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The big winners from the weekend’s Labour contretemps – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,304
    '26 failed Tory MPs have now joined Reform.

    You couldn’t trust them then, and you can’t trust them now.'
    https://x.com/labourpress/status/2015764155274268708?s=20
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,412

    The Tories need to make an offer on economic competence, business, strong defence, *and* immigration reform.

    There's a path to 30% there (albeit a very narrow one) if they play their cards right.

    Otherwise, they really will be down to sub 60 seats.

    They can't outbid Reform on immigration (culture wars v2), so they have to concentrate on economic competence, business and strong defence. Nobody else is in that space, so they can roam free *and* it's their comfort zone.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 8,211
    edited 2:29PM
    dixiedean said:

    Where has this idea that every SEND pupil must have a taxi come from?
    I worked at a SEND school covering a huge rural area. I mean rural, not Home Counties "rural".
    The vast majority (80%?) came on buses. The vast majority of the rest by their parents.
    A very few came by taxi, usually three or four in one, but that was usually because there weren't the numbers to make a bus full.

    Data, for reference:

    https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/home-to-school-transport-la-data-collection/2024-25

    "Estimate of pupils/learners using LA funded transport
    520,000
    National estimate extrapolated from responses from 115 local authorities

    Pre-16 SEND HTST pupils using single occupancy vehicles
    9%
    Based on responses from 108 local authorities"
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 8,621
    eek said:

    The Tories need to make an offer on economic competence, business, strong defence, *and* immigration reform.

    There's a path to 30% there (albeit a very narrow one) if they play their cards right.

    Otherwise, they really will be down to sub 60 seats.

    Immigration Reform after they were the ones who allowed over a million immigrants to arrive.

    Now granted it was Braverman and Jenrick who invited them in and organised housing for the illegal immigrants but I can't see Nigel saying that...
    Quite, but Casino is right, they do need to offer this as part of their proposal for government and although it’s a shitty card to play, play it they must.

    Their best hope, rather oddly, is if Shabana Mahmood actually gets a grip and manages to reduce immigration significantly and take the sting out of the issue.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    HYUFD said:

    '26 failed Tory MPs have now joined Reform.

    You couldn’t trust them then, and you can’t trust them now.'
    https://x.com/labourpress/status/2015764155274268708?s=20

    As Chris Mason often points out, Reform are the exciting new alternative to the Conservatives, with exciting new people who have never previously considered a career in national politics.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    edited 2:29PM

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    The Tories just can't help themselves from being nasty. What's the comment on mental health about?

    Obviously it looks like this series of defections has been stored up to give Reform momentum in the new year in the run-up to the local elections. But the local elections are still more than three months away. How many more are there going to be?

    The Tories can hardly keep saying that their MPs were such wrong 'uns that they're delighted to see them defect as the number that does so creeps ever higher. It really undermines their credibility.

    I do have to wonder at someone like Braverman who chooses this time to defect, when Farage has been so weak in his response to Trump's hostility towards Britain.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 65,289
    viewcode said:

    The Tories need to make an offer on economic competence, business, strong defence, *and* immigration reform.

    There's a path to 30% there (albeit a very narrow one) if they play their cards right.

    Otherwise, they really will be down to sub 60 seats.

    They can't outbid Reform on immigration (culture wars v2), so they have to concentrate on economic competence, business and strong defence. Nobody else is in that space, so they can roam free *and* it's their comfort zone.
    That's a trap. It's easy to jump from there to saying it should be ignored.

    A big part of the reason Reform exists is that they screwed up on that, so they need to neutralise it.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Scott_xP said:

    Tory spokesman on Suella Braverman's defection to Reform: "The Conservatives did all we could to look after Suella’s mental health, but she was clearly very unhappy."

    👀

    Probably best left unsaid. It is the Tories so they might just get away with it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,815

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just got home to hear the marvellous news that Kemi has managed to get rid of Suella!

    Are there any more vile Tories to defect?

    Norman Tebbit's ghost would I am sure now be preparing his endorsement of Farage as would Enoch Powell's
    I doubt it.
    Reform aren’t just “properly right wing Tory”, they’re a gang of spivs, chancers, and wannabe demagogues.
    Not all, Kruger for example is a principled intellectual heavyweight
    He’s a retarded person’s idea of a “principled intellectual”.
    In fact, he’s a twit, as most recently evidenced by his actual defection to Reform.
    That is a completely circular and mind-numbingly stupid argument.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 17,651
    Jonathan said:

    That Tory comment about Braverman's mental health is really ill judged. I don't like it and I doubt others will.

    Seems quite on brand for Badenoch, who seems to embrace the Nasty Party label enthusiastically.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 5,664
    edited 2:33PM

    Jonathan said:

    That Tory comment about Braverman's mental health is really ill judged. I don't like it and I doubt others will.

    Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory
    They've just dumped the core of the nasty party and yet somehow retained the label.

    I hope it was the intern and not anyone senior.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,789
    HYUFD said:

    moonshine said:

    HYUFD said:

    moonshine said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    maxh said:

    moonshine said:

    The reaction of the Tories on here to prominent right wingers leaving the party sadly validates my view that the party is now just a bluer version of the Lib Dems, and incapable of forming a big enough tent to ever be electable again.

    Was it not Johnson that shrank the tent with his demand for loyalty to his bastardised Brexit deal (not that I necessarily blame him for that - he probably took the only possible action to break the impasse)?

    A party that could once again accommodate e.g. a Ken Clarke will be far more electable than one that can accommodate e.g. a Jenrick.
    Boris attempted to follow The Donald's ruthless disregard for constitutional convention (and facts) but here, finally, the Supreme Court stopped him and the Cabinet wearied of him. Britain Trump indeed.
    No Farage is Britain Trump. Economically Boris was a big spender and much more liberal than Trump and Farage on immigration too, indeed Boris even backed Ken Clarke for Tory leader in 2001
    In 2001 Trump was a registered Democrat.
    Fair point, Farage has always been a Thatcherite though so on that basis Farage is even right of Trump economically
    Most western governments of all colours seem utterly addicted to over spending and transfer payments. I don’t know what’s to be done about it. Sunak was the most left wing Chancellor/PM in our history probably.
    Osborne was more fiscally conservative as to an extent were Hunt and Hammond and Stride is more in that vein too
    Osborne promised an austerity govt. He then went on to more than double (?) the national debt, taxed the productive parts of the economy, slashed capital spending and gave transfer payments to his core voters.
    The deficit fell from 10% in 2010 to 3% in 2016 as Osborne cut spending in all areas bar the NHS and local government (which admittedly should also have had fat cut).

    He also took the lowest earners out of income tax and cut corporation tax from 28% to 20% and introduced an Employment Allowance to reduce employers NI costs
    Interest rates were at 0.5% back then, which helped rather a lot.
  • berberian_knowsberberian_knows Posts: 141

    Scott_xP said:

    “At a certain age, about 86, 87, he
    started getting, what do they call it?” He pointed to his forehead and looked to his press secretary for the word that escaped him.

    “Alzheimer’s,” Leavitt said.

    “Like an Alzheimer’s thing,” Trump said. “Well, I don’t have it.

    https://bsky.app/profile/rodger.bsky.social/post/3mddfbqhur22a

    I believe he "aced" the Alzheimer's test. It's never been beaten like Trump beat it. The highest score ever!
    I hear he also did one of those "IQ" tests and got a score of 96 which is only 4 below perfect!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    edited 2:34PM
    Braverman is a talented and intelligent politician

    You can utterly despise her views - as of course the centrist Dorks all do - but still accept that she has real skills. And some courage - to stand apart

    Farage is assembling an impressive potential front bench. Thus disarming one of the main accusations against him

    Tories applauding her departure are insane. The party is becoming the Lib Dems without the amazing charm
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,815

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 54,113
    Leon said:

    Braverman is a talented and intelligent politician

    You can utterly despise her views - as of course the centrist Dorks all do - but still accept that she has real skills. And some courage - to stand apart

    Farage is assembling an impressive potential front bench. Thus disarming one of the main accusations against him

    Tories applauding her departure are insane. The party is becoming the Lib Dems without the amazing charm

    You are so easily impressed. It must be the low IQ.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 4,153

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
    Meh, at least they are not "standing with ICE".
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,991
    The Tories were shit. Vote for us...

    @benrileysmith
    Reform now has Boris Johnson’s…
    - chancellor (Zahawi)
    - communities sec (Jenrick)
    - culture sec (Dorries)
    - attorney general (Braverman)
    - political sec (Kruger)
    - skills minister (Jenkyns)
    - Northern powerhouse minister (Berry)
    - health minister (Caulfield)
    - parliamentary private sec (Nici)
    - assistant whip (Holloway)
    - Scottish minister (Offord)

    The old band getting back together
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
    To elicit sympathy for Braverman from Centrists and Lefties is some achievement.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,501
    dixiedean said:

    Where has this idea that every SEND pupil must have a taxi come from?

    Confusion with the LibDems?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 65,289

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
    Yes, that looks like that Tweet wasn't read or screened properly before it went out.

    What is said on a WhatsApp group or in the office isn't the same as what should be published.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Leon said:

    Braverman is a talented and intelligent politician

    You can utterly despise her views - as of course the centrist Dorks all do - but still accept that she has real skills. And some courage - to stand aparte

    Farage is assembling an impressive potential front bench. Thus disarming one of the main accusations against him

    Tories applauding her departure are insane. The party is becoming the Lib Dems without the amazing charm

    Have you dipped your foot in the water? N. Herefordshire would be easy pickings I would have thought. Particularly now they have realised they rejected the Tories in favour of sandal wearing commies.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Scott_xP said:

    The Tories were shit. Vote for us...

    @benrileysmith
    Reform now has Boris Johnson’s…
    - chancellor (Zahawi)
    - communities sec (Jenrick)
    - culture sec (Dorries)
    - attorney general (Braverman)
    - political sec (Kruger)
    - skills minister (Jenkyns)
    - Northern powerhouse minister (Berry)
    - health minister (Caulfield)
    - parliamentary private sec (Nici)
    - assistant whip (Holloway)
    - Scottish minister (Offord)

    The old band getting back together

    Signing the Lead Singer for an encore would be the icing on the cake.🍰
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,991
    @adambienkov.bsky.social‬

    The defection of Suella Braverman, who was sacked twice from Government in disgrace, spent £700m of taxpayers' money to send four volunteers to Rwanda on a deportation scheme that was then scrapped and has a public approval rating of minus 32 is currently being described as a "major coup" for Reform
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    Scott_xP said:

    @adambienkov.bsky.social‬

    The defection of Suella Braverman, who was sacked twice from Government in disgrace, spent £700m of taxpayers' money to send four volunteers to Rwanda on a deportation scheme that was then scrapped and has a public approval rating of minus 32 is currently being described as a "major coup" for Reform

    She's still popular on the right, and a Tory party that has lost all its most prominent figures on the right-wing will find it harder to contest that electoral space with Reform.

    And in Britain's current fractured politics Reform - Indeed any party - can probably win a majority on Foot's ~28% of the vote. They don't need to appeal to the centre ground at all.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,991
    ...
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 54,906
    Scott_xP said:

    The Tories were shit. Vote for us...

    @benrileysmith
    Reform now has Boris Johnson’s…
    - chancellor (Zahawi)
    - communities sec (Jenrick)
    - culture sec (Dorries)
    - attorney general (Braverman)
    - political sec (Kruger)
    - skills minister (Jenkyns)
    - Northern powerhouse minister (Berry)
    - health minister (Caulfield)
    - parliamentary private sec (Nici)
    - assistant whip (Holloway)
    - Scottish minister (Offord)

    The old band getting back together

    Reform now has more of Liz Truss's front bench than Badenoch.

    🤣🤣🤣
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,649

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
    Yeah, a bit classless from the Tories' twitter team, that.

    They could have simply said nothing at all. No-one forces you to tweet.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,789
    They want to list this ??

    Legal bid launched to secure protected status for brutalist landmark under threat of being bulldozed
    https://x.com/BrianDonnellyHT/status/2015511489755726276
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,748
    There's now an incredibly high chance of the Tories leading the next government, absent a miraculous Labour recovery.

    Still uncertain as to whether it will be Farage's Tories or Kemi's Tories. But it'll be one of them.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,206
    Cookie said:

    Conservative statement on Braverman

    https://x.com/i/status/2015780412723745102

    What an appalling statement. Prepubescent debating club boys running CCHQ. No wonder everyone is leaving.
    Yeah, a bit classless from the Tories' twitter team, that.

    They could have simply said nothing at all. No-one forces you to tweet.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3Mrfut-FSw
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    edited 2:59PM
    Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    Farage is assembling an impressive potential front bench.

    LOL

    From Liz Truss's cabinet

    That is one of you better jokes
    Let’s look at the main people in both parties, who will presumably be the Cabinet, should they win


    Reform::

    Farage, Yusuf, Jenrick, Braverman, Tice, Zahawi, Kruger

    Tories:

    Badenoch…. Er….. Mel thingy


    This is becoming a REAL existential problem for the Tories, they are “detoxing” themselves into irrelevant oblivion. This IS the “60 seats” strategy. Their aim is to survive as slightly more right wing Lib Dems, but with equal, nugatory chances of power, and a slow decline into extinction

    Farage wants to WIN and be PM
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,765
    Scott_xP said:

    @adambienkov.bsky.social‬

    The defection of Suella Braverman, who was sacked twice from Government in disgrace, spent £700m of taxpayers' money to send four volunteers to Rwanda on a deportation scheme that was then scrapped and has a public approval rating of minus 32 is currently being described as a "major coup" for Reform

    No. That Scott and paste is Gibberish.

    “Braverman spent £700m of taxpayers' money to send four volunteers to Rwanda on a deportation scheme that was then scrapped”

    Its current Conservative policy.

    That’s the main problem. do the defectors take the years of failure with them - as the Conservative Party HQ is trying to spin it as their isn’t another rebuttal option - or is it still owned by the Conservative Brand, defectors themselves getting washed clean by escaping the failures associated with the Conservative brand. 😕
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    Nigelb said:

    They want to list this ??

    Legal bid launched to secure protected status for brutalist landmark under threat of being bulldozed
    https://x.com/BrianDonnellyHT/status/2015511489755726276

    That building is such an eyesore, but it's in such a great location and it's a top candidate for being demolished and the site reused for a new building.

    Let's hope the legal bid fails.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    Ratters said:

    There's now an incredibly high chance of the Tories leading the next government, absent a miraculous Labour recovery.

    Still uncertain as to whether it will be Farage's Tories or Kemi's Tories. But it'll be one of them.

    It's good to have the political struggle between the two factions in the Tory party conducted out in the open, where it will be the voters who decide which one wins.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,123
    I assumed that the Kier Starmer Irn-Bru photo was an AI joke but it turns out that it was real...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,123
    Trump moves to take control of the situation in Minnesota:

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015782103309263282

    “I am sending Tom Homan to Minnesota tonight. He has not been involved in that area, but knows and likes many of the people there. Tom is tough but fair, and will report directly to me...” - President Donald J. Trump
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231

    Nigelb said:

    They want to list this ??

    Legal bid launched to secure protected status for brutalist landmark under threat of being bulldozed
    https://x.com/BrianDonnellyHT/status/2015511489755726276

    That building is such an eyesore, but it's in such a great location and it's a top candidate for being demolished and the site reused for a new building.

    Let's hope the legal bid fails.
    But this is Scotland. There is a high chance that ugly piece of dreck will be replaced by something even worse. Cf the Jobbie Building
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,789
    .

    Trump moves to take control of the situation in Minnesota:

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015782103309263282

    “I am sending Tom Homan to Minnesota tonight. He has not been involved in that area, but knows and likes many of the people there. Tom is tough but fair, and will report directly to me...” - President Donald J. Trump

    "Moves to take control" ?
    You mean it was rogue elements from his administration who were responsible for the chaos, and he's only just realised ?
  • eekeek Posts: 32,375
    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 17,651
    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Says man posting on same forum.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,412
    Nigelb said:

    They want to list this ??

    Legal bid launched to secure protected status for brutalist landmark under threat of being bulldozed
    https://x.com/BrianDonnellyHT/status/2015511489755726276

    I quite like it. But it doesn't fit in Edinburgh. Or possibly anywhere IRL.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    That Tory statement on Braverman is quite breath-takingly stupid. She has “mental health issues”, and “we’re going to joke about them”

    WTFFF?

    How long before they retract it and apologise. I give it six hours
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231

    Scott_xP said:

    @adambienkov.bsky.social‬

    The defection of Suella Braverman, who was sacked twice from Government in disgrace, spent £700m of taxpayers' money to send four volunteers to Rwanda on a deportation scheme that was then scrapped and has a public approval rating of minus 32 is currently being described as a "major coup" for Reform

    She's still popular on the right, and a Tory party that has lost all its most prominent figures on the right-wing will find it harder to contest that electoral space with Reform.

    And in Britain's current fractured politics Reform - Indeed any party - can probably win a majority on Foot's ~28% of the vote. They don't need to appeal to the centre ground at all.
    The Centrist Dorks don’t seem to understand this. Please educate them. I can no longer be arsed

    Also I have to write 1200 words about that fucking penguin
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,304
    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    Former Tory Chancellor's daughter takes over from Reform MP's mum then!
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,340
    For Edmund in Tokyo
    Facebook some contributor called The Lamented. No idea if true or not.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    One of the best community notes on Twitter

    https://x.com/reddcinema/status/2014757914964037762?s=61
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    edited 3:13PM

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    What about Chris Philp?

    Current shadow Home Secretary, he was Chief Secretary to the Treasury in the Truss Ministry for the disastrous Kwarteng budget.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,304
    edited 3:15PM

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    Sir Christoper Chope, Sir John Hayes, Esther McVey, Katie Lam, Lewis Cocking, Bradley Thomas, Matt Vickers and Joy Morrissey and Sir Desmond Swayne of those still Tory MPs.

    Mark Francois was also on the list but he was scathing about Jenrick's disloyalty last week
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    HYUFD said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    Former Tory Chancellor's daughter takes over from Reform MP's mum then!
    True 😃
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
    How did you tolerate the inane yet weirdly irritating tedium? An endless diet of trite, middlebrow opinions from @eek, @Nigelb, @Cicero and @OnlyLivingBoy - like a vegan diet from Tofu Hell, with extra quinoa
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    What about Chris Philp?

    Current shadow Home Secretary, he was Chief Secretary to the Treasury in the Truss Ministry for the disastrous Kwarteng budget.
    Wendy Morton MP was Chief Whip under Truss, but persona non grata when Sunak took over. Maybe she's one for defection watch?
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
    How did you tolerate the inane yet weirdly irritating tedium? An endless diet of trite, middlebrow opinions from @eek, @Nigelb, @Cicero and @OnlyLivingBoy - like a vegan diet from Tofu Hell, with extra quinoa
    Dip in and out less and less really. Not that it would bother anyone.

    Last night, for example, I had a look. Saw it was pile on time for poor old Sandpit. So thought screw that.

    Diversity of opinion and thought should be welcomed.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,304
    edited 3:20PM

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    What about Chris Philp?

    Current shadow Home Secretary, he was Chief Secretary to the Treasury in the Truss Ministry for the disastrous Kwarteng budget.
    No, Philp was a Remainer in 2016 and was one of Kemi's original leadership backers in 2024
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 125,893

    NEW THREAD

  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 27,231
    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Now? Perhaps.

    I'd say the forum had a really positive attitude from late October to about 2 weeks ago.

    I would what's changed since then to affect now?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 66,231
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
    Well, yes. It makes them feel comfy, it is quite sad

    We used to compare PB to a raucous pub, which it was, at its best. It has become more of a low-to-middling golf club crossed with pre-trans Mumsnet
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
    Well, yes. It makes them feel comfy, it is quite sad

    We used to compare PB to a raucous pub, which it was, at its best. It has become more of a low-to-middling golf club crossed with pre-trans Mumsnet
    I remember you making that comparison with dear old Ishmael, who as cantankerous as he was I do miss, being the drunk in the corner.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,304

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    What about Chris Philp?

    Current shadow Home Secretary, he was Chief Secretary to the Treasury in the Truss Ministry for the disastrous Kwarteng budget.
    Wendy Morton MP was Chief Whip under Truss, but persona non grata when Sunak took over. Maybe she's one for defection watch?
    Kemi promoted Morton to be her Shadow Development Minister, so no
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 21,318
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
    Well, yes. It makes them feel comfy, it is quite sad

    We used to compare PB to a raucous pub, which it was, at its best. It has become more of a low-to-middling golf club crossed with pre-trans Mumsnet
    The irony is that you and Taz are the ones currently having a circle jerk
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    edited 3:25PM

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    What about Chris Philp?

    Current shadow Home Secretary, he was Chief Secretary to the Treasury in the Truss Ministry for the disastrous Kwarteng budget.
    Wendy Morton MP was Chief Whip under Truss, but persona non grata when Sunak took over. Maybe she's one for defection watch?
    Or Kit Malthouse MP?

    He was part of Johnson's gang when Johnson was Mayor of London, serving as deputy Mayor for the whole eight years. He then joined Johnson's cabinet to make up the numbers in July 2022 when everyone else resigned, and was Secretary of State for Education under Truss, but returned to the backbenches when Sunak took over.

    The main doubt I have is that he's a co-sponsor of the assisted dying bill, so he probably has higher priorities than jumping ship at the moment.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,789
    Leon said:

    That Tory statement on Braverman is quite breath-takingly stupid. She has “mental health issues”, and “we’re going to joke about them”

    WTFFF?

    How long before they retract it and apologise. I give it six hours

    Badenoch (she ultimately has to take responsibility) might have undone her newfound reputation for competence scant days after gaining it.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    edited 3:31PM
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
    I'm here for the people who can disagree with others with reasoned arguments, and/or specific domain knowledge about topics where I'm ignorant.

    But people who share conspiratorial fascist propaganda, or mindless diatribes, not so much.

    The latter have driven away a lot of the more interesting posters, so it's a bit rich to complain about those who are left being dull.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,765
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
    How did you tolerate the inane yet weirdly irritating tedium? An endless diet of trite, middlebrow opinions from @eek, @Nigelb, @Cicero and @OnlyLivingBoy - like a vegan diet from Tofu Hell, with extra quinoa
    Would you like some of my avocado dip with that post?
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,167
    HYUFD said:

    For those who have a better knowledge of Tory MPs, who are the most likely to be the next to jump ship?

    Sir Christoper Chope, Sir John Hayes, Esther McVey, Katie Lam, Lewis Cocking, Bradley Thomas, Matt Vickers and Joy Morrissey and Sir Desmond Swayne of those still Tory MPs.

    Mark Francois was also on the list but he was scathing about Jenrick's disloyalty last week
    This is great, thanks.

    I used to think Esther McVey was a rising star in the Tory firmament. Maybe she has a future in a Farage ministry?
  • Scott_xP said:

    Leon said:

    Farage is assembling an impressive potential front bench.

    LOL

    From Liz Truss's cabinet

    That is one of you better jokes
    Imagine being so rubbish that you were not only sacked from Liz Truss's Cabinet, but that you stood out as more rubbish than the others in Liz Truss's cabinet, and that you stood out so soon that Liz Truss was actually still Prime Minister.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
  • Leon said:

    That Tory statement on Braverman is quite breath-takingly stupid. She has “mental health issues”, and “we’re going to joke about them”

    WTFFF?

    How long before they retract it and apologise. I give it six hours

    Nice we can agree on something before you flounce again.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    edited 3:40PM
    I don't understand why all the Tories on here are down in the dumps. The cream of Johnson's cabinet now ten to fifteen points ahead of the government in the polls.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    I don’t know. I just used to like her cookery shows.

    No one could lick a spoon like her.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 34,867
    Since the year 2000, Britain has been nailing this
    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/XBCOtkqNZnM

    Offshore wind & CFDs explained.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    edited 3:43PM
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    I don’t know. I just used to like her cookery shows.

    No one could lick a spoon like her.
    The old bird* is my age for goodness sake, and her most recent TV outings are still charged with visual sexual innuendo.

    * Nigella not Pru.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 46,379

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    eek said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    So long, farewell, auf wiedersehen, good bye

    Don't like the door hit you on the way out.
    Don’t worry I’ll be banned again soon enough. Whatevs
    I do get the Impression the majority here would rather have a group where everyone shares the same core set of views and just spend all day broadly agreeing with each other.
    Well, yes. It makes them feel comfy, it is quite sad

    We used to compare PB to a raucous pub, which it was, at its best. It has become more of a low-to-middling golf club crossed with pre-trans Mumsnet
    The irony is that you and Taz are the ones currently having a circle jerk
    Can 2 do a circle jerk? More likely a reach around.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,272

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    I don’t know. I just used to like her cookery shows.

    No one could lick a spoon like her.
    The old bird* is my age for goodness sake, and her most recent TV outings are still charged with visual sexual innuendo.

    * Nigella not Pru.
    Just googled. She’s 66 !!

    I had her pegged about 55.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824

    Since the year 2000, Britain has been nailing this
    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/XBCOtkqNZnM

    Offshore wind & CFDs explained.

    Reform are having that shite torn down. Think of the seagulls. Drill baby drill is the mantra and a commission of 10% will do nicely.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    I don’t know. I just used to like her cookery shows.

    No one could lick a spoon like her.
    The old bird* is my age for goodness sake, and her most recent TV outings are still charged with visual sexual innuendo.

    * Nigella not Pru.
    Just googled. She’s 66 !!

    I had her pegged about 55.
    I suspect she is still being pegged at 66. But congratulations anyway.

  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,765

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    The actual battle is not with reform, it’s the Conservative Brand that is the biggest battle for the Conservative Party right now. The solution has to be go be different to Reform, don’t be reform but with that bad record in government that loses voters, or else reform win, move back to the centre, and stop merely photocopying Farage’s policies like using ICE to deport seven hundred thousand people living working and in school here, stop being a drill baby drill party of climate change deniers, don’t glibly leave ECHR before pushing for reform. Etc.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,824

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    In news that will matter far more to the public than the rancid Braverman, magic MILF Nigella Lawson has taken over from Danny Krueger’s Mom on Bake Off.

    https://x.com/britishbakeoff/status/2015771750995197996?s=61

    A Tory gain from Reform in the Bakeoff Constituency?
    Sadly it’s even worse.

    It’s filmed in Welford Park in Newbury which is Lib Dem territory.
    I was just trying to cheer the crestfallen Tories. Back in the day wasn't she on the New Labour celebrity circuit?
    The actual battle is not with reform, it’s the Conservative Brand that is the biggest battle for the Conservative Party right now. The solution has to be go be different to Reform, don’t be reform but with that bad record in government that loses voters, or else reform win, move back to the centre, and stop merely photocopying Farage’s policies like using ICE to deport seven hundred thousand people living working and in school here, stop being a drill baby drill party of climate change deniers, don’t glibly leave ECHR before pushing for reform. Etc.
    It's genius politics mind.

    Crash your brand so much that the hope of re election is minimal, so take over a third party/ limited company outfit who are in the ascendency. When Johnson and Truss sign up you will see I am right.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 17,651
    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
    How did you tolerate the inane yet weirdly irritating tedium? An endless diet of trite, middlebrow opinions from @eek, @Nigelb, @Cicero and @OnlyLivingBoy - like a vegan diet from Tofu Hell, with extra quinoa
    I find your scorn oddly life-affirming. Thank you for acknowledging my existence.
    Calling others "middlebrow" and following up with a tofu gag! I assume the irony was intentional.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,895
    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Taz said:

    Leon said:

    Jesus fucking Christ this forum is now near-useless

    Ha, you should have been here when that Epping Hotel sex pest was jailed. It was racism some said and one even claimed he had just been being friendly and misunderstood 😂😂😂😂
    How did you tolerate the inane yet weirdly irritating tedium? An endless diet of trite, middlebrow opinions from @eek, @Nigelb, @Cicero and @OnlyLivingBoy - like a vegan diet from Tofu Hell, with extra quinoa
    Dip in and out less and less really. Not that it would bother anyone.

    Last night, for example, I had a look. Saw it was pile on time for poor old Sandpit. So thought screw that.

    Diversity of opinion and thought should be welcomed.

    If we are allowing ourselves to be dragged into Leon's faux-nostalgia for PB past times (a lament which is as predictable as it is tedious)...

    ...my ideal would be a forum which tolerates neither pile-ons nor snowflakes. But given we are not in an ideal world, speaking for myself I'd prefer to be piled-on if I had lost my way politically than to be tolerated as a snowflake (this is not a comment on Sandpit).

    There is plenty of space for diversity of opinion and thought on this forum. If people choose to self-censor, that is their problem.
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