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Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com

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  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 56,982

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Link? Tables?

    That’s a WTAF moment.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    Leon said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I just ejaculated. Sorry
    Its quite good for Reform lol
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,841

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 11,855

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I think Labour are comprehensively losing the left now. Will take a close look at the tables.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Link? Tables?

    That’s a WTAF moment.
    https://x.com/FindoutnowUK/status/1968776429849497893?t=oMJVliFaC-f0txSsagsL_A&s=19
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 56,982
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    Like the time Poly Toynbee wanted Libertarianism to mean loving state control of everything?
  • Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out noe 17 Sept

    Christ on a bike.
    Amazing
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Link? Tables?

    That’s a WTAF moment.
    Second by virtue of the alphabet is still second ;)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    edited September 18
    Now that is funny. The enemy is always there.

    @maxshanly - Appears there is a bit of a whispers campaign by the right-wing of Your Party who are acting in bad faith, claiming this is a hack and a scam. It's not. The link is safe and secure, and the data and money will go directly to Your Party as before. It's legit af.

    @Babble____ The right wing of your party??? Lmao

    @maxshanly - Ofc there is a right-wing, there always is!!


    (I imagine they might mean that technically speaking in any party some will be more on one side than another, and the right wing of your party would be very left wing to others, but that would be a pretty convoluted way to express party divisions).
  • Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Wowsers. Electoral Calculus would make that:

    Ref 457
    LD 52
    SNP 46
    Lab 44
    Con 19
    Green 8

    Ref gain Bootle territory
  • Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Before the triumph of State Visit II filters through though.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 65,266
    Labour are now the party of train drivers, some Muslims, traitorous human rights lawyers, and… that’s about it

    Can they go under 15%?

    YES THEY CAN
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    Lab are just ahead of Con on fraction of a percent actually but fuck em they go third on rounding
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    Remember that time Brexit and the LDs led in the polls ahead of Labour/Conservative?

    This current moment seems to have more staying power than that, even if for now the LDs/Greens have not (yet) inched ahead of the big two.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 11,855
    Eabhal said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I think Labour are comprehensively losing the left now. Will take a close look at the tables.
    • insane Scottish subsample (klaxon etc)
    • the flows are as usual - few Labour supporters going to Reform but Reform's voter retention is incredibly high + previous non-voters
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303
    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729
    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    What have they done that’s reform-lite?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Wowsers. Electoral Calculus would make that:

    Ref 457
    LD 52
    SNP 46
    Lab 44
    Con 19
    Green 8

    Ref gain Bootle territory
    Still, Davey would be LOTO.

    So there's that.

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out noe 17 Sept

    Christ on a bike.
    Amazing
    Mandelson/Rayner fall out?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 10,913

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Crossover! (Is that the first time?)
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,431
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    What have they done that’s reform-lite?
    They very occasionally talk about flags and migrants?
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,806
    Leon said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I just ejaculated. Sorry
    Another menage a un?
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 2,039

    It's not YOUR Party, it's MY Party!

    To me, to you, to me, to you.
    Paul and Barry would do a better job I think. And one of them's already dead.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    edited September 18

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Wowsers. Electoral Calculus would make that:

    Ref 457
    LD 52
    SNP 46
    Lab 44
    Con 19
    Green 8

    Ref gain Bootle territory
    Still, Davey would be LOTO.

    So there's that.

    Fear not, he’ll be swept away in the Dec 2029 elections held after Farage bans all other political parties.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007
    Leon said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I just ejaculated. Sorry
    Keep calm and Starmer on.

    Or whatever it is.
  • Seems like Labour need another relaunch.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 67,286
    edited September 18

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out noe 17 Sept

    Christ on a bike.
    Amazing
    Mandelson/Rayner fall out?
    We need to see more polling and post Trump's visit but if Labour slip to 4th below Lib Dems I simply do not see how they recover under Starmer

    And we have Reeves to come in November

    I see she is already blaming the Tories but that is not going to wash anymore
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
  • Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    I doubt even the RNLI can save them now
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 40,251
    I don't expect it to happen, but it would be weirdly appropriate if Disney reinstated Kimmel.

    If the first entity in the entire country to stand up the Mad King was in fact Mickey Mouse.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    I’m afraid I scoffed when @DPJHodges suggested Ed Miliband is “seriously considering another run at the leadership”


    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    I am told it is true – “Whether this is rational or not is another matter”

    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    Significance of Lucy Powell’s deputy leadership campaign not so much that she is a proxy for Andy Burnham but for Ed M
  • Leon said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I just ejaculated. Sorry
    10cc’s worth.
    I was only enlightened this afternoon that this is the average sock full after which the band is named.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 65,266
    kle4 said:

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
    Quite so. Labour have run out of ideas in the early stages of Year 2. So I just don’t see what saves them. The only guy with ideas - Ed Miliband - is a fucking disaster

    They really could head on down to single digits
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,841
    before I forget: #pbfreespeech
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    Hugo Gye
    @HugoGye
    ·
    3h
    You could just about argue this has been the best day of Starmer's premiership

    🇺🇸 Sealing close relationship w world's most powerful man
    🇺🇦 Pushing US closer to UK position on Ukraine
    🛥️ Started deportation of Channel migrants to France
    💥 Corbyn party blowing itself up


    ====

    And then the polling came in.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    He may indeed be but the ludicrous narratives that get sown round defections are daft, they very rarely change anything for any party outside of MP totals and short term grumpiness
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,841
    edited September 18
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    What have they done that’s reform-lite?
    (takes deep breath like Gary Oldman in that fillum)

    EVERRRRYTHINGGGGG
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 40,251

    Leon said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    I just ejaculated. Sorry
    10cc’s worth.
    I was only enlightened this afternoon that this is the average sock full after which the band is named.
    That has been discussed previously on this platform
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,431
    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    Absolutely. Sack McSweeney and get Bad Al in. Rory can find another podcast partner. I'll do it!
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348


    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    I’m afraid I scoffed when @DPJHodges suggested Ed Miliband is “seriously considering another run at the leadership”


    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    I am told it is true – “Whether this is rational or not is another matter”

    John Rentoul
    @JohnRentoul

    Significance of Lucy Powell’s deputy leadership campaign not so much that she is a proxy for Andy Burnham but for Ed M

    Starmer should finish his reshuffle tomorrow then
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,772

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,841

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    A lot of right wing twitters/substacks/etc said he is, even ones I usually respect. Which worries me, because I don't think he is. He's not stupid, but not brilliant either.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007
    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    They were level with the Tories twice a month ago and have been behind them about 20 times in this parliament
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303
    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .
  • MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    Many on here suggest Labour to Reform is not happening but on these figures if they are not going to Reform where are they going ?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    It's probably part that, and part that things just seem generally a bit shit and have for quite some time, and the public just aren't giving benefit of the doubt anymore when more shit comes.

    In fairness we demand a lot of impossible and often contradictory things, so we aren't helping.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,681
    edited September 18

    MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    Many on here suggest Labour to Reform is not happening but on these figures if they are not going to Reform where are they going ?
    Staying at home? It’s a shame we don’t get turnout estimates as part of the headline release.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729
    edited September 18
    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 40,772


    Hugo Gye
    @HugoGye
    ·
    3h
    You could just about argue this has been the best day of Starmer's premiership

    🇺🇸 Sealing close relationship w world's most powerful man
    🇺🇦 Pushing US closer to UK position on Ukraine
    🛥️ Started deportation of Channel migrants to France
    💥 Corbyn party blowing itself up


    ====

    And then the polling came in.

    Then Hugo woke up, more like. This is delusional.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,245

    Lab are just ahead of Con on fraction of a percent actually but fuck em they go third on rounding

    How is that arithmetically possible?

  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    Absolutely. Sack McSweeney and get Bad Al in. Rory can find another podcast partner. I'll do it!
    Can you imagine the press reaction if that happened !
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729
    geoffw said:

    Lab are just ahead of Con on fraction of a percent actually but fuck em they go third on rounding

    How is that arithmetically possible?

    Rounded to the same number and then sorted alphabetically?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    A lot of right wing twitters/substacks/etc said he is, even ones I usually respect. Which worries me, because I don't think he is. He's not stupid, but not brilliant either.
    I was at an event he spoke at and he was pretty engaging in fairness. More so than some of the audience who were a bit of a caricature of religious folk, basically blaming all ills on lack faith in society (he is religious too, certainly, but seemed more thoughtful on wider societal issues).
  • Foss said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    Many on here suggest Labour to Reform is not happening but on these figures if they are not going to Reform where are they going ?
    Staying at home? It’s a shame we don’t get turnout estimates as part of the headline release.
    That poll is circa 100% when you add in minor parties
  • nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    You do know abolishing the 2 child cap is not popular
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348
    geoffw said:

    Lab are just ahead of Con on fraction of a percent actually but fuck em they go third on rounding

    How is that arithmetically possible?

    Because i put Con second on the figures for comic effect i meant, its a tie on rounding but i should have put Lab above Con because of fractions of a % but im a petty petty man
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414

    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
    Never heard of him, I'm afraid. Anything before the 90s is a real haze for me until you get to the 17th century.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729

    Foss said:

    MaxPB said:

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Imagine being so shit that it took just one year to be level with the Tories after they administered so many years of failure under May, Boris and Truss.
    Many on here suggest Labour to Reform is not happening but on these figures if they are not going to Reform where are they going ?
    Staying at home? It’s a shame we don’t get turnout estimates as part of the headline release.
    That poll is circa 100% when you add in minor parties
    The headline figures are of those certain to vote. Unless you are expecting a 100% turnout next time. ;)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    Absolutely. Sack McSweeney and get Bad Al in. Rory can find another podcast partner. I'll do it!
    Can you imagine the press reaction if that happened !
    Andrew Marr (today's Newstatesman): If Morgan was sacked this coming Monday, Starmer would be gone by Tuesday.

  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    edited September 18
    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
    Quite so. Labour have run out of ideas in the early stages of Year 2. So I just don’t see what saves them. The only guy with ideas - Ed Miliband - is a fucking disaster

    They really could head on down to single digits
    At least they'll always be more popular than this leader from a few months ago.

    The president of Peru, Dina Boluarte, has issued a decree doubling her salary despite having a historically low approval rating of only 2%.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9vrd4yjj0no


    I still don't know how you can have an approval rating so low without effectively being forced from office, seems like it would be impossible to get levels of government to function.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729
    edited September 18

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    Absolutely. Sack McSweeney and get Bad Al in. Rory can find another podcast partner. I'll do it!
    Can you imagine the press reaction if that happened !
    Andrew Marr (today's Newstatesman): If Morgan was sacked this coming Monday, Starmer would be gone by Tuesday.

    Get looking for those tweets where Labour front benchers were calling for elections after the Tories changed their leaders.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    Absolutely. Sack McSweeney and get Bad Al in. Rory can find another podcast partner. I'll do it!
    Can you imagine the press reaction if that happened !
    Andrew Marr (today's Newstatesman): If Morgan was sacked this coming Monday, Starmer would be gone by Tuesday.

    Get looking for those tweets where Labour front benchers were calling for elections after the Tories changed their leaders.
    Parties are such hypocrites in such situations, I can never figure out if they are just that brazen to flip position or genuinely don't remember they take the opposite stance when it is not their side.
  • nico67 said:

    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
    In this febrile atmosphere any suggestion of increasing immigration would be very brave

    Sky reporting Trump launched into a tirade against Sadiq Khan on the flight home
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,431
    edited September 18
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
    Never heard of him, I'm afraid. Anything before the 90s is a real haze for me until you get to the 17th century.
    Joseph was very much regarded as Maggie's brain at the time - even got a mention in some 'A' Level sociology crammers - but he's an almost forgotten figure now. Probably hasn't helped that the economic liberalism he espoused is now utterly decried by both the British and American Right.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    You do know abolishing the 2 child cap is not popular
    It is with the left . And paying for it by raising gambling taxes is a no brainer in terms of public opinion.
  • I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,690
    edited September 18

    I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.

    Do you not believe in the old golden rule anymore?...take the worst Labour score and the best Tory score and you won't be far off.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 56,982
    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
    Quite so. Labour have run out of ideas in the early stages of Year 2. So I just don’t see what saves them. The only guy with ideas - Ed Miliband - is a fucking disaster

    They really could head on down to single digits
    For some reason

    https://youtu.be/bvim4rsNHkQ?si=CBTBhdDChqWmFC2f
  • I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.

    Do you not believe in the old golden rule anymore?...take the worst Labour score and the best Tory score and you won't be far off.
    That rule was broken in 2017.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 61,457
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
    Quite so. Labour have run out of ideas in the early stages of Year 2. So I just don’t see what saves them. The only guy with ideas - Ed Miliband - is a fucking disaster

    They really could head on down to single digits
    At least they'll always be more popular than this leader from a few months ago.

    The president of Peru, Dina Boluarte, has issued a decree doubling her salary despite having a historically low approval rating of only 2%.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9vrd4yjj0no


    I still don't know how you can have an approval rating so low without effectively being forced from office, seems like it would be impossible to get levels of government to function.
    Also a lawyer
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
    Never heard of him, I'm afraid. Anything before the 90s is a real haze for me until you get to the 17th century.
    Joseph was very much regarded as Maggie's brain at the time - even got a mention in some 'A' Level sociology crammers - but he's an almost forgotten figure now. Probably hasn't helped that the economic liberalism he espoused is now utterly decried by both the British and American Right.
    The question is perhaps does Farage need a Joseph?

    Or will fag-packet made-up saloon bar snake oil be sufficient?

    Thatcher rose to power in an era when it was at least taken with some seriousness that anyone wanting to be PM should have some kind of intellectual case.




  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 14,348

    I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.

    A polling record is a polling record. Its fun.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,148

    Labour fans look away now, lowest ever share of the vote in a GB wide poll

    Ref 34 (=)
    Con 16 (+1)
    Lab 16 (-3)
    LD 13 (+1)
    Grn 12 (=)
    SNP3 (= )

    Find out now 17 Sept

    Wowsers. Electoral Calculus would make that:

    Ref 457
    LD 52
    SNP 46
    Lab 44
    Con 19
    Green 8

    Ref gain Bootle territory
    Just a liiiiiiittle bit more tweaking to make the SNP the official Opposition.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    megan kenyon
    @meganekenyon
    ·
    6h
    This story was near impossible to write because more information kept emerging! But here is my write up on today’s chaotic Your Party membership launch. Fair to say the future unity of this new left wing movement now hangs in the balance.
    @NewStatesman

    https://x.com/meganekenyon/status/1968682985953079789
  • nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    You do know abolishing the 2 child cap is not popular
    It is with the left . And paying for it by raising gambling taxes is a no brainer in terms of public opinion.
    Taxes are not hypothecated so it is adding to the deficit, before finding taxes and cuts to balance the books including a betting tax
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,690
    edited September 18

    I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.

    Do you not believe in the old golden rule anymore?...take the worst Labour score and the best Tory score and you won't be far off.
    That rule was broken in 2017.
    We were sort of back to it in 2024. Labour hit the absolute rock bottom of their polling numbers. History has showed us that in general it is always sensible to go lower end of Labour polling numbers when making a prediction.

    We await more data here to see if other pollsters pick up a hit due to Big Ange and Mandy scandals.
  • Has this one been mentioned yet ?

    Since his days in Aden with the SAS, Charles Guthrie liked to operate behind enemy lines. In April 1997, when even John Major believed he would lose the coming election, Guthrie, then chief of the defence staff (CDS), arranged to meet Tony Blair privily. It was not so much that he thought New Labour were the enemy, rather that Blair was an unknown quantity.

    Guthrie, for whom Islington would have been terra incognita, invited him for breakfast at Claridge’s. There, to his dismay, he discovered just how little the next prime minister knew about defence. As Blair was enthusing unrealistically about special forces, Guthrie asked him how many men he thought there were in the SAS. Blair guessed: “Forty thousand?” Guthrie told him to take off two noughts.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/obituaries/article/obituary-field-marshal-lord-guthrie-soldier-kppdfsvmz
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 56,982
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Seems like Labour need another relaunch.

    Once growth hits things will be fi....ah.
    Quite so. Labour have run out of ideas in the early stages of Year 2. So I just don’t see what saves them. The only guy with ideas - Ed Miliband - is a fucking disaster

    They really could head on down to single digits
    At least they'll always be more popular than this leader from a few months ago.

    The president of Peru, Dina Boluarte, has issued a decree doubling her salary despite having a historically low approval rating of only 2%.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9vrd4yjj0no


    I still don't know how you can have an approval rating so low without effectively being forced from office, seems like it would be impossible to get levels of government to function.
    It’s Peru. Only the insane pay attention to the national government of Peru. This is mainly because the insane *are* the national government of Peru.

  • nico67nico67 Posts: 6,303

    nico67 said:

    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
    In this febrile atmosphere any suggestion of increasing immigration would be very brave

    Sky reporting Trump launched into a tirade against Sadiq Khan on the flight home
    The febrile atmosphere is about the boats . The pool of people who think Brexit was a disaster is close to 60% , Labour need to start fishing there. Only 16% in YouGov don’t want closer links with the EU.
  • nico67 said:

    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
    Higher unemployment, lower pay rises, increased rents.

    Vote winners all round.
  • I see PB is getting overexcited by the pollster that consistently has Labour doing the worst, every other pollster this month has Labour polling in the 20s.

    I wish some of you bet a lot.

    Do you not believe in the old golden rule anymore?...take the worst Labour score and the best Tory score and you won't be far off.
    That rule was broken in 2017.
    We were sort of back to it in 2024. Labour hit the absolute rock bottom of their polling numbers. History has showed us that in general it is always sensible to go lower end of Labour polling numbers when making a prediction.

    We await more data here to see if other pollsters pick up a hit due to Big Ange and Mandy scandals.
    Before OGH retired we had a discussion about this, we were thinking the golden rule usually applies when Labour is in opposition.

    I keep on meaning to look at the figures to confirm if it or not.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 87,690
    edited September 18
    It makes sense now about the Indian chap being sent back...

    It is understood the French requested an Indian migrant, so that they could offer him voluntary return to his homeland under a scheme where the French government pays the airfare and offers €2,500 (£2,168). If the migrant refuses, he is likely to face expulsion from the country rather than be granted asylum, as France has a reciprocal arrangement with India to accept enforced returns.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/09/18/first-one-in-one-out-migrant-deported-to-france/

    Is this is how it is going to work? France tell the UK the type of migrant they will accept i.e. ones they can ship back to their homeland. Do the UK get a say in who we take beyond they have been "vetted" (hopefully not by the same people who vetted Mandy)?

  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 10,431

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
    Never heard of him, I'm afraid. Anything before the 90s is a real haze for me until you get to the 17th century.
    Joseph was very much regarded as Maggie's brain at the time - even got a mention in some 'A' Level sociology crammers - but he's an almost forgotten figure now. Probably hasn't helped that the economic liberalism he espoused is now utterly decried by both the British and American Right.
    The question is perhaps does Farage need a Joseph?

    Or will fag-packet made-up saloon bar snake oil be sufficient?

    Thatcher rose to power in an era when it was at least taken with some seriousness that anyone wanting to be PM should have some kind of intellectual case.

    Immigration and immigration alone has been the reason for Nigel's success up to this point. He'll keep playing that card for as long as he can, but what if he actually eradicates immigration? What then? I get the strange feeling that some sort of 'Make Britain a Nation of Christians Again' might be where he goes next, but that will probably be several years off.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 68,007

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    You do know abolishing the 2 child cap is not popular
    It is with the left . And paying for it by raising gambling taxes is a no brainer in terms of public opinion.
    Taxes are not hypothecated so it is adding to the deficit, before finding taxes and cuts to balance the books including a betting tax
    I'm a dutchman if there isn't some kind of change on betting taxes in this budget.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,729

    It makes sense now about the Indian chap being sent back...

    It is understood the French requested an Indian migrant, so that they could offer him voluntary return to his homeland under a scheme where the French government pays the airfare and offers €2,500 (£2,168). If the migrant refuses, he is likely to face expulsion from the country rather than be granted asylum, as France has a reciprocal arrangement with India to accept enforced returns.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/09/18/first-one-in-one-out-migrant-deported-to-france/

    Odd that France can expel asylum seekers without convoluted one-in-one-out schemes, but the UK can't.
  • nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
    In this febrile atmosphere any suggestion of increasing immigration would be very brave

    Sky reporting Trump launched into a tirade against Sadiq Khan on the flight home
    The febrile atmosphere is about the boats . The pool of people who think Brexit was a disaster is close to 60% , Labour need to start fishing there. Only 16% in YouGov don’t want closer links with the EU.
    Boats and immigration and cost of living and inflation and high taxes

    Last time I looked Brexit hardly registered
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 7,140
    RobD said:

    It makes sense now about the Indian chap being sent back...

    It is understood the French requested an Indian migrant, so that they could offer him voluntary return to his homeland under a scheme where the French government pays the airfare and offers €2,500 (£2,168). If the migrant refuses, he is likely to face expulsion from the country rather than be granted asylum, as France has a reciprocal arrangement with India to accept enforced returns.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/09/18/first-one-in-one-out-migrant-deported-to-france/

    Odd that France can expel asylum seekers without convoluted one-in-one-out schemes, but the UK can't.
    Starting to seem the the ECHR only applies to Britain...
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 16,231

    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    Its what the current narrative woukd like us to accept. Danny Kruger was a giant amongst shit flinging thickos
    I could buy the serious thinker thing on the basis that he did technically have ideas. Ideas many would not like, but most politicians actively try to avoid ideas, and you don't really need them to get elected much of the time.
    Danny Kruger is Farage's Keith Joseph.

    Discuss.
    Never heard of him, I'm afraid. Anything before the 90s is a real haze for me until you get to the 17th century.
    Joseph was very much regarded as Maggie's brain at the time - even got a mention in some 'A' Level sociology crammers - but he's an almost forgotten figure now. Probably hasn't helped that the economic liberalism he espoused is now utterly decried by both the British and American Right.
    The question is perhaps does Farage need a Joseph?

    Or will fag-packet made-up saloon bar snake oil be sufficient?

    Thatcher rose to power in an era when it was at least taken with some seriousness that anyone wanting to be PM should have some kind of intellectual case.

    Immigration and immigration alone has been the reason for Nigel's success up to this point. He'll keep playing that card for as long as he can, but what if he actually eradicates immigration? What then? I get the strange feeling that some sort of 'Make Britain a Nation of Christians Again' might be where he goes next, but that will probably be several years off.
    The AfD have moved on to "remigration", which means kicking out people with citizenship.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 25,841
    viewcode said:

    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Interesting article in UnHerd.

    "Why Farage is a Burkean
    Prepare for the counter-revolution
    Aris Roussinos"

    http://unherd.com/2025/09/why-farage-is-a-burkean

    Very good read, thanks.
    Hmmph. The writer had to totally invert Burke to make his point. The fact that he points that out and then spends much of the article inverting Burke doesn't make things better. He could just have said "If 'Burkean' means the opposite of what it usually means, then Farage is Burkean, yeah?" and made his point a lot faster.
    ... Danny Kruger, until last week one of the Conservative Party’s few serious thinkers ...

    I keep hearing that. Just so I'm clear - is that a universally accepted truth?
    A lot of right wing twitters/substacks/etc said he is, even ones I usually respect. Which worries me, because I don't think he is. He's not stupid, but not brilliant either.
    If you are interested in Kruger, here is my comment on August 2nd: https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5282195/#Comment_5282195

    Interesting responses to that comment by @LuckyGuy1983 and @MattW can be found later in that thread
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 37,525
    ITV have finally made their 1979 election show available on streaming.

    https://www.itv.com/watch/general-election-1979-the-nation-decides/10a7060a0003B
  • nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    You do know abolishing the 2 child cap is not popular
    It is with the left . And paying for it by raising gambling taxes is a no brainer in terms of public opinion.
    Taxes are not hypothecated so it is adding to the deficit, before finding taxes and cuts to balance the books including a betting tax
    I'm a dutchman if there isn't some kind of change on betting taxes in this budget.
    I am sure there will be but abolishing the 2 child cap adds to the deficit requiring more tax increases and cuts
  • isamisam Posts: 42,651
    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    How low do Labour have to go before the useless McSweeney is fired ? Labours Reform lite tribute act is a disaster .

    What have they done that’s reform-lite?
    Well Reform say they’re going to deport every single illegal immigrant, and Labour have deported one… so that is a kind of Reform lite
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 16,231
    RobD said:

    It makes sense now about the Indian chap being sent back...

    It is understood the French requested an Indian migrant, so that they could offer him voluntary return to his homeland under a scheme where the French government pays the airfare and offers €2,500 (£2,168). If the migrant refuses, he is likely to face expulsion from the country rather than be granted asylum, as France has a reciprocal arrangement with India to accept enforced returns.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/09/18/first-one-in-one-out-migrant-deported-to-france/

    Odd that France can expel asylum seekers without convoluted one-in-one-out schemes, but the UK can't.
    Britain does expel lots of asylum seekers successfully. In 2024, 9200 were expelled. Don't believe Daily Telegraph headlines.

    "Enforced returns in the year ending March 2025 (8,590) is 22% higher than the previous year (7,037), and also now higher than the number of returns observed immediately prior to the pandemic (7,198 in 2019)." https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-march-2025/how-many-people-are-returned-from-the-uk
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 99,414
    edited September 18
    Andy_JS said:

    ITV have finally made their 1979 election show available on streaming.

    https://www.itv.com/watch/general-election-1979-the-nation-decides/10a7060a0003B

    The public was clamouring for it.

    Or you writing letters to them for 10 years? :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 123,816
    edited September 18

    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    RobD said:

    nico67 said:

    Labour need to hurry up and get the EU UK deal agreed and need to stop dragging their heels over the youth mobility scheme. I expect the two child cap will go paid for by more gambling taxes in November .

    As bad as the polls are they’ll get worse if they continue to ignore the left and those pro EU .

    That’s right, the solution to Labour’s woes is more immigration. Hah!
    Bluntly put no one cares if younger white Europeans have more freedom for a time limited period . The current furore is about the boats and non white people. The youth mobility scheme has strong majority support in polling .
    In this febrile atmosphere any suggestion of increasing immigration would be very brave

    Sky reporting Trump launched into a tirade against Sadiq Khan on the flight home
    The febrile atmosphere is about the boats . The pool of people who think Brexit was a disaster is close to 60% , Labour need to start fishing there. Only 16% in YouGov don’t want closer links with the EU.
    Boats and immigration and cost of living and inflation and high taxes

    Last time I looked Brexit hardly registered
    Not quite.

    From July.

    When did Britain start to go wrong? In @NewStatesman @georgeeaton looks at our polling of when the public think our turn for the worst was. Brexit tops the list,

    https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2025/07/30/apologies-if-this-polling-triggers-brexiteers/
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