him, all without any instruction from anybody? They just totally went rogue on this and ok'ed the overruling of a failed vetting for an extreme senior and sensitive position after failure of top secret vetting clearance?

    If al that is true, well we have a massive problem with the civil service.

    Apparently there is *still* a debate going on in the FCO about whether to obey the order from Parliament for full details: to be released to the Committee:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/16/officials-debate-withholding-mandelson-vetting-documents-from-parliament

    It's hard to imagine the justification for resistance, is it not? Possibly if we have a spy in a senior position in the American administration?? Otherwise, civil servants have no excuse for disobeying a direct order from Parliament.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,924
    edited April 17
    I don't think the comparison with Boris holds, Boris was probably not ruthless enough and too loyal to his colleagues like Pincher.

    Starmer however is clearly far less warm and charismatic than Boris but much more ruthless, throwing the likes of Mandelson and McSweeney and Robbins under the bus to save his skin even when he may have been partly to blame himself.

    The only person who comes out of this reasonably well is Darren Jones, who has again proved himself one of the more competent members of the Cabinet immediately suspending the right of departments to overrule security vetting recommendations
  • FossFoss Posts: 2,726

    And we are still supposed to believe that the civil service who are the ultimate arse covering when it comes to making decisions, not only didn't pass information to #10 but also not to Lammy or any political figure close to him, all without any instruction from anybody? They just totally went rogue on this and ok'ed the overruling of a failed vetting for an extreme senior and sensitive position after failure of top secret vetting clearance?

    If al that is true, well we have a massive problem with the civil service.

    Apparently there is *still* a debate going on in the FCO about whether to obey the order from Parliament for full details: to be released to the Committee:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/apr/16/officials-debate-withholding-mandelson-vetting-documents-from-parliament

    It's hard to imagine the justification for resistance, is it not? Possibly if we have a spy in a senior position in the American administration?? Otherwise, civil servants have no excuse for disobeying a direct order from Parliament.
    Or that others had spies in senior positions in the UK during the various Mandelson-in-Gov years and he was linked to them.
  • Anyone gone further than anonymous briefing?

    Nope, so Starmer lives on.
  • Sandpit said:

    eek said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    The problem is the obvious contenders for PM aren't currently in a position to move so things need to continue as they are.

    While we complain about how the Tory party can remove a PM, at least the Tory Party have a mechanism that can do so...
    Do the current rules allow stalking horses? Can the field widen if a challenger comes forwards?

    That’s the key one for me. If for instance someone like Richard Burgeon got the nominations and challenged Starmer after May, does the party have the time for other challengers to emerge/seek nominations.

    If so it’s much easier to see someone going for it: “I didn’t want to challenge the PM but regretfully my duty requires me to stand” etc etc.
    The rules pretty much require a stalking horse. 81 Lab MPs (20%) need to nominate someone for the contest, as the first point in the process. Starmer, as incumbent, is automatically on the ballot if he wishes to be.

    Rules: https://labourlist.org/2025/11/labour-leadership-election-rules-keir-starmer-challenger/
    Rules are not set in Edstone tablets.

    So the question becomes how easily can the rules be changed, if the NEC wants to change them?

    The rules for the election that Corbyn won were only introduced the year before and both the Tory and Labour parties have in recent years tweaked (not significantly overhauled) the rules immediately prior to a contest too, eg changing pre-determined thresholds rules.

    The last 5 Tory leadership elections in a row have all had the rules changed immediately prior to the election itself (mainly regarding nomination and round thresholds).

    If Starmer resigns and hundreds of Labour MPs declare "we need Burnham" for example, could the NEC abolish the rule of needing a candidate to be an MP in time for the election?
  • stodgestodge Posts: 16,695
    Morning all :)

    Another day (it would seem) of the anti-Starmer lynch mob huffing and puffing that he should go but, as I said last evening, we still need to see the "smoking gun", that single piece of irrefutable evidence Starmer knew Mandelson had failed vetting and deliberately misled Parliament.

    IF that exists, let's see it and I'll pick up a pitchfork but until then it's "he said, she said" and the actual sequence of who knew what and when and who took the decision to overrule to security vetting on Mandelson and the basis on which that decision was taken remains far from clear.

    Is it politically "damaging" - well, I suppose, but does that matter in the way it once did? I suspect not.

    The report on the dreadful Southport murders in the summer of 2024 is a litany of opportunities missed and failure and nothing it says or recommends can do anything more than try to ensure something like this never happens again. As someone who worked for a spell in the public sector, I understand the conclusions reached by Sir Adrian Fulford. I wouldn't use them per se as an indictment of all forms of public sector governance and I'd argue in other authorities there is a much more joined up approach than was clearly the case in Lancashire and that includes both departments within the council and effective co-working with other agencies such as the NHS and Police.

    I hope and expect every authority will read the Fulford recommendations and if they aren't already following them, to implement them with haste.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,986

    I came across something that reminded me of a comment by @Sandpit from a couple of days ago ( https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5516355#Comment_5516355 ):

    Sandpit said:

    The issue with those coming under asylum rules isn’t race per se.

    It’s, in general:

    [...]
    2. That people are claiming asylum when they are actually economic refugees. They’re not under threat, in fact many travel back ‘home’ regularly.

    Sandpit thinks that someone visiting their country of origin is slamdunk proof that they're not a refugee. The thing I saw that made me think of this was https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/bulletins/visaholdersenteringtheukundertheukrainehumanitarianschemes/15aprilto22april2024 This is a survey of Ukrainian refugees and it notes:

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).

    So, Sandpit, should we revoke the refugee stats of 53% of the Ukrainians in the UK for visiting Ukraine? Or can we accept that it is possible to be in danger in your home country, but for it still to be worth the risk of visiting?

    There are more details in the full report. The exec summary reads:

    Around 9 in 10 (88%) adults who responded plan to apply for the Ukraine Permission Extension Scheme, extending their permission to stay in the UK, when their current visa expires.

    When asked to think about a future in which they feel it is safe to return to Ukraine, around 7 in 10 (68%) adults said they wanted to remain living in the UK.

    Over half (60%) of those who want to remain living in the UK said this is because there are more work opportunities in the UK.

    Of those who have experienced difficulties finding work in the UK, half (50%) said this was because their English language skills did not meet job requirements.

    Since first arriving in the UK, around half of all adults (53%) have visited Ukraine; the most reported reasons were to visit friends or family (75%) or to receive medical or dental treatment (64%).
    I think you make the case re Ukraine that it is very different to someone fleeing say a strict Muslim country when they claim to be homosexual and under threat of execution if they go back.

    I'd also suggest that there is a case for saying to Ukranians - actually, we are helping with the war, which your country appears to be at the worst not losing, and hopefully slowly gaining the upper hand. Time to think about going back.
    Few asylum seekers are claiming to be homosexual and fleeing a Muslim country (about 750 in 2023). Lots of asylum seekers are fleeing countries at war, like Afghanistan (8508 in 2024), Sudan (4833) or Syria (6680), which seem broadly similar circumstances to Ukrainians fleeing Ukraine (~217000 in total).
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 91,961
    Starmer on the record, in full view of the media, on 5th February:

    “There was then… security vetting carried out independently by the security services, which is an intensive exercise … that gave [Mandelson] clearance for the role.”

    A day earlier, Badenoch asked him in the Commons if “the security vetting he received mention[ed] Mandelson’s relationship with Epstein“. Starmer said it did.

    https://order-order.com/2026/04/17/flashback-starmer-claims-mandelson-passed-security-vetting/

    Shrodingers Security Vetting....
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 43,524
    @tpgroberts.bsky.social‬

    We're now into the Chris Pincher era of the government where:

    A) You are sending out allies to do a media round, knowing it will be grisly.

    B) You know there is more to come, and aren't telling them, leaving them to feel ever more betrayed.

    C) No actual governing gets done.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 19,661
    DavidL said:

    Sandpit said:

    scampi25 said:

    How does the Labour Party benefit from retaining Starmer as PM?

    A new leader by conference, then two and a half years to turn things round, and do some good for the country while they are at it.

    Starmer has one thing going for him. All the alternatives, incredibly, are much worse.
    The best of a bad bunch at the moment is probably John Healey. Those who dislike Starmer really need to find a way of getting Andy Burnham out of Manchester and back into Parliament.

    There’s also the process and the membership to think about. Are the members more moderate now the Greens are increasing in popularity, or are those who obsess about Israel and gender still actually Labour members?
    His performance over the state of the Navy and its ability to put a single frigate or destroyer to sea was just shocking. I am not saying it was all his fault that we are in that mess, most of it was inherited, but his presentation of this sad state of affairs really did not inspire any confidence whatsoever.
    The state of the Navy is one thing that is entirely the fault of the previous government. To be fair to the current government they are doing things that the previous government didn't do, particularly on procurement - taking the job away from the DoD and giving it to the Treasury, which may or may not be better but is at least different.

    The military needs focus if it's going to be more effective and that means dispensing with nonsense like Chagos. The Americans can do their own deal with Mauritius if they want the base.
This discussion has been closed.