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One party has form for ousting leaders, the other less so – politicalbetting.com

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  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923

    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    A penalty from HMRC is not a criminal record. Johnson and Sunak both paid fines for criminal breaches -- Sunak twice. Yet they were Primes Ministers.
    I really like Angela Rayner but I don’t think she can become leader and then get a penalty .
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,410

    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    A penalty from HMRC is not a criminal record. Johnson and Sunak both paid fines for criminal breaches -- Sunak twice. Yet they were Primes Ministers.
    Stupid Covid laws, though.

    No one outside of the NU10K actually considers them crimes.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    edited 1:43PM
    nico67 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Good grief not Ed Miliband . He failed once and would be a gift to the opposition.
    Labour's done whenever the general election happens. It's really who is best placed to manage the defeat. I think the PLP will go for Ed Miliband in the hope that he will at least shore up the core, which is drifting away to the Greens at quite an alarming rate!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,272
    edited 1:43PM
    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,897
    edited 1:45PM
    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    Lying about legal advice and lawyers I think is a bigger problem. And she did it over the course of weeks. Getting your taxes wrong in a very complicated scenario you can get past. There was also a bit of a stink about valuation of houses, etc, not just was the right tax paid.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,919
    edited 1:44PM
    There's every reason for Sarwar to call now for Starmer to go, if he's concluded that Starmer is going to go sometime in 2026 anyway, which just about everyone has.

    Things are so bad that whoever is seen as wielding the knife is going to be thanked for it, especially by the Scottish electorate.

    And Sarwar needs Starmer to go now, the last thing he needs is for the departure to be postponed until after a meltdown in the Scottish Parliament elections in May.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,358
    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Why are you Tories so desperate for Milliband to become leader AGAIN?

    I suspect you all underestimate Rayner. Remember Truss did the "what not to do" recce for her in 2022.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,819

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Why are you Tories so desperate for Milliband to become leader AGAIN?

    I suspect you all underestimate Rayner. Remember Truss did the "what not to do" recce for her in 2022.
    Because we all have bets on him!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,579
    The question is does the first minister of Wales follow Sarwar's demand that Starmer goes
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923
    If Starmer goes and Rayner can’t take the job because of her tax affairs then they should get Al Carns in .

    He scrubs up well. Looks good in his military gear and could tell Farage to go fxck himself with his plastic patriotism .
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Why are you Tories so desperate for Milliband to become leader AGAIN?

    I suspect you all underestimate Rayner. Remember Truss did the "what not to do" recce for her in 2022.
    I don't WANT Miliband to become leader but I think he's best placed out of all the runners and riders.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 6,053
    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Good grief not Ed Miliband . He failed once and would be a gift to the opposition.
    Labour's done whenever the general election happens. It's really who is best placed to manage the defeat. I think the PLP will go for Ed Miliband in the hope that he will at least shore up the core, which is drifting away to the Greens at quite an alarming rate!
    One Keir starts the Labour Party, the other Keir kills it.

    Poetic, in an odd sort of way?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,897
    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    $10 million is a lot of money....if Mandy only ever got $75k and free osepath course he was selling out far too cheap.....
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 18,654
    Mortimer said:

    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    A penalty from HMRC is not a criminal record. Johnson and Sunak both paid fines for criminal breaches -- Sunak twice. Yet they were Primes Ministers.
    Stupid Covid laws, though.

    No one outside of the NU10K actually considers them crimes.
    That was only one of Sunak’s, and polling suggests the general public were very concerned by Johnson's behaviour in lockdown.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,358
    Cookie said:

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Why are you Tories so desperate for Milliband to become leader AGAIN?

    I suspect you all underestimate Rayner. Remember Truss did the "what not to do" recce for her in 2022.
    Because we all have bets on him!
    Fair point.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,872

    The question is does the first minister of Wales follow Sarwar's demand that Starmer goes

    She refused to say she had confidence in Starmer recently
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,358

    The question is does the first minister of Wales follow Sarwar's demand that Starmer goes

    Eluned has not as far as I can see come out yay or nay.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,897
    edited 1:48PM
    If Boris crime had been a slice of cake and Sunak in the corner with a glass of coke, they would have been fine. It was of course the lying and cover up and the fact Boris obviously gave all the staffers the "if the ball came out the back of the scrum and there was a case of booze lying around on a Friday evening and I happened not to be here, things do go missing you know..."
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,427
    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes and Rayner can’t take the job because of her tax affairs then they should get Al Carns in .

    He scrubs up well. Looks good in his military gear and could tell Farage to go fxck himself with his plastic patriotism .

    You can’t have an unelected PM that even political junkies hadn’t heard of last week.
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 244

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford
    There is a clear disconnect between what's emanating from No 10 this morning and the reality where the Cabinet and the wider Labour Party are today

    The prime minister's official spokesman said that Starmer was 'upbeat' and 'confident' in a speech to staff this morning, adding that he is positive and determined. They said he isn't resigning

    All the while:

    * Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Labour leader, is poised to directly call for Sir Keir Starmer to go. He's said to be furious about Mandelson and wider events in Westminster

    * Cabinet ministers are having discussions about what to do if he stands down. They suggest he is in a dark place and are worried he could go. They are asking who should be interim PM

    * Notably NO cabinet ministers have come out to defend the PM in the last 24 hours

    * We've now had two big No 10 resignations in 24 hours - Morgan McSweeney and Tim Allan. The PM is losing his most senior allies

    * We haven't even begun to scratch the surface of the Mandelson files and their implications not just for Starmer but for Labour more broadly

    I rate Swinford but like a lot of political journos caught up in the 24 hour rolling news cycle I suspect he is justifying his wage.

    Epstein has barely harmed Trump and he is mentioned more times in the Epstein files than Jesus is in the bible.
    Cabinet Ministers are doing what Cabinet Minister should be doing.

    WORKING

    Cooper and Mahmood have made statements this morning

    Not everyone works 3 days a week and a staffer on X the other 4 days like Kemi (and an ex Tory MP very well known told me that)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    DavidL said:

    Who thought it was a good idea to describe Starmer as "upbeat"? Its one of these bizarre words that gets trotted out on these occasions. And it sounds ridiculous. It makes him sound delusional or on drugs or both.

    Well... ;)
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 21,343
    edited 1:50PM
    The best reason for Starmer to go is so we don’t have to read anymore Currygate shite
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,897
    Brixian59 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford
    There is a clear disconnect between what's emanating from No 10 this morning and the reality where the Cabinet and the wider Labour Party are today

    The prime minister's official spokesman said that Starmer was 'upbeat' and 'confident' in a speech to staff this morning, adding that he is positive and determined. They said he isn't resigning

    All the while:

    * Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Labour leader, is poised to directly call for Sir Keir Starmer to go. He's said to be furious about Mandelson and wider events in Westminster

    * Cabinet ministers are having discussions about what to do if he stands down. They suggest he is in a dark place and are worried he could go. They are asking who should be interim PM

    * Notably NO cabinet ministers have come out to defend the PM in the last 24 hours

    * We've now had two big No 10 resignations in 24 hours - Morgan McSweeney and Tim Allan. The PM is losing his most senior allies

    * We haven't even begun to scratch the surface of the Mandelson files and their implications not just for Starmer but for Labour more broadly

    I rate Swinford but like a lot of political journos caught up in the 24 hour rolling news cycle I suspect he is justifying his wage.

    Epstein has barely harmed Trump and he is mentioned more times in the Epstein files than Jesus is in the bible.
    Cabinet Ministers are doing what Cabinet Minister should be doing.

    WORKING

    Cooper and Mahmood have made statements this morning

    Not everyone works 3 days a week and a staffer on X the other 4 days like Kemi (and an ex Tory MP very well known told me that)
    You keep fighting the good fight champ.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,773
    Mortimer said:

    So who’s the first cabinet minister over the parapet do we think?

    Nandy, Benn or Alexander would be my guesses.

    All likely to get better positions in a future cabinet.
    Three of them on the same podium. Might as well be dressed up as the Grim Reaper.

    Actually, for shitz n gigglez.....
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,272
    It's about time we had a working-class woman as PM. I might not agree with all of her policies but it would certainly be a breath of fresh air.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,464
    edited 1:51PM
    Miliband would be the worst option possible. He is bonkers. We have had our fill of him tyvm. Labour couldn't be that stupid could they?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes and Rayner can’t take the job because of her tax affairs then they should get Al Carns in .

    He scrubs up well. Looks good in his military gear and could tell Farage to go fxck himself with his plastic patriotism .

    You can’t have an unelected PM that even political junkies hadn’t heard of last week.
    Why not ?

    A clean slate with a good back story and certainly would be better placed to take on Reform. We’ve tried the so called experienced cabinet members as PM over recent years and they’ve all failed miserably.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 7,489
    Question for @Brixian59. Who does your pal wee Dougie Alexander shaft? Keir Starmer or Anas Sarwar?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 57,559

    Miliband would be the worst option possible. He is bonkers. We have had our fill of him tyvm. Labour couldn't be that stupid could they?

    This is the kind of risk you take when you elect a Labour government. On balance, its better not to.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,147
    Brixian59 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @Steven_Swinford
    There is a clear disconnect between what's emanating from No 10 this morning and the reality where the Cabinet and the wider Labour Party are today

    The prime minister's official spokesman said that Starmer was 'upbeat' and 'confident' in a speech to staff this morning, adding that he is positive and determined. They said he isn't resigning

    All the while:

    * Anas Sarwar, the Scottish Labour leader, is poised to directly call for Sir Keir Starmer to go. He's said to be furious about Mandelson and wider events in Westminster

    * Cabinet ministers are having discussions about what to do if he stands down. They suggest he is in a dark place and are worried he could go. They are asking who should be interim PM

    * Notably NO cabinet ministers have come out to defend the PM in the last 24 hours

    * We've now had two big No 10 resignations in 24 hours - Morgan McSweeney and Tim Allan. The PM is losing his most senior allies

    * We haven't even begun to scratch the surface of the Mandelson files and their implications not just for Starmer but for Labour more broadly

    I rate Swinford but like a lot of political journos caught up in the 24 hour rolling news cycle I suspect he is justifying his wage.

    Epstein has barely harmed Trump and he is mentioned more times in the Epstein files than Jesus is in the bible.
    Cabinet Ministers are doing what Cabinet Minister should be doing.

    WORKING

    Cooper and Mahmood have made statements this morning

    Not everyone works 3 days a week and a staffer on X the other 4 days like Kemi (and an ex Tory MP very well known told me that)
    They are down the pit face, their screams of support cannot be heard by us surface folk
    They are just getting on with the job
    If anything they love Keir too much
  • FossFoss Posts: 2,376

    Miliband would be the worst option possible. He is bonkers. We have had our fill of him tyvm. Labour couldn't be that stupid could they?

    There's always Thornberry...
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,358

    The best reason for Starmer to go is so we don’t have to read anymore Currygate shite

    "He unfairly survived Currygate" will be carved on his headstone.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,579
    Utter silence from the cabinet since Pat McFadden yesterday morning

    Not a comment or tweet in support
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,147

    The best reason for Starmer to go is so we don’t have to read anymore Currygate shite

    "He unfairly survived Currygate" will be carved on his headstone.
    It's written in turmeric on my jeans
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    Andy_JS said:

    It's about time we had a working-class woman as PM. I might not agree with all of her policies but it would certainly be a breath of fresh air.

    Ange Vs Kemi would be fun !

    R.A.Y.N.E.R would be my personal choice as it would be a real shake up and a lot of fun but I don't think the PLP will go for her.

  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,344
    edited 1:54PM
    Just got back in.

    Has Birnam Wood come to Dunsinane yet?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 37,358

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes and Rayner can’t take the job because of her tax affairs then they should get Al Carns in .

    He scrubs up well. Looks good in his military gear and could tell Farage to go fxck himself with his plastic patriotism .

    You can’t have an unelected PM that even political junkies hadn’t heard of last week.
    Spell me out the rules that say that?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,724
    If Starmer goes, it is surely not inconceivable that there is a general election in 2026 or 2027.

    Yes, there would need to be a decent leader bounce etc but a new leader might fancy their chances against Farage if he is caught on the hop and not prepared for a campaign, and the Labour Party will otherwise face a very challenging narrative which haunted the Tories in the 2019 Parliament that the new leaders simply don’t have a mandate.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,386

    Just got back in.

    Has Birnam Wood come to Dunsinane yet?

    https://x.com/lankyframpard/status/2020688666683732207?s=20
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 7,489

    Yet again Starmer has been totally out played in the game of politics.

    He should go back into law and be a prosecutor again. He could prosecute Mandelson. He would probably enjoy that.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053

    If Starmer goes, it is surely not inconceivable that there is a general election in 2026 or 2027.

    Yes, there would need to be a decent leader bounce etc but a new leader might fancy their chances against Farage if he is caught on the hop and not prepared for a campaign, and the Labour Party will otherwise face a very challenging narrative which haunted the Tories in the 2019 Parliament that the new leaders simply don’t have a mandate.

    Yes, we could find ourselves going to the polls way sooner than 2029...
  • isamisam Posts: 43,575

    The best reason for Starmer to go is so we don’t have to read anymore Currygate shite

    We’ll need Ange to have failed to become PM, or to become PM then cease to be so for the truth about that cover up to emerge
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 27,591

    Yet again Starmer has been totally out played in the game of politics.

    He should go back into law and be a prosecutor again. He could prosecute Mandelson. He would probably enjoy that.
    He could call himself as a witness.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,147
    edited 1:59PM

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes and Rayner can’t take the job because of her tax affairs then they should get Al Carns in .

    He scrubs up well. Looks good in his military gear and could tell Farage to go fxck himself with his plastic patriotism .

    You can’t have an unelected PM that even political junkies hadn’t heard of last week.
    Spell me out the rules that say that?
    There's of course no rule, but HMK might raise an eyebrow that 'some bloke' has the confidence of the house above a member of his privy council and cabinet
    Stranger things have happened of course
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,344
    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That's an awful lot of Kroner. What on earth can he have given Epstein that was worth that kind of money?
  • isamisam Posts: 43,575

    If Starmer goes, it is surely not inconceivable that there is a general election in 2026 or 2027.

    Yes, there would need to be a decent leader bounce etc but a new leader might fancy their chances against Farage if he is caught on the hop and not prepared for a campaign, and the Labour Party will otherwise face a very challenging narrative which haunted the Tories in the 2019 Parliament that the new leaders simply don’t have a mandate.

    Rayner demanded a GE when Sunak took over, claiming he had no mandate from the public. You’d like to think she would want to distance herself from Reform, who refuse to hold by-elections when MPs defect. Farage used to criticise MPs who did so
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,355
    Sarwar really has nothing to lose, makes sense for him to go in first.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,819

    Cookie said:

    GIN1138 said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    I think Miiband, but they might have a temporary go with Rayner and try to spark a T.R.U.S,S style economic crisis as well as a political crisis, just for shits and giggles....
    Why are you Tories so desperate for Milliband to become leader AGAIN?

    I suspect you all underestimate Rayner. Remember Truss did the "what not to do" recce for her in 2022.
    Because we all have bets on him!
    Fair point.
    In all seriousness, everyone is commenting with different lenses on, and you never know which they are using.
    For example:
    - who wins me most money?
    - who do I think will win?
    - who do I think will be best placed for Labour?
    - who do I think will be best placed for the country?
    And in some cases, who do I really wish Labour would elect for their own disadvantage?

    And it's not always 100% clear what individuals are talking about in any given situation.

    For me, it's
    1: Ed Miliband (though for very small stakes!)
    2: Angela Rayner
    3: Dunno. Maybe Ed Miliband, actually. Reasonably respected within the party, I think, and can at least do a Michael Howard. Or maybe Bridget Phillipson, though I think her strengths are maybe overstated.
    4: Oooh, dunno, let's say - John Healey? Though there may be an element of projecting hoped-for characteristics onto an unknown entity there.

    (And for clarity: 5: not applicable, in my case: I may not much like the Labour Party, but I can't see any plausible way in which the demise of the Labour Party doesn't result in its replacement by something far less palatable.)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    Who knew on that balmy July day in 2024 that it would all end in tears so quickly...
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,344
    Scott_xP said:

    Just got back in.

    Has Birnam Wood come to Dunsinane yet?

    https://x.com/lankyframpard/status/2020688666683732207?s=20
    :)
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 31,722

    Utter silence from the cabinet since Pat McFadden yesterday morning

    Not a comment or tweet in support

    And this is why we have reached the end of the road. It's done and everyone knows it.

    Sarwar is that Kerplunk straw which when extracted brings forth an avalanche of falling objects..
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,147
    Mischievously it must now be time to switch tack to pointing out Labour are desperately trying to stop Sir Keirs crusade against corruption by ousting him
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,699
    Roger said:

    Roger said:

    With friends like Graham Stringer......

    What an appaling human being

    What has he done - gone to Reform ?
    No. He's just rent-a-gob. And in my opinion they're the worst. Every party has one
    So are Jess Phillips and Natalie Fleet but they get a free pass.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,819

    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That's an awful lot of Kroner. What on earth can he have given Epstein that was worth that kind of money?
    Bought a round in Oslo?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,386
    Guido says the Welsh leader will follow suit
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,579
    Eabhal said:

    Sarwar really has nothing to lose, makes sense for him to go in first.

    And Wales FM next because Wales is even worse for labour
  • FossFoss Posts: 2,376
    edited 2:04PM

    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That's an awful lot of Kroner. What on earth can he have given Epstein that was worth that kind of money?
    The Sky news blog claims it was left to her children... It doesn't bare thinking about.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 31,722
    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2020860602441166984

    BREAKING: Welsh Labour First Minister Eluned Morgan is set to follow Anas Sarwar in calling for Keir Starmer to resign

    lololol Morgan as well as Sarwar
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 57,559
    Eabhal said:

    Sarwar really has nothing to lose, makes sense for him to go in first.

    He's looking at having to resign himself if the May results are anything like as bad as the polling currently indicates. This gets his excuses in early. I would never suggest that Sarwar was sharp but its not completely stupid.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,470
    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    I challenge the forum, and the world beyond

    If someone predicted this peerless and constant parade of chaos, ineptitude, idiocy, treachery, clumsiness and grisly national humiliation then I salute a Seer for the Ages
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 21,343
    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    I challenge the forum, and the world beyond

    If someone predicted this peerless and constant parade of chaos, ineptitude, idiocy, treachery, clumsiness and grisly national humiliation then I salute a Seer for the Ages

    Some PB Tories did and unfortunately on this occasion they were right.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 8,293

    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That's an awful lot of Kroner. What on earth can he have given Epstein that was worth that kind of money?
    A heads up on the Norway Sovereign wealth fund's imminent policy changes?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    edited 2:06PM

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2020860602441166984

    BREAKING: Welsh Labour First Minister Eluned Morgan is set to follow Anas Sarwar in calling for Keir Starmer to resign

    lololol Morgan as well as Sarwar

    The tide is rapidly rising over Starmers head... Will he even last the day, nevernmind the week?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,238
    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,410
    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    I challenge the forum, and the world beyond

    If someone predicted this peerless and constant parade of chaos, ineptitude, idiocy, treachery, clumsiness and grisly national humiliation then I salute a Seer for the Ages

    It was basically Sunak only....
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923
    If both Scottish and Welsh leaders call for Starmer to resign and he doesn’t go then they’ve made things even worse for Labour in May .

  • TazTaz Posts: 24,699
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    A penalty from HMRC is not a criminal record. Johnson and Sunak both paid fines for criminal breaches -- Sunak twice. Yet they were Primes Ministers.
    I really like Angela Rayner but I don’t think she can become leader and then get a penalty .
    If it’s Rayner it’s a core vote strategy.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
    Big John! :open_mouth:
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 46,539
    IanB2 said:

    Sarwar about to fall for Starmer to go - things are hotting up

    Last desperate throw of the dice before schottischer Untergang, battle of the bulging bags of negative canvassing returns if you will.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 57,559

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
    In fairness I think you did @bigjohnowls

    I hoped for better. Not actually good but with the damage being at the margins. Its not really worked out like that.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,331

    If Starmer goes, it is surely not inconceivable that there is a general election in 2026 or 2027.

    Yes, there would need to be a decent leader bounce etc but a new leader might fancy their chances against Farage if he is caught on the hop and not prepared for a campaign, and the Labour Party will otherwise face a very challenging narrative which haunted the Tories in the 2019 Parliament that the new leaders simply don’t have a mandate.

    I would be very surprised if we ever had a GE earlier than the fifth year of a Parliament ever again, except in the circumstance when the PM lacked a majority for their central policy.

    After 2017 it is inconceivable.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,238
    Hopefully TSE has extensive holiday cancellation insurance



    No Deputy Editor worth their salt could possibly go away just as the worst LAB PM ever is toppled
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,470

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
    I’m not sure you sketched anything as wanky as this, however you were deeply skeptical and pessimistic, and respect to you for that accuracy
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 15,344
    carnforth said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That's an awful lot of Kroner. What on earth can he have given Epstein that was worth that kind of money?
    A heads up on the Norway Sovereign wealth fund's imminent policy changes?
    Well at least the Norwegian Government can now tax it and get 40% back.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923
    Taz said:

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    nico67 said:

    If Starmer goes who becomes Leader ?

    Rayner has that tax affair hanging over her . And the rest of the choices are hardly inspiring .

    The tax affair probably doesn't prevent her from become leader.
    You couldn’t risk that because she’s already struggling to repair the damage from last year . Labour can’t have a new leader who could possibly then get a penalty from the HMRC .
    A penalty from HMRC is not a criminal record. Johnson and Sunak both paid fines for criminal breaches -- Sunak twice. Yet they were Primes Ministers.
    I really like Angela Rayner but I don’t think she can become leader and then get a penalty .
    If it’s Rayner it’s a core vote strategy.
    Very funny !
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,470
    Scott_xP said:

    Guido says the Welsh leader will follow suit

    Yeah, he’s gone

    Because if he survives he will have to sack his Welsh and Scottish leaders, guaranteeing even worse defeats in May

    It’s done
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053

    Hopefully TSE has extensive holiday cancellation insurance



    No Deputy Editor worth their salt could possibly go away just as the worst LAB PM ever is toppled

    If only they'd stuck with Jezza...
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 7,489
    nico67 said:

    If both Scottish and Welsh leaders call for Starmer to resign and he doesn’t go then they’ve made things even worse for Labour in May .

    It would prove that London Labour don’t care about Scottish or Welsh Labour.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,238
    GIN1138 said:

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2020860602441166984

    BREAKING: Welsh Labour First Minister Eluned Morgan is set to follow Anas Sarwar in calling for Keir Starmer to resign

    lololol Morgan as well as Sarwar

    The tide is rapidly rising over Starmers head... Will he even last the day, nevernmind the week?
    Oh dear how sad never mind
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,773

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
    You really should have said something...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 59,838
    Cookie said:

    The North of England is proposing a joint Olympic bid:
    https://www.placenorthwest.co.uk/the-great-north-shoots-its-olympics-shot/

    Sponsored by Man Utd shareholders looking for someone else to foot the bill for their stadium rebuild?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 86,195
    Andy_JS said:

    Disappointing to hear reports that a now-resigned Norwegian ambassador apparently accepted $10 million from Epstein. What on earth were they thinking at the time?

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/jeffrey-epstein-norwegian-foreign-ministry-palestinian-israeli-b2916575.html

    That they'd get away with it.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,238
    SKS Fans whose the W**ker in the free suit
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 42,386
    @KennyFarq

    The dilemma of “he who wields the sword never wears the crown”, which has kept Starmer in power in recent weeks, has an answer this afternoon. The sword is wielded by someone who wants a different crown.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 69,579
    Scott_xP said:

    Guido says the Welsh leader will follow suit

    Good
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,773

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    I challenge the forum, and the world beyond

    If someone predicted this peerless and constant parade of chaos, ineptitude, idiocy, treachery, clumsiness and grisly national humiliation then I salute a Seer for the Ages

    Some PB Tories did and unfortunately on this occasion they were right.
    We did try to tell you. "He is Gordon Brittas, with a side order of Arnold Rimmer."
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 15,147
    Barricade the palace gates, Labour dudes, Keir might get in the car soon
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,470
    The BBC have finally managed to find a Labour figure willing to defend Starmer

    It’s “Paul Richards”

    He’s now claiming that flocks of people are “joining Labour in the last 48 hours just to show their support for Sir Keir”
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,272
    edited 2:14PM
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Guido says the Welsh leader will follow suit

    Yeah, he’s gone

    Because if he survives he will have to sack his Welsh and Scottish leaders, guaranteeing even worse defeats in May

    It’s done
    Looks like you'll be voting pretty soon in a Holborn & St Pancras by-election. Maybe that Andrew Feinstein bloke will win this time?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,427
    Scott_xP said:

    @KennyFarq

    The dilemma of “he who wields the sword never wears the crown”, which has kept Starmer in power in recent weeks, has an answer this afternoon. The sword is wielded by someone who wants a different crown.

    Fitting for New Labour’s coup de grace to come because of devolution.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 126,253

    NEW THREAD

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 23,053
    edited 2:17PM
    One thing you can say, if that if they'd stuck with Jezza (or someone from Labours far left) - Mandelson would have been nowhere near government and this scandal would never have happened. 💪
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 59,838
    DavidL said:

    Tim Allen, the comedian, was head of Communications at No 10? This explains so much.

    There’s a ‘toolmaker’ joke in there somewhere, or perhaps a Home Improvement joke?
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,872
    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    I challenge the forum, and the world beyond

    If someone predicted this peerless and constant parade of chaos, ineptitude, idiocy, treachery, clumsiness and grisly national humiliation then I salute a Seer for the Ages

    I have long held the view that Starmer is a technocrat not a politician or a leader of people.

    What the last 18 months have shown is how little preparation Labour did in opposition to get ready for government.

    But I hadn't anticipated this level of incompetence, chaos and bad politics.

    One of the biggest majorities in history and they can't govern. It is beyond belief.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 23,238

    Leon said:

    Did ANYONE expect Labour to be this crap?


    Yes
    You really should have said something...
    I know if only I hadnt held my council about SKS, Mandelson, Austerity Reeves and the whole shitshow

    BTW I remember when i called Mandelson a friend of Epstein and the site owners Brother told me there was no evidence of that and I must not repeat it!! Oh well
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,923
    Trump is like the Death Star.

    Starmer would never have appointed Mandelson if Harris had won the election . Starmers desperation to suck up to Trump and find someone sleazy enough to deal with him will cost him his job .

    He should have left Karen Pierce in the job who was very well regarded and wasn’t a sleaze bucket .
  • Brixian59Brixian59 Posts: 244
    Sandpit said:

    Cookie said:

    The North of England is proposing a joint Olympic bid:
    https://www.placenorthwest.co.uk/the-great-north-shoots-its-olympics-shot/

    Sponsored by Man Utd shareholders looking for someone else to foot the bill for their stadium rebuild?
    The North of England may well be usurped by a City that put in what was universally credited to be an outstanding bid for 1984, one that never stood a chance as President Sammaranch of the IOC wanted his home City Barcelona

    Birmingham has already got ICC NIA NEC proximity to water sport in Nottingham and Equestrian at Stoneleigh

    New Sports Quarter which will dwarf Etihadd site in Manchester.

    3 billion of American Funding and spades in ground imminently completion date 2032
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,470

    Miliband would be the worst option possible. He is bonkers. We have had our fill of him tyvm. Labour couldn't be that stupid could they?

    There are many (not me) who feel that it is undemocratic to change PM mid-term; meaning we have a PM with no mandate.

    The problem with Miliband is that the above would apply ... and some - because he was leader when rejected in a past GE.
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