Should you be laying Robert Jenrick? – politicalbetting.com
Should you be laying Robert Jenrick? – politicalbetting.com
As Tory Immigration Minister, Robert Jenrick wanted to get "even more" asylum hotels opened.You couldn’t trust them then. You can’t trust them now. pic.twitter.com/oCJDXk4TIc
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Jenrick supported the one in one out France scheme too.
https://bsky.app/profile/sundersays.bsky.social/post/3lwcljaf27c22
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4uivPpzCGo
Donald Trump reminds me of the Marquis of Curzon. He was unkindly (but truthfully) called the Marquis of Cushion because 'he bore the imprint of whichever arse last sat on him.'
If I were a Ukrainian I'd just be very glad he saw Putin first.
(Jenrick is somewhat similar but with rather better hair.)
Jenrick may have laid ... an egg.
Good morning everyone.
I'm slightly moving him from the category of "enabler" to that of "useful idiot".
Here he is in 2023 rebuking Braverman for her language around immigration (""invasion" of illegal migrants"):
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-64316407
I'm not sure if he himself has used the term:
"Asked about the home secretary's comments, Mr Jenrick said: "I think in politics we all have to choose our language carefully and think of the historical language that has been used in the past when we frame arguments."
Will the rump of Conservative members be a bit more like their 2010 membership than the 2020 membership perhaps?
We're in the post-sale drop. Need to see the rest of the quarter to see how the settle looks.
But sales are down. And were going to be down. I've been commenting on video about it *before the old car went off sale* earlier this year. Was scorned by the usual fanbois for saying Model Y wouldn't be the best selling car in the world this year.
The month on month comparisons for most of this year haven't been LFL. They are valid, but they tell a false story. Handy if you are pushing that false story, less handy if you are interested in reality. I've spent too many decades reporting on sales performance to waste my time trying to defend half-truths and distorted non-LFL comparisons. Because you have to make something up to explain the false narrative and then get stuck with it once it pans out...
He would be a risk but dying men clutch at risky straws
One alternative is Katie Lam. Telegenic. Firmly right wing. Articulate. And - crucially - so young she has no unhelpful backstory. But also so young she could just be another Badenoch
Post after post after post by these wazzocks, performative preening "we will act" nonsense. With practically every response calling them out for having been the person responsible. Not surprised that both Labour and Reform have created "info"memes - the screenshot of an Independent article containing that Jenrick quote was circulated widely last week.
What appears to have tipped it was his appearance in Epping. Outside The Bell hotel. Saying that Labour are responsible and he would shut it. That HE was very directly responsible - procuring that specific hotel - appears to be the breaking point.
They very literally think voters are stupid. And whilst many of the most angry are low-information, they're not so stupid as to forget what happened.
Yes if you print your own currency you can theoretically never run out of it. But if you devalue it like the Zimbabwean dinar then you can’t buy any foreign stuff in your own currency, investors all flee, companies collapse, inflation goes apeshit and your entire country can basically implode even as you have a pocket full of trillion pound notes
She was a Home Office SPAD (and other jobs) during the last Parliament, she was in favour of a lot of the policies she is now criticising. There's a paper trail.
This resulted in economic refugees from Argentina in *Peru*.
Which upset Peruvian politicians - they had tried so very hard to get Peru the title of Worse Governed Country.
She’s the only one of the new intake that seems - seemed - to have potential
Maybe they are totally screwed. Oh well. lol
This is today's piece by Lord Ashcroft which is quite informative on the subject of Jemi Badenoch etc
https://lordashcroftpolls.com/2025/08/this-is-what-happens-when-you-get-normal-people-like-us-and-no-one-listens-to-them-my-latest-focus-groups/
I remember Truss being attacked as a Remainer and Starmer as a Corbynite. And Blair once supported Michael Foot.
Not sure it's a dealbreaker.
I would add an even bleaker note. We don’t just face an economic crisis, looming not so far ahead, we face a cultural and sociopolitical crisis with regards to immigration, asylum, wokeness, militant Islam, and so on
The pauperisation of the people will happen in concert with the spectacle of foreigners in Britain getting better treatment than Britons, and all the rest of it
That is a recipe for civil strife, as Prof David Betz has noted. Let’s hope he’s wrong
It is a problem if you are a Jenrick and say "opening hotels is bad" whilst standing outside that hotel you opened.
See Bobby J and the hotels as an example.
Given so many MPs come through as Special Political Advisers, that means more association and a paper (or digital) trail of what they argued for and when they argued for it.
As you can no longer change your mind in politics (it seems) without allegations of hypocrisy or "flip-flopping", it seems you carry the opinions you committed to paper or digital when you were a teenager through the rest of your life like the metaphorical millstone.
https://bsky.app/profile/leedseurope.bsky.social/post/3lwq73b7jnk23
At least we will get lovely big bonfires
An epic battle long forgotten in the West.
I expected you’d have a rational take on it: 👍
When the war is over, the one thing that Ukraine would love to see more than anything is tourists spending their money there. I did here a rumour that they’re already making preparations to reopen the airport at Lviv, which will make a huge difference to tourist traffic. A good place for a long weekend, with very cheap food and drink.
A key battle of WWI on Eastern Front.
Good beer, ok food, pretty girls, lots of foreign fighters and special forces preparing to go into Uke
Eden might have been the favourite to replace Churchill in 1940, Boris to replace May in 2016, Sunak to replace Truss in 2022 but some successors must have been massive outsiders - Douglas-Home, Thatcher, Major, Hague, Howard.
So they hold a local cultural memory of how the town used to be and how different / worse it has become
Dig deep mugs
And he's leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister.
Blair likewise and he won three general elections.
Liz Truss, former Remainer LD became a tax-cutting Brexiteer Conservative PM.
These days if you're shameless and above all lucky enough you can get away with more or less anything because the print media mostly just summarise press releases, most TV interviewers just allow interviewees to give prepared speeches whatever the question asked and social media feeds are basically just echo chambers.
So it's hardly a shock that more competition means Tesla sell less vehicles in the market squeeze where we have more choices than consumers. Same in any category, any market.
So you go find the next leading edge. That has been range and ease of charging. It has been simplified cabins with Big Screens. It has been efficient design and construction so that you're not being held up by parts your supplier can't make.
We are in the middle of the AI revolution - and Tesla own an AI company which is integrating into the cars. Which leads onto automated driving which cameras + AI make possible. Whilst I and others have been reassured* repeatedly that cameras are crap and it has to be RADAR/LIDAR lead, the competitive surge of development from China is predominantly camera.
We don't understand this very well in the UK because we have Dumb Autopilot whose software goes through phases of being practically dangerous (as mine is now). But put in a software stack designed this decade and the advances are rapid, and with AI continuing to scale will advance exponentially.
Tesla will be on the leading edge of this, and with the best will in the world many of the newer (and older) competitors won't. Until they catch up, and we go onto the New thing whatever that is.
I enjoy the channel from time to time, and every time I see him doing the window cleaner ident and going "oooo", I'm reminded of Typhoo ads from the 1980s - "Oooo makes a loverly cuppa?" *
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tnb1iLRQTfo
My blurred piccie:
*Sponsorship ooooportunity.
Meanwhile, here's an interesting perspective on why "these are shells of former 4* hotels now fitted out as doss houses" doesn't get traction;
I think a better way of expressing the "asylum seekers shouldn't get free holidays" is an old story from Northern Ireland. At the beginning of Direct Rule the Northern Ireland Office commandeered much of a key hotel to put civil servants and securocrats. This created issues with local Unionists..
Because this hotel had been a cherished civic institution where people would hold key events or go on important holidays. And it was hurtful to see the government treat it as something lesser than that. I highly doubt anyone actually thinks asylum seekers are getting a free holiday...
https://bsky.app/profile/willcooling.bsky.social/post/3lwpelq6l3c2d
Saying "your local landmark isn't worth anything" is pretty hurtful in itself. Even, perhaps especially, when it's true. Like those bits on Antiques Roadshow where the punter is told that their precious antique is a cheap copy.
Long on complaints and whingeing, short on offering solutions - at least solutions which would be legal and cost effective at any rate. I'd love to see people in thiese groups given the challenge of coming up with some answers.
Governing is difficult - always has been - but the ordure reserved for professional politicians is something else.
I'd like to see anyone from those focus groups run the country for a week let alone a month. We go on about wanting "people who've done a day's work" in Government but as we've seen, business people make bad politicians, army officers don't always do that well.
It's a really tough job trying to balance all the sectional interests - you end up either doing nothing and everyone complains or you do something and everyone complains.
Also I will believe Tesla have got there when they remove the human part of their robotic taxi service
*I feel dirty for even saying that, but we shouldn't be unfair to that fat old Fascist creep when by being fair we can still slag him off day and night.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62052zjl4go
For me I think the path is highlight the Big Picture with detail examples. But pull it back to macro economics and structure. Can't get a GP appointment because the NHS structure is a bonfire burning your money etc
Met Office: cloudy with only 10% change light rain.
It is now pissing down.
"You're never a dull person at a party when you own a bus."
On the human safety monitors I know that its a weapon to beat them with. Some speculation in Austin about what the passenger seat guy is doing with the open door button they hold. And in California the state mandates a person behind the wheel. Again holding the button not actually driving.
Autonomous cars will kill people and there will be uproar. Then again, human driven cars kill an awful lot more people and we're all used to the carnage. I think the uproar phase won't be very long. And once one major economy licenses it and shows its safe the rest will have to follow because you can't hold back the technological tide for long...
......What might be concerning though for the Tories is that Reform's literature has a classier look and it's possible they have manipulated the Jenrick mugshot. He looks a bit tampered with
Her and her Party's hideous policies hopefully will screw Labour for generations.
'Theres a paper trail' is such a load of nonsense. Boris Johnson was a remainer ffs. Not predicting Katie Lam gets the gig ever but what she said as a SPAD is so irrelevant to her chances. Look at what anyone on todays cabinet has said versus are saying.
As for Jenrick, those who want to use a photo of Bobbins adjacent to someone to demonise him is of course also demonising everyone who attended the protest. Which would be politically 'brave' regardless of what they might think of protests and protectors on this issue
Tory hold on a national 20% plus would be my guess, Ref gain below that
Monzo is planning to launch a UK mobile phone service in a move that will intensify competitive pressure on incumbents including VodafoneThree and BT-owned operator EE.
The London-based digital bank is exploring launching its own digital sim and offering monthly contracts, according to people familiar with the matter, which would diversify its revenues away from its core banking services.
Monzo confirmed it was in the “early stages” of developing its proposals.
“When we heard from our customers that mobile contracts can be a pain point, we set out to explore how we could do this the Monzo way,” it said.
Monzo, which has 13mn UK customers, is the third fintech to turn to the mobile sector in search of a new revenue stream. Revolut and Klarna, which each have about 11mn UK customers, have also announced plans this year to offer mobile phone services in Britain and abroad.
Meanwhile, Octopus, the multibillion-pound fund that owns the eponymous energy company, is exploring an offering via a subsidiary, according to people familiar with the matter.
The moves threaten to intensify competition for incumbents EE, Virgin Media O2 and the newly merged VodafoneThree.
Monzo is likely to enter the market as a mobile virtual network operator, which serves customers without building its own underlying infrastructure. MVNOs piggyback on the networks of major telecoms groups and typically then undercut them on price.
https://www.ft.com/content/1c6ce97e-f358-4249-b264-67c71b764164
The absolute failure, however, for which he bore at least some responsibility (no doubt the Treasury and resources did too) was the grinding to a halt of our immigration assessment system, whether in original determinations, dealing with appeals, actually implementing the decisions made and getting people back on planes where they came from. The only success I can think of from the last government in this area was the deal with Albania. It should have been a model, not unique.
The current government has made modest progress in dealing with appeals and deportations but it is a pale shadow of what is needed. In my view the only realistic approach is an amnesty for most of those who have not been removed in 10 years or more and try to focus resources on the new arrivals/overstayers etc.
That was because he was te only clear "leaver" in a pack of "remain" candidates and for a party which was broadly in support of the UK leaving the EU that was enough.
In the heat of a leadership campaign, what you said can and often is used by your opponents - always has been. If there are things you argued for once but now reject, you need to have a response ready when that is pointed out. It's not wrong to point out the inconsistency - the problem is to a) try to deny it and b) not be prepared when it is pointed out.
https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/final-notices/monzo-bank-limited.pdf
Well at least they’ll now have some of their banking customers’ phone numbers.
Good morning, everybody.
If she tries touching people's main homes, she will be committing political suicide on a scale not seen since 1945.
There needs to be a local element to property taxation (unless the LVT type tax is going to be used to fund social care at a national level). As an example, if I am charged 0.5% of the value of my East London desres, I reckon I'd be about where I am now with Newham's Council Tax so I'm fairly agnostic about it financialy.
So much will depend on where they pitch the valuations of property and how the valuations will be carried out (nice money for some valuers somewhere). If all this can lead to the replacement of Stamp Duty and Council Tax with a single Property Tax, why not?
1 - I agree on the poor screening, but he should know that himself. There was an entire zoo of extremist groups whose associates were at Epping Forest, starting with the Homeland Party whose guy was on a truck making a speech - and has had media coverage. Jenrick himself should know that, never mind his team.
2 - Who has been painting Jenrick as a nazi, or using the actual word?
That's not one I've seen, and given that his wife is Jewish, it would be as crass (and as ineffective) a charge as the same being said about Zelensky. Any serious group would not do it, though I could perhaps see some of the types who call Starmer a "Tory" throwing it around.
I've seen nazi used by GB News presenters / guests who are using a straw man to try and deflect. It goes:
"They are calling us far right",
"Are we Nazis?".
Followed by 5-10 minutes about extremist and ignorant "The Left" or "The Far Left" are and how GB News and friends are not Nazis.
The only one I've seen in serious circles wrt Jenrick is "xenophobe", or perhaps "this is xenophobia" (fear of the foreign) from Thought for the Day last week. Jenrick's response was to allege that they had called him a racist, which was untrue, and to demand an apology.
I'm completely relaxed calling Jenrick a xenophobe; it is what he presents himself as and is the dominant note in his politics. I'd say it in public and to his face, with examples.
It is a reasonable expectation that government will be truthful, honest, very competent at running all the things it has decided to run, very good at delivering its promises and very good at communicating with the public.
I think government, including this one, could do better in meeting these expectations. The expectation I describe is a reasonable one.