Could one man win both Strictly Come Dancing and the next London mayoral election?
Could one man win both Strictly Come Dancing and the next London mayoral election?– politicalbetting.com
The only man in both the Strictly & London Mayoral Election betting @iamtomskinner To win Strictly – 12/1Next London Mayor – 25/1337/1 double, anyone? https://t.co/JB93t6qmWG
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Good Lord.
OGH used to encourage me write threads on Strictly and Eurovision.
Here's my first Strictly thread from 2013.
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2013/09/06/strictly-come-dancing-betting-thread/
We've not even finished killing all the grouse yet.
Tho I do utterly detest most Reality TV, with Strictly only outdone by Love Island in terms of Satanic Evil
Please desist.
Who is he btw? No, don't worry, just googled. Oh dear.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xmmi6fxysXU
World Central Kitchen charity said that they had no workers in that area at the time.
The best 90 minutes viewing for years - classic British television from the 1970s. Today's defendant and her three lovers, none of whom was aware of the others - brilliant. Richard Wilson as the prosecuting barrister.
The alternative extreme is Dred Scott style a court stripping a minority (or a majority) of their rights, even when a majority want those rights protecting, with no democratic way to reverse it.
If democracy rules we can overturn bad choices at an election, if it doesnt it takes a Civil War.
Democracy as always is the worst option, apart from all others.
I had one hour yesterday when I did a bit of O Tempura
But I shan’t repeat it, I’ve made my point
Also today has been quite fun arguing constitutional supremacy
Skinner is just triggering people at the moment.
Find Out Now 13-14 Aug
Ref 31 (-1)
Lab 19 (-1)
Con 19 (+3)
LD 12 (-1)
Grn 10 (+1)
SNP 3 (=)
All reality tv is ghastly. Unless you begin to watch them. Then, no matter what the flavour (Strictly, Love Island, Traitors, Big Brother) you get to know the characters and the programme becomes a(nother) character-driven drama. No less than Succession or whatnot.
I get that you feel you must stake out your intellectual prowess but criticising reality shows is not the hill to die on. Plus it is jejeune.
Anyway, it's mid-Augusr and three years minimum off the next GE so all a bit of fun for now.
After I published a thread with this opener.
Light the beacons of Gondor, it turns out Boris Johnson was telling the truth last month, an event rarer than a decent Radiohead album,
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2022/11/06/what-boris-johnson-pulling-out-really-means/
But yes, all a bit of fun. In terms of losing their seats, obviously I take a close interest in Norfolk, and if Reform come in at 30 at a GE, the Norfolk rural seats become TCTC if the Tories get to 22/23% nationally, so we are not a million miles off of really fascinating results (in this neck of the woods anyway)
Complete miscarriage of justice - not a shred of proof but it's a Guilty verdict.
Reality shows depend upon characters (love 'em or 'ate 'em). It is therefore arguably the strongest character-driven entertainment. Because it is without artifice. Would any of the eg Love Island contestants last on PB while commenting on Scottish sub-samples? Perhaps not. But they have their own characters and if you invest time getting to know them, they are as intriguing as any Walter White or Iago.
Meanwhile, talking about circenses, I strongly recommend Burlesque the Musical, playing at the Savoy Theatre. Two and a half hours of cracking fun. Even if one strong emotion I had upon leaving the theatre was I must go on a diet and start working out.
That's the opposite equivalent to those signs you used to see on the back of cars: "If you can read this thank a teacher".
(neither you nor Turbo nor Stuart have one of those, I hope?)
It’s like people who say “what do you know you pleb you’re just one of the hoi polloi”
Pure Jejune-o-cringe
Would big brother have prospered without Nasty Nick ?
Neither requirement is noted when posters post photos of their pint, cocktail or breakfast. I know one poster regularly does that, although I can't remember which poster I am thinking of.
In one ear, out of the other I guess.
Could be the first sign of Labour hitting their lowest ever VI though - theyve had one 18% with YG in 2019 and scattering of YG 19% in the same period. And now this one.
Brilliant writing and acting - good to remember Glyn Owen as one of the married lovers long before Howard's Way.
19% before Your Party enters the fray formally is pretty ominous.
Zug, Switzerland. Impossibly rich and clean and quite pretty. Not really a tourist town, but the railway tickets to Lucerne were so astronomically expensive we determined to break the return journey
"the children of bishops carry about with them an austere and repulsive air, indicative of claims not generally acknowledged, a sort of noli me tangere manner, nervously apprehensive of too familiar approach, and shrinking with the sensitiveness of a gouty man from all contact with the οι πολλοι."
See the last thread. We could have had a good conversation on how George Osborne was the most politically significant figure of the last 20 years. Instead the follow-up was a mix of non-sequiturs, pointless pedantry, failed "Gotchas", and a bit on Fatch.
It's like reading a crap Twitter thread; it's entirely unrewarding to engage with, but filled posts that harvest a few likes from those who are fans of each other and have nothing better to do.
The conversation turned to the OSA which they both considered a joke
Fresh from University our granddaughter affirmed she and her fellow students use VPN but also lots of fun with their fellow students using friends and celebrities faces to gain access to sites
Our grandson games a lot but hasn't needed vpn but he said everyone in his school down to the youngest knows how to by pass the OSA
My granddaughter wants it scrapped as do many of her friends
Interesting conversation
"Ash Sarkar — I underestimated Nigel Farage, he’s outflanking Labour"
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/08/14/the-daily-t-ash-sarkar-i-underestimated-nigel-farage
Could be a ruse to big up Kemi by Reform voters answering Con rather than Reform to keep her in post.
Alternatively dobbing in that Nigerian kid to the exam police (I suspect the exam police in Nigeria are fearsome and brutal. When I was there 40 years ago there was what was known as the War on Indiscipline, and someone enjoying a beer under a shady tree got given a good hiding by the War on Indiscipline Police) might be working out for her.
It's always at its best when that's there. And you learn more.
But Reform on 31% and 12pp ahead of Labour is clearly very good for them and could produce a Commons majority.
Actually, Labour hat now, doctors orders is a small Con recovery and a big Reform slide so they split the right wing vote with maximum inefficiency. Signs of the first (maybe), the second to follow in due course.
I mean 31/19/19/12 probably leads to a Ref majority, sure.
If we go into a GE with Lab, Con both projected under 100 seats then they will both be throwing everything at their 'best 150' which will in most cases be different seats. And then (for example) if they both get 19% it will be a more efficient 19% than a UNS 19%. Labour might suffer more as they will fall victim to the Tory 2024 problem - the everywhere decline from a big majority in government .
Whatever the outcome we then het a whole new baxter baseline for 2034.it works much better on small national swings