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An update on Donald Trump’s chances on winning the Nobel Peace Prize – politicalbetting.com

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  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,641
    @jimsciutto

    New: The US has planned an escalating series of strikes with off-ramps along the way, according to a senior US official. Each round will be over a one to two-day period with pauses to reset and assess battle damage. #Iran

    https://x.com/jimsciutto/status/2027732206936891663?s=20
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802
    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 86,701
    Did anyone get to enjoy the free beer in Leeds ?

    Leeds Pub: can we sell a pint for 25p?
    Leeds City Council: it's a free city go for it.
    UK government: hold on, hold on, hold on, regs regs regs, you can't sell below cost price according to our regs.
    Leeds Pub and Council and Leeds Lawyer: we won't "sell" it then. It'll be free.

    https://x.com/thomasforth/status/2027699797608558632
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,510
    edited 1:14PM
    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 41,299
    Leon said:

    If I was president Khamanei I would bomb the fuck out of the UAE

    (Sorry @Sandpit)

    They are already quite hostile but not as powerful as Saudi. Destroying the UAE would totally mess with the world’s economy and show that messing with Iran comes at a very heavy price. I imagine Israel and Trump would back off

    I'm not sure Iran has the capability to do this. My instinct is that their ability to wage war or cause substantial damage is vastly overestimated and the lack of conventional power is why they've invested so much in a nuclear weapons programme and funding proxies.

    I have no doubt we'll find out over the next few days anyway.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,665

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 5,863
    edited 1:16PM
    I see someone has been charged with defacing the Churchill statue.

    "Caspar San Giorgio", of no fixed address.


    Something doesn't ring true there. If it was someone homeless, was there payment involved?
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927
    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,641
    @EllieCohanim

    BREAKING: The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia states they will join the US in operation against the Islamic Republic Regime after the IRI attacks US base in Saudi Arabia.

    https://x.com/EllieCohanim/status/2027708488873398610?s=20
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196
    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    Well enjoy a few more days in communist China!

    It’s either be a huge diversion South almost to the Equator, then up through Africa, or you’ll head East and do a round-the-world trip back over Canada.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649
    edited 1:19PM

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 27,646
    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    That’s interesting. My coal mining grandfather bought a plot of land with his wife who was a teacher and built his own house and had a small-holding. But, most of Bolsover’s miners would have been in social housing.

    When I worked on the 2011 census I noticed that Bolsover still had a lot of social housing and that was related to a big increase in central heating compared with 2001 (a lot including my grandfather still used coal until not that long ago).
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,519

    Any word from @Sandpit ?

    Yes, he's taking refuge in an Irish bar.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649
    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Oh do kindly f*** right off with this "international law" bullshit. International law is a joke and does not exist.

    Any "law" that does exist that says we should stand back, watch people get slaughtered, and do nothing is not just useless but an ass and should be abolished.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,198
    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 54,430
    edited 1:21PM
    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Despite being an obvious Labour insider, you still think this government has any will to act differently from what the US commands?
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,519
    Sandpit said:

    MattW said:

    Any word from @Sandpit ?

    Wasn't it @Sandpit who was on holiday in Ukraine?

    Perhaps he's gone hack for the peace and quiet.

    (IIRC he was hiding in an Irish bar, on the basis that it was neutral. Begorrah ! )
    Yes, I live in Dubai and my wife’s Ukranian.

    I’ve been to Ukraine three times since the 2022 war started, and had to buy new sets of windows for two apartments.
    Some folk seem to just attract trouble ...
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,510
    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    You can check the flight path here.

    https://www.flightpaths.com/LHR-PVG
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    We have plenty of Iran experts here. I’m sure they will advise you.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,772

    Michael McFaul
    @McFaul

    Trump implied tonight that we would only use air power to achieve regime change. That almost never works.

    https://x.com/McFaul/status/2027662237922693491



    (Former US Ambassador)

    However it's done getting rid of the current regime is the easy bit. Unless Israel and the US plan on occupying Iran it will be Iranians who determine who rules next. There does seem to be a presumption of "it can't be worse" based upon talking mainly to Iranian exiles. It seems just as likely to me that Iran ends up with a less religious government, Army backed rather than the IRGC, that aligns with China and remains antagonistic towards Israel and the US.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196
    edited 1:25PM

    Any word from @Sandpit ?

    Yes, he's taking refuge in an Irish bar.
    https://fibbersdubai.com/fibber-magees-downtown/

    Great little Irish pub, racing and cricket on the TVs, friendly staff, an Irish band playing this evening, and plenty of the black stuff. Highly recommended!

    War, what war?
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987
    Canada on board with the US action, Starmer on the blower to Macron and Mr Mackey
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 90,106
    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    And on BA to rub salt in the wounds....horrific....
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 54,430

    I see someone has been charged with defacing the Churchill statue.

    "Caspar San Giorgio", of no fixed address.


    Something doesn't ring true there. If it was someone homeless, was there payment involved?

    If you Google his name, all the top hits relate to events of the last few days, apart from one which is in Russian from a week back - before the incident. Which seems a tad odd?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,198

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Being bystanders well into both World Wars earned the USA its status as the world's leading power. The UK should be rebuilding its military and diplomatic power, not expending it at any opportunity in a witless effort to prove there's still lead in our pencil.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Oh do kindly f*** right off with this "international law" bullshit. International law is a joke and does not exist.

    Any "law" that does exist that says we should stand back, watch people get slaughtered, and do nothing is not just useless but an ass and should be abolished.
    Oh come on. Labour wants to oppose getting rid of the Mullahs not because it’s right or wrong but for fear of offending its client vote. Especially after being dicked by the pro Hamas Green Party.
  • TresTres Posts: 3,510
    IanB2 said:

    I see someone has been charged with defacing the Churchill statue.

    "Caspar San Giorgio", of no fixed address.


    Something doesn't ring true there. If it was someone homeless, was there payment involved?

    If you Google his name, all the top hits relate to events of the last few days, apart from one which is in Russian from a week back - before the incident. Which seems a tad odd?
    just the enshittification of search engines
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,510
    edited 1:31PM
    tlg86 said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    That’s interesting. My coal mining grandfather bought a plot of land with his wife who was a teacher and built his own house and had a small-holding. But, most of Bolsover’s miners would have been in social housing.

    When I worked on the 2011 census I noticed that Bolsover still had a lot of social housing and that was related to a big increase in central heating compared with 2001 (a lot including my grandfather still used coal until not that long ago).
    Perhaps it stems from when the housing stock was built.
    Wigan was mostly Victorian. Mining peaked there in c.1900? So before extensive social housing. Meaning housing was cheap. I believe my parents bought a terrace for £850 in the mid sixties.
    There was a large sixties Council Estate but that was predominantly for Liverpool slum clearance overspill.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,846
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    Well enjoy a few more days in communist China!

    It’s either be a huge diversion South almost to the Equator, then up through Africa, or you’ll head East and do a round-the-world trip back over Canada.
    Presumably they will have to refuel somewhere in either scenario?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    Looks like it’s still open at the moment, but who knows whether or not that will continue to be the case.

    https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:56.4/centery:26.1/zoom:9 <<<—— this site is a marine equivalent to FlightRadar24, tracks ships using transponder signals.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,846
    edited 1:32PM
    dixiedean said:

    tlg86 said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    That’s interesting. My coal mining grandfather bought a plot of land with his wife who was a teacher and built his own house and had a small-holding. But, most of Bolsover’s miners would have been in social housing.

    When I worked on the 2011 census I noticed that Bolsover still had a lot of social housing and that was related to a big increase in central heating compared with 2001 (a lot including my grandfather still used coal until not that long ago).
    Perhaps it stems from when the housing stock was built.
    Wigan was mostly Victorian. Mining peaked there in c.1900. So before extensive social housing. Meaning housing was cheap. I believe my parents bought a terrace for £850 in the mid sixties.
    There was a large sixties Council Estate but that was predominantly for Liverpool slum clearance overspill.
    Cannock, also a mining area, would have been about 60% council housing in the 1960s/70s. Mostly built in the period 1951-68.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,198

    Canada on board with the US action, Starmer on the blower to Macron and Mr Mackey

    What the fuck has it got to do with them?

    The guy needs to go, now.

    Develop some balls Labour MPs, you useless shower.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 61,099
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Michael McFaul
    @McFaul

    Trump implied tonight that we would only use air power to achieve regime change. That almost never works.

    https://x.com/McFaul/status/2027662237922693491



    (Former US Ambassador)

    Almost does not mean always, but hopefully Trump does not chicken out.

    If boots are needed, boots should be sent.

    If he reverts to form and chickens out and allows this regime to change, he is a miserable failure.
    When can you think of when it did work?

    It didn't topple Milosovic, or Saddam, or Gaddafi.

    My guess is Trump will bomb the shit out of Iran for 72 hours, kill a fair number of people but likely not anyone important, declare mission acomplished and watch as they rape and murder another 100,000 protestors and doctors.
    It did topple Gaddafi.

    No western troops were sent. We only sent missiles, the locals did the rest.

    If Trump does as you say, then shame on him. Not for the first time.
    I think it's pushing it a bit to say airstrikes toppled Gaddafi. Rather, I would say that they prevented him crushing the uprising in Benghazi, and he was later overthrown by that uprising.

    That's not negligible, but on their own they would not have been enough. There were boots on the ground - just Libyan ones.
    There were some “observers” from various NATO countries in Libya, on the ground. Including US ones. Calling in air strikes in support of the insurgents.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 90,106
    edited 1:34PM

    I see someone has been charged with defacing the Churchill statue.

    "Caspar San Giorgio", of no fixed address.


    Something doesn't ring true there. If it was someone homeless, was there payment involved?

    That sounds the sort of name one would expect of a working class plasterer Plastine Action / XR / JSO / Youth Demand activist....
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649

    Canada on board with the US action, Starmer on the blower to Macron and Mr Mackey

    What the fuck has it got to do with them?

    The guy needs to go, now.

    Develop some balls Labour MPs, you useless shower.
    Surprised he's not ringing up Richard Hermer or the courts to determine what he should do.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,754
    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    In 1967 51% of people owned their property, 29% were in social housing and 20% rented privately, so I would say it was quite unusual for working class families to have mortgages. I would assume the majority of the 51% were not working class.

    https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/insight/how-english-housing-has-changed-over-the-past-50-years-53294

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987

    Canada on board with the US action, Starmer on the blower to Macron and Mr Mackey

    What the fuck has it got to do with them?

    The guy needs to go, now.

    Develop some balls Labour MPs, you useless shower.
    Surprised he's not ringing up Richard Hermer or the courts to determine what he should do.
    Or paying Mauritius to tell him
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 61,099
    Nigelb said:

    Did anyone get to enjoy the free beer in Leeds ?

    Leeds Pub: can we sell a pint for 25p?
    Leeds City Council: it's a free city go for it.
    UK government: hold on, hold on, hold on, regs regs regs, you can't sell below cost price according to our regs.
    Leeds Pub and Council and Leeds Lawyer: we won't "sell" it then. It'll be free.

    https://x.com/thomasforth/status/2027699797608558632

    When the supermarkets started selling petrol, they initially tried it as a loss leader, to get people in.

    The government wrote new laws, pretty much over a weekend, to prevent selling petrol or diesel at a loss. Because of the tax implications.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,851
    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,420
    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    Well enjoy a few more days in communist China!

    It’s either be a huge diversion South almost to the Equator, then up through Africa, or you’ll head East and do a round-the-world trip back over Canada.
    Looking at Flight Radar, I feel for the ATC in Azerbaijan and Turkey at the moment; loads of planes flying the narrow path south of Russia and north of the mid east!
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927
    IanB2 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Despite being an obvious Labour insider, you still think this government has any will to act differently from what the US commands?
    Last week I'd have said no to that question.

    Now that the zionist cabal inside Labour is considerably weaker, I hope that Starmer will defend UK interest NO more than that.

    I am not a Labour insider, I wish I was.

    Iran under current governance is evil
    Israel under current governance is as evil.
    The US is led by a nutter.

    I'd have nothing to do with any of them apart from protection of our immediate interest.

    Personally I cannot differentiate under current governance between Israel and Iran in depravity.

    If each of them took each others leaders out and bought a our regime change on each Country it would be a day for great celebration. The more civilised civilians on both Countries safe and protected the better.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    The Green Party hates Israel and is a fan of the Mullahs.

    Say it ain’t so.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 40,612

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    Zack and the Mullahs, a love story
    A marriage made in Hell.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802
    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    You can check the flight path here.

    https://www.flightpaths.com/LHR-PVG
    Ta. Useful. Looks like they sneak through a narrow Caspian-Turkish corridor. Might just still be open
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 8,405
    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    Rebook with a Chinese airline. Straight over Russia.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 61,099
    ydoethur said:

    dixiedean said:

    tlg86 said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    That’s interesting. My coal mining grandfather bought a plot of land with his wife who was a teacher and built his own house and had a small-holding. But, most of Bolsover’s miners would have been in social housing.

    When I worked on the 2011 census I noticed that Bolsover still had a lot of social housing and that was related to a big increase in central heating compared with 2001 (a lot including my grandfather still used coal until not that long ago).
    Perhaps it stems from when the housing stock was built.
    Wigan was mostly Victorian. Mining peaked there in c.1900. So before extensive social housing. Meaning housing was cheap. I believe my parents bought a terrace for £850 in the mid sixties.
    There was a large sixties Council Estate but that was predominantly for Liverpool slum clearance overspill.
    Cannock, also a mining area, would have been about 60% council housing in the 1960s/70s. Mostly built in the period 1951-68.
    My parents generation - getting first places in the 60s - were all about buying. The dizzying increase in living standards* meant that buying was suffering reach of many. “No hiding under the kitchen table when the rent man knocks on the door”

    * https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/total-gdp-in-the-uk-since-1270
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 40,612
    Taz said:

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    The Green Party hates Israel and is a fan of the Mullahs.

    Say it ain’t so.
    As so often, my enemy’s enemy is my friend.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196
    edited 1:42PM
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    Well enjoy a few more days in communist China!

    It’s either be a huge diversion South almost to the Equator, then up through Africa, or you’ll head East and do a round-the-world trip back over Canada.
    Presumably they will have to refuel somewhere in either scenario?
    Depends on the plane type and how full it is.

    Edit: so the nerd in me went and looked it up. Today’s Flight, BA168, has been threading a path through the Stans and is currently South of Ukraine and North of Turkey in the Black Sea. It’s a 13 hour flight, and today’s equipment is a 777-200ER. It’ll be pretty much at the limit of its endurance, so yes it would have to stop for fuel if they went the other way around or diverted much from the intended route.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498
    Sean_F said:

    Taz said:

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    The Green Party hates Israel and is a fan of the Mullahs.

    Say it ain’t so.
    As so often, my enemy’s enemy is my friend.
    Very much so
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,032

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    By 'closing they actually mean throwing missiles at anything that tries to go through the Straits. So that stops the export of oil from Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Iraq and much of Saudi. I would hope that over the last 4 decades some of these countries will have made alternative arrangements with land pipelines to the Red Sea or the Indian Ocean but I am not sure this has happened to any great extent.

    In the past they have resisted closure for fear of being attacked but I assume that is no longer a concern.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    By 'closing they actually mean throwing missiles at anything that tries to go through the Straits. So that stops the export of oil from Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Iraq and much of Saudi. I would hope that over the last 4 decades some of these countries will have made alternative arrangements with land pipelines to the Red Sea or the Indian Ocean but I am not sure this has happened to any great extent.

    In the past they have resisted closure for fear of being attacked but I assume that is no longer a concern.
    You’re in the trade, Richard, have they made alternative plans ?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802
    Israel intel crowing that they really did take out a huge chunk of the Iranian leadership - but maybe not Khamanei

    Hence the unusual timing. It was all aimed at a specific meeting in Tehran

    🤷🏼‍♂️🤷🏼‍♂️🤷🏼‍♂️
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987
    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    By 'closing they actually mean throwing missiles at anything that tries to go through the Straits. So that stops the export of oil from Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Iraq and much of Saudi. I would hope that over the last 4 decades some of these countries will have made alternative arrangements with land pipelines to the Red Sea or the Indian Ocean but I am not sure this has happened to any great extent.

    In the past they have resisted closure for fear of being attacked but I assume that is no longer a concern.
    That’s why the Emiratis spent more than $3bn on this pipeline, that can get 1.5m barrels per day out to the Indian Ocean, East of the Straight of Hormuz.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Habshan–Fujairah_oil_pipeline

  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649

    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.

    Oh dear, how sad, nevermind.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498
    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,032
    Taz said:

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    By 'closing they actually mean throwing missiles at anything that tries to go through the Straits. So that stops the export of oil from Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Iraq and much of Saudi. I would hope that over the last 4 decades some of these countries will have made alternative arrangements with land pipelines to the Red Sea or the Indian Ocean but I am not sure this has happened to any great extent.

    In the past they have resisted closure for fear of being attacked but I assume that is no longer a concern.
    You’re in the trade, Richard, have they made alternative plans ?
    Not as far as I know. Saudi has the ability as it has ports on the Red Sea. All the others would have to cross someone else's land.

    Saudi for Bahrain and Qatar
    Saudi or Oman for the UAE
    Saudi, Syria or Turkey for Iraq.

    I am not aware of any of them having made such arrangements
  • RogerRoger Posts: 22,294
    OT. Rachel Mclean the worst candidate ever on Any Questions. She was booed and quite right too. If she's what the new Tories are like they're finished. Really
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    Zack and the Mullahs, a love story
    We'll done Zack

    I wish Starmer would have the balls to say the same thing.

    The key missing though is that Iran too is a rogue state.

    Under current governance all 3 are.

    The comments of Farage Badenoch and surprise surprise Pritti the MP for Tel Aviv prove conclusively that these Zionist puppets must never again be allowed to govern the UK.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802
    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 41,299

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Oh do kindly f*** right off with this "international law" bullshit. International law is a joke and does not exist.

    Any "law" that does exist that says we should stand back, watch people get slaughtered, and do nothing is not just useless but an ass and should be abolished.
    International law prevents us from taking action against regimes who threaten our way of life but does nothing to prevent them from funding terrorists and proxies. It is now the tool of dictators and despots to make idiotic white liberals and centrist dads kowtow to corrupt kangaroo courts.
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927
    Roger said:

    OT. Rachel Mclean the worst candidate ever on Any Questions. She was booed and quite right too. If she's what the new Tories are like they're finished. Really

    She's actually better than Whataley, Trott, Atkins, Burghardt, Philp, Pritti, Coutinho, Stride, Cartlidge and many others.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 40,612

    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.

    I expect it will prove very popular with the Greens’ target voters.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 86,701

    Taz said:

    Has Iran closed the straits of Hormuz (sp?)? I freely confess, geography being a very weak point, not really knowing what closing them would do, but it is consistently threatened. And if they are not closing them, does this mean they don't feel threatened existentially, but are just planning to get bombed a bit and weather it?

    By 'closing they actually mean throwing missiles at anything that tries to go through the Straits. So that stops the export of oil from Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Iraq and much of Saudi. I would hope that over the last 4 decades some of these countries will have made alternative arrangements with land pipelines to the Red Sea or the Indian Ocean but I am not sure this has happened to any great extent.

    In the past they have resisted closure for fear of being attacked but I assume that is no longer a concern.
    You’re in the trade, Richard, have they made alternative plans ?
    Not as far as I know. Saudi has the ability as it has ports on the Red Sea. All the others would have to cross someone else's land.

    Saudi for Bahrain and Qatar
    Saudi or Oman for the UAE
    Saudi, Syria or Turkey for Iraq.

    I am not aware of any of them having made such arrangements
    I imagine this is already at full capacity ?
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kirkuk–Ceyhan_Oil_Pipeline
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,851
    https://x.com/faytuksnetwork/status/2027739480304574694

    Israel assesses the assassination was successful; the likelihood that Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei survived the Israeli strike is slim to none - N12
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 60,196
    edited 1:53PM
    There’s a few thousand people about to get an unexpected holiday at a random European destination.

    https://x.com/flightradar24/status/2027735325544444252

    These are all from the US to Dubai
    EK216 diverting to Rome
    EK226 diverting to Munich
    EK230 diverting to Warsaw
    EK202 diverting to Vienna
    EK236 diverting to Budapest
    EK212 diverting to Prague
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802
    Brixian59 said:

    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396

    This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.

    Zack and the Mullahs, a love story
    We'll done Zack

    I wish Starmer would have the balls to say the same thing.

    The key missing though is that Iran too is a rogue state.

    Under current governance all 3 are.

    The comments of Farage Badenoch and surprise surprise Pritti the MP for Tel Aviv prove conclusively that these Zionist puppets must never again be allowed to govern the UK.
    “Zionist puppets”

    This follows “Zionist cabal” and “Zionist clique” in recent days. And apparently infesting multiple parties

    So you’re an open anti-Semite. Good to have that settled
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Regrettably I think you're right.

    As someone who is very pro-migration I am concerned that this is a dilemma I have no idea how we can address. The rise of Islamofascist politics in this country is not one I desire to see.

    Most Muslims I think are normal, sensible people who will vote on principles they believe in, like TSE.

    However the rise of Islamofascist sectarian voting is one of deep concern.

    Sectarian voting was not healthy for Northern Ireland. It is not a future I would like to see for England.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,846
    edited 1:53PM
    MaxPB said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Oh do kindly f*** right off with this "international law" bullshit. International law is a joke and does not exist.

    Any "law" that does exist that says we should stand back, watch people get slaughtered, and do nothing is not just useless but an ass and should be abolished.
    International law prevents us from taking action against regimes who threaten our way of life but does nothing to prevent them from funding terrorists and proxies. It is now the tool of dictators and despots to make idiotic white liberals and centrist dads kowtow to corrupt kangaroo courts.
    Hmmmm...I think actually their vast nuclear arsenal and colossal army, navy and air force is what stops us targeting them.

    Oh, sorry, weren't you referring to the Americans?
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927

    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.

    Oh dear, how sad, nevermind.
    No he's said what 70% of the voters in Denton voted for


    It will be interesting if a major reputable pollster does a Poll

    I'd expect 80% in favour of not getting involved.

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987
    Sean_F said:

    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.

    I expect it will prove very popular with the Greens’ target voters.
    He will certainly corner the Gaza indies market
    But he probably already had them in the bag
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,945
    isam said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    In 1967 51% of people owned their property, 29% were in social housing and 20% rented privately, so I would say it was quite unusual for working class families to have mortgages. I would assume the majority of the 51% were not working class.

    https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/insight/how-english-housing-has-changed-over-the-past-50-years-53294

    There would have probably been a bigger difference between the skilled and unskilled working class than between the skilled working class and the middle class.

    The unskilled working class back then would not have owned their own homes and would have struggled financially. As they do now.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,082
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    I think most people can distinguish between the current US and Israeli administrations and the countries themselves.

    People shouldn’t hate on countries because they’re currently run by lunatics .
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,632
    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    You can check the flight path here.

    https://www.flightpaths.com/LHR-PVG
    So the Baku Gap is still open, at least until Turkey joins in to stop the Iranian Kurds from minding their own business.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987
    Brixian59 said:

    Zack has killed off any Green bounce before it got going.

    Oh dear, how sad, nevermind.
    No he's said what 70% of the voters in Denton voted for


    It will be interesting if a major reputable pollster does a Poll

    I'd expect 80% in favour of not getting involved.

    'Not getting involved' vs
    'Support the action but stay out' vs
    'Cosying up to the Mullahs'

    Are very different things
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,802

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Regrettably I think you're right.

    As someone who is very pro-migration I am concerned that this is a dilemma I have no idea how we can address. The rise of Islamofascist politics in this country is not one I desire to see.

    Most Muslims I think are normal, sensible people who will vote on principles they believe in, like TSE.

    However the rise of Islamofascist sectarian voting is one of deep concern.

    Sectarian voting was not healthy for Northern Ireland. It is not a future I would like to see for England.
    It’s time you belatedly revised your blanket adoration of mass immigration. We are importing anti-Semitism, homophobia, deep misogyny, overseas hatreds, profound sectarianism, and much more. This is now obviously true
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498
    What can be a surprise to no one the Lib Dem’s come out in support of the Mullahs.

    I guess there’s votes in opposing action against people who slaughtered 30,000 protesters. I’m guessing the Lib Dem’s only support protesters if they protest against Elbit Systems.

    To be expected of a party that supports the equally vile WASPI women

    ‘ The UK can't be dragged into another protracted Middle Eastern war by a US President. Keir Starmer needs to rule out the use of UK bases for any future unilateral US strikes.’


    https://x.com/edwardjdavey/status/2027722193933656248?s=61
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,381
    edited 1:57PM
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Indeed, hence SKS has had to be even more lawyerly than usual today, saying the UK was not involved in this operation by the US and Israel, he is concerned about international law, evacuating UK citizens from the region blah, blah, while still ideally wanting the Iranian regime gone
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 34,032
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Regrettably I think you're right.

    As someone who is very pro-migration I am concerned that this is a dilemma I have no idea how we can address. The rise of Islamofascist politics in this country is not one I desire to see.

    Most Muslims I think are normal, sensible people who will vote on principles they believe in, like TSE.

    However the rise of Islamofascist sectarian voting is one of deep concern.

    Sectarian voting was not healthy for Northern Ireland. It is not a future I would like to see for England.
    It’s time you belatedly revised your blanket adoration of mass immigration. We are importing anti-Semitism, homophobia, deep misogyny, overseas hatreds, profound sectarianism, and much more. This is now obviously true
    Yes but we are exporting that to the rest of the world as well. It all balances out.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,945

    isam said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    In 1967 51% of people owned their property, 29% were in social housing and 20% rented privately, so I would say it was quite unusual for working class families to have mortgages. I would assume the majority of the 51% were not working class.

    https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/insight/how-english-housing-has-changed-over-the-past-50-years-53294

    There would have probably been a bigger difference between the skilled and unskilled working class than between the skilled working class and the middle class.

    The unskilled working class back then would not have owned their own homes and would have struggled financially. As they do now.
    On a wider issue I wonder how many people on sites such as PB had parents / grandparents / great grandparents who were skilled working class and made the move up the socioeconomic ladder.

    It would explain nostalgia for the social mobility and rising living standards of previous generations.
  • TazTaz Posts: 25,498

    dixiedean said:

    Leon said:

    Just realised I’m flying Shanghai-LHR tomorrow. BA

    How the fuck are they gonna do that? All Russian and Ukrainian airspace has been shut for years

    Now all of the Middle East?!

    You can check the flight path here.

    https://www.flightpaths.com/LHR-PVG
    So the Baku Gap is still open, at least until Turkey joins in to stop the Iranian Kurds from minding their own business.
    What about the Cumberland gap ?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,381

    isam said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    In 1967 51% of people owned their property, 29% were in social housing and 20% rented privately, so I would say it was quite unusual for working class families to have mortgages. I would assume the majority of the 51% were not working class.

    https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/insight/how-english-housing-has-changed-over-the-past-50-years-53294

    There would have probably been a bigger difference between the skilled and unskilled working class than between the skilled working class and the middle class.

    The unskilled working class back then would not have owned their own homes and would have struggled financially. As they do now.
    The skilled working class only really started getting mortgages and owning their homes in large numbers with Thatcher's right to buy.

    That was also the first big step in breaking down class based politics, before that middle class home owners and those with mortgages overwhelmingly voted Tory or Liberal and the working class overwhelmingly voted Labour
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,665

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Like we did in Iraq? Against the sage advice of Lib Dems and most Tories.

    Although this time around Kemi is coming across as the great Churchillian war hero to Starmer's Chamberlain. Only time will tell.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 70,073

    https://x.com/faytuksnetwork/status/2027739480304574694

    Israel assesses the assassination was successful; the likelihood that Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei survived the Israeli strike is slim to none - N12

    If that is true then hopefully others in this obnoxious regime will also have been eliminated

    Prayers for the people of Iran who should have total support to regain their country and make it a democracy
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,519
    Brixian59 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Despite being an obvious Labour insider, you still think this government has any will to act differently from what the US commands?
    Last week I'd have said no to that question.

    Now that the zionist cabal inside Labour is considerably weaker, I hope that Starmer will defend UK interest NO more than that.

    I am not a Labour insider, I wish I was.

    Iran under current governance is evil
    Israel under current governance is as evil.
    The US is led by a nutter.

    I'd have nothing to do with any of them apart from protection of our immediate interest.

    Personally I cannot differentiate under current governance between Israel and Iran in depravity.

    If each of them took each others leaders out and bought a our regime change on each Country it would be a day for great celebration. The more civilised civilians on both Countries safe and protected the better.
    'Personally I cannot differentiate under current governance between Israel and Iran in depravity.' So murdering in cold blood up to 100,000 of your own citizens because they want to live in a democracy just doesn't tip the scales for you?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,510
    HYUFD said:

    isam said:

    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    isam said:

    tlg86 said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    Foxy said:

    tlg86 said:

    MattW said:

    For anyone not up with fashion, Hannah Spencer now MP, at Glasto, in 2011:



    "At home, a lot of girls dress the same way. It's boring. I pretty much dress like this all the time. People always get a shock when I turn up to their door to fix something. I work with lots of fortysomething men and they probably just think I'm a bit weird."

    https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/2013/jul/01/glastonbury-2013-best-dressed-in-pictures

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/feb/27/hannah-spencer-victory-speech-green-byelection

    I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That’s what we do.

    Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something. It got you a house. A nice life. Holidays. It got you somewhere.

    But now – working hard? What does that get you? Because talk to anyone here and they’ll tell you. The people who work hard but can’t put food on the table. Can’t get their kids school uniforms. Can’t put their heating on. Can’t live off the pension they worked hard to save for. Can’t even begin to dream about ever having a holiday. Ever. Because life has changed.


    Well, she was able to cough up the £205 to go to Glastonbury.
    I don't know who else on here goes to music festivals, but there are a lot of working class people at them, even posh ones like Glasto and Latitude, and at Download or Leeds probably form a majority.

    £205 for a long weekend with unlimited entertainment is not bad value, comparable to a few away matches to follow a football team, which is unremarkeable working class entertainment for many.

    The idea that the only authentic working class is neanderthal knuckledraggers is a pretty crude bit of political bubble prejudice. Even assuming that Spencer won Gorton comfortably she must have had 20-25% of the vote in Denton. Or are they disqualified from being working class automatically by voting Green, in a sort of "no true Scotsman" sort of paradox?

    Why are you so desperate for her to be working class?
    Why are you so desperate for her not to be?

    In fact has Spencer actually claimed to be working class, or has she just described in non RP tones her life as a non-uni educated tradesperson living and working in the area she now represents.

    I’m reminded of Andrew Neil’s desperation to prove that Mhairi Black was not working class Paisley, unlike himself as he ranted in orotund, well fed tones from his South of France villa.
    I'm not desperate for her not to be, she just isn't. I don't know that she has claimed it for herself at all. She seems to be middle class men's idea of what it is to be working class, and a few of the posters on here really want her to be. But she isn't, and there is nothing wrong with that
    Given we don't know the full situation of her up-bringing, I don't think we can give a clear view either way (whereas, we know that Keir Starmer's father was a toolmaker...).
    Keir Starmer claims to be from a working class background, but I don't think anyone born in the 60s to parents with a private mortgage had a working class upbringing. Almost all working class people lived in social housing in those days
    Maybe they did in London.
    Most of the people in my home town worked down the pit or in associated industries.
    There was very little social housing.
    My dad was a bricklayer for the Coal Board. He had a mortgage from 1965. So did most of his workmates.
    And so did his Dad who worked underground.
    In 1967 51% of people owned their property, 29% were in social housing and 20% rented privately, so I would say it was quite unusual for working class families to have mortgages. I would assume the majority of the 51% were not working class.

    https://www.insidehousing.co.uk/insight/how-english-housing-has-changed-over-the-past-50-years-53294

    There would have probably been a bigger difference between the skilled and unskilled working class than between the skilled working class and the middle class.

    The unskilled working class back then would not have owned their own homes and would have struggled financially. As they do now.
    The skilled working class only really started getting mortgages and owning their homes in large numbers with Thatcher's right to buy.

    That was also the first big step in breaking down class based politics, before that middle class home owners and those with mortgages overwhelmingly voted Tory or Liberal and the working class overwhelmingly voted Labour
    Nah. Class based politics was in decline in the Sixties.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 26,755
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Regrettably I think you're right.

    As someone who is very pro-migration I am concerned that this is a dilemma I have no idea how we can address. The rise of Islamofascist politics in this country is not one I desire to see.

    Most Muslims I think are normal, sensible people who will vote on principles they believe in, like TSE.

    However the rise of Islamofascist sectarian voting is one of deep concern.

    Sectarian voting was not healthy for Northern Ireland. It is not a future I would like to see for England.
    It’s time you belatedly revised your blanket adoration of mass immigration. We are importing anti-Semitism, homophobia, deep misogyny, overseas hatreds, profound sectarianism, and much more. This is now obviously true
    Sounds like they might make good Spectator journalists?
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Like we did in Iraq? Against the sage advice of Lib Dems and most Tories.

    Although this time around Kemi is coming across as the great Churchillian war hero to Starmer's Chamberlain. Only time will tell.
    Iraq was a success, Hussein was eliminated.

    Do that again and mission accomplished. This regime needs to go.

    I will take the same success we had in Iraq when it comes to Iran, yes. Ideally better, but if "all" we get is the same that would be a fantastic improvement over the status quo.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,665
    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Indeed, hence SKS has had to be even more lawyerly than usual today, saying the UK was not involved in this operation by the US and Israel, he is concerned about international law, evacuating UK citizens from the region blah, blah, while still ideally wanting the Iranian regime gone
    Is regime change going to happen? I hope so, but I am not convinced yet.

    Another FIFA peace prize I suspect is in the mix.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,987
    Has Starmer made any statement directly yet?
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 927

    Brixian59 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Brixian59 said:

    Trump is Trump, he will do what he wants. We should do nothing to assist him.

    Israel is Israel, a Country that under the present regime commits mass murder. We should do nothing to assist them.

    We should protect our interests our people our bases defensively.

    Contrary to the war mongering zionist lap dogs Farage and Badenoch we should not get involved in any action involving Israel.

    There is a NATO caveat with the US which complicates matters but should be subject to the decision of All NATO members

    Israel is like Iran a rogue State if Iran and Israel bomb the feck out of each other, we must not intervene. The world would be a better place without both regimes.

    The actions of the US and Israel breach international law, we must abide by international law


    The Commons must agree any action by majority vote unless there is an imminent risk to British forces.

    Despite being an obvious Labour insider, you still think this government has any will to act differently from what the US commands?
    Last week I'd have said no to that question.

    Now that the zionist cabal inside Labour is considerably weaker, I hope that Starmer will defend UK interest NO more than that.

    I am not a Labour insider, I wish I was.

    Iran under current governance is evil
    Israel under current governance is as evil.
    The US is led by a nutter.

    I'd have nothing to do with any of them apart from protection of our immediate interest.

    Personally I cannot differentiate under current governance between Israel and Iran in depravity.

    If each of them took each others leaders out and bought a our regime change on each Country it would be a day for great celebration. The more civilised civilians on both Countries safe and protected the better.
    'Personally I cannot differentiate under current governance between Israel and Iran in depravity.' So murdering in cold blood up to 100,000 of your own citizens because they want to live in a democracy just doesn't tip the scales for you?
    It's all relative.

    It's not about numvers

    1 is too many

    100 each is too many

    It's not a fucking football match

    Both are contemptuos barbarians and should be treated as such.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,510

    https://x.com/faytuksnetwork/status/2027739480304574694

    Israel assesses the assassination was successful; the likelihood that Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei survived the Israeli strike is slim to none - N12

    If that is true then hopefully others in this obnoxious regime will also have been eliminated

    Prayers for the people of Iran who should have total support to regain their country and make it a democracy
    Total support they aren't going to get though.
    You need troops in situ for that. And that won't happen.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 7,082
    They’ll have to wheel out Khamenei soon to dispel these rumours he met a grisly end .

    The problem is there are many suitable replacements for him just as evil .
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 70,073

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Like we did in Iraq? Against the sage advice of Lib Dems and most Tories.

    Although this time around Kemi is coming across as the great Churchillian war hero to Starmer's Chamberlain. Only time will tell.
    What I cannot understand with Starmer is why he has to involve Macron and Mertz before stating hls position

    Carney has confirmed Canada's support as has Australia
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 2,392

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Regrettably I think you're right.

    As someone who is very pro-migration I am concerned that this is a dilemma I have no idea how we can address. The rise of Islamofascist politics in this country is not one I desire to see.

    Most Muslims I think are normal, sensible people who will vote on principles they believe in, like TSE.

    However the rise of Islamofascist sectarian voting is one of deep concern.

    Sectarian voting was not healthy for Northern Ireland. It is not a future I would like to see for England.
    It’s time you belatedly revised your blanket adoration of mass immigration. We are importing anti-Semitism, homophobia, deep misogyny, overseas hatreds, profound sectarianism, and much more. This is now obviously true
    Sounds like they might make good Spectator journalists?
    Indeed, border control should be notified.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649
    dixiedean said:

    https://x.com/faytuksnetwork/status/2027739480304574694

    Israel assesses the assassination was successful; the likelihood that Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei survived the Israeli strike is slim to none - N12

    If that is true then hopefully others in this obnoxious regime will also have been eliminated

    Prayers for the people of Iran who should have total support to regain their country and make it a democracy
    Total support they aren't going to get though.
    You need troops in situ for that. And that won't happen.
    It should.

    Though it may not be needed. We only needed bombs to help the locals overthrow Ghaddafi.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 134,381

    HYUFD said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Zach speaks

    Well done voters of Gorton and Denton. This is your preferred choice for PM


    ‘ This is an illegal, unprovoked and brutal attack that shows once again that the USA and Israel are rogue states.

    The UK must end our cosy relationship with the USA and our ongoing support for Israel.’


    https://x.com/zackpolanski/status/2027733979797799396?s=61

    I don’t think that will be a horrifying shock for the Islamo-left that voted Green last week. They openly hate America, Israel, the West
    Indeed, hence SKS has had to be even more lawyerly than usual today, saying the UK was not involved in this operation by the US and Israel, he is concerned about international law, evacuating UK citizens from the region blah, blah, while still ideally wanting the Iranian regime gone
    Is regime change going to happen? I hope so, but I am not convinced yet.

    Another FIFA peace prize I suspect is in the mix.
    'Is regime change going to happen? I hope so, but I am not convinced yet.' Pretty much our decisive PM's position this morning!!
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,665

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Like we did in Iraq? Against the sage advice of Lib Dems and most Tories.

    Although this time around Kemi is coming across as the great Churchillian war hero to Starmer's Chamberlain. Only time will tell.
    Iraq was a success, Hussein was eliminated.

    Do that again and mission accomplished. This regime needs to go.

    I will take the same success we had in Iraq when it comes to Iran, yes. Ideally better, but if "all" we get is the same that would be a fantastic improvement over the status quo.
    If this escapade has Iraq as it's blueprint thank Allah Starmer is keeping his distance. On no metric was Iraq anything other than a disgraceful disaster.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,649

    Scott_xP said:

    @rodger.bsky.social‬

    If FIFA did, for some reason, regularly give out a Peace Prize, you’d think #1 on the list of criteria for potential winners would be “do not start a war with another nation in the World Cup, directly before the start of the World Cup”

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mfwc2cylwk25

    FIFA are a corrupt joke.
    Trump is a corrupt POTUS.

    But the Iranian regime is infinitely worse.

    Just because Trump is bad, is no reason to oppose the liberation of Iran. Your reflexive "anything Trump does is bad" attitude is drowning out all else.

    How else should the Iranian people be freed, given that the regime is slaughtering protestors? Other than force, what alternative do you propose?

    Should we all just sit back, watch the Iranians get slaughtered, watch Iran supply Russia with drones and tut and do jack shit?
    Is Trump genuinely going for regime change or something altogether less satisfying?

    It does seem that Trump is on board with any military action if someone explains to him that they stole the 2020 election. Perhaps Nigel should tell Trump Starmer and the Labour Party stole the election in 2020. Although Nigel doesn't seem as popular as Tiny Tom in Whitehouse circles these days.
    I could not care less about Trump's motivations or what he is going for, I care about results.

    If we see the liberation of Iran, then great.

    Anything short of regime change, is a miserable failure.

    The UK should be using our full military power and diplomatic power to push for regime change, explicitly, too. Instead we're just bystanders. Pathetic.
    Like we did in Iraq? Against the sage advice of Lib Dems and most Tories.

    Although this time around Kemi is coming across as the great Churchillian war hero to Starmer's Chamberlain. Only time will tell.
    Iraq was a success, Hussein was eliminated.

    Do that again and mission accomplished. This regime needs to go.

    I will take the same success we had in Iraq when it comes to Iran, yes. Ideally better, but if "all" we get is the same that would be a fantastic improvement over the status quo.
    If this escapade has Iraq as it's blueprint thank Allah Starmer is keeping his distance. On no metric was Iraq anything other than a disgraceful disaster.
    "Was Hussein eliminated" - try that metric.

    "Is the current regime an improvement on Hussein's" - try that one too.
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