When will Rachel Reeves cease to be Chancellor? – politicalbetting.com
When will Rachel Reeves cease to be Chancellor? – politicalbetting.com
I can understand why 2026 is the favourite in this market from William Hill. If as expected Labour are utterly banjaxed in next year’s local and devolved elections there will a clamour for changes to be made by Starmer and sacrificing your Chancellor might be an option.
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On that basis I would be going for when SKS goes...
The 'highlights' of the senile rant. The one truthful thing is him saying 'this is based on what I feel'.
https://x.com/mermaidmamamags/status/1970296171437699498
I suspect they’ll go together, and 2027 feels about right to me. It is possible Reeves might exit a little earlier, if Starmer tries to ditch her to save himself, but I think they’ll be close to each other’s respective departures in any event.
If Starmer had more power and political capital he could try and sack her in 2026 and continue, but I’m not convinced he does.
Liz Truss lasted days after sacking her Chancellor.
Boris Johnson lasted two and a half years after sacking his Chancellor.
Nigel Lawson is a grey area as technically he wasn't sacked but was more constructive dismissal.
The playbook is now obvious. Battling ANTIFA will enable him to insert troops into democrat cities - he hates his opponents remember - to provoke protests and violence to excuse sending troops into more cities.
Worse is that ANTIFA will be hard to find. Even after they arrest ANTIFA mouthpieces like Kimmel they will say the terror is everywhere, threatening the republic.
Yep, there goes the midterms. Can't hold elections when some of the states organising the elections are riddled with ANTIFA.
The uncertainty it drives into the economy and investment for months on end is criminal. And hurts UK Plc.
Major was a rather more accomplished politician than Starmer, who has a far larger majority, but probably a similar percentage of (what he will see as) "bastards".
- there's no obvious alternative who would do any better
- because of Labour's sexism, it's much harder to sack a woman than a man, especially after Rayner self-destructed
- even Starmer, who has the typical lawyer's complete lack of understanding of economics, probably realises that replacing the Chancellor won't magically improve the economy
- replacing her would reflect even worse on Starmer's judgement than the Mandelson catastrophe
So I think there are probably more sackable people if Starmer wants to divert attention from his own failures.
This is crazy. The UK economy has stalled completely, and the never ending shit show cycle makes it worse.
You're an investor. The UK has had 6 Prime Ministers and 8 Chancellors in 10 years. With wild policy swings in that time. Sometimes week to week. Why would you invest here? We need stability. Leaving Reeves in place brings stability to the ver changing cycle but in this case it is stability as the ship sinks. She needs to go.
Minister of Economic Warfare.
SCOOP — Part of the reason Disney/ABC may have rushed to sort things out with Kimmel is because tomorrow they have a planned price increase for Disney+ streaming, a Disney source tells me. With subscriptions hemorrhaging since last week, they couldn’t risk losing more users with this announcement.
https://xcancel.com/__Injaneb96/status/1969913302454309147#m
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Definitions_of_fascism#Umberto_Eco
As far as I understand it, the internal pressure in Labour is that she isn't borrowing and spending enough.
It's quite quite mad.
It’s effectively a domestic US story, it’s not a UK story or a global story. They aren’t just saying he’s been an idiot then listing all his weird conspiracy theories/bad medical knowledge which will just give extra platforms and arguments to the idiot anti-science mob here.
The fact that they are giving it such massive coverage will allow the crazies to push these crazy ideas more due to the profile as now more people will half hear arguments in the background without deep counter arguments from people who actually know what they are talking about.
Someone senior at the BBC needs to explain why they are running this as top story.
As for Trump, I listen to his former military staffers. When his former Chief of Staff and former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs describe him in detail as a fascist, I listen. Senior military men, working directly with him, labelling in detail why he is a literal fascist.
And that was Trump 1. Trump 2? How much more blatant does he need to get before people accept he is a fascist? This ANTIFA thing is perfect. A mind virus, running unchecked through America. Which has to be destroyed because we hate them. Unleash the powers of the state, suspend the law and the constitution and go after them. Whilst ramming plastic patriotism down everyone's throats so that unless you sing from their hymn sheet you must be ANTIFA and you know what happens to them...
This is it. This is *it*. Now watch it unfold on our tellyboxes.
So where is the energy capacity coming from to supply that £150bn of power hungry GPUs
I tried a federal sex trafficking case with 1 victim. Trafficker got 20 yrs in jail.
Acosta knew of 50+ Epstein victims. Federal charges carry 15 yrs - life, but Acosta cut a deal: state case and 16 months in jail.
https://x.com/KGreenberg_/status/1970157084340785538
This lack of investment of which you write. Was there some sort of seminal negative event circa ten years ago that you could pinpoint as the catalyst for international business decoupling from the UK?
New build CCGTs with CCS.
Need more gas to pwer them?
Ban exploration and development in the North Sea.
I would go back further though. We have never recovered from the 2008 crash when you look at things like wages.
As far as I can tell Trump's dangerous ramblings were the leading item across all the media
Trump and Farage are dominating the media and hopefully someday voters will realise they are dangerous and nasty leaders creating division and dismay
The world would be a far better place without Trump, Farage, Putin, Netanyahu, Hamas and many others with malign intent
I fear that normality will not return in my lifetime
But doubling the cost of electricity generated in gas fired power stations isn't a great use of public money.
Theory: much of this is explained by journalism being quite a young business (crap money at lower levels, lot of bottlenecks, people age out). A lot of political journalists barely remember Westminster before things went nuts c2014. Not enough of the lobby grew up in peacetime.
https://bsky.app/profile/jonnelledge.bsky.social/post/3lzifudmblc2v
In terms of Reeves, there is still a fair bit of political-economic sewage to wade through- I doubt that any Chancellor could look good under these circumstances. No point on replacing her until 2027 or so.
"Before Brexit we didn't have a small boats problem because we had 27 return agreements with European Union countries and we could return people"
"But that's to Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson and the Conservatives, we tore up those agreements when we left the European Union, and now we have this problem"..
https://x.com/implausibleblog/status/1970067804100366361
Mind you - the Government think it’s investment - when in reality it’s the USA dumping their AI driven energy issue on us
And note were I in the energy business wouldn’t be investing my money in providing capacity here because I suspect the demand will never actually exist - the AI models being used won’t scale the way people think
Add in 1.5 million homes and yet all these announcements mirror Johnson's 40 new hospitals, which were announced but reality kicked in and they became a mirage
After yesterday's Farage performance, where on earth are we going to find the labour force and expertise even without these nasty policies
Has anyone tried to get a plumber, electrician, or builder to do a job for them, as either they are unavailable before next year or submit a ridiculous price and as an example I wanted a minor change to our bathroom at an expected cost of £1,500 and the cheapest quote was £3,200 !!!
I think Ed is being very selective here
The Supreme Court allows Trump to fire a Federal Trade Commission member — breaking nearly a century of precedent.
https://x.com/MorePerfectUS/status/1970207521332949284
I see it as an imperative to get ahead of this by reducing the low skilled working age population now. I am thrilled that we have a mainstream party that appears to realise the urgency of the moment.
The Americans are seriously looking to recommission old nuclear power stations and build the data centres next to them, that’s how much power we’re talking about.
Yet more dishonesty and disingenuity by a main stream party.
So the answer is to build a cluster of data centres around an SMR to provide their leccy.
I'm sure those PBers will be happy to have their foresight available for all to see.
More time for her in office is simply more procrastination and prevarication. Every year will see higher taxes as she tries desperately to stop borrowing from increasing (when it should be falling) as spending is uncontrolled. The longer she goes on the more damage will be done and the harder the task will be for a responsible government.
Can we have a list of PBers who are predicting Trump won't try to fix them ?
I don't doubt that electoral lawyers will continue to get richer.
That nice Mr Putin has been remarkably successful in Russia's free and fair elections.
A power or computer failure (as opposed to a deliberate flicking of the switch) merely makes things run a little more slowly, rather than stopping completely.
Yes it’s a lot more complicated than that in reality.
A small local matter: there are proposals to build more houses (cunningly, this will be on a farmer's field prone to flooding). Access will be difficult. The 'plan', if approved, is apparently to use a certain lane for access. Said lane is deemed too small by the council for a bin lorry to go up, so the residents have to wheel their bins down to the bottom of the lane. Furthermore, reaching the field would require hacking down an ancient hedge brimming with wildlife.
Schrodinger's Lane: too narrow for a bin lorry, easily wide enough for construction vehicles and building materials.
[This is especially stupid as there's an existing road that leads directly to the farmer's field. Access would, however, require opening the gate.]
A great many low skilled (and skilled) jobs are going to be destroyed very soon. What does the migrant from the Sahel do for work in the uk, when the low skilled jobs with Uber, Deliveroo, Macdonalds and Amazon have been almost entirely automated? When it comes, this is going to happen astonishingly suddenly. And the day might not be too far away.
Uniting the Kingdom, this one in Sheffield. The chap currently on the ladder is a Council worker removing a flag next to a pedestrian crossing.
Source: https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=795051543273126
Got to say none of the work twin A has had done has been cheap so I'm not surprised at that the cost of some plumbing work looks very expensive probably not helped by the fact that you you think is a minor change probably isn't.
(solar + battery) < gas
I would have taken the following path as Chancellor - a tax incentive for delivered portable power storage*, delivered and installed in vehicles, produced in the UK. Said tax incentive would be generous, but scaled to the UK content. So sticking labels on Chinese batteries in the UK gets you 0.1% of the subsidy.
Since we would be giving money for delivered production, this would mean spending no money upfront.
The battery factories resulting would be ideal for manufacturing storage batteries as well. See Tesla and BYD.
*Keep it technology agnostic
Firstly Trump Snr. has to survive myriad health issues. Should he do so law change is required, and that is not insurmountable, particularly with compliant legislative and judicial branches of government. Also, you didn't specify Donald Trump Snr. or Jnr. And then there is always Eric, but according to Mary Trump he is the least capable of the lot.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Arizona's_7th_congressional_district_special_election
The swing from last year might be interesting.
“No ta, love. I won’t be able to shift that,” said the bloke behind the counter at Battlesbridge Antiques Centre when I asked if he’d buy my late aunt’s 1970s Wedgwood “Clementine” dinner service. I got the same answer from all five of my local charity shops when I tried to give it away. “Those sets take up too much shelf space and they don’t sell,” shrugged the kindly woman in Barnardo’s. “Hardly anybody uses that stuff any more. It won’t go in the microwave or dishwasher will it? You could try eBay, though?”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/09/22/wedgwood-from-status-symbol-to-cant-give-it-away/ (£££)
Another one for pb's interior design correspondent, aka Leon.
And too many Labour politicians who know too many people who have been net recipients of government taxation/spending all their lives.
The mindset develops that being a net recipient of government/spending all your life is 'normal' and that the net contributors are the unimportant outliers.
In spite of that, Good Morning fellow pb-ers.
The fruit picking jobs will go the way of potato picking - the machines are already in real world use/trials. Delivery will either get hammered by a crackdown on illegal working and/or the automation of driving.
Amazon is well on the way to creating dark warehouses - warehouses without lights, because the robots don't need them.
Uber - it's their business plan to get rid of the drivers. See Waymo and others moving out from the US. There are 100% automated vehicles being tested on the UK roads, now.
McDonalds actually plan to move staff out of the kitchen and into the front. To use the automation to increase service quality on the front end.
As he is being a fascist, anyone opposing his actions is AntiFa and by dint of the legislation a terrorist.
Trips to Guantanamo available and triples all round.