Am I a f*cking idiot? – politicalbetting.com
Am I a f*cking idiot? – politicalbetting.com
President Trump said he has not “really thought about” a third term in office but that he would “love to” run again in 2028, while also pointing to senior cabinet members as potential candidates https://t.co/1R5W5BCXgp
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He’s trolling you all, and won’t be running in 2028.
It's not even as though he tried to hide what he was doing.
But the question is not whether the senile old creep is running, but whether *any* likely Republican candidate will allow free and fair elections. Most of the senior party figures are either as corrupt and vile as Trump (Vance) or cowed into silence (Haley).
First, you believe the other lot are going to utterly destroy society, in a way that goes beyond normal political disagreement. You believe that because you have let your brain be filled with the sort of slop social media spews out all the time.
Because of that, you have done the whole "destroy the village to save it" thing with the American state. And you kind of know at the back of your mind that, if anyone else is in power, they will ask you awkward questions.
And it's not as if the American electoral process is that robust at the best of times, is it?
But I'm sure it will be fine... eventually.
You do apparently rate The Last Jedi as a film.
No way are the mid terms going to be fair elections. There will be voter intimidation and suppression like we have never seen before.
Previous topic. Loved the Queen. Want to abolish the whole lot of them now.
By 2028 the economy I expect will be more buggered than a gay porn star on OnlyFans and the Dems win.
I doubt it will be Trump himself, but someone from the billionaire class, put forward to prevent an investigation into how they have turned democracy into kleptocracy, or more accurately a kakistocracy if it is one of the Trump offspring.
The alternative - of losing - risks having billonaires hanging from lamp-posts by piano wire and confiscation of all their assets to resume paying for food stamps.
I just don't see it not only from the constitutional problem but his age
I was moving our daughter into her new home yesterday and missed the Rachel Reeves story
Just another problem for her even if the Estate Agents failed to advise her but as @DavidL said on the last thread the monthly income is considerable and no NI
As a matter of interest is there a penalty and if so what is it as I haven't heard of the need for a license to rent. ?
Not as serious as Rayner but just another story adding to the general opinion of how out of touch labour are
Carmakers in the EU are “days away” from closing production lines, the industry has warned, as a crisis over computer chip supplies from China escalates.
The European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association (ACEA) issued an urgent warning on Wednesday saying its members, which include BMW, Fiat, Peugeot and Volkswagen, were now working on “reserve stocks but supplies are dwindling”.
“Assembly line stoppages might only be days away. We urge all involved to redouble their efforts to find a diplomatic way out of this critical situation,” said its director general, Sigrid de Vries.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/oct/29/europe-carmakers-china-computer-chip
Doubtless Labour politicians think the answer is more welfarism.
https://x.com/youranonnews/status/1983159687077081515?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
It's a shame but all the indications are that this is the case.
It's the whiniest and most self-serving nonsense I've read since the last time I had an email from Centrica.
The Dems then chose to ignore how successful the strategy was becoming and instead obsess about abortion.
Of course he will invoke the Insurrection Act. And arrest some Governors.
America is over. Hasn't that been clear for a while?
My new Apple Watch lighting up to say 'it looks like you're working out' when I'm in the middle of a particularly challenging poo, marks a new low in my life
https://x.com/fesshole/status/1983570781847085096
See Kamala Harris on her book tour trying to blame everyone else, see AOC getting in an online fight with an advocate for women’s sports being for women, see Mamdani and his rent controls and state-owned groceries, see Democrat Senators describing food stamps as ‘leverage’ even if it means people starving… That’s all in the last 72 hours.
If they can regroup and find a sensible candidate, and there are a few decent Dem Governors out there, then they have a chance.
I’m betting on Rubio and Vance as the GOP ticket, but not sure which way around.
And how much more of their ill-gotten gains they have to re-apply.
I think I will have to deploy the Farage photo soon.
Remember he was a Democrat in the 1990s, the GOP was always just a vehicle for his ego and desire to be President and protectionist and nationalist views
QTWTAIN
QTWTAIN!!!
The whole mentality of people who can never be satisfied, despite enjoying great wealth, status, and power, is fascinating. Alexander's generals could not be satisfied with ruling enormous territories and living in splendour, but squandered vast resources (and their own lives), trying to conquer the whole lot. Caesar and Octavian were simply the most successful of the multimillionaire aristocrats who pillaged the Mediterranean and Gaul, in order to be first man in Rome (and the vast majority ended up dying violently in the process). Even after Octavian won, his dynasty spent a century murdering each other, and potential rivals, before they died out (Nero murdered his mother, brother, and two wives).
So, a billionaire might be reclining on his yacht in Monaco harbour, a mistress young enough to be his granddaughter by his side, and then quite suddenly, someone sails into the harbour in an even bigger boat, and his enjoyment is destroyed, as he worries about the size of his ... yacht. What's a billion, when the other man has two billion? What's ten billion, when there are people with fortunes that exceed one hundred billion? Getting more money is just keeping score, at this point.
I'm not saying that Claudia Winkleman is to blame, but it wouldn't shock me. If not her, then [REDACTED SPOILER].
The US under Biden invested heavily in chip manufacturing plants, but there seems little appetite from Europe to do the same.
European politicians and companies do appear to be trying to kill their own car industry.
https://x.com/s8mb/status/1983620129083838932
I suspect it will be viewed rather dimly by the general public, who won’t look into things in any great detail. In the same way as Rayner’s stamp duty became “minister avoids tax” rather than “minister caught out by a rather obscure tax rule.”
2026 Midterms do not happen in the blue cities which are under Marshall Law. Congress resumes with reelected MAGA candidates only plus the Democrats from rural areas where the election actually took place
2028 General Election can't be held safely due to terrorists (e.g. Gavin Newsome) having control of the ballot in large parts of the US, so regretfully is "postponed"
The talk about "will Trump be fit / alive" misses the point. You only need a candidate if you have an election.
I know I can be prone to flights of fancy, catastrophising for entertainment. But MAGA are well on track to deliver this scenario and are openly telling journalists they are going to do so...
We've had a cornucopia of Tory minimisation this morning -
Sandpit: he's not running, so it's all OK.
Casino: the Dems don't get it - possibly true, but for this discussion very much a second order question - the Dems getting it would help a little but it is not primarily about that any more
Big G: Ho hum, Rachel Reeves
Cumbria: 🤡
What I don't know is how far, how fast the Republicans will go, a lot of norms have been torn apart, but I don't necessarily think the left narrative that we are at the edge of Naziism today is the best one - we still always default to Germany rather than Chile or many other elsewheres which perhaps give more credible trajectories, we know Trump has a tendency to push then back down, and there is a lot of road yet to go - a crumb of reassurance, but the amount yet to go is also a worry of how much further this can go. The question is, how far down this road are we and how far are we going.
This is the significant paragraph.
..I was told that I was getting distracted by the talk of Trump running for a third term the issue is that the Republicans (including Trump) have committed egregious breaches of the law which has enriched themselves. If they let the Democratic party retake power in 2029 they are likely to be prosecuted for corruption...
Trump has been gifted immunity for any actions as President by a corrupt Supreme Court.
That absolutely does not apply to the coterie that surrounds him, and who are largely in control of the administrations policy, beyond the occasional whims of the President. They, not he, are for example the ones who run the largest by far federal "law enforcement" organisation in US history.
Reeves’ situation is minor in comparison, but nonetheless another illustration of the pitfalls that any of us can fall into, and the need for politicians to take proper advice before they do anything. Also that 2020s Labour have turned from the party of workers into the party of landlords.
Very unlikely she’ll need to resign, unless there’s a lot more to the story that we don’t yet know or she gets caught in a barefaced lie.
Losing her would be a massive blow to the PM right before the Budget.
Chancellor Rachel Reeves has said she plans to scrap "needless form filling" in a bid to boost business growth.
Speaking at a regional investment summit in Birmingham, the chancellor said the reforms would boost growth and "make the UK a top destination for global capital".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c629z48jjg7o
Who needs to abolish form filling when you can ignore the forms.
I don't doubt Trump will pull every lever he can to protect himself in office, or even try and find a way to stay in office, but it's much easier to deal with the fact he might be trying to stack the deck in his favour than engage with why they keep losing to him because that might require them to ask some very hard questions of themselves.
Given she was 80/1 when no one had heard of her, I think the 33s seems too big.
I mean, I know you and Anacashazina will go mad at the very suggestion, but it's the obvious way out of the difficulty.
Fewer landlords likely too, making it more difficult to find properties to rent and with unemployment likely to rise further and growth slow with higher tax, more redtape and regulation and a minimum wage level that makes it too costly for small businesses to do much hiring fewer will be able to buy a home either.
We are heading for the worst Labour government for the economy since the 1970s
(Not seen comparable figures for this year- are governments doing any better?)
Which I see as a net positive for society as a whole.
... I admit a balance needs to be struck so new building continues. But I'm not sure landlords regs are the main obstacle there.
Behind Sulla, Marius and Caesar were a host of lieutenants and “clients”*
If the Main Man hadn’t taken over Rome, they would have been ruined with him. The other side would strip them of their wealth to reward *their lieutenants and clients.
So these men had a host of nothing-to-lose followers.
*hard to express in modern terms - a lower status individual who pledge themselves to support a higher. In return they got protection, basically.
As far as I am aware however, they are not automatically applied - and are probably used only when necessary to enforce compliance, rather than to punish an inadvertent breach. Which is pretty well as it should be.
The Law For Little People
This will expressly excuse the NU10K from obeying a whole host of laws, since they are too busy and important to need to bother.
A few of my properties are rented out to people who are transient (such as students or a lady on a one year secondment.)
The alternative was, of course, unthinkable.
It meant that both parties’ activists had an online voice.
Whether it will have any practical consequence is doubtful.
One thing which simply doesn't happen here is any genuine cost benefit analysis of regulation.
Oh to have George C. Marshall running things.
Pretty much no chance it gets ratified by enough States before 2028 though.
“Make America California Again” isn’t even popular in California at the moment, let alone the swing States.
Stephen Miller has said it out loud, in the infamous "silent interview", where he stops to pretend the cameras have stopped running, but Miller remains blinking, Trump has "plenary authority" Miller blurted out before realising his error. Stephen Miller has called Dems "domestic terrorists". The coup is not in progress, it is done, there is now just the one branch of Government and Stephen Miller is the puppet King's master.
Democrats who "get it" will either be dead or making Indiana state licence plates in Terra Haute.
Would Tom Cotton or Josh Hawley back a constitutional amendment that might end their hopes of becoming President?
Absent a by-election win or two that isn't changing before the next election. And where are those by-election wins coming from? Hard to ee. Penny Mordaunt taking Rishi's seat maybe. Few others.
That might wind up Trump sufficiently to end any further nonsense from him on the issue.
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2025-national/
As far as the nomination is concerned, New Hampshire is leaning Buttigieg.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/poll-reveals-leading-2028-democratic-173326450.html
That doesn't need to be Trump it could be a different Trump, Vance or A.N.Other. The point is the elections need to be rigged so that (Republican) candidate definitely wins...
Edit - on the other hand the democrats dealt with Trump's crimes so incompetently from 2021 to 2024 I don't see the Republicans have anything to worry about.
https://x.com/planesanity/status/1983790519357481358