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Political betting is being blamed for the Tories losing control of every council tonight
Political betting is being blamed for the Tories losing control of every council tonight– politicalbetting.com
A confidential memo to Kemi Badenoch, seen by the Telegraph, predicts that the Tories will lose up to 770 seats and all the mayoral elections that are taking place.
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If it's Kemi is crap and what is the purpose of the tory party nowadays blaming some idiots making a few quid via a dodgy bet is a better option than discussing the actual issues.
I don't think the management is fully in their gift though - Reform will almost certainly have a good set of results, but if they don't move past the Tories that saves some Tory blushes.
I think they'll manage it though.
The Tories were deeply unpopular long before the story about betting on the election date ever came up.
But, if that were the result, Reform’s NEV would be 30%+, and the Conservatives’ -20%.
I don't know if this chap has any biases, but suggest it would be hard, so interesting if there is more weight to the idea than they argue.
This is spectacularly dishonest framing by the Guardian. “appeals to the [ECtHR]” would normally connote the making of an actual appeal. All we’ve got is the announcement of a particularly shameless grift about some unspecified application.
Since Dr McCloud was not a party to the case at any point, made no application to be heard in the Outer House or Inner House, and has never lived in the jurisdiction to which the provision which was challenged would have applied it is pretty difficult to see any viable route.
https://nitter.poast.org/Broonjunior/status/1917494873155932501#m
https://labour.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/Labour-Party-manifesto-2024.pdf
Cambridgeshire ought to be a gimmie without SV, and the betting scandal is an excellent excuse that the current management can say is nothing to do with them.
ALERT: All purchases of Iranian Oil, or Petrochemical products, must stop, NOW! Any Country or person who buys ANY AMOUNT of OIL or PETROCHEMICALS from Iran will be subject to, immediately, Secondary Sanctions. They will not be allowed to do business with the United States of America in any way, shape, or form. Thank you for your attention to this matter, PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/1918008286684520466?s=61
My government will use the latest AI technology to track down devices used to send such messages. And then crush them."
Yes.
This is the trouble with fighting multiple fronts at once. Secondary sanctions on China makes little difference when there is already an effective embargo via ~150% tariffs.
https://wlegal.co.uk/our-people/victoria-mccloud/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Victoria_McCloud (according to that, she lived in UK but migrated to IRE)
The case
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9qw2149yelo
The book examines how Autocratic governments, which do not share a common ideology, collaborate to increase their power and control against the democratic and liberal countries. It is an expanded version of her article in The Atlantic: "The Bad Guys Are Winning".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autocracy,_Inc.:_The_Dictators_Who_Want_to_Run_the_World
"If you take out all of the negative numbers, GDP is up."
No. Really. That's what he just said.
https://x.com/KevinlyFather/status/1917721323696185407
What it has done is say “this is how the current law is to be interpreted”.
I read Stonewall’s statement as saying “don’t worry chaps, carry on doing what you were doing before”
Surely if people do that then they are at risk of prosecution?
So apparently, the U.S. is sending “retired” F-16s from the Davis-Monthan boneyard to Ukraine - supposedly just for spare parts to repair existing jets. Sure... just spare parts, nothing to see here.
https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1917992383620301116
But surely Stonewall is breaching law by encouraging others to break the Equality Act?
The Broxtowe Independents are the Labour walkouts in Jan 2025, aren't they? They are now called the Broxtowe Alliance.
There's also something else called the Broxtowe Independent Group, which is a different set of independents. They seem well organised and coherent. BIG have I think 4 incumbents.
Broxtowe Alliance are all (except one) at District Level.
This time there are 6 standing from BA, one of whom I think is an incumbent, and 4 standing from BIG. They seem to have a no-compete agreement, formal or not. It looks to me as if BA are not standing where BIG are incumbent. And maybe vice-versa.
So they could do surprisingly well, depending on how much of the former Labour vote they keep. If you look at their website, BA are very much Labour-style independents, not Reform-style.
No change would be Broxtowe Alliance 1 (out of 9 or 10 total seats I think), and BIG 4. I'd say it would be within one either way for both groups.
If they do well they will I think ally with Ashfield Independents on a number of things, unless a return to Labour is negotiated.
But a timely reminder to Russia: you next.
POTUS says he will nominate Waltz to be his new UN ambassador
Rubio will serve as NSA director in the interim
I’d note that UN ambassador is a position the president never really cared much about
https://x.com/alaynatreene/status/1918009437417071078
It's an amazing place to drive by. Miles and miles of Cold War and later planes. It's a spotters paradise for Airfix afficianados.
Guess he didn’t suck up enough at the cabinet meeting.
This comes up quite a bit in areas like tax. If it turns out the avoidance scheme you've got involved in doesn't work, you might have a contractual claim against the advisor but, absent fraud or something like that, you're the one ultimately on the hook for following duff advice.
@MatthewTorbitt
Contact in No10 tells me that a reshuffle is “imminent” & will be used to deflect from tomorrow’s results with immigration reset to follow.
Make of that what you will & where Lab think results are heading - interesting as I’d heard mostly positive sounds from Lab MPs this week.
https://x.com/MatthewTorbitt/status/1917958303554130288
But most likely some junior posts.
Why is it always complicated in life xxx
Here's an Iron Prominent from my Devon garden:
Wind of change?
https://footagefarm.com/reel-details/wwii/generic/pre-wwii---canada--us-plane-towed-across-border-for-delivery-to-british--mar40#/
https://medium.com/lessons-from-history/why-britain-pulled-aircraft-with-horses-and-trucks-ddd2dbd2aaa4
Reeves was a bad choice in hindsight but can't see her being replaced. Labour could do with a "Clarke replacing Lamont" super sub but of fortune (as could the country).
Kemi has surprised on the downside; it wouldn't surprise me if the results were actually this bad.
https://x.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1918026870840582619
"Shoplifting now so bad you need a log scale" (via Twitter)
Or is it as apocryphal as the avocado dip story?
https://thehill.com/policy/international/5277987-vance-meeting-one-day-before-popes-death-sign-from-god/
Vice President Vance said his meeting with Pope Francis one day before his death was a nod from a higher power.
Vance met with the pontiff on Easter Sunday before attending mass with him at the Vatican, after which he departed to India for a four-day trip.
“About an hour after we landed, a staffer came over and said, ‘Sir, the pope died.’ I obviously felt very sad, and my thought went immediately to the pope, but also to all these Catholics who love him,” Vance told Fox News Digital.
“But then it kind of hit me — oh my God — I was one of the last people to talk to him. I just take it as a great honor and a sign from God to remember that you never know when your last day on this Earth is.” ..
By the way apologies for not replying to your message a few weeks go when you were in Lincolnshire. I am afraid work has been rather all encompasing at the moment - hence the reason I am spending so little time on PB.
… but don’t worry, you’ll get about 183 days less than that
FO: they prioritise
Good luck for the trap tonight. Been quite good in April down here.