Why it could all go mammary glands up for Zack Polanski – politicalbetting.com
Why it could all go mammary glands up for Zack Polanski – politicalbetting.com
This poll brings good and bad news for the Greens, what I find the most interesting is that 33% of voters would consider voting for the Greens but that falls to 16% when the voters find out about Zack Polanski past comments about breast enlargement via hypnosis.
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He has a twat problem.
Himself.
Reporter: If you could say something to Trump, what would it be?
PA voter: You’re a worthless pile of sh*t.
Reporter: How many times did you vote for him?
PA voter: 3 times. That was my bad. Apparently I’m an idiot.
https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/2034034303613509891
The question is how salient such facts will be come the election. I doubt, very much, in either case.
One of the problems with pipelines is that they pass through areas not entirely stable.
This required a deal with the Kurds.
Oil price falls after Iraq ‘signs deal’ to resume exports via Turkey
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2026/mar/18/oil-stock-markets-iraq-deal-exports-turkey-inflation-central-bankers-news-updates
She says that they got loads of enquiries, because the name sounded so “sophisticated”!
Hassett: If the war were to be extended, it wouldn't really disrupt the U.S. economy very much at all. It would hurt consumers, but that's really the last of our concerns right now.
https://x.com/ProjectLincoln/status/2033911332278288617
Although according to some of the Trump lickspittles in Congress this won’t count as boots on the ground !
(Other than sending it higher.)
In that sense, Polanski is just a mirror image of Farage, just peddling a different pile of tosh.
Today's pile of tosh will be a Green Party leader... (Neil Kinnock voice) a Green Party leader arguing for energy bill subsidies, rather than insulation and decarbonisation as a response to the Gulf crisis.
The story of Louis Riel, who founded Manitoba, and won 3 byelections whilst being hunted down as a murder suspect.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MDcbLfEhl1g
(There's more to it.)
France had a production line for nuclear power stations, back in 1981.
Les ateliers de construction Framatome des cuves du Creusot au cœur de la période « faste » du programme #nucléaire français. Pour avoir une idée de son ampleur : En 1981, 26 réacteurs sont en cours de construction à différents stades d’avancement.
https://x.com/Mangeon4/status/1632627857837924352
Justin Webb playing nice with some Trump sock puppet just now.
‘The Iran operation is going very, VERY well’.
And challenge came there none.
‘
But from that chaos a cohort of those with at least some experience of governing will emerge in both parties, the sort of experience that many mainstream politicians have. Labour and the Tories should not assume that people are going to remain unwilling to vote for the Greens (or Reform) on the basis of lack of experience for ever.
I can make my moobs bigger with just choccy biccies, can I lead a party?
He's not that smart; though I'll grant he deserves credit for finally catching on.
LOL. I've just noticed my ‘thought for the day’ is from Balfour: Nothing matters very much, and most things don't matter at all.
Brexit, Johnson and Starmer by proposing to be fooled for a fourth time.
Totally unchallenged claims
Joe Kent solely motivated by personal political ambition and anti-Semitism
The war on Iran is totally going to plan
Hormuz issue is being overplayed
Is Justin Webb fit for purpose?
The Anne Applebaum article linked to on the last thread is far too gentle in its analysis. Trump and his administration are a real and current threat to world stability, peace and the economy. November can't come soon enough but even then we will have to wait until January with the absurd American system. The damage by then may be irrecoverable.
I wonder if there’s any gender split on the willingness of voters to admit their mistakes. Not my personal experience it has to be said.
Congress could stop this in pretty short order.
All they need is some spines, and that's the problem.
The so called SAVE act for elections is essentially a voter suppression and federal takeover of elections . Trumps now pushing an amendment to ban no excuse mail in voting .
MAGA is dead but they've been replaced by the neo-cons who have the protection of Trump and the Supreme Court (can't second guess the President Act)
We may be getting too used to the LBC James O'Brien sort of style, in which giving an uninterrupted 10 minutes to someone with whom he disagrees even slightly is unthinkable. Listen to him for an hour (I very often take the same view as him, but that isn't the point), and then contemplate what BBC non bias means, and how profoundly important it is.
It's beyond bizarre that he's considered the BBC's US expert.
Or just blows it up "for the fun of it" (TM D J Trump).
He is a deeply unserious figure, and will eventually be tested and found wanting.
https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5787697-us-marines-iran-deployment/
Lots of noise in crude futures but since US/Israel attacks on Iran started they've trended higher by about $2/calendar day. That gets you to $150/barrel crude by mid-April, about 6 weeks after the conflict kicked off. The huge noise of the initial short squeeze and short-term swings obscure a lot.
https://bsky.app/profile/peark.es/post/3mh6ptahnuc2o
@glonzo-in-exile.bsky.social
This is the ad that won the Senate race
@julianastratton.bsky.social
They said it. We’re all thinking it.
https://bsky.app/profile/julianastratton.bsky.social/post/3mfa4zophok2t
And before getting smug about that, how do you lead a party that wants to cut taxes without making any cuts in spending in an environment where spending needs to rise just to stay still?
Part of the reason we have rubbish leaders who don't last is the role of leader is currently pretty much impossible to do well without challenging the outdated and impossible to deliver core beliefs of party members head on.
In the end most votes in England, outside the 100 max seats the LDs can win which are proxy Labour, go to outfits considered candidates for government.
If Greens, like Reform, start looking like a candidate for government more than 15% of voters are going to notice that the nation's finances would be in the hands of modern monetary theory, or the magic money tree.
As things stand, in the next election a significant majority of voters won't want a Reform government. A similar proportion won't want a Green one. It may be boring but this is good news of a sort for Labour. And would be good news for the One Nation Tories if such a party existed.
Change Leader to a more affable centrist option or die.
Labour have a tactical choice
When, not if is the best time to change Leader. With Starmer's best work being on the global stage, that may be later, rather than sooner.
Very interesting this morning that despite Rayners speech yesterday, Burnham has been very positive about the Reeves speech yesterday.
For comparison at the end of January, 7 pollsters had them 30 or over (and as high as 33)
The Reform decline is a very real thing (and of course might reverse)
Only one MSP abstained, the health secretary Neil Gray, while 57 voted for assisted dying and 69 voted against.
Assisted dying rejected by Scotland after landmark bill fails (Times Paywall)
However, as the poll shows voters also have reservations about their management of defence, immigration and the national finances as they did with Corbyn which will likely see swing voters still not vote for them
Trump says he's 'not afraid' of Vietnam-style ground combat in Iran
Indeed he isn't. Bone spurs are Trump's secret weapon in avoiding Vietnam style ground combat.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15654729/trump-not-afraid-ground-combat-iran.html
He is smug, and I expect once under pressure his many limitations will show.
He cannot just rely on claiming opponents are ‘rattled’ when they criticise Green policies.
irrespective of whether you approve of any particular policies (and some will hate them) Starmer's biggest problem is that he spent a year and a half doing very little at all. They're now actually getting around to stuff (reform of nuclear regulation; planning reform; technology investment; renegotiation with the EU; policies on immigration) which will have significant effects.
Had they got around to that earlier, a lot more people might have given them the benefit of the doubt. They've lost that, and to change minds, they will have to show actual results - and that's a lot harder, and will take much longer.
Then again, it kind of worked for Rasputin?
We are told Hormuz is the "choke point" so if no or very little oil is going through we are either having to source our oil by other means or we are using up that which was already purchased and stored before the conflict began.
At some point, it seems, and even with the coming of warmer weather in the Northern Hemisphere reducing demand, we are going to get issues with supply as pre-existing stocks are used and cannot be replenished or at least to levels that are comfortable.
We use 100 million barrels a day (not the UK, the world). Releases of 400 million barrels sound a lot but it's four to five days supply and if you look at coverage in places like New Zealand, there's already talk of rationing and Air New Zealand have cancelled hundreds of internal flights to save the cost of fuel.
So end result: A lot of Iranian leaders killed, but replaced with similar ones. Iranian military infrastructure hit badly but not enough to stop them being a regional pain in the ass. Global economic instability, medium term lower confidence in trade. Russia extra $$$ thru oil spike. No-one talking about Epstein and claims from teenage girls.
The Scottish Green and LD leaders voted for though
She also said "the Labour Party is at its best when we are bold," a line reminiscent of a restless Gordon Brown in 2003, appealing to what he called Labour's "soul" and arguing the party was "best when we are boldest."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpd8d10n9x5o
(Who also defends Starmer.)
https://x.com/atrupar/status/2033941006928789762
Whilst being a chicken.