Following the colonies – politicalbetting.com
Following the colonies – politicalbetting.com
Thought this was quite an interesting question. We asked which political party do people think is most "American" in it's style and Reform comes out on top by a country mile. Most likely to do with Trump, but also perhaps their more attention grabbing set pieces?
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No Katie 🤨
https://x.com/conservatives/status/1976622213974642861?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
Its not Obama's fault, and I have a lot of time for him. I imagine him running again is the main reason Trump would not abolish the two term limit. But he really didn't deserve the Nobel for simply getting elected.
I should have made it a bag of sand.
Edit/ OK, I see it…. Stock indexes fell sharply Friday after President Donald Trump threatened "massive" tariffs on China
Asking for a friend.
Looking at the GE24 results, the Incumbent Party took 300 seats. And the latest MRP appears to indicate they'll take 213 seats so the battle seems to be for the Reform curious who might not be curious at all in a couple of years.
Pritzker to @gregsargent.bsky.social: "Trump says a lot of crazy things. I genuinely think there's something wrong with him. I wish his family would intervene... I don’t think anybody around is going to do it bc they’re benefiting from his dementia"
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3m2tzphqdys2e
If you want to see the scale of the AI bubble though look at https://www.wheresyoured.at/the-ai-bubbles-impossible-promises/ which has a number of points but if you just focus on the energy required you will see that none of the AI data centres can be built because there isn't the power to supply them.
A new 1gigawatt AI data centre requires 1.3 to 1.4 gigawatts to power the GPUs and cooling hardware and the lead time for a efficient gas turbine is currently 7 years. That means those centres destined to arrive in 2026-8 aren't being built..
But it's a non-zero chance, surely. Which is -in itself- quite frightening.
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028?tid=1760111541658
You don't like him, do you, TSE.
It used to be a strand of thinking on the Conservative right, it's also where Blue Labour have landed, isn't it? I'm not sure it's where Farage ever was, because he doesn't like taxes.
The cynical answer is that right-populism has always tended to use culture wars to distract the lower orders from the downsides of right wing economics, and money to distract the elites from the authoritarianism. It would be better if it didn't work, but it does.
Adding solar panels to AI data centers is a nobrainer, and in China, it's practically compulsory.
But the US's tariffs on solar panels from China basically mean it no longer happesn in the US, and makes it harder to compete because US AI plays are paying more for power.
I see Trump has also cancelled a meeting with President Xi and threatened yet higher tariffs on Chinese imports after a dispute over minerals
https://news.err.ee/1609824438/russia-s-gru-parcel-bomb-operation-traced-to-estonia
(TLDR: Russian GRU tried to blow up cargo flights from Warsaw, Leipzig and Birmingham last month.)
The naked lies Farage has told about not being meeting Russian spies (he did), never meeting the Russian Ambassador (he had) etc etc will be far more unpopular than being close to the US, especially when, Trump aside (I know, I know), the USA is still reasonably well liked in Britain.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15181035/Digital-ID-cards-needed-buy-pint-pub-ministers-accused-taking-Big-Brother-approach-civil-liberties.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_Peace_Prize_laureates
FPT: This correction: Teddy Roosevelt was, of course, a Republican when he won the prize. (He split later to form his own party in the 2012 election.)
This is all happening because (a bit like their stupid “our economy is at deaths door and there will be all sorts of pain in our budget but we’re not going to tell you what. Enjoy your summer” wheeze after winning the GE), they just said they’d consult on what the final policy looked like. That just breeds speculation.
They should’ve just announced the policy, warts and all, and that would have killed all these “mission creep” headlines.
Or better still, they shouldn’t have announced it at all. Because it’s a crap policy.
And for a lot of people, 'keeping things as they are' means no immigrants. I don't see why the Hard Left is so supportive of immigration - simplistically it depresses wages, so I would have through that they ought to oppose it on economic grounds, rather like the old Trades Unions applying restrictive practices etc to restrict entry to certain industries with the aim of keeping wages high. They don't have to be (overtly) racist, although the cold war Communists had no problem with being nationalist to the point of racism. The first populist left party to get its act together in terms of leadership and coherence and oppose immigration will win a landslide.
Especially as by then a Reform government will also have failed badly and they will be the only option not tried, after 50 years of (more or less) right-wing capitalist governments. Not something I want to see personally, but I can see how it could happen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlQZ2gvnmD8 (18mins)
Ref 31.5%
Lab 20.1%
Con 17.6%
LD 13.7%
Grn 10.4%
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2025
Congratulations to new Nobel Peace Prize laureate María Corina Machado for her courageous struggle to bring democracy to Venezuela. It should inspire those engaged in similar struggles around the world - and remind those of us lucky enough to live in America that we have a solemn responsibility to constantly preserve and defend our own hard-won democratic traditions.
https://x.com/BarackObama/status/1976689421069009235
Pete Hegseth announces that Qatar, an Authoritarian regime, will be authorized to build an Air Force training base on U.S soil in Idaho.
A foreign regime, not a NATO ally, with military inside America…What the actual fuck?
https://x.com/CalltoActivism/status/1976665259030319465
Our 16 year old grandson, who has just started his 3 year catering course, arrived today with sticky toffee pudding and sauce he had made, and it was quite the best we have tasted anywhere
Who says our FE colleges are not worth it, though it does have an excellent reputation and many years ago my cousin qualified there and eventually became a director of Trust House Forte
https://youtu.be/XZ3OPifyQZ8?si=xjY0zqhfJZuEH0tC
Even in the present circumstances, the EU is likely to be very angry about the really insane stuff being applied to their citizens. Such as storing primary biometric id - not just a hash of your fingerprint.
Yes, the last time this was planned, the idea was to include in the database of every actual fingerprint in the country. And eye scans.
What's wrong with that? asks @kinabalu. Well, when the data is stolen, as it will be, changing your fingerprints may be a bit hard. And no, it's perfectly possible to do finger print recognition without storing your primary fingerprint.
Plus it is more the car companies. Better for them if they sell more cars, rather than panels.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurell_K._Hamilton
Laura Loomer
@LauraLoomer
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1h
Never thought I’d see Republicans give terror financing Muslims from Qatar a MILITARY BASE on US soil so they can murder Americans.
I don’t think I’ll be voting in 2026.
I cannot in good conscience make any excuses for the harboring of jihadis.
This is where I draw the line.
https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1976668333539021140
Hegseth has announced a deal to give the Qatar a military base in Idaho. Yes you read that right!
They insisted on taking it to Wrexham, their nearest approved repairer, offered me a courtesy car [ not required ] and refused to tell me the cost just it would be repaired
I was utterly shocked that when they did note the repair cost on my policy it was £3,200 for a repair when the local body shop had quoted at £850
I told them I thought it was not only unacceptable, but they were acting as a cartel but all to no avail and my brokers cheapest renewal premium was 40 % higher and this through no fault of mine, other than the third party did not stop
In physics, there is the Nobel prize but also now the Fundamental Prize and some others which have been recently endowed and are worth more money than the Nobels.
The answer is obvious. The billionaires who gave millions to Trump's election fund should set up a new peace prize worth $10 million and a solid gold trophy (cf the World Cup) and then award the inaugural prize to The Donald. Problem solved.
If a country recognises it has a problem, decides to solve it, implements policies to solve it, and fails - repeatedly - is it much of a stretch to conclude that the country is broken in some respect?
It's certainly not functioning as you might expect or hope it to.
"MSP Ash Regan quits Alba to focus on prostitution bill"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cre5g13zljqo
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ig_Nobel_Prize
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Ig_Nobel_Prize_winners
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfdQYdF-vsM (9 mins)
Well now, all or some of these criticisms could be made of many of the UK's political parties - including the Greens, Reform, the LibDems and Corbyn's new vehicle. It could also be made of quite a few Labour and Tory MPs.
Consistently the public has asked for lower immigration and the government hasn't delivered. That's what's broken.
On immigration, for example, Cameron promised immigration in the tens of thousands and that never happened. And he was five Prime Ministers ago. If you repeatedly tell the public that you are going to do something and you repeatedly don't do that, then they are going to conclude that you are taking the piss.
It's a fundamental lack of honesty between politicians and the voters.
Though maybe leave it a few more weeks into the term.
(But yes, FE is great, and ought to be where academic and vocational dance together in Yourtown. Financially, it was totally stuffed when Gove was Ed Sec. Schools were sort-of protected, Universities got 9k fees, FE got austerity.)
Spencer Hakimian
@SpencerHakimian
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22s
BREAKING: Venezuela has requested an emergency session of the United Nations Security Council, citing expectations of an imminent “armed attack” by the United States.
Nice.